North Carolina, 2024

Tornadoes and Coastal Flood in North Carolina, January 9 to 10, 2024

January 9 to 10, 2024 · NWS MHX · 52 events in 18 counties and zones

Late on the evening of January 9, 2024, a strong cold front moved east across the Carolinas, and was accompanied by a line of severe thunderstorms. A period of strong southerly winds (not associated with thunderstorms) developed ahead of the cold front, followed by widespread strong to damaging winds associated with the line of thunderstorms.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 10 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
52

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MHX wrote it up.

Late on the evening of January 9, 2024, a strong cold front moved east across the Carolinas, and was accompanied by a line of severe thunderstorms. A period of strong southerly winds (not associated with thunderstorms) developed ahead of the cold front, followed by widespread strong to damaging winds associated with the line of thunderstorms. These thunderstorms produced wind gusts as high as 100 mph, caused tree and structure damage, and spawned multiple tornadoes. Since 1950, only one other time in Eastern North Carolina history has a storm system produced 3, or more, tornadoes in one event during the winter months (Dec, Jan, Feb). The last time was February 18, 2008. The strong onshore winds also led to coastal flooding, especially across the Outer Banks from Ocracoke north. In all, over 60 reports of severe weather or coastal flooding were received, and over 20 Severe Thunderstorm and several Tornado Warnings were issued. This event will go down as one of the more notable winter season severe weather events for Eastern North Carolina.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 9, 1:16 PM EST, 3 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 1:16 PM EST, 3 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
116 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A powerful low pressure system will move up the Eastern
Seaboard today and bring a very strong cold front through
Eastern NC as well as a bevy of impacts. Behind this system high
pressure will build back into the area through Thursday.
Another strong low pressure system will then affect the region
Friday and into this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 1245 PM Tuesday...

A 996mb surface low was analyzed over the upstate of SC, with a
synoptic warm front extending northeast into central NC, then on
east along the VA/NC state line. An effective warm front (separating
mid to upper 60s dewpoints from 50s dewpoints) stretches from
central GA northeast to near Columbia, SC, and then on east into
coastal SC. A QLCS stretches from Charlotte, NC south through
southern GA. Reports of wind damage have come in all along the line
from SC to Florida thus far today, including some measured 70-90 mph
wind gusts. Over ENC, increasing WAA has led to the development of
widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially along/west
of HWY 17. Some of these showers are mixing down some higher gusts.
To the south of ENC, recent regional radar imagery shows scattered
showers/shallow convection attempting to develop off the coast of
SC. No lightning has been noted with these yet, but they are
developing well within the effective warm sector, and the evolution
of these will be closely monitored through the afternoon as they
work up the coast.

In the near-term, then, ENC still looks to stay stable, with the
main focus being the increasing gradient winds and occasionally
stronger gusts associated with the heavier showers. With time,
though, the effective warm front is forecast to continue to lift
north, reaching SW ENC by late this afternoon. Some thinning of the
clouds noted on satellite beneath the widespread cirrus, plus
dewpoints rising into the low-mid 60s should support an area of
MLCAPE as high as 500j/kg developing along and south of the
advancing warm front. I still expect the greatest tornado threat to
be focused along/south of that boundary, as that is where the
greatest risk of SFC-based convection will reside. The low-level
shear/helicity with this system cannot be stressed enough, as on the
worst-case scenario, it opens the door to a risk of more significant
severe weather (70+ mph wind gusts and possibly even a strong
tornado). However, it also cannot be stressed enough how important
the mesoscale features mentioned above are to the severe weather
risk. Stay tuned for updates on this potential. Otherwise, given
such strong winds aloft, even shallow convection should be able to
mix down some 50-70 mph gusts at times, and this risk generally
applies to much of ENC, but especially the western 2/3rds of our
area.

Regarding gradient winds, we continue to slowly warm, with deepening
mixing supporting 30-50 mph, non-convective gusts. These gusts will
continue to increase, as will the risk of wind damage.

SPECIFIC HAZARD INFORMATION

1) Winds
- Peak Impact Period: this afternoon to around midnight

High winds will be the most significant hazard to the area, due
to the strength of the deepening surface low and its associated
low level jet (LLJ). The winds within the LLJ are forecast to
be unusually strong for this time of year, and possibly exceed
the observational records for winter in this part of the
country. Surface winds will steadily ramp up through the day,
and occasionally tap into the strong winds just above the
surface when mixing is enhanced by showers, thunderstorms, or
any breaks of sun. The areas most likely to see the strongest
winds are along and just inland of the coast (generally east of
HWY 17) and High Wind Warnings have been issued here. In these
areas, wind gusts could reach 60-70 mph. Of greatest concern are
areas across the Outer Banks and Downeast Carteret, where near
Hurricane Force wind gusts of 70-80 mph are possible this
evening as the LLJ reaches maximum strength. Further inland,
frequent gusts of 45-55 mph are expected, and a Wind Advisory is
in effect there. These winds will lead to an increased risk of
coastal flooding and ocean overwash concerns, see the
TIDES/COASTAL FLOOD section for details.

2) Severe Thunderstorms
- Peak Impact Period: this afternoon to around midnight

Steady low-level moistening will occur across the area as the warm
front lifts north through the area this morning, with dewpoints
rising through the 50s and eventually low 60s by this afternoon.
Guidance continues to indicate a plume of modest instability
(250-750 J/kg MLCAPE) will nose into ENC late this afternoon.
This will support a narrow, but strongly-forced QLCS or squall
line that will race east across the Carolinas late this
afternoon through the evening hours with an enhanced risk of
transporting those strong LLJ winds to the surface. One
potential limiting factor is that there will be a narrow warm
nose aloft above a coolish boundary layer. While not overly
strong, this will setup an inversion that may prevent those
strongest LLJ winds from mixing down. It should be noted that
where the warm nose can be overcome, the potential exists for
peak convective gusts to exceed 70 and potentially 80 mph.

The damaging wind potential is by far the greatest risk with
this event. However, it should be noted that there is also a
conditional tornado risk given the exceptionally strong
kinematic fields. 0-3km shear vectors oriented with some angle
to the advancing QLCS will be supportive of QLCS-type tornado
spinups/embedded vortices. This is especially true where
sufficient low-level instability can be realized. Additionally,
there is a risk for some pre-QLCS discrete storms to develop
within the strong WAA regime. Any discrete storm that develops
would be capable of a more substantial tornado risk, given the
anomalously strong shear and helicity in place. This risk
continues to be highly conditional on sufficient instability
being realized.

3) Heavy Rainfall
- Impact Period: this afternoon to around midnight

Latest forecast trends show little to no rainfall for the region
until this afternoon, and as a result rainfall totals have
decreased to 1" to 1.5" with only isolated totals above 2".
That being said the rain that does fall will do so very quickly
and heavy rain rates may briefly overwhelm local drainage and
lead to some minor flooding of low lying areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
As of 7 AM Tues...Extreme winds and a heavy convective line
will be over the Outer Banks this evening, and exit around
midnight. Behind this line winds will remain strong (35-40 mph)
as lapse rates become steep behind the cold front. There may be
enough mixing for winds to gust to wind advisory criteria, but
there is not enough confidence at this time to extend any
headlines, mostly due to the peak nocturnal timing. Temperatures
will drop dramatically behind the front, and likely reach the
low 40s to upper 30s by sunrise.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 420 AM Tue...

Dry high pressure builds in from the south Wednesday and Thursday
with near normal conditions expected, although breezy southwesterly
winds will hold on into Wednesday behind the departing low.
Attention then turns to yet another strong low pressure system,
expected develop across the Deep South Friday and lift northward
bringing a strong cold front through Eastern NC early Saturday
morning - almost a carbon copy track of today's system. Guidance
points to this system being relatively weaker, although it will
still bring a renewed risk of strong winds and minor to moderate
coastal flooding, heavy rain, and a low-end risk of severe
thunderstorms. Given increased confidence with better agreement
amongst ensemble members, raised PoPs to categorical for the
period.

Behind this system colder but drier conditions will move in for the
rest of the weekend and into early next week. Spread among guidance
is considerable, but there is at least some potential for a return
of unsettled conditions at the beginning of the work week followed
by the intrusion of an Arctic airmass.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /Through Wednesday Morning/...
As of 1 PM Tues...Sites have been bouncing between VFR and MVFR
over the past couple of hours as clouds continue to lower and
showers increase in coverage.

Scattered showers will continue for the next few hours, which
will allow sites to continue their current pattern of bouncing
between VFR and MVFR. As we get into the late afternoon, rain
will become more widespread and the severe threat will increase.
Then, a strong convective line will push from west to east
across ENC after dark. Storms are expected to be strong to
severe and a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

Strong winds will continue through the period with gusts of
40-50 kts possible over the coastal plain and 50-60 kts across
the coast by late this afternoon. In addition to this, 60-80 kts
of LLWS is possible (strongest near the coast), which will
create dangerous runway conditions.

Conditions will quickly improve behind the front late
tonight/early tomorrow morning.

LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/...

As of 430 AM Tue...Strong cold front will push offshore after
midnight Wed with VFR conditions returning, however SW to W winds
will continue to gust around 25-30 kt through Wed morning, then
gradually diminish during the afternoon. High pressure builds in
Thursday with pred VFR conditions expected. Another strong low
pressure system will impact the region Friday into Saturday with a
return of strong gusty winds, although likely not as strong as
today.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /Through tonight/...
As of 1100 AM Tuesday...

The forecast is on track for the most part across area waters,
but there are a couple of important observations as the event is
now underway.

1) Over the warmer waters south of Cape Hatteras, wind gusts
are already exceeding our forecast, but only by about 5kt or so.
Given this trend, I increased winds a couple of knots through
this evening. This increase now gives a few hours of occasional
gusts to hurricane force. For now, we'll keep the Storm Warning
headlines as is, and continue to message a few gusts to 64kt+.
We'll closely monitor trends in case this changes.

2) With the higher winds mentioned above, seas are building
faster than forecast, and adjustments have been made to match
the recent buoy trends. At the peak, this still gives the
potential for 20-25ft seas from Cape Hatteras south.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Extremely dangerous and perilous marine
conditions will develop later today ahead of a powerful low
pressure system. Storm Warning conditions (48+ kts) are expected
across all coastal waters and inland sounds/rivers for a period
of time this afternoon through early tonight. Additionally,
brief Hurricane Force wind gusts (65+ kts) are likely across the
coastal waters and Pamlico Sound this evening ahead of a strong
convective line which could have additional extreme wind gusts
and/or waterspouts. Seas will build through the day, and peak at
15-25 ft.

Behind the front early tonight, conditions will being to
improve, but increased mixing will lead to Storm conditions
continuing south of Cape Hatteras to around daybreak, while
conditions improve to Gale Force elsewhere.

LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/...

As of 430 AM Tue...Storm force winds will quickly give way to Gales
Wednesday morning as the front departs, then falling off quickly Wed
afternoon and evening while seas greater than 6 ft linger into Thu
morning. High pressure brings better boating conditions Thu
afternoon into Fri morning but conditions will quickly deteriorate
Friday afternoon into early Saturday as another strong frontal
system impacts the waters. Although this storm system will not be as
strong as today's, Gales appear highly probable especially over
coastal waters and adjacent sounds.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 500 AM Tues...Forecast rainfall amounts have continued to
trend down with only 1-1.5" expected, though some isolated
higher amounts of around 2" are possible. While widespread
flooding is not expected at this time, the potential exists for
a few instances of flash flooding, given the expected high rain
rates and anomalous moisture. Rivers will eventually respond to
the rain as well, but ensemble guidance suggests these rises
may hold off until later this week as water upstream works
towards the coast.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 435 AM Tue...Very strong southerly winds will develop ahead of
a powerful cold front today into tomorrow. Large southerly swell and
storm force winds are currently forecast, with the potential for
minor to locally significant coastal impacts, both oceanside and
soundside.

No changes were made to headlines this morning. Coastal Flood
Warning (inundation 2-4 ft AGL) remains for Beaufort, Mainland Hyde
and Dare counties, along with the Outer Banks given the potential
for sound/tidal river and oceanside flooding.

-Oceanside impacts include the potential for moderate to  locally
significant ocean overwash (where dune structures are  vulnerable),
along the entire coast given the wave runup setup.
 Areas of highest concern - beaches from Oregon Inlet down to
Ocracoke, as well as North Topsail Beach. This could impact portions
of Highway 12, especially during times of high tide, rendering it
impassable at times.

-Moderate coastal flooding is expected across soundside Outer Banks,
as well as areas adjacent to the northwestern Pamlico Sound
including the Pamlico and Pungo Rivers. Though winds will be quite
intense Tuesday, a continuous slight veering of the winds through
the day will keep any one area from seeing significantly high water
levels. As winds veer southwest and then west tonight into tomorrow
morning, rapid water rises are likely for soundside locales north of
Buxton.

Elsewhere, minor coastal flooding is expected along the Crystal
Coast as well as up the Neuse/Bay Rivers, with 1 to 2 feet of
inundation possible.

Beyond today, another strong storm system on Friday and Saturday
will bring a renewed coastal flooding threat for many of the same
areas. Winds are forecast to be weaker than today's system, but at
least minor to moderate impacts are possible.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ029-044-079-090-
     091-193.
     High Wind Warning until 11 PM EST this evening for NCZ045-046-
     080-092-094-194-198.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 4 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ047-080-
     081.
     High Wind Warning until 1 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ047-081-195-
     196-199-203>205.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EST tonight for NCZ094-
     194>196-199.
     High Surf Advisory until 7 PM EST Wednesday for NCZ195-199.
     High Surf Advisory until midnight EST Wednesday night for
     NCZ196-204-205.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 3 PM EST Wednesday for NCZ203>205.
     High Surf Advisory until 11 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ203.
MARINE...Storm Warning until 1 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ131-230.
     Storm Warning until 1 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ135-231.
     Storm Warning until 11 PM EST this evening for AMZ136-137.
     Storm Warning until 3 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ150-152.
     Storm Warning until 8 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ154-156-158.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...RM/SGK
SHORT TERM...SGK
LONG TERM...MS
AVIATION...MS/OJC
MARINE...RM/SGK/MS
HYDROLOGY...MHX
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 4:21 PM EST, 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

NCZ029-044-102130-
Martin-Pitt-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ079-090-091-193-102130-
Greene-Duplin-Lenoir-Northern Craven-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ204-205-102130-
Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-102130-
Northern Outer Banks-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ080-102130-
Beaufort-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ047-081-102130-
Mainland Dare-Mainland Hyde-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ094-194-102130-
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.
   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ092-198-102130-
Jones-Inland Onslow-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-102130-
East Carteret-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-199-102130-
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ045-046-102130-
Washington-Tyrrell-
421 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 150 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:22 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

39 thunderstorm wind, 7 high wind, 3 coastal flood, 3 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Hatteras Island

When
January 9, 4:25 PM EST to 10:30 PM EST
Where
Hatteras Island forecast zone
Measured
44 kt (51 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
35.787, -75.781 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The sustained winds were measured at the Avon Weatherflow for most of the late afternoon into the evening hours, culminating with a peak sustained wind at 9:42 PM, and a peak gust at 10:21 PM of 54 knots.

High Wind, Ocracoke Island

When
January 9, 4:35 PM EST to 9:41 PM EST
Where
Ocracoke Island forecast zone
Measured
66 kt (76 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
35.410, -76.148 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High sustained winds lasted from late afternoon into the evening hours, culminating with a peak gust at 9:41 PM. The winds were measured at the Ocracoke Weatherflow.

Thunderstorm Wind, Onslow

When
January 9, 5:25 PM EST
Where
Onslow County, 2.07 mi S of Peru
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
34.520, -77.370

Jones Onslow Electric Cooperative reported trees down on powerlines. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Onslow

When
January 9, 5:33 PM EST
Where
Onslow County, 1.49 mi NNW of (Nca)mcas New River
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.720, -77.430

MCAS New River Air Station Emergency Manager reported a tree on powerlines along Flounder Rd. The time was based on radar.

High Wind, Southern Craven

When
January 9, 5:33 PM EST
Where
Southern Craven forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.117, -77.083 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

NKT at MCAS Cherry Point measured the wind gust.

Thunderstorm Wind, Onslow

When
January 9, 5:35 PM EST
Where
Onslow County, Verona
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
34.670, -77.470

Jones Onslow Electric Cooperative reported trees on powerlines in Verona. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Onslow

When
January 9, 6:05 PM EST
Where
Onslow County, 0.69 mi N of Bear Creek
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
34.680, -77.180

A tree was blown down.

Thunderstorm Wind, Carteret

When
January 9, 6:12 PM EST
Where
Carteret County, 0.69 mi S of Bogue
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
34.690, -77.030

Marine Corp Air Station Bogue Field (NJM) recorded the thunderstorm wind gust.

High Wind, Northern Craven

When
January 9, 6:28 PM EST to 8:32 PM EST
Where
Northern Craven forecast zone
Measured
67 kt (77 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.117, -77.083 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The peak gust was measured at New Bern Airport, though gusts above 50 knots were common around New Bern were common for several hours.

Thunderstorm Wind, Beaufort

When
January 9, 6:40 PM EST
Where
Beaufort County, 1.13 mi W of Idalia
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.280, -76.820

Tideland Electric Cooperative reported three broken power poles on West Rd, just SW of Aurora.

Thunderstorm Wind, Duplin

When
January 9, 7:05 PM EST
Where
Duplin County, 1.83 mi WSW of Outlaw
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
35.140, -77.900

Multiple trees were blown down across the road. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Duplin

When
January 9, 7:15 PM EST
Where
Duplin County, Jackson Store
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.880, -77.770

A roof was partially blown off. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Duplin

When
January 9, 7:30 PM EST
Where
Duplin County, 3.41 mi W of Teacheys
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.770, -78.080

A trampoline was blown into powerlines. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Jones

When
January 9, 7:30 PM EST
Where
Jones County, 1.38 mi N of Maysville
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.920, -77.230

Trees were blown down in Maysville. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Jones

When
January 9, 7:30 PM EST
Where
Jones County, 0.69 mi N of Pollocksville
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
35.010, -77.230

Trees were blown down in Pollocksville. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Duplin

When
January 9, 7:35 PM EST
Where
Duplin County, 0.89 mi NW of Wallace
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.740, -78.010

Trees were blown down on an apartment, with a partial roof collapse. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Onslow

When
January 9, 7:37 PM EST
Where
Onslow County, 1.33 mi WNW of (Nca)mcas New River
Measured
68 kt (78 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
34.710, -77.440

The gust was recorded at KNCA.

Thunderstorm Wind, Craven

When
January 9, 7:44 PM EST
Where
Craven County, 0.57 mi W of James City
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.100, -77.040

The city of New Bern reported a broken metal traffic light at the corner of Craven and S. Front Streets in downtown New Bern.

Thunderstorm Wind, Craven

When
January 9, 7:45 PM EST
Where
Craven County, 1.79 mi SE of Washington Forks
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.130, -77.100

Trees and powerlines were down throughout Craven County, including New Bern, Cove City and Bridgeton.

Thunderstorm Wind, Beaufort

When
January 9, 7:50 PM EST
Where
Beaufort County, 2.36 mi SSE of Mc Connell
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.440, -77.000

Tideland EMC reported trees blown down on powerlines on Ephesus Church Rd. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Craven

When
January 9, 7:50 PM EST
Where
Craven County, 2.91 mi ESE of Bridgeton
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.120, -76.970

Tideland EMC reported large limbs on powerlines along Broad Creek Rd. in Fairfield Harbor.

Thunderstorm Wind, Craven

When
January 9, 7:55 PM EST
Where
Craven County, 0.56 mi E of Dover
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
35.220, -77.440

Damage to a gas station occurred in Dover along HWY 70. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Onslow

When
January 9, 8:05 PM EST
Where
Onslow County, 2.15 mi SSW of Peru
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.520, -77.380

A public weather station reported the wind gust.

Thunderstorm Wind, Craven

When
January 9, 8:16 PM EST
Where
Craven County, 0.89 mi NW of Granthams
Measured
67 kt (77 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.080, -77.030

The gust was recorded at KEWN.

Thunderstorm Wind, Craven

When
January 9, 8:20 PM EST
Where
Craven County, 1.32 mi ENE of Askin
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.230, -77.050

Damage to a barn occurred and several large trees were blown down off of Aurora Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Washington

When
January 9, 8:30 PM EST
Where
Washington County, 2.07 mi N of Plymouth Muni Arpt
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.830, -76.750

Tideland EMC reported trees blown down on powerlines on Ephesus Church Rd. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pamlico

When
January 9, 8:35 PM EST
Where
Pamlico County, 2.36 mi NNE of Kennel Beach
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.060, -76.880

Tideland EMC reported trees blown down on powerlines in the Beard Creek area. The time was based on radar.

High Wind, East Carteret

When
January 9, 8:36 PM EST to 9:05 PM EST
Where
East Carteret forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
34.864, -76.532 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Several gusts above 50 knots occurred at the Beaufort ASOS.

Thunderstorm Wind, Carteret

When
January 9, 8:40 PM EST
Where
Carteret County, 1.33 mi WNW of Salter Path
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
34.690, -76.890

Carteret Craven Electric Cooperative reported trees blown down on powerlines at Paradise Bay Mobile Home Park in Indian Beach.

Thunderstorm Wind, Carteret

When
January 9, 8:44 PM EST
Where
Carteret County, 0.69 mi N of Beaufort
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
34.730, -76.650

The gust was recorded at KMRH.

Thunderstorm Wind, Beaufort

When
January 9, 8:45 PM EST
Where
Beaufort County, 0.56 mi E of Bath
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.480, -76.810

Tideland Electric Cooperative reported a tree blown down on powerlines in the Everett community of Bath. The time was based on radar.

High Wind, West Carteret

When
January 9, 8:45 PM EST to 9:05 PM EST
Where
West Carteret forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
34.864, -76.532 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The high winds were measured at Fort Macon Weatherflow.

Thunderstorm Wind, Craven

When
January 9, 8:53 PM EST
Where
Craven County, 3.57 mi NE of Craven Corner
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
34.910, -76.710

Carteret Craven Electric Cooperative reported trees blown down on powerlines along Adams Creek Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Carteret

When
January 9, 9:10 PM EST
Where
Carteret County, 0.57 mi W of Harkers Is
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
34.700, -76.560

Damage occurred throughout Harkers Island and other towns in Downeast Carteret county.

Thunderstorm Wind, Hyde

When
January 9, 9:10 PM EST
Where
Hyde County, 4.45 mi NW of Ponzer
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.650, -76.550

Tideland EMC reported large limbs on powerlines along HWY 94 near Carter Canal. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Carteret

When
January 9, 9:10 PM EST
Where
Carteret County, 1.7 mi W of Harkers Is
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.700, -76.580

A personal weather station reported the wind gust. Also, a report of a window blown out of a home on Harkers Island was received.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tyrrell

When
January 9, 9:22 PM EST
Where
Tyrrell County, 2.82 mi NNE of Columbia
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
35.960, -76.240

A roof was torn off an equipment shelter. The time was based on radar.

High Wind, Northern Outer Banks

When
January 9, 9:28 PM EST
Where
Northern Outer Banks forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
35.787, -75.781 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The gust was measured at the Oregon Inlet Weatherflow.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tyrrell

When
January 9, 9:33 PM EST
Where
Tyrrell County, Gum Neck
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
35.720, -76.150

A snapped power pole was reported in Gum Neck. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Hyde

When
January 9, 9:35 PM EST
Where
Hyde County, 2.76 mi N of Fairfield
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.570, -76.230

Tideland EMC reported limbs on powerlines along HWY 94 near Carter Canal. The time was based on radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dare

When
January 9, 10:00 PM EST
Where
Dare County, 0.69 mi N of (Hat)cape Hatteras
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.210, -75.700

A personal weather station in Hatteras Village reported the wind gust.

Coastal Flood, Northern Outer Banks

When
January 9, 10:00 PM EST to January 10, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Northern Outer Banks forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.787, -75.781 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Dare County Sheriffs Office reported water coming across the roads near Billy's Seafood in Colington.

Coastal Flood, Hatteras Island

When
January 9, 10:00 PM EST to January 10, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Hatteras Island forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
35.787, -75.781 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

NC DOT reported secondary roads in and around Rodanthe received minor ocean |overwash. Public shared photos of water covering Highway 12. The DOT also reported that Highway 12 had a layer of deep sand blown on the road along with standing water at Pea Island.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dare

When
January 9, 10:05 PM EST
Where
Dare County, 1.82 mi WNW of Stumpy Pt
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
35.710, -75.760

Damage occurred on Bayview Drive in Stumpy Point.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dare

When
January 9, 10:21 PM EST
Where
Dare County, 1.13 mi E of Avon
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
35.350, -75.500

A WxFlow station at Avon Pier reported the thunderstorm wind gust.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dare

When
January 9, 10:24 PM EST
Where
Dare County, 5.27 mi ESE of Wanchese
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
35.790, -75.550

National Ocean Service tide gauge (ORIN7) reported the thunderstorm wind gust.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dare

When
January 9, 10:30 PM EST
Where
Dare County, 1.31 mi ESE of Kill Devil Hills
Measured
58 kt (67 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.990, -75.650

A public weather station recorded the thunderstorm wind gust.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dare

When
January 9, 10:33 PM EST
Where
Dare County, 0.56 mi E of Waves
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.570, -75.470

Waves WxFlow station reported the wind gust.

Coastal Flood, Ocracoke Island

When
January 9, 11:00 PM EST to January 10, 1:00 PM EST
Where
Ocracoke Island forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
35.410, -76.148 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The NC DOT reported Highway 12 was closed on Ocracoke Island between the Pony Pens and the Ferry Terminal.

Tornado, Craven

When
January 10, 8:03 PM EST to 8:11 PM EST
Where
Craven County, 1.83 mi SSE of Askin to 1.41 mi WSW of Caton
Rating
EF1
Path length
5.02 mi
Path width
125 yd
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
35.196, -77.056

A tornado touched down along Highway 17 near Ernul, near the intersection|of Gaskins Road. A narrow path of damage consisting of one large pine tree snapped|about 40 feet high, and another uprooted, was found near the train tracks.|The damage path continued northeast and produced some minor damage to an outbuilding with some minor shingle loss. Aged shingles likely led to some of the damage but at this location there was clear evidence of some damage blown back toward the southwest or opposite of the storm motion. Farther north along Highway 17, just north of the intersection of Askin Brick Road, two more pine trees were snapped and fell across the power lines. Some of this western edge of the path may have been |inflow, into the storm, as the actual path width was very narrow.

A sporadic damage path continued northeast across Aurora Road, where more|pine trees were snapped, 10 to 40 feet up from the base. Some minor damage|occured to a house where a handful of shingles were removed. Some metal from|a roof was also peeled off a farm outbuilding, where it had been previously|attached to an asphalt shingle roof. From the start near Highway 17, through Aurora|Road, this sporadic path produced estimated winds between 60 and 80 MPH or|consistent with EF0 damage.

The sporadic path continued northeast to Hill Neck Road, where the most|impressive damage occurred. Multiple trees were snapped, with two large,|healthy pine trees, at least 27 in diameter snapped near the base or up|to 15 feet off the ground. Here we estimated wind speeds near 90 MPH or consistent|with low end EF1 damage. The path continued northeast across the road into a field|where more trees were snapped. The end point was estimated because of limited|access in the forest.

Tornado, Carteret

When
January 10, 9:05 PM EST to 9:10 PM EST
Where
Carteret County, 0.7 mi SW of Harkers Is to 0.47 mi SW of Harkers Is
Rating
EF1
Path length
0.23 mi
Path width
75 yd
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
34.693, -76.559

The tornado started near South Ferry Dock Road and likely came onshore|as a waterspout off Back Sound. The path continued northeast|to near and just east of Sam East Lane, where a house had major |damage to the roof, with substantial loss of shingles. In addition|two windows were blown out, and a wall was blown out on the north side|of the home. While the damage path was to the northeast, flashing and|insulation could be found on the north side of the home, blown back|toward the south, the first indication of rotation along the path.

The damage path continued across Island Road where a carport|and other roof structure was found, having been blown across the road.|A power pole was snapped, with a transmission line down. Damage at this|house consisted of a large 2 x 4 being blown through an exterior wall|and window damage. Again the damage path was to the north, but pieces|of plywood were found on the north side of the home, blown toward the |south, confirming continued rotation.

The damage path continued toward Nelson Street before ending.|The tornado likely begin to weaken or lift up at this point with |damage becoming more sporadic and less, and consisted of a large metal|outdoor storage shed being lofted across the block. Debris was found|on the back porch of a second floor house, on the north side of the home,|which confirmed rotation.

The strongest winds were estimated to be around 100 MPH, where a major|part of the roof was lost, to just across Island Road where the carport|and roof structure was blown to. This is consistent with low end EF1 damage.

Tornado, Carteret

When
January 10, 9:05 PM EST to 9:10 PM EST
Where
Carteret County, 1.65 mi W of Harkers Is to 1.53 mi W of Harkers Is
Rating
EF0
Path length
0.14 mi
Path width
60 yd
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
34.698, -76.579

An EF0 tornado touched down near Soundview Lane, and likely came onshore|as a waterspout off Back Sound. The tornado traveled quickly northeast,|and lifted some shingles off multiple houses, and a storage shed. Part of |a roof of a shed was blown about 50 feet away.

A large live oak tree, estimated by witnesses to be around 100 years old,|was uprooted just before the path crossed Island Road. Near the location of the|tree, the skirting of a mobile home was blown back toward the south,|an indication of rotation given this was opposite of the storm motion and|damage path.

The path continued across Island Road and produced extensive tree damage. In|addition, a house lost a major section of roofing. The tornado lifted quickly|with no more damage found farther beyond the houses right along Island Road.|From the location of the uprooted tree, to just across Island Road, winds were|estimated to be around 85 MPH or a high end EF0 tornado.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Coastal Flood
Flooding of coastal land by the sea, from storm surge, onshore wind or high tides.
Tornado
A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for North Carolina, 2024Warnings in North Carolina, January 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1161175, 1161176, 1159231, 1159232, 1161170, 1159234, 1159235, 1159278, 1161173, 1159239, 1159241, 1159242, 1159243, 1159244, 1159245, 1159246, 1159279, 1159247, 1159248, 1159250, 1159251, 1159252, 1159286, 1159280, 1159253, 1159254, 1159255, 1161171, 1159257, 1159281, 1159258, 1161172, 1159260, 1159262, 1159264, 1159282, 1159265, 1161174, 1159266, 1159269, and more.