New Mexico, 2024Damaging Wind in New Mexico, August 17, 2024
August 17, 2024 · NWS ABQ · 1 event in 1 county or zone
An isolated and near stationary thunderstorm developed over Cannon AFB August 17th. This storm produced a downburst severe thunderstorm wind gust over the base.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
An isolated and near stationary thunderstorm developed over Cannon AFB August 17th. This storm produced a downburst severe thunderstorm wind gust over the base.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 17, 12:53 PM MST, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 12:53 PM MST, 2 hours 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
153 PM MDT Sat Aug 17 2024
...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 153 PM MDT Sat Aug 17 2024
The heat will be the main story through most of the week as an
unseasonably strong upper high remains over the state. Daily record
highs will be challenged for many areas through Thursday. Diurnal
shower and storm chances will be limited to the northern and western
mountains through Wednesday. Better monsoon moisture and higher
chances for showers and storms move into western NM Thursday and
western and central NM Friday as the high shifts east into Texas.
Temperatures will gradually cool down as a result, but still be
slight above normal for mid to late August.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 153 PM MDT Sat Aug 17 2024
Another anomalously hot day with near record high temperatures is
underway as a 596dam 500mb high centroid moves from central to
northeast NM. This motion is allowing a Monsoon moisture plume over
AZ to bleed over into wester NM and will result in greater coverage
of showers and storms this afternoon/evening relative to isolated
convection across eastern NM. Today's crop of convection will
bring strong/erratic windy gusts and brief heavy downpours. As a
reminder, a Heat Advisory continues through 8PM for the Chaves
County plains and the middle RGV including Albuquerque. The upper
high centroid is forecast to drift east into the TX Panhandle
Sunday, but overall the atmosphere will be similar to today's. The
Monsoon moisture plume will lean over to the east a tad more and the
associated additional cloud cover will likely shave a degree or two
off of today's high temperatures. Therefore, a Heat Advisory for
Sunday is not anticipated at this time.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 153 PM MDT Sat Aug 17 2024
It's peak green chile roasting season and a unseasonably strong
upper high more typical of late June to early July will be roasting
New Mexico like green chile through most of the forecast period. On
Monday, the high centroid will be over southeast NM at around 598
dam, intensifying to 599 dam and somewhere near Albuquerque on
Tuesday, and then meandering northeast over northeast NM at around
598 dam on Wednesday. Highs will challenge daily records for most
areas. Roswell will be in the low to mid 100s with Albuquerque near
100 and potentially breaching the 100 mark Tuesday and Wednesday.
Mid 90s will be commonplace for lower elevations across western and
northern NM, with temperatures in the low 100s across the middle and
lower RGV and eastern plains. Heat Advisories will be needed for
some zones, including ABQ and Roswell. In terms of shower and storm
chances, mid level subsidence from the high and PWATS around 0.5 to
0.8 inches will do a good job at keeping just isolated shower and
storm activity to the northern and western mountains. A backdoor
front sneaking into far northeast NM Tuesday could provide enough
forcing for some isolated showers and storms up there. Mid 100s
could be possible across most of eastern NM with a forecasted high
of 107 at Roswell Wednesday due to surface winds resulting in some
slight compressional heating and a little more drying.
Come Thursday, the high shifts more into West Texas and Oklahoma in
response to an upper low moving into the Pacific NW. This will allow
the monsoon plume over Arizona early in the week to shift more into
western NM allowing PWATS in this part of the state to increase to
an inch. This will result in a better coverage of showers and storms
and slightly cooler temperatures for western NM. Central and western
NM will still be very hot with 90s to around 100 across the RGV and
low to mid 100s across eastern NM due to some downsloping southwest
winds. However, the ABQ Metro could see some cool relief and gusty
winds from storm outflow come Thursday evening. The monsoon plume
could inch a little more east into more of central NM Friday but
deterministic and ensemble guidance is split on if the upper low
over the Pacific Coast digs south or moves inland into the western
U.S. If the upper low moves inland, that would shift the monsoon
plume more east. If the upper low digs south, the western flank of
the high would move back more into New Mexico, resulting in a
slightly lower coverage of storms for western and central NM.
Temperatures across central and eastern NM will be a degree to two
cooler but still very hot and near record levels. Beyond, the 8 to
14 day outlook favors higher probabilities for above normal
temperatures with no true signal for precipitation anomalies.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1124 AM MDT Sat Aug 17 2024
VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist, except for low
probabilities of short-lived MVFR conditions in showers and storms
across western NM later this afternoon/evening. KGUP and KFMN are
likely to be impacted by gusty thunderstorm outflow later today.
Gusty winds associated with convection may impact KSAF this
evening as well.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 153 PM MDT Sat Aug 17 2024
Critical fire weather conditions are not expected through at least
the next seven days. An upper high currently over the region will
persist through the next seven days with well above normal
temperatures. Chances for wetting storms will favor western NM
through Sunday and then decrease areawide before ramping back up
across western NM toward the end of the work week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 64 94 64 94 / 30 20 10 0
Dulce........................... 52 91 52 91 / 20 30 10 10
Cuba............................ 57 90 58 90 / 30 20 10 5
Gallup.......................... 58 91 56 92 / 50 30 10 10
El Morro........................ 57 87 57 87 / 50 30 20 20
Grants.......................... 57 91 59 92 / 40 20 10 10
Quemado......................... 56 89 57 88 / 50 30 20 20
Magdalena....................... 63 90 63 90 / 20 5 0 0
Datil........................... 57 88 57 87 / 30 10 5 10
Reserve......................... 57 94 57 93 / 40 20 10 10
Glenwood........................ 66 99 66 98 / 40 20 10 10
Chama........................... 51 84 51 84 / 20 40 20 20
Los Alamos...................... 64 88 62 88 / 20 20 10 10
Pecos........................... 58 89 58 88 / 20 10 5 10
Cerro/Questa.................... 52 87 52 86 / 10 30 10 20
Red River....................... 45 78 46 76 / 10 30 20 30
Angel Fire...................... 38 81 40 81 / 10 20 10 20
Taos............................ 53 91 53 90 / 10 20 10 5
Mora............................ 53 86 53 85 / 10 20 5 10
Espanola........................ 63 96 62 95 / 20 20 10 5
Santa Fe........................ 63 90 63 90 / 20 10 5 5
Santa Fe Airport................ 63 93 62 94 / 20 10 5 0
Albuquerque Foothills........... 69 96 69 96 / 20 5 5 5
Albuquerque Heights............. 70 97 70 98 / 20 0 0 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 65 99 65 100 / 20 0 0 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 69 97 68 97 / 20 0 0 0
Belen........................... 65 99 65 100 / 20 0 0 0
Bernalillo...................... 66 99 65 100 / 20 5 0 0
Bosque Farms.................... 62 99 63 100 / 20 0 0 0
Corrales........................ 66 99 66 100 / 20 5 0 0
Los Lunas....................... 63 99 63 100 / 20 0 0 0
Placitas........................ 66 94 66 96 / 20 5 0 0
Rio Rancho...................... 69 98 67 99 / 20 5 0 0
Socorro......................... 68 101 69 100 / 20 0 0 0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 61 90 62 89 / 20 5 0 0
Tijeras......................... 63 92 64 91 / 20 5 0 0
Edgewood........................ 60 93 60 92 / 20 5 0 0
Moriarty/Estancia............... 55 94 55 95 / 20 5 0 0
Clines Corners.................. 59 89 57 90 / 20 5 0 0
Mountainair..................... 60 91 60 91 / 20 5 0 0
Gran Quivira.................... 60 91 60 90 / 20 5 0 0
Carrizozo....................... 65 96 65 94 / 10 5 0 0
Ruidoso......................... 58 87 58 86 / 10 10 0 0
Capulin......................... 59 89 58 87 / 5 10 5 20
Raton........................... 56 94 57 93 / 5 10 5 20
Springer........................ 57 95 57 95 / 5 10 0 10
Las Vegas....................... 57 89 55 91 / 5 10 0 5
Clayton......................... 68 97 65 96 / 0 0 5 5
Roy............................. 62 94 61 91 / 5 0 0 5
Conchas......................... 66 99 65 98 / 5 0 0 0
Santa Rosa...................... 65 94 64 94 / 5 0 0 0
Tucumcari....................... 67 100 66 100 / 0 0 0 0
Clovis.......................... 71 101 69 102 / 5 0 0 0
Portales........................ 69 102 69 102 / 5 0 0 0
Fort Sumner..................... 67 99 67 100 / 5 0 0 0
Roswell......................... 73 103 72 104 / 0 0 0 0
Picacho......................... 65 96 65 95 / 0 5 0 0
Elk............................. 61 94 60 93 / 0 10 0 0
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ219-238.
&&
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...11
Thunderstorm Wind, Curry
- When
- August 17, 3:34 PM MST to 3:44 PM MST
- Where
- Curry County, 0.69 mi S of (Cvs)cannon Afb
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS
- Coordinates
- 34.370, -103.320
The Cannon AFB AWOS measured a peak thunderstorm wind gust caused by a downburst.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Texas, August 17 to 21, 20243 deaths · 13 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Utah, August 17 to 19, 20241 death · 4 injured · $206,000 · 71 kt wind · 33 events
- Rip Currents in North Carolina, August 17, 20241 death · 2 events
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Oklahoma, August 17 to 22, 2024154 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Georgia, August 17, 2024$230,000 · 1.5 in hail · 68 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Kentucky, August 17, 2024$80,000 · 1.25 in hail · 30 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Alabama, August 17, 2024$56,000 · 1 in hail · 19 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Arkansas, August 17, 2024$77,000 · 1 in hail · 7 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Ohio, August 17, 2024$43,000 · 1 in hail · 14 events
- Damaging Winds in Tennessee, August 17, 2024$44,000 · 50 kt wind · 7 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Puerto Rico, August 17, 2024$25,000 · 0.25 in hail · 16 events
- Damaging Winds in Kentucky, August 17, 202471 kt wind · 29 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1193958.