Hawaii, 2025High Surf in Hawaii, February 27 to 28, 2025
February 27 to 28, 2025 · NWS HFO · 9 events in 9 counties and zones
An extra large northwest swell brought waves up to 35 feet to north facing shores and created strong currents and hazardous beach conditions.
Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 9
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
An extra large northwest swell brought waves up to 35 feet to north facing shores and created strong currents and hazardous beach conditions.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 27, 3:57 PM HST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 27, 3:57 PM HST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
357 PM HST Thu Feb 27 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Southerly winds across the western half of the state and
southeasterly across the eastern half will persist through the
weekend as a couple of fronts stall northwest of Kauai. Limited
rainfall is expected, with the best chance for a few showers over
leeward portions of Kauai and Oahu. Trade winds will return early
next week, likely bringing an increase in showers to mainly
windward areas.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
As a cold front slowly approaches Kauai from the northwest this
afternoon, the surface ridge centered to the northeast will
continue to be shoved south of its usual position, with its
horizontal axis extending over the southern end of the state. With
the surface ridge in this position, it will maintain a
southeasterly flow across the eastern half of the state and a
southerly flow across the western half.
This afternoon's radar and satellite imagery show a few showers
moving into leeward areas on the southerly winds along with sea
breeze activity increasing cloud cover and bringing a few light
showers to island interiors across Maui County. The front to the
northwest of Kauai will stall north of the area this evening
keeping its attendant moisture out of the forecast area. Clouds
and light showers over the western end of the state will favor
leeward areas in this southerly flow regime, with windward sides
expected to be slightly clearer. Over the eastern end of the
state, the southeasterly flow will allow clouds and a few showers
to favor southeast coasts and lower slopes of the Big Island and
Maui overnight, and then afternoon sea breezes in the lighter
wind flow (blocked from the Big Island) will bring clouds and
showers over leeward areas and island interiors during the
afternoon.
The surface ridge will remain positioned over the islands into
the weekend and mid-level ridging will build overhead. The
persistent southerly flow will maintain elevated dewpoints (near
70F) that will make it feel somewhat muggy, especially in the
afternoon hours. While there will be some minor fluctuations in
wind speed and direction as a few fronts pass to the north of the
state, the general pattern will remain the same through the
weekend with this southeasterly wind regime across the eastern end
of the state and southerly wind regime across the western end.
Overall, rainfall accumulations will be minimal through the
weekend with subsidence from the mid-level ridge and drier air
filtering across the area helping to put a damper on shower
activity.
A pattern change looks to occur early next week. Another front
will approach from the northwest and may move across a portion of
the island chain or dissipate just before it arrives. Regardless,
the driving high pressure that builds to the north of the state
in its wake will bring a return to trades that are expected to
build into mid week. Moisture being carried in on the newly
established trades along with increased instability due to height
falls and cooler temperatures aloft may lead to a "wetter" trade
wind pattern Tuesday into Wednesday.
GOES GeoColor imagery, webcams, and air quality observations show
vog continuing to impact the Big Island through Oahu as SO2
emissions from Kilauea are transported in the south-southeasterly
low-level flow. Episode 11 of the Kilauea summit eruption paused
this morning, which may lead to a reduction in emissions and vog
coverage as the week progresses. As the trades build back into the
islands next week, any lingering vog upstream of the islands
could be carried back across the islands.
&&
.AVIATION...
A front to the north and a surface ridge to the south of the
Hawaiian islands will maintain light to moderate southeasterly to
southwesterly winds (southeasterly for the eastern end of the
state becoming south-southwesterly for the western end of the
state). These southerly winds are expected through at least
tomorrow. Dry and stable conditions will keep clouds and showers
light and isolated. Overall VFR conditions should prevail with a
few brief MVFR showers moving through from south to north.
Hazy conditions should continue through at least tomorrow due to
a combination of Kilauea volcanic activity and southerly winds.
This could lead to pockets of reduced visibilities.
No AIRMETs in effect.
&&
.MARINE...
A large to extra large NW (310-320) swell is building this
evening and will reach High Surf Warning (HSW) thresholds late
tonight before peaking early Friday. Long period forerunners have
registered on NDBC buoy 51001 roughly on schedule and an HSW
remains in effect for select north and west facing shores. A High
Surf Advisory may eventually be needed for west facing shores of
the Big Island. Additionally, peak extra large surf is forecast
to coincide with high tide early Friday which will lead to
overwash of low lying coastal zones. Another moderate large WNW
swell is expected on Monday.
Surf along S facing shores remains tiny and dominated by
background energy through the week. Surf likewise remains tiny
along E facing shores due to light background winds, but will
receive an appreciable boost with the return of strong trades next
week.
Light to moderate southerlies prevail over the next several days
as fronts periodically advance north of the islands. Strong high
pressure then builds north of the area early next week bringing a
return to moderate trades during Sunday. Trades further strengthen
through mid-week.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Surf Warning until 6 PM HST Friday for Niihau-Kauai Leeward-
Waianae Coast-Oahu North Shore-Maui Windward West-Kauai North-
Molokai Windward-Molokai North-Molokai West-Windward Haleakala.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Friday for Kauai Northwest
Waters-Kauai Windward Waters-Kauai Leeward Waters-Kauai Channel-
Oahu Windward Waters-Oahu Leeward Waters-Kaiwi Channel-Maui
County Windward Waters-Alenuihaha Channel-Big Island Windward
Waters.
&&
DISCUSSION...Farris
AVIATION...Tsamous
MARINE...JVC
High Surf, Kauai North
- When
- February 27, 6:00 PM HST to February 28, 11:59 PM HST
- Where
- Kauai North forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 22.011, -159.705 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Large breaking waves up to thirty five feet created strong currents, beach runup and dangerous shoreline conditions.
High Surf, Oahu North Shore
- When
- February 27, 6:00 PM HST to February 28, 12:00 AM HST
- Where
- Oahu North Shore forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.455, -157.961 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Large breaking waves up to thirty five feet created strong currents, beach runup and dangerous shoreline conditions.
High Surf, Niihau
- When
- February 27, 6:00 PM HST to February 28, 11:59 PM HST
- Where
- Niihau forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 22.011, -159.705 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Large breaking waves up to thirty five feet created strong currents, beach runup and dangerous shoreline conditions.
High Surf, Molokai North
- When
- February 27, 6:00 PM HST to February 28, 11:59 PM HST
- Where
- Molokai North forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Large breaking waves up to thirty five feet created strong currents, beach runup and dangerous shoreline conditions.
High Surf, Molokai Windward
- When
- February 27, 6:00 PM HST to February 28, 11:59 PM HST
- Where
- Molokai Windward forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Large breaking waves up to thirty five feet created strong currents, beach runup and dangerous shoreline conditions.
High Surf, Maui Windward West
- When
- February 27, 6:00 PM HST to February 28, 11:59 PM HST
- Where
- Maui Windward West forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Large breaking waves up to thirty five feet created strong currents, beach runup and dangerous shoreline conditions.
High Surf, Maui Central Valley North
- When
- February 27, 6:00 PM HST to February 28, 11:59 PM HST
- Where
- Maui Central Valley North forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Large breaking waves up to thirty five feet created strong currents, beach runup and dangerous shoreline conditions.
High Surf, Windward Haleakala
- When
- February 27, 6:00 PM HST to February 28, 11:59 PM HST
- Where
- Windward Haleakala forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Large breaking waves up to thirty five feet created strong currents, beach runup and dangerous shoreline conditions.
High Surf, Molokai West
- When
- February 27, 6:00 PM HST to February 28, 11:59 PM HST
- Where
- Molokai West forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Large breaking waves up to thirty five feet created strong currents, beach runup and dangerous shoreline conditions.
- High Surf
- Large waves breaking on the shore that caused damage, erosion or casualties.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, February 27, 20252 events
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1269769, 1269771, 1269773, 1269775, 1269777, 1269792, 1269795, 1269797, 1269798.