Arizona, 2025

Strong Wind in Arizona, May 28, 2025

May 28, 2025 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A passing shower over the Lake Powell area led to strong wind gusts that caused damage to a marina.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

A passing shower over the Lake Powell area led to strong wind gusts that caused damage to a marina.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 28, 4:50 PM MST, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 4:50 PM MST, 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
450 PM MST Wed May 28 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Warm and dry conditions expected over the next couple
days. A cutoff Low approaches the area from the south this
weekend, bringing a better than average chance of precipitation
starting as soon as late Saturday afternoon and lasting into
Monday afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Negatively tilted ridge running northwest from Texas
into Nevada will impact the area over the next two days. This
will bring us dry weather as well as temperatures 5 to 10 degrees
above end of May averages. At the same time an abnormally strong
cutoff Low will begin to set up off the southern California coast
and sit there over the same couple days.

Starting on Saturday this cutoff Low will slowly advance and begin
to pull up some subtropical moisture from the south. By late
Saturday afternoon or evening some POPs will start moving into the
southern part of our CWA, staying south of the I-40 corridor
Saturday night, with POPs becoming widespread across the entire
CWA on Sunday as the Low begins to open up and track to the
northeast. POPS remain over the area through early Monday
afternoon but will decrease from southwest to northeast as the Low
continues to move out of the area. Temperatures will also take a
dip to about 5 to 10 degrees below early June averages. Ensembles
have been in pretty high agreement of this scenario so confidence
is higher then it usually is on an event this far out. Current QPF
estimates from Saturday night through Monday evening are in the
0.25-0.50" range, not bad for early June.

Temperatures will remain a bit below average through the middle of
next week due to another trough moving in after the first one
leaves. However this one will be farther to the north so its not
expected to be able to tap the subtropical moisture the first one
could. This trough will bring the jet stream further south and
that will elevate the winds higher then they've been in the last
few days. Will have to keep an eye on this to see if it could
present any fire weather concerns. By Thursday this trough will
move east and a zonal pattern will set up with temperatures
warming back to early June averages.

&&

.AVIATION...Thursday 29/00Z through Friday 30/00Z...Expect VFR
conditions. South to southwest winds 10-15 kts through around 02Z, then
diminishing overnight. Isolated -SHRA/VIRGA through 02Z north of
a KGCN-KRQE line, with localized gusty/erratic outflow winds to 30
kts. Most areas will have south through southwest winds 5-15 kts
redeveloping after 17Z-20Z Thursday.

OUTLOOK...Friday 30/00Z through Sunday 01/00Z...VFR conditions.
Winds variable at speeds generally under 15 kts. Isolated -SHRA
Saturday afternoon, with localized gusty/erratic outflow winds to
30 kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Thursday and Friday...Look for dry conditions on
Thursday followed by a slight chance of virga/sprinkles over the
White Mountains area on Friday. Daytime south to southwest winds at
5 to 15 mph are forecast for Thursday becoming variable on Friday.
Expect minimum relative humidity generally 10 percent or lower.

Saturday through Monday...A chance of rain showers developing on
Saturday (15-30%) then increasing from Sunday into Monday (40-60%).
Thunderstorms possible over the White Mountains area starting
Saturday, spreading area wide Sunday. Minimum relative humidity 10-
20% on Saturday increasing to 20-40% on Sunday and Monday. Daytime
winds will generally be light and variable on Saturday, becoming
southwesterly on Sunday at 5 to 15 mph, then increasing to 10 to 20
mph with gusts to 30 mph on Monday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

PUBLIC...Bernhart
AVIATION...JJ
FIRE WEATHER...McCollum

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Strong Wind, Marble Canyon and Glen Canyon

When
May 28, 5:00 PM MST to 5:15 PM MST
Where
Marble Canyon and Glen Canyon forecast zone
Measured
35 kt (40 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
35.839, -111.770 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Strong winds from passing showers caused significant damage to the Antelope Point Marina on Lake Powell. The wind blew a transformer and caused damage to Dock 3.

What these are

Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, May 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1266430.