Louisiana, 2024Flash Flood in Louisiana, June 28, 2024
June 28, 2024 · NWS LCH · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Heavy rain sat over a sections of Calcasieu, Vermilion, Cameron, and Jefferson Davis parishes during the early morning hours of the 28th.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Heavy rain sat over a sections of Calcasieu, Vermilion, Cameron, and Jefferson Davis parishes during the early morning hours of the 28th.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 27, 2:31 PM CST, 13 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 2:31 PM CST, 13 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
331 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024
Afternoon surface analysis shows a weak boundary draped across the
northeastern edge of the CWA, resulting in a more northerly flow
at AEX while W to SW flow continues elsewhere. South of this
boundary, dewpoints are in the mid to upper 70s, while dewpoints
across AEX and Ft. Johnson currently sit around 70 degrees. Aloft,
water vapor imagery shows a decent swath of mid-level dry air
draped across roughly the lower 2/3rd of the forecast area,
along a rough line extending from near/south of Beaumont to
Alexandria. This dry air has kept shower activity mostly at bay
across southwest and south central LA today, while on the
contrary, showers have steadily increased in coverage across
inland SE TX through the last few hours. Although some CAMs
guidance wants to induce shower activity across Acadiana through
the next couple of hours, this seems rather unlikely beyond a very
light shower or two due to the presence of dry air overhead.
Regardless, expect any lingering convection to taper off post-
sunset this evening per-usual, giving way to another warm and
muggy night with lows in the mid to upper 70s.
Tomorrow into the weekend mid-level ridging will begin to slowly
build back overhead from the west. Ridging overhead will likely be
fairly weak tomorrow, before settling overhead by Saturday. This
will result in decent rain chances tomorrow, especially across
Acadiana where any influence from the ridge will be less. By Sat,
rain chances reduce further area-wide, but Acadiana still looks to
have the best chance out of anybody. Any precip tomorrow and
Saturday will be typical pop-up daytime heating showers, with
coverage peaking through the afternoon and dying with sunset.
Temperature wise, we again warm into the low to mid 90s both
tomorrow and Saturday, while overnight lows fall into the mid 70s
to low 80s. Heat indices look borderline for an advisory
tomorrow, mainly for interior SE TX, with an advisory looking more
likely for Saturday for a larger portion of the region.
17
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024
By Sunday, the an upper level ridge of high pressure situated over
the Southern Plains continues to build with a slight shift of the
center ridge axis toward the Mississippi Valley. Meanwhile a
downstream low pressure complex north of Maine will extend a frontal
boundary across the Appalachia to the ARKALEX with generally more
humid / unstable remaining south of the frontal boundary. Thus,
while mid to upper level dry layers are expected, Isolated to
scattered surface based convection is not out of the question which
currently has been favored toward the Acadiana region leading into
eastern portions of LA. Heat will also be a likely headline with
temperatures nearing 100°F and Heat Indices breaching 110°F among
the interior SETX counties and some interior SWLA parishes which
will likely be realized for locations outside of any precipitation
or prolonged cloudy cover. Similar conditions are expected to
persist Monday with winds veering a little more SW’ly throughout the
day, however, signals of precipitation appear to be less with little
to no forcing mechanism amid forecast persisting ridge. Thus heat
related headlines appear favorable into the early work week.
Hereafter continuing through the remainder of the mid week,
temperatures will continue to remain very warm to hot in the mid to
upper 90’s, with the upper ranges keep to the interior counties and
parishes. POPS do not fully exit the forecast area, but the more
favorable signal for organized precipitation tend to drop off with
Isolated diurnal convection more favorable along coastal / southern
portions of the TX and LA. Meanwhile the upper level high pressure
ridge shows signs of breaking down toward the end of the week.
Kowalski/30
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024
Light west to southwest winds and mainly VFR ceilings will prevail
through the afternoon. A few isolated showers will be possible
through the next few hours as well, mainly for the I-10 terminals.
Some of this convection may become heavy at times and be capable
of briefly reducing VIS if they move across the terminals. Shower
activity should taper off with sunset with light winds and VFR
ceilings then continuing through the end of the period.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024
Weak high pressure at the surface will ridge across the northern
Gulf of Mexico for the next several days. This will allow for
mainly light onshore flow for the remainder of the week, to go
along with mainly low seas. Through the next several days,
scattered to occasionally widespread showers and thunderstorms are
expected each day.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX 74 95 76 96 / 0 20 0 20
LCH 76 91 79 91 / 20 40 10 20
LFT 76 92 79 93 / 40 70 10 40
BPT 77 93 79 93 / 10 30 0 10
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...17
Flash Flood, Calcasieu
- When
- June 28, 3:55 AM CST to 6:55 AM CST
- Where
- Calcasieu County, 1.62 mi NE of (Lch)lk Charles Muni to 2.95 mi NNE of Holmwood
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 30.149, -93.204
Several roads including Lincoln, Gauthier, and Tom Hebert were flooded southeast of Lake Charles with Black Bayou rising out of its banks at Lincoln Road. KLCH radar estimated 6 to 12 inches fell during the night across portions of southeast Calcasieu Parish.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heat in Nevada, June 28 to 29, 20242 deaths · 1 event
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Missouri, June 28, 20241 death · 1 injured · 52 kt wind · 5 events
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Missouri, June 28, 20241 death · 52 kt wind · 6 events
- Excessive Heat in Oklahoma, June 28 to 30, 202410 injured · 22 events
- Flash Flood in Louisiana, June 28, 2024$100,000 · 1 event
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Mississippi, June 28 to 30, 202448 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Kansas, June 28, 20241 injured · EF0 · 35 events
- Dust Storm and Damaging Winds in Arizona, June 28, 2024$34,000 · 50 kt wind · 7 events
- Tornado and Flood in Florida, June 28, 2024$100 · EF1 · 4 events
- Excessive Heat in Texas, June 28 to 30, 202421 events
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Arkansas, June 28 to 30, 202419 events
- Excessive Heat in Louisiana, June 28 to 30, 202417 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1196719.