New Mexico, 2024High Wind in New Mexico, January 17 to 18, 2024
January 17 to 18, 2024 · NWS ABQ · 5 events in 4 counties and zones
Strong westerly flow over northern and central NM at the southern edge of an upper level disturbance was observed on January 17th. Some of these high winds aloft crashed to the surface east of the central mountain chain producing sporadic high wind gusts at several locations during the morning hours.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 5
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Strong westerly flow over northern and central NM at the southern edge of an upper level disturbance was observed on January 17th. Some of these high winds aloft crashed to the surface east of the central mountain chain producing sporadic high wind gusts at several locations during the morning hours. Westerly winds turned northwesterly on January 18th with high wind observations becoming isolated to western Guadalupe County during the morning hours. There were no reports of damage or injuries.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 17, 4:50 AM MST, 6 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 17, 4:50 AM MST, 6 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
450 AM MST Wed Jan 17 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 304 AM MST Wed Jan 17 2024
West to northwest winds will strengthen over the central mountain
chain and nearby highlands through Thursday. The strongest winds
are expected today and tonight with gusts of 40 to 55 mph. Some
blowing snow is likely in the high terrain. Difficult travel may
also occur for high-profile vehicles. The next cold front will
move into eastern NM Thursday night on gusty northeast winds. Wind
chills may fall to near zero again Friday morning over eastern
NM. Saturday will be a transition day with increasing clouds and
southerly winds. Rain and snow showers may then spread east into
western NM Sunday. A more active storm track is expected through
next week with daily bouts of rain and snow for parts of the area.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 304 AM MST Wed Jan 17 2024
Key Messages:
-Strong, gusty winds today across the Central Mountain Chain,
Eastern Slopes, and portions of the Eastern Plains.
-Warmup continues today and Thursday prior to next Arctic airmass
invading the Eastern Plains (see Long Term Discussion).
A weak wave, embedded within larger, relatively fast quasi-zonal
flow aloft, is progged to move over the northern part of the CWA
later this afternoon and into this evening. This "ripple" appears
to be associated with the southern extent of a shortwave that can
currently be seen on water-vapor satellite imagery diving into the
Great Basin from the Pacific Northwest. Although dynamic forcing is
not expected to be strong with this wave, it does tighten the
height/pressure gradient substantially across the central mountain
chain and adjacent east slope areas, with models indicating westerly
winds of 40-50 knots at 700mb through the day and into the evening.
Considering this, have maintained the inherited Wind Advisory, plus
added the Quay and Eastern San Miguel County zones from 11 AM to 7
PM MST today. A few gusts approaching High Wind Warning criteria
(58+ mph) cannot be ruled out in the eastern slopes of the Sangre de
Cristo mountains and NE/Central Highlands, with NBM guidance
suggesting that the first of these would be favored. However, NBM
wind guidance has been running too high lately, and any potentially
damaging gusts would be dependent on mountain wave activity. Short
story is that confidence was not high enough to issue any High Wind
Warnings at this time.
Otherwise, moisture being pulled up ahead of the aforementioned wave
will bring isolated to scattered rain/snow showers to mainly the NW
quadrant of New Mexico from this afternoon into the early evening.
Due to the fast-moving nature of the wave, along with dynamics
mostly lacking, QPF amounts are paltry, with a max of around 0.2
inches in the Chuska mountains, which could lead to a dusting up to
around an inch of snow on the higher peaks. The other story today
will be the continued warm-up, especially over the eastern plains
where downsloping westerly winds will contribute to a 25-30 degree F
jump in afternoon max temps vs. yesterday. Clayton, which has been
in the icebox lately, should reach the lower 50s.
Precipitation associated with the wave quickly ends this evening. A
relatively warm night for mid-January is in store, with overnight
lows 5-15 degrees above climo. These will be aided somewhat by a
follow-up weak vort max (most pronounced in the NAM) cutting across
NM from NW to SE overnight. This should also keep the winds up at
advisory levels in the central mountains/adjacent highlands well
into the evening. Did not adjust current ending time of Wind
Advisory (midnight MST Thu), as at some point there should be a
lull, before winds increase again Thursday morning, so will let next
shift evaluate further. Warming trend continues into Thursday,
especially south of I-40. Roswell may hit 70F. Next Arctic blast
should be moving into extreme NE NM by early Thursday evening; more
on that below.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 304 AM MST Wed Jan 17 2024
The next surge of modified arctic air will enter eastern NM Thursday
night as a potent 1050mb surface high builds south down the Front
Range. An intense pressure gradient along the leading edge of this
airmass will give way to a period of strong northeast winds across
eastern NM. Gusts up to 45 mph are possible for an hour or two while
the front surges southward. This modified arctic airmass is deeper
than the one earlier this week with even higher surface pressure so
there is a very high chance it will squeeze thru gaps in the central
mt chain before sunrise Friday. Light to perhaps moderate gap winds
are expected. Temps across eastern NM Friday were lowered closer to
the NBM 25th percentile. Min temps Friday night will stay cold over
eastern NM as a 1047mb surface high center only drifts south thru
the Great Plains.
Southerly winds will finally increase Saturday as the surface high
moves farther east and upper level flow backs to the southwest over
NM. Thick high clouds are likely to spread over NM with very limited
sunshine.
A more active pattern is expected to begin by Sunday as a series
of moist storm systems move east from the Pacific. Valley rain
showers and mountain snow will be possible first across western NM
Sunday followed by potentially widespread rain and snow on Sunday
night and/or Monday. Snow levels are currently forecast to hover
near 7,000' with this first bout of precip.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 443 AM MST Wed Jan 17 2024
Mainly VFR is expected to prevail at the terminals for the next 24
hours; however, strong and gusty westerly winds will be felt along
and to the east of the central mountain chain. In particular,
low-level wind shear is likely to occur in the vicinity of KLVS
this afternoon and into the evening. Otherwise, a weak disturbance
aloft should bring isolated to widely scattered rain/snow showers
to KFMN/KGUP early this afternoon, progressing to KABQ/KAEG/KSAF
later on. Brief MVFR ceilings could occur, but with chances of
precip only 20-25%, not confident enough to include in TAF.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 304 AM MST Wed Jan 17 2024
Still no critical fire weather are expected for the next 7 days.
However, strong and gusty westerly winds are expected on Wednesday
along and just east of the Central Mountain Chain. Relative humidity
values are forecast to fall to around 20% this afternoon in the
southern Fire Weather zones, but the stronger 20-ft. winds will
occur north of those zones. Fuel states are still not very
receptive, with Fire Danger continuing to run Low-Moderate. That
being said, localized elevated fire weather conditions can't be
ruled out across the eastern plains. Breezy to windy conditions
persist Thursday along and east of the Central Mountain Chain,
though RH values trend a bit higher. Wetting precipitation may
return to the northwest half of NM on Sunday, with other
disturbances to follow, but their track is somewhat uncertain at
this time. Mostly Fair to Good ventilation rates today and Thursday
south of I-40, then becoming Poor again thereafter.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 40 23 43 23 / 20 10 0 0
Dulce........................... 42 15 42 15 / 40 10 0 0
Cuba............................ 42 23 41 19 / 20 30 0 0
Gallup.......................... 45 20 48 17 / 20 10 0 0
El Morro........................ 45 23 46 20 / 10 10 0 0
Grants.......................... 49 24 50 19 / 10 5 0 0
Quemado......................... 52 27 50 23 / 5 5 0 0
Magdalena....................... 55 32 54 29 / 0 0 0 0
Datil........................... 52 31 50 27 / 0 0 0 0
Reserve......................... 58 23 61 23 / 0 0 0 0
Glenwood........................ 60 38 63 35 / 0 0 0 0
Chama........................... 39 16 40 13 / 30 20 0 0
Los Alamos...................... 42 27 44 24 / 5 10 0 0
Pecos........................... 43 28 47 19 / 0 5 0 0
Cerro/Questa.................... 42 25 42 18 / 5 5 0 0
Red River....................... 38 18 38 10 / 0 5 0 0
Angel Fire...................... 36 22 37 2 / 0 5 0 0
Taos............................ 39 17 40 13 / 5 5 5 0
Mora............................ 49 26 48 16 / 0 0 0 0
Espanola........................ 48 25 50 22 / 5 5 0 0
Santa Fe........................ 42 27 44 23 / 5 5 0 0
Santa Fe Airport................ 45 25 46 21 / 5 5 0 0
Albuquerque Foothills........... 50 32 52 30 / 10 10 0 0
Albuquerque Heights............. 51 31 54 28 / 10 10 0 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 53 29 57 27 / 10 10 0 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 51 30 54 27 / 10 10 0 0
Belen........................... 56 28 58 24 / 10 5 0 0
Bernalillo...................... 50 31 53 27 / 10 10 0 0
Bosque Farms.................... 54 26 57 24 / 10 10 0 0
Corrales........................ 51 31 54 27 / 10 10 0 0
Los Lunas....................... 55 28 58 24 / 10 10 0 0
Placitas........................ 47 32 48 27 / 10 10 0 0
Rio Rancho...................... 50 31 53 27 / 10 10 0 0
Socorro......................... 60 33 65 31 / 5 5 0 0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 43 31 44 24 / 10 20 0 0
Tijeras......................... 46 31 47 26 / 10 20 0 0
Edgewood........................ 47 29 48 19 / 5 10 0 0
Moriarty/Estancia............... 50 27 51 16 / 5 5 0 0
Clines Corners.................. 45 28 46 17 / 0 0 0 0
Mountainair..................... 50 31 51 21 / 5 10 0 0
Gran Quivira.................... 50 30 52 22 / 0 0 0 0
Carrizozo....................... 55 35 59 29 / 0 0 0 0
Ruidoso......................... 52 37 54 25 / 0 0 0 0
Capulin......................... 46 20 47 9 / 0 0 0 0
Raton........................... 50 18 51 10 / 0 0 0 0
Springer........................ 51 18 51 11 / 0 0 0 0
Las Vegas....................... 50 28 52 17 / 0 0 0 0
Clayton......................... 51 25 51 10 / 0 0 0 0
Roy............................. 53 25 53 14 / 0 0 0 0
Conchas......................... 56 27 59 16 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Rosa...................... 55 34 57 17 / 0 0 0 0
Tucumcari....................... 58 28 58 12 / 0 0 0 0
Clovis.......................... 59 33 63 15 / 0 0 0 0
Portales........................ 59 36 64 13 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Sumner..................... 60 33 62 15 / 0 0 0 0
Roswell......................... 63 34 70 24 / 0 0 0 0
Picacho......................... 64 38 65 22 / 0 0 0 0
Elk............................. 64 37 66 23 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM MST this evening
for NMZ232-234.
Wind Advisory from 8 AM this morning to midnight MST tonight for
NMZ212>215-221-223-229-233.
&&
SHORT TERM...53-Schroeder
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...53
High Wind, Central Highlands
- When
- January 17, 10:53 AM MST to 10:55 AM MST
- Where
- Central Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Clines Corners ASOS measured a peak wind gust of 60 mph.
High Wind, Quay County
- When
- January 17, 1:05 PM MST to 1:07 PM MST
- Where
- Quay County forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.104, -103.550 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Tucumcari ASOS measured a peak wind gust of 60 mph.
High Wind, South Central Mountains
- When
- January 18, 1:05 AM MST to 1:07 AM MST
- Where
- South Central Mountains forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Nogal mesonet station measured a peak gust of 58 mph.
High Wind, Guadalupe County
- When
- January 18, 8:20 AM MST to 8:22 AM MST
- Where
- Guadalupe County forecast zone
- Measured
- 58 kt (67 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.863, -104.791 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The southeast Vaughn mesonet station measured a peak wind gust of 67 mph.
High Wind, Guadalupe County
- When
- January 18, 9:55 AM MST to 10:55 AM MST
- Where
- Guadalupe County forecast zone
- Measured
- 38 kt (44 mph) measured sustained
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.863, -104.791 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The southeast Vaughn mesonet station measured an hour of high sustained winds peaking at 44 mph.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Ice Storm and Heavy Snow in Washington, January 17 to 19, 202414 events
- High Surf in Hawaii, January 17 to 18, 202412 events
- Winter Storm and High Wind in Colorado, January 17 to 19, 202470 kt wind · 11 events
- Winter Storm and High Wind in Wyoming, January 17 to 18, 202465 kt wind · 9 events
- Winter Storm and Avalanche in Idaho, January 17 to 18, 20249 events
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Colorado, January 17 to 18, 20247 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, January 17 to 18, 202466 kt wind · 5 events
- Heavy Snow in Idaho, January 17 to 18, 20243 events
- High Wind in California, January 17, 202465 kt wind · 3 events
- Dense Fog in California, January 17, 20243 events
- High Wind in Texas, January 17 to 18, 202465 kt wind · 3 events
- Heavy Snow in Oregon, January 17 to 18, 20242 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1148189, 1148201, 1148190, 1148200, 1148198.