A decaying line of convection crossed into Michigan during the morning hours of the 25th. A wake low developed behind the northern end of this system, resulting in an area of strong, non-thunderstorm winds crossing the region along and behind the area of remaining rainfall.
Every event with a place to put it; 10 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS APX wrote it up.
A decaying line of convection crossed into Michigan during the morning hours of the 25th. A wake low developed behind the northern end of this system, resulting in an area of strong, non-thunderstorm winds crossing the region along and behind the area of remaining rainfall. Widespread gusts of 35-45mph were recorded with this event, particularly along the M-55 corridor toward Lake Huron, along with some damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 25, 1:47 AM EST, 4 hours 13 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
247 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Strong/severe line of storms expected this morning. Primary
hazard will be damaging winds. Large hail and localized heavy
rainfall also possible.
- Conditions begin to dry as surface high pressure builds this Wednesday
through the first half of the long term. Chances of showers
return this weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 244 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Pattern Synopsis:
A strong jet/low-amplitude shortwave will continue to punch across
the Upper Midwest and over the Great Lakes this morning/afternoon as
more pronounced upper troughing digs into the region later tonight.
Parent cyclone associated with forcing aloft will work across James
Bay into Quebec today as the attendant front swings across the Great
Lakes. Relatively high surface pressure is expected to temporarily
build in later tonight into Wednesday morning.
Forecast Details:
Strong/severe storms this morning -- Primary forecast concern over
the next several hours will be a line of strong/severe thunderstorms
currently organizing across northern Wisconsin, with additional
storms out ahead of this line working over Lake Michigan. While
model guidance has struggled to handle the evolution of these
storms, current confidence is that storms will trek ESE through the
early morning hours along a gradient of elevated buoyancy extending
over into mid-Michigan. Highest severe potential appears to lie west
of Lake Michigan as these storms will encounter an increasingly
unfavorable environment with eastward extent, especially over Lake
Michigan and into the CWA where only a few hundred joules of MUCAPE
may be in place ahead of these storms. Regardless, a sufficiently
organized line of storms should carry enough momentum to bring
damaging winds to parts of northern Michigan through early/mid
morning -- and a severe thunderstorm watch has been coordinated with
SPC to highlight this threat through 9AM at this time. Best chances
for severe wind gusts will come across northwest lower Michigan in
closer proximity to the lakeshores and is expected to diminish
further inland. Large hail will also be possible early this morning,
primarily with ongoing activity currently over Lake Michigan that
lies ahead of the main line of storms still draped across northern
Wisconsin. Tornado threat appears low at this time given lack of
surface-based instability/low-level convective inhibition. There are
also low chances for a localized heavy rainfall/flash flooding
threat this morning as these storms work across northwest lower.
Quick rainfall of 1-2" per hour may lead to some impacts in city
locations this morning. Otherwise, rain/thunder chances are largely
expected to end by late morning/early afternoon with clearing of
skies and highs in the upper 70s/low 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 244 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Midlevel jet maxima spanning across the U.S/Canadian boarder with
embedded height disturbances will continue active weather at times
this week. Shortwave troughing currently north of the Upper Midwest
will be occupying the Great Lakes region at the start of the
forecast period. Conditions begin to dry through the midweek ahead
of an additional trough returning chances of showers/storms towards
the end of the week.
Primary Forecast Concerns/Key Messages:
-Conditions begin to dry as surface high pressure builds this
Wednesday through the first half of the long term. Chances of
showers return this weekend: A few isolated showers remain possible
Wednesday mainly due to some lingering moisture behind the cold
front at the start of the long term. Overall, weather remains
pretty quiet as upstream longwave midlevel ridge pushes a cool and
dry airmass into the Great Lakes region. Besides Wednesday being a
little chilly in the 60s, daytime highs will remain around
climatological average for the entirety of the forecast period.
Chances of showers and storms return around the Friday/Saturday
timeframe as a shortwave trough currently pivoting around midlevel
low pressure north of Hudson Bay progresses southward. Still a
little too early to messages details, but current ensembles show no
evidence of widespread severe weather or heavy rainfall at this time.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1148 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
A round of thunderstorms is expected to impact the area after
09Z, pushing quickly e and se across the area. Brief but
significant restrictions along with gusty winds will be
possible, with the best chance at MBL and TVC. Some lower cigs
will linger for several hours after precip ends, with gradual
improvement on Tuesday.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 5 PM EDT this
afternoon for LHZ349.
&&
SHORT TERM...DJC
LONG TERM...SJC
AVIATION...JZHazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Gaylord MI 614 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024 MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-261200- Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona- Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- 614 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024 This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and Northern Lower Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered thunderstorms are expected this morning. Severe storms are no longer expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Additional chances for showers and thunderstorms will return later Friday into Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord. LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-261200- Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 614 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024 This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered thunderstorms are expected this morning. Severe storms are no longer expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Additional chances for showers and thunderstorms will return later Friday into Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
409 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
MIZ020-025-026-031-032-250915-
Leelanau MI-Manistee MI-Grand Traverse MI-Benzie MI-Wexford MI-
409 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN LEELANAU...BENZIE...
WESTERN WEXFORD...SOUTHWESTERN GRAND TRAVERSE AND MANISTEE COUNTIES
THROUGH 515 AM EDT...
At 408 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 13 miles northwest of Frankfort to near Mears
SP. Movement was east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Traverse City, Manistee, Frankfort, Thompsonville, Empire, Beulah,
Arcadia, Bingham, Sherman, Buckley, Eastlake, Benzonia, Kaleva,
Cedar, Onekama, Mesick, Elberta, Honor, Bear Lake, and Lake Ann.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EDT for
parts of northern Michigan.
&&
LAT...LON 4425 8634 4456 8627 4466 8631 4471 8630
4477 8619 4478 8613 4486 8611 4494 8563
4417 8566 4416 8595 4418 8639
TIME...MOT...LOC 0808Z 263DEG 31KT 4473 8646 4382 8651
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
GILLENThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
10 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Tree limbs downed on Old Mission Peninsula. Damage associated with wake low passage.
Houghton Lake Roscommon County Airport reported gust to 39mph associated with the wake low passage.
Traverse City Cherry Capital Airport reported 39mph gust associated with wake low passage.
Power outages reported in the Standish area. Associated with wake low passage.
Reports of trees down near Secord Lake in Gladwin County.
West Branch airport reported 40mph gust associated with wake low passage. Power outages and trees down on lines were reported in the West Branch area.
Large trees and powerlines downed on M 23 near Twining. Associated with wake low passage.
Limbs downed in the Au Gres area from gusty winds on the backside of the line of storms. Associated with wake low passage.
Several reports of tree and power line damage in and around the Tawas area due to strong southerly winds associated with the passage of a wake low. Damage included a healthy pine snapped partway up, and trees uprooted onto a house.
Report from western Arenac county of backyard chicken equipment shifted a few feet by winds associated with wake low passage, killing 2 chicks in the process.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Michigan in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, June 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1198457, 1198462, 1198456, 1198458, 1198464, 1198463, 1198461, 1198459, 1198460, 1198465.