A fading long-period northeasterly swell was maintaining hazardous surf conditions across the northern coast of Puerto Rico. Breaking waves were in the order of 10 to 11 feet for these beaches.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.
A fading long-period northeasterly swell was maintaining hazardous surf conditions across the northern coast of Puerto Rico. Breaking waves were in the order of 10 to 11 feet for these beaches.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 13, 4:34 AM AST, 5 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
434 AM AST Tue Feb 13 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 433 AM AST Tue Feb 13 2024
A subsiding long-period northeasterly swell continues promoting
hazardous coastal conditions due to life-threatening breaking
waves and rip currents along the north and east-facing beaches of
Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands.
A surface high pressure migrating into the Central Atlantic will
induce an east-southeast wind flow across the islands through
Thursday, and above-normal maximum temperatures will remain
possible during the afternoon. A frontal boundary will approach
the islands from the west, lingering north of the Northeast
Caribbean Friday through Saturday. The mid to upper-level trough
will hold throughout the forecast period.
&&
.SHORT TERM...Today through Thursday...
Mostly fair weather conditions prevailed overnight as drier air
prevailed across the region. There were some light passing showers
across eastern Puerto Rico, yet with barely any rain. Winds
generally prevailed from the east with speeds between 5 and 10 mph,
with higher speeds across coastal regions. The low temperatures were
seen in the mid 70s along the coastlines and in the low 60s across
the mountains and valleys.
A surface high pressure system northeast of the islands will
continue to move eastward into the central Atlantic, meanwhile
causing the local lower level wind flow to veer. Surface winds are
forecast to be southeasterly through Thursday and due to this,
warmer temperatures are expected and air with better moisture is
forecast to arrive Wednesday onward. For today, mainly fair weather
conditions will continue during the morning hours and an increase of
passing showers is likely due to a slight increase in moisture by
the evening. Eastern Puerto Rico will see the greater of this
activity as arrival moisture is very shallow as mid to upper-level
ridging continues to prevail across the eastern Caribbean.
Models were hinting at the arrival of a moist airmass on Wednesday
before the latest 13/00z run, however now it appears that is not
happening, instead a consistent influx of a slightly wetter air
continuing through Thursday. This will somewhat increase the
probability of showers through Thursday by raising precipitable
water values to more favorable levels compared to previous days.
It's possible that a perturbation in the trades at the surface
level will help increase convection throughout Wednesday night
through Thursday. For these days, we can expected an increase of
passing showers across southeastern Puerto Rico and the USVI,
followed by afternoon showers with a focus on northwestern PR. A
prevailing southeast flow around 10 knots with higher values
during the afternoon due to seabreeze acceleration should keep
most of the showers quick moving, without causing much of a
problem. However, urban areas with frequent showers may experience
some light ponding of water.
.LONG TERM...Friday through Tuesday...
A high-pressure ridge anchored at mid to upper levels over the
Northeast Caribbean is expected to remain in place through Monday,
weakening on Tuesday. This will limit upper-level dynamics, allow
dry air to be set up aloft, and trap the available moisture at
low levels. Meanwhile, the interaction between a surface high
pressure across the Central Atlantic and a cold front moving
eastward and positioning itself north of the region will pool
enough low-level moisture over PR and the USVI on Friday and
Saturday. Under this weather pattern, we may see occasional
showery weather on both days, and the rainy pattern will be tight
to the final position of the frontal boundary.
The surface high pressure will build from the Central to Eastern
Atlantic Saturday through next week, tightening the local pressure
gradient and promoting the east-southeast winds to increase on
Sunday, more easterly on Monday, and more east- northeast by
Tuesday. This weather pattern will leave the islands at the mercy
of the fragments of moisture that the winds may bring. Therefore,
the areas with more likeliness to observe occasional rains will be
the windward sections. Additionally, temperatures will range in
the typical values for this time of the year, with maximum values
in the mid and low 80s along the coasts and the mid and upper 70s
in the mountains. The low temperatures will drop in the low 70s or
upper 60s along the urban and coastal locations and from the low
60s to mid-50s in mountain areas and valleys.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 433 AM AST Tue Feb 13 2024
VFR conditions will prevail through today and tonight. A slight
increase of moisture during the afternoon may bring an increase of
VCSH and cloud coverage across TJSJ/TIST/TISX/TJPS, yet nothing
impressive is expected. Afternoon convection may promote VCSH/SHRA
at TJBQ after 13/17z. ESE will prevail around 7-12 kts with higher
gusts and sea breeze variations after 13/13z.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 433 AM AST Tue Feb 13 2024
A surface high pressure drifting into the Central Atlantic will
maintain light to moderate east to southeast winds across the islands
through Thursday. A cold front will approach the islands from the
northwest, positioning north of the Northeast Caribbean from Thursday
onward. A fading long period northeasterly swell continues to create
hazardous marine and coastal conditions through at least this
afternoon.
Two pulses of long-period northerly swell are expected, with the
first arriving on Thursday, followed by a bigger one on Friday and
the weekend.
&&
.BEACH FORECAST...
Hazardous surf conditions due to a fading long period
northeasterly swell continue today. Therefore, expect breaking
waves up to 10 or 11 feet until this evening and a high risk of
rip currents throughout the day along the Atlantic Coastline from
Rincon to Fajardo, Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Along the
Caribbean coastline of Puerto Rico from Yauco to Yabucoa, the risk
of rip currents is low.
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for PRZ001-002-005-
008-010-012.
High Surf Advisory until 6 PM AST this evening for PRZ001-002-
005-008-010-012.
High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for PRZ013.
VI...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for VIZ001.
High Surf Advisory until 6 PM AST this evening for VIZ001-002.
High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for VIZ002.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST this afternoon for AMZ711-
712-716-723-726-741-742.
&&
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...RC
SYNOPSIS/LONG TERM/MARINE/BEACH FORECAST....CAMPerspectiva sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo Servicio Nacional de Meteorología San Juan PR 506 AM AST martes 13 de febrero de 2024 AMZ711>745-PRZ001>013-140915- San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior- Norte Central-Central Interior-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste- Oeste Interior-Mayagüez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques- Las aguas cercanas y fuera de la costa del Atlántico y del Caribe- 506 AM AST martes 13 de febrero de 2024 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para sectores de Puerto Rico. . DÍA UNO...Hoy y esta noche .Condiciones Marítimas...Oleaje igual o mayor de 7 pies a través de las aguas del Atlántico y pasajes. Condiciones peligrosas para embarcaciones pequeñas. .Corrientes Marinas...Las corrientes marinas amenazantes a la vida son probables en la zona de olas particularmente del norte, este y oeste de las playas. . DÍAS DOS A SIETE...miércoles a lunes Las condiciones marítimas mejorarán significativamente mañana. Sin embargo, para el viernes en la noche se pronostica que llegue otra marejada del norte, deteriorando las condiciones marítimas y costeras nuevamente para el próximo fin de semana. Se espera que las condiciones ventosas regresen el fin de semana también. El riesgo de Corriente Marina estará moderado del miércoles en adelante, sin embargo, cambiará a alto el fin de semana con la llegada de la próxima marejada del norte. . COMUNICADO SOBRE INFORMACIÓN REPORTADA POR OBSERVADORES... Se les exhorta a los observadores a reportar. Favor de reportar cualquier información sobre inundaciones, vientos, olas y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorología en San Juan. AMZ716-726-VIZ001-002-140915- San Thomas San John e islas adyacentes-Santa Cruz- Aguas cercanas a la costa del Atlántico y aguas costeras adyacentes del Caribe- 506 AM AST martes 13 de febrero de 2024 Esta Perspectiva sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo es para sectores de las Islas Vírgenes Americanas. . DÍA UNO...Hoy y esta noche .Condiciones Marítimas...Oleaje igual o mayor de 7 pies a través de las aguas del Atlántico y pasajes. Condiciones peligrosas para embarcaciones pequeñas. .Corrientes Marinas...Las corrientes marinas amenazantes a la vida son probables en la zona de olas particularmente del norte, este y oeste de las playas. . DÍAS DOS A SIETE...miércoles a lunes Las condiciones marítimas mejorarán significativamente mañana. Sin embargo, para el viernes en la noche se pronostica que llegue otra marejada del norte, deteriorando las condiciones marítimas y costeras nuevamente para el próximo fin de semana. Se espera que las condiciones ventosas regresen el fin de semana también. El riesgo de Corriente Marina estará moderado del miércoles en adelante, sin embargo, cambiará a alto el fin de semana con la llegada de la próxima marejada del norte. . COMUNICADO SOBRE INFORMACIÓN REPORTADA POR OBSERVADORES... Se les exhorta a los observadores a reportar. Favor de reportar cualquier información sobre inundaciones, vientos, olas y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorología en San Juan. *** Este producto ha sido procesado automáticamente utilizando un programa de traducción y puede contener omisiones y errores. El Servicio Nacional de Meteorología no puede garantizar la precisión del texto convertido. De haber alguna duda, el texto en inglés es siempre la versión autorizada. ***
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A man was found floating on the waters near Playa Montones in Isabela. The individual was found dead.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Northwest | 2024-02-13 | 39 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, February 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1163244.