During the afternoon hours of Sept 18th, storms brought damaging wind gusts to portions of western Missouri.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
During the afternoon hours of Sept 18th, storms brought damaging wind gusts to portions of western Missouri.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 18, 1:39 PM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 239 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Strong to severe storms this afternoon. Damaging winds will be the main hazard, but hail to quarter size is possible in the strongest storms. - Dense fog possible early Friday morning. - Multiple additional rain chances from this weekend into next week. The highest probability period is Late Saturday night through Sunday with an >85% chance of seeing at least 0.01" in the 24 hours ending 7 PM Sunday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 231 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025 Water vapor imagery shows a strong shortwave trough, with at least a neutral tilt and potentially a slight negative tilt, over central KS currently. This shortwave will continue to push eastward through the afternoon and evening hours with models showing a tendency to negative tilting. At the surface, earlier convection, coupled with the ascent from the approaching shortwave, is keeping most of the area cloudy, limiting destabilization. However, dewpoints are in the low to mid 60s across the area and there is some clearing noted in our southern and eastern zones, which is allowing temperatures to climb into the 80s quickly. This combination of lower cloud cover, allowing for warmer temperatures, and the increased moisture will help southern and eastern portions of the forecast area build 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE. Stronger flow moving around the base of the shortwave will also lead to modestly stronger shear with 25-30kt of deep-layer shear possible. All this points to a window when strong to severe storms would be possible in mainly our southern and eastern zones (roughly southeast of a line from Paola, KS to Kirksville) and in a time frame from about 20Z through 04Z. One other item to mention with this setup is that regional radar imagery shows what looks like an MCV moving into northeastern KS, with a line of storms developing along and southeast of the vortex. As this area moves into eastern KS and western MO, it looks to weaken as the instability isn't as strong and better shear shifts to the south. Showers and storms move east of the area tonight with skies potentially clearing out across northeastern KS and northern MO. While we won't have high pressure centered right over the area, winds may become light enough overnight to limit boundary layer mixing and increase the potential for fog development. The latest HREF shows generally a 40-60% chance for visibility less than 1 mile late tonight into early morning. Have added fog, some of it dense, to the forecast for areas mainly north of the MO river. There are multiple additional chances for precipitation from Saturday night through the remainder of the forecast. The greatest potential looks like Saturday night into Sunday. Models show a strong nocturnal low-level jet that noses into eastern KS and western MO. This LLJ will lead to strong moisture transport into the area and all ahead of a strong mid-level shortwave trough. Precipitable water values will be approaching 1.8" Sunday morning. Using the sounding climatology page via SPC, since the ensemble situational awareness table isn't currently working, this puts eastern KS greater than the 90th percentile but less than the daily average max value. So this is an unseasonably moist airmass moving into the area and given the setup, there is potential for pockets of heavy rain. Ensemble guidance shows there is a small potential (5- 10%) for 24 hour precipitation to exceed 1.5" by 7 pm Sunday. For the remainder of the extended, there are multiple periods with some probability of precipitation. Ensemble mean 500mb heights and clusters start early next work week with zonal to broad troughing noted. The upper pattern becomes more variable by Tuesday into Wednesday with nearly two-thirds of members showing varying strength of troughing over the middle of the country and a smaller percentage showing the area on the eastern edge of ridging. With the preference for troughing over the middle of the country, it's not surprising there are small probabilities of precipitation throughout the extended with PoPs generally in the 20-40% range from Monday onward. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1234 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025 Main change with this forecast was to adjust later the timing of another line of storms and refine the overall timing to 21Z-01Z for storms in the KC area terminals. Overall, it is looking like storms will initiate near or just east of the KS-MO state line near 21Z and then quickly track east through the late afternoon and evening hours. There is still some east-west variability in initiation so still have a three-hour period of time as the most likely to see storms. It is possible that storms initiate east of all the terminals. Overnight, focus shifts to the potential for fog, especially north of the Missouri River. Latest HREF showing a 40% to 60% probability of visibility less than 1 mile for most areas north of the river, and more spotty probabilities south. Have added some mention of fog in all forecasts and as confidence increases in dense fog, updates can be made. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...None. KS...None. && DISCUSSION...CDB AVIATION...CDB
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 0504 AM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-191004- Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS- Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler- Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton- Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton- Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis- Cooper-Bates-Henry- 0504 AM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025 This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .KEY MESSAGES... - Strong to marginally severe storms this afternoon/evening. Strong to damaging winds are the most likely hazard. - Multiple rounds of showers and storms possible Friday into early next week. - Near-seasonal temperatures (upper 70s to low 80s) Friday into
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
151 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg South Lineville 40.58N 93.52W
09/17/2025 Mercer MO Emergency Mngr
Delayed report. Downed tree limbs reported
in the Lineville area along with small hail.
Time estimated from radar.
&&
CMSSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
238 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
KSZ060-182030-
Linn KS-
238 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LINN COUNTY THROUGH 330 PM CDT...
At 238 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Mound City, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Pleasanton, La Cygne, Mound City, and Blue Mound.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3804 9506 3839 9491 3839 9487 3828 9461
3815 9461 3804 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 217DEG 21KT 3808 9489
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
PeselThe Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 17 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:54 UTC.
40 thunderstorm wind, 2 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Downed tree and wires near Route 291 north of Harrisonville.
Social media report of a downed tree on 203rd Street between Routes J and 291.
Tree down on south side of Pleasant Hill.
Power lines downed north of Pleasant Hill.
Branches and six foot fence downed in Bates City.
Social media report of a corn field flattened by strong winds south of Holden. Additional report of downed wires in the area.
Downed wires and power outages near Meadow Lane in Grain Valley.
Social media report and photos of downed trees at a residence in Oak Grove.
Downed wires reported near Owings Street in Oak Grove.
Social media report of a downed tree at a residence near Grain Valley.
Social media report of up to quarter size hail damaging crops and a garden at a residence east of Holden.
Tree down on house in Centerview.
Multiple reports of tree damage east of Holden and southwest of Centerview. Multiple powerlines down and power outages reported as well.
Tree downed near Centerview.
Social media report of minor damage to a residence just west of Centerview.
Measured wind gust of 57 knots at Skyhaven Airport west of Warrensburg.
Large tree and powerline down just NW of Warrensburg.
Social media report of downed tree limbs on U.S. Highway 24 near Napoleon. Utility company reported tree and wire damage in this area as well.
Mostly small hail, but some hail up to quarter size reported near Centerview.
Powerline down in Warrensburg.
Personal weather station measured 51 knot wind gust east of Holden.
Utility company reports multiple trees and wires down just south of Centerview.
Social media report of a barn severely damaged between Centerview and Warrensburg.
Private weather sensor west of Warrensburg recorded a 59 knot wind gust.
Social media report of a downed tree damaging three vehicles at the University of Central Missouri.
Utility company reports multiple trees and wires down north of Warrensburg.
Several reports of tree limb and powerline damage near and south of Fayetteville.
Multiple reports of downed wires and power outages in the Lexington area.
Several reports of downed limbs and wires near Leesville, north of Tightwad.
Multiple reports of downed wires east of Route Y east of Calhoun.
Social media drone photos showing a flattened corn field from straight-line winds as well as a downed power line near U.S. Highway 65 and Manila Road. Several downed tree limbs in the area as well.
Several reports of downed limbs and wires south of Smithton.
Social media reports of a downed tree at a local business in Sedalia. Another posted video of very strong winds at a residence with small limbs downed.
Downed wires and tree limbs near County Road 111. Dispatch also reported strong winds south and east of Miami.
Power pole knocked down east of Bunceton.
Power pole downed north of Blackwater.
Social media photos of multiple trees and limbs down between Franklin and New Franklin.
Several reports of downed power lines northwest of New Franklin.
Multiple tree limbs and wires down just north of New Franklin.
Power Pole downed in rural Howard County.
Several reports of downed wires and power outages southeast of Fayette.
Multiple reports of downed powerlines near Route A south of Bunker Hill.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, September 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1291090, 1291091, 1291085, 1291080, 1291081, 1291092, 1291095, 1291096, 1292568, 1292563, 1292581, 1291089, 1291097, 1291082, 1291098, 1292571, 1291084, 1291099, 1292582, 1291083, 1292570, 1291100, 1291101, 1292562, 1291102, 1292572, 1292569, 1292573, 1292574, 1292575, 1292564, 1292576, 1292561, 1292577, 1291086, 1291087, 1292578, 1292579, 1292565, 1291088, and more.