Extended dry periods in August and September with minimal relief promoted the introduction of Severe (D2) drought into counties in southwestern Central Alabama by late month.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BMX wrote it up.
Extended dry periods in August and September with minimal relief promoted the introduction of Severe (D2) drought into counties in southwestern Central Alabama by late month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 29, 11:21 PM CST, 39 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1221 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1207 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2025 - No hazardous weather impacts are anticipated the next seven days. However, drought conditions are most likely going to increase across the area. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1207 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2025 Today, the state will be between two systems, the high pressure over the MS River Valley slowly moving eastward, and the lower pressure off the east coast. There is plenty of moisture and upper level support as a weak low moves between these features and across the state for light to moderate isolated showers to develop and move over the northeast and east. Have left mention of PoP at a minimum for now due to uncertainty of CAMs. Activity could linger into the early evening, before weakening through the night. By Wednesday, the high will begin to influence the area more, with the low moving to the east. Easterly low and mid level flow will set up, with drier air advecting into the state by Wednesday afternoon. Dry conditions and warm temperatures in the 80s will be expected. 24 && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1207 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2025 High pressure and flow out of the east will continue through the end of the work week and into the weekend. Dry weather and temps in the 80s will remain each day. By Sunday, models are in decent agreement that a surface low will develop and bring rain back to the area. There is some uncertainty of where this low will move, but with low and mid level flow transitioning to out of the south by late saturday, there should be plenty of moisture for scattered to widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms returning the area sometime late Sunday and possibly into Monday. 24 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2025 Low pressure to the east will keep higher low level moisture and MVFR ceilings prevailing in the eastern areas of Alabama, touching KAUO and possibly KASN through the early morning. VFR conditions are expected through the afternoon at all TAF sites. There is a low chance for convection in the afternoon in the eastern half of the state. Though left mention out of each TAF for now due to uncertainty in coverage and timing. 24 && .FIRE WEATHER... The area should remain mostly dry, with minRH values will fall into the low to mid-40s by Wednesday. Given the sharp east shift in the tropical trends, no real moisture return is expected until next weekend, with only scattered rain chances the next seven days or so. Because of this, drought conditions will remain ongoing, with additional expansion possible given the lack of rain. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 86 62 86 61 / 30 20 0 0 Anniston 83 63 85 62 / 30 20 0 0 Birmingham 87 66 87 65 / 20 20 0 0 Tuscaloosa 90 67 89 65 / 0 0 10 0 Calera 87 65 88 63 / 20 20 0 0 Auburn 82 65 84 63 / 20 20 0 0 Montgomery 87 67 86 63 / 20 10 0 0 Troy 83 64 84 62 / 20 10 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....24 AVIATION...24
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The western half of the county was upgraded to Severe (D2) drought conditions at the end of September.
The southern half of the county was upgraded to Severe (D2) drought conditions at the end of September.
Much of the county was upgraded to Severe (D2) drought conditions at the end of September.
The county was upgraded to Severe (D2) drought conditions at the end of September. The eastern part of the county was upgraded to Extreme (D3) conditions.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alabama in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, September 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1288881, 1288882, 1288883, 1288885.