North Dakota, 2024

Winter Weather in North Dakota, December 4, 2024

December 4, 2024 · NWS FGF · 7 events in 4 counties and zones

A snow squall passed through the area in the morning hours of December 4th, 2024.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGF wrote it up.

A snow squall passed through the area in the morning hours of December 4th, 2024.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 4, 5:54 AM CST, 21 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Due to mild evening temperatures (above 32F in eastern ND and the Red River valley) and some light drizzle, freezing drizzle, the snow on the ground has become likely less blowable.
  • To handle the lesser blowing snow issues with the prob snow table showing 50-79 pct classification felt widespread blizzard conditions not likely, and went advisory in watch area.
  • Probability for blizzard conditions are 20 percent.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 5:54 AM CST, 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
554 AM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Due to mild evening temperatures (above 32F in eastern ND and
  the Red River valley) and some light drizzle, freezing
  drizzle, the snow on the ground has become likely less
  blowable.

- To handle the lesser blowing snow issues with the prob snow
  table showing 50-79 pct classification felt widespread
  blizzard conditions not likely, and went advisory in watch
  area.

- Probability for blizzard conditions are 20 percent.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 554 AM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

The warm air advection through the night coupled with periods
of freezing drizzle and some areas of freezing rain have crusted
over most of our blowable snowpack. This has decreased our
confidence in Blizzard impacts throughout today, however in
light snow showers visibilities may reduce low enough to meet
blizzard criteria for a brief period. Wind gusts up to 45mph
have been reported within the valley and outside the valley wind
gusts have been between 30 to 35mph with the exception of Devils
lake that reported a wind gust of up to 40mph.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 329 AM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

...Synopsis...

500 mb wave moving thru NW Ontario. Water vapor shows drying of
atmosphere and best wind gust potential into SW MB and moving
into NE ND at 09z. This will spread over the fcst area this
morning.

...TODAY...

Cold front located from near Baudette to near Fosston to just
north of Fargo to between Valley City and Cooperstown at 09z.
Initial drizzle ahead of the front in warmer air with mid 30s in
SE ND and WC MN. With front brief wind gusts 45-52 mph then
winds settle into the 25 mph sustained to gusts 35 mph range
northward thru the northern RRV. Obs and webcams indicate some
light snow/flurries at times but vsbys remain 1 3/4 to 6SM.
Upstream radar and obs in S Manitoba indicated scattered snow
showers as well and would expect scattered light snow into the
afternoon over most areas as colder air and gusty winds spread
over the area.

Huge uncertainty is blowing snow impacts. Blowing snow table
indicates need 30-32kt sustained with temps 13-15F to generate
moderate blizzard (Prob snow 50-79 pct) potential with
periodically bad in rural areas, and need temps in the single
digits with similar winds to generate widespread blizzard
conditions out of town which may yet occur but less certain.

Based on what I looked over....blowing snow classifications are
in the areas to definite range over E ND and western MN. These
would indicate advisory conditions with localized blizzard
impacts but not lasting 3 hours.

So for this reason went advisory for winter storm watch area.

Soundings indicate a well mixed layer with wind gust potential
around 45 kts and sustained 27-30 kts. Briefly higher winds
possible.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 554 AM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

Wind gusts between 30 and 45 knots are to be expected throughout
the day. However, with the freezing drizzle and warm
temperatures earlier in the night. There is uncertainty how much
visibility will reduce due to blowing snow. Because of this
variation to visibility reduction conditions will bounce between
IFR and MVFR at times. The worst case scenario visibilities will
bounce between 1/4 to 1/2sm if the snow crust breaks and becomes
blowable. Around 03z wind gusts should cease and by 06z winds
should be around 10kts from the northwest.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for
     NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.
MN...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for
     MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-040.

&&

UPDATE...MM
DISCUSSION...Riddle
AVIATION...MM
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 3, 10:53 PM CST, 7 hours 22 minutes before
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The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Weather, Eastern Walsh

When
December 4, 6:15 AM CST to 7:35 AM CST
Where
Eastern Walsh forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
48.370, -97.721 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow Squall. KGAF sensor went from 22G30 5SM HZ at 1315Z to 36G44 -1/4SM +SN at 1335Z and 4 degree T/Td drop in that time with corresponding radar signature.

Winter Weather, Grand Forks

When
December 4, 7:10 AM CST to 8:10 AM CST
Where
Grand Forks forecast zone
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
47.922, -97.457 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow Squall reported by off-duty NWS Employee.

Winter Weather, Grand Forks

When
December 4, 7:10 AM CST to 8:10 AM CST
Where
Grand Forks forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
47.922, -97.457 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow Squall. KGFK sensor went from 22G29 4SM -SN at 1405Z to 28G36 1/4SM +SN at 1410Z with corresponding radar signature.

Winter Weather, Grand Forks

When
December 4, 7:15 AM CST to 8:15 AM CST
Where
Grand Forks forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
47.922, -97.457 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow Squall.

Winter Weather, Traill

When
December 4, 7:45 AM CST to 8:45 AM CST
Where
Traill forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
47.454, -97.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow Squall reported by the public.

Winter Weather, Cass

When
December 4, 9:00 AM CST to 10:07 AM CST
Where
Cass forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
46.933, -97.248 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow Squall. KFAR sensor went from 32G39 3/4SM -SN at 1605Z to 33G48 1/4SM +SN at 1607Z with corresponding radar signature.

Winter Weather, Cass

When
December 4, 9:18 AM CST to 10:18 AM CST
Where
Cass forecast zone
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
46.933, -97.248 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow Squall reported by broadcast media in the Fargo area.

What these are

Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Dakota in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in North Dakota, December 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1223694, 1223686, 1223695, 1223696, 1223697, 1223698, 1223687.