New Mexico, 2025

Drought in New Mexico, August 1 to 31, 2025

August 1 to 31, 2025 · NWS ABQ · 18 events in 18 counties and zones

August 2025 saw well above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation across much of western and central NM with below normal temperatures and near to above average precipitation across eastern NM. The lack of precipitation across far western NM from this monsoon season resulted in the introduction of extreme drought across the West Central and Northwest Plateau and far Northwest…

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 18 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
18

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

August 2025 saw well above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation across much of western and central NM with below normal temperatures and near to above average precipitation across eastern NM. The lack of precipitation across far western NM from this monsoon season resulted in the introduction of extreme drought across the West Central and Northwest Plateau and far Northwest Highlands.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 4:58 PM MST, 7 hours 2 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Updated at 558 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
  • A monsoon moisture plume will remain over the area through tomorrow with locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding possible, especially around burn scars, urban areas, locations with saturated ground, and poorly drained areas. Rainfall rates will exceed 2 inches per hour with a few of the stronger storms.
  • High pressure will build and strengthen overhead early next week reducing thunderstorm coverage and resulting in moderate heat risk in many lower-elevation locations, except for major heat risk to the east central and southeast plains and middle and lower Rio Grande Valley.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 4:58 PM MST, 7 hours 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
558 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 558 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

- A monsoon moisture plume will remain over the area through
  tomorrow with locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding
  possible, especially around burn scars, urban areas, locations
  with saturated ground, and poorly drained areas. Rainfall rates
  will exceed 2 inches per hour with a few of the stronger storms.

- High pressure will build and strengthen overhead early next
  week reducing thunderstorm coverage and resulting in moderate
  heat risk in many lower-elevation locations, except for major
  heat risk to the east central and southeast plains and middle
  and lower Rio Grande Valley.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 558 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

Shower and thunderstorm activity has ended for the day across the
south central mountains, including Ruidoso. For that reason, the
Flash Flood Watch for that zone has been cancelled. Flash Flood
Watch remains in effect for the southwest mountains, Sangre de
Cristo Mountains and northeast highlands until 9 PM MDT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 110 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

Scattered thunderstorms have begun to develop as of 12pm today, and
further development is expected to continue throughout the afternoon
and into the evening hours. Storms initiating off of the high
terrain are likely to have slow and erratic storm motions, based on
the upper level high sitting near the bootheel of NM. With slow
storm motions and a moist atmosphere (0.98" PWAT on the 18z ABQ
sounding), efficient rainfall rates are likely, perhaps exceeding
2"/hr in some of the stronger storms. The Flash Flood Watch remains
in effect through 9pm tonight, mainly for the HPCC and Ruidoso area
burn scars, as well as the Gila Region in southwest NM. Folks in
these areas should have a plan if a warning should be issued (where
as of 1230pm, Ruidoso has been placed in a Flash Flood Warning).
Elsewhere, in western NM, the Gallup Airport received a severe wind
gust yesterday from a nearby virga shower, and there are likely to
be more gusty outflow winds from mainly dry showers and storms
across far western NM through the afternoon. Showers and storms
across the central mountain chain this early afternoon move slowly
to the east/southeast into eastern NM, where locally heavy rainfall
may cause isolated flooding impacts, especially in places that have
received heavy rainfall over the past few days. Not a whole lot is
expected to change for Friday, with afternoon and evening
thunderstorms forming off of the high terrain and moving into the
lower terrain. The only significant difference is an increase in
upper level westerlies across northern and specifically northeast
NM. 0-6km bulk shear values are expected to increase into the 30-
40kt range, sufficient enough to sustain updrafts and produce
strong to severe storms. Collaborated with SPC to place a Marginal
(1/5) risk of severe storms in northeast NM for the Day 2
(Friday) outlook.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 110 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

The upper high shifts slightly to our west through the weekend,
sending slightly drier air around its northern periphery into the
state. Leftover moisture from this past week should remain abundant
enough to produce scattered storms off the high terrain for
Saturday, before the high shifts more over the state itself Sunday.
By this time, precipitation chances dwindle below 10% for the entire
state as the heat ramps up. Temperatures are likely to be 5-10F
above average across much of the state, with high 90s to low 100s
for high temperatures Sunday. Moderate risk of heat related impacts
is likely across central and southeast NM Sunday and continuing into
next week, with locally major risk in and near the Roswell area as
highs climb into the mid 100s. The upper high continues to sit over
the state moving into the middle part of the week, continuing hot
temperatures across much of the region, with a low chance of seeing
100F in ABQ by Wednesday. Moisture wrapping around the west side of
the high may work to induce high terrain showers and thunderstorms
across western and northern NM, where localized flash flood threats
may return based on slow storm motions.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 558 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

Slow moving showers and storms across northern, west central, and
south central NM will result in short-lived MVFR conditions
through midnight. Thunderstorms across and just east of the
Sandia and Manzano Mountains will develop a brief gusty gap wind
affecting KABQ this evening. Clearing mid level clouds after
midnight. Another crop of showers and thunderstorms look to
develop across the higher terrain midday Friday. Storm motion will
be slow and limited to the higher terrain across western and
central NM. However, storm motion will be quicker to the southeast
across the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, likely impacting KLVS at
the end of the TAF period. These storms across northeast NM will
be capable of producing large hail and damaging wind gusts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 110 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

Critical fire weather conditions are not expected for the next
several days, however elevated fire weather conditions are possible
across western NM Saturday and across much of the region Sunday.
With a high pressure moving over the area, humidity levels drop into
the low teens and single digits across the aforementioned areas.
Winds remain light to hinder chances of seeing critical fire weather
conditions. Otherwise, moisture remains in place today and tomorrow
where scattered to numerous thunderstorms along the high terrain
produce locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and small hail.
Isolated to scattered storms are favored to return mid next week to
the western high terrain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  63  92  64  95 /  30   5   5   0
Dulce...........................  47  87  47  89 /  60  30  20  10
Cuba............................  54  86  57  89 /  70  30  30  10
Gallup..........................  53  89  54  92 /  30  20  10   0
El Morro........................  54  84  55  87 /  60  40  30  10
Grants..........................  55  87  56  91 /  60  40  30  10
Quemado.........................  56  85  58  88 /  60  50  30  20
Magdalena.......................  60  83  62  87 /  60  50  20  20
Datil...........................  55  82  56  85 /  60  60  30  30
Reserve.........................  54  90  55  93 /  50  70  20  30
Glenwood........................  58  94  61  97 /  60  60  20  20
Chama...........................  46  80  49  82 /  60  40  20  20
Los Alamos......................  56  81  59  84 /  60  40  20  20
Pecos...........................  54  81  55  85 /  60  50  30  20
Cerro/Questa....................  52  81  53  83 /  60  60  20  30
Red River.......................  44  72  45  74 /  60  70  20  40
Angel Fire......................  40  74  40  77 /  70  70  20  40
Taos............................  51  83  52  86 /  60  50  20  20
Mora............................  48  78  49  82 /  70  60  30  30
Espanola........................  57  88  58  92 /  70  40  20  10
Santa Fe........................  58  83  60  86 /  70  40  30  10
Santa Fe Airport................  57  86  58  90 /  70  40  30  10
Albuquerque Foothills...........  64  89  68  92 /  70  30  30  10
Albuquerque Heights.............  63  90  66  94 /  60  30  30   5
Albuquerque Valley..............  63  93  65  97 /  60  20  20   5
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  64  91  66  95 /  60  30  20   5
Belen...........................  61  92  63  96 /  60  20  20   5
Bernalillo......................  63  91  65  95 /  70  30  30  10
Bosque Farms....................  61  92  63  96 /  60  20  20   5
Corrales........................  63  92  66  96 /  60  30  30  10
Los Lunas.......................  62  92  64  96 /  60  20  20   5
Placitas........................  61  88  64  92 /  70  30  30  10
Rio Rancho......................  63  91  65  95 /  60  30  30  10
Socorro.........................  64  93  66  96 /  60  30  20  10
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  55  83  59  87 /  70  30  30  10
Tijeras.........................  58  83  60  88 /  70  30  30  10
Edgewood........................  53  83  55  88 /  70  30  20  10
Moriarty/Estancia...............  53  85  53  89 /  60  30  20   5
Clines Corners..................  54  78  55  83 /  60  40  30   5
Mountainair.....................  55  83  57  87 /  60  40  20  10
Gran Quivira....................  55  82  58  86 /  50  40  20  10
Carrizozo.......................  62  86  64  89 /  50  40  10  10
Ruidoso.........................  55  78  57  82 /  40  50  10  20
Capulin.........................  54  78  52  82 /  70  60  40  30
Raton...........................  54  81  51  86 /  70  60  40  30
Springer........................  55  84  53  88 /  60  60  40  20
Las Vegas.......................  53  79  53  85 /  60  60  30  20
Clayton.........................  60  82  58  89 /  30  40  40  10
Roy.............................  58  80  56  86 /  60  40  40  10
Conchas.........................  63  88  62  94 /  40  30  40   5
Santa Rosa......................  61  85  60  91 /  40  30  30   5
Tucumcari.......................  60  84  60  90 /  30  20  30   0
Clovis..........................  64  89  65  94 /  30  20  30   0
Portales........................  65  90  64  96 /  30  20  20   0
Fort Sumner.....................  64  89  64  94 /  30  10  20   0
Roswell.........................  69  94  69  98 /  30  10  10   0
Picacho.........................  62  86  61  91 /  30  30  10   5
Elk.............................  58  83  59  89 /  30  40   5  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for NMZ208-209-214-215-
229.

&&

SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM....77
AVIATION...71

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 31, 7:02 PM MST, 4 hours 58 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
802 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0741 PM     Debris Flow      3 WNW Red River Ski Are 36.70N 105.46W
07/31/2025                   Taos               NM   Law Enforcement

            Mudslide observed across State Highway 38 at
            mile marker 9, a few miles west of Red
            River. Both lanes are closed with no ETA as
            to when the highway will reopen.

&&

MAA
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 11:06 PM MST, 54 minutes before
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The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

18 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Northwest Plateau

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Plateau forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.045, -108.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought was introduced to the northeast and east central portion of the zone.

Drought, Far Northwest Highlands

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Far Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.236, -107.293 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought persisted over the eastern third of the zone and introduced to the western third of the zone.

Drought, Northwest Highlands

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.072, -107.535 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought was reintroduced to the northern half of the zone.

Drought, West Central Plateau

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
West Central Plateau forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.803, -108.222 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought was reintroduced back to a majority of the zone.

Drought, West Central Mountains

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
West Central Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.821, -107.693 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought persisted over the south-central portion and expanded to the western portion of the zone.

Drought, Southwest Mountains

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southwest Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.961, -107.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought persisted over a majority of the western half of the zone along with a small area of exceptional drought over the far southern portion of the zone.

Drought, Tusas Mountains Including Chama

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Tusas Mountains Including Chama forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across the majority of the zone.

Drought, Jemez Mountains

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Jemez Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.023, -106.622 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across the majority of the zone.

Drought, Upper Rio Grande Valley

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Upper Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across the western portion the zone.

Drought, Espanola Valley

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Espanola Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.198, -106.100 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across the western portion the zone.

Drought, Santa Fe Metro Area

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Santa Fe Metro Area forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.416, -106.504 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across the western portion the zone.

Drought, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.002, -106.839 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across the majority of the zone.

Drought, Lower Rio Grande Valley

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Lower Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.007, -106.930 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across the far southwestern portion of the zone.

Drought, Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.121, -106.434 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across the Sandia Mountains portion of the zone.

Drought, Estancia Valley

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Estancia Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.066, -106.166 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions persisted across a majority of the zone, outside of the far southern portion.

Drought, Central Highlands

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Central Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions persisted across the western half of the zone.

Drought, Southwest Chaves County

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southwest Chaves County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions were reintroduced to southern portions of the zone.

Drought, San Francisco River Valley

When
August 1, 12:00 AM MST to August 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
San Francisco River Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.915, -108.405 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across a majority of the zone with exceptional drought persisting over the southern portion of the zone.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, August 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1281370, 1281371, 1281372, 1281373, 1281374, 1281375, 1281376, 1281377, 1281378, 1281379, 1281380, 1281381, 1281382, 1281383, 1281384, 1281385, 1281386, 1282205.