Arizona, 2024

Flash Flooding and Hail in Arizona, August 23, 2024

August 23, 2024 · NWS TWC · 4 events in 1 county or zone

Severe thunderstorms rolled through portions of the Tucson Metro resulting in strong winds and localized hail.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$2,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

Severe thunderstorms rolled through portions of the Tucson Metro resulting in strong winds and localized hail.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 23, 1:15 PM MST, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 23, 1:15 PM MST, 2 hours 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
115 PM MST Fri Aug 23 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

Daily chances for thunderstorms continue. Localized flash
flooding, strong winds, and small hail will be possible with any
thunderstorm over the coming days. High temperatures are expected
to remain near normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Amid relatively active southerly to southwesterly flow aloft,
thunderstorm activity is expected to expand this afternoon across
much of southeastern Arizona. A Pacific northwest trough has
brought some dry air aloft in from the west, which has trimmed up
precipitation chances today over western Pima, with best chances
mainly near and east of Tucson-Nogales. Increased shear due to the
proximity of the Pacific trough will allow for a few thunderstorms
to produce potentially severe hail, along with heavy rainfall
rates despite the modest decrease in atmospheric moisture aloft.
Downdraft CAPE isn't terribly high, though the increased shear
should allow for an isolated severe wind threat. Finally, storm
motions should preclude a more widespread flash flooding threat,
however storm mergers or storms over locations vulnerable to
flooding will still provide a flash flooding threat.

Tomorrow, as the PNW trough moves inland towards the Great Basin,
divergence aloft over southeastern Arizona increases under the
right exit region of an ejecting jet streak. This added ascent may
act to increase thunderstorm coverage in a case where today's
activity would otherwise bring a "down" day. Either way, chances
remain but will still partly depend on how widespread today's
activity becomes. Sunday remains under a similar synoptic pattern
and will see thunderstorm chances in the afternoon and evening as
well. Highest chances generally remain east of Tucson-Nogales.

Daily monsoon activity will continue with some day to day
variation through next week. Though ensemble mean precipitable
water and CAPE guidance shows potentially some drying early next
week (especially from the ECMWF members), there remains enough
moisture and background support to continue daily forecast chances.

&&

.AVIATION...

Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon through 24/03Z, with
isolated late this evening, mainly near and east of KTUS-KOLS. Outside
of thunderstorm wind gusts, winds generally 15 kts or less with a
south to southwest direction. Scattered thunderstorms again
Saturday afternoon. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF
amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, mainly near
and east of Tucson to Nogales as drier air nudges in from the
west. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast again each day through
the weekend. High temperatures remain near normal. The drier air
pushing in will act in lowering minimum relative humidities to
around 18-28 percent through the weekend, though areas east of
Tucson to Nogales should keep higher values. Outside of any
thunderstorm outflow winds, 20- foot winds will generally be 15
mph or less, with afternoon/early evening gusts to 20-25 mph and
light winds overnight.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Public...Edwards
Aviation...Edwards
Fire Weather....Edwards

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 23, 3:39 PM MST, 9 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
339 PM MST Fri Aug 23 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0329 PM     Rain             1 SW Oracle             32.61N 110.80W
08/23/2024  M0.50 Inch       Pinal              AZ   Trained Spotter

            Amount fell in 18 minutes.

&&

LJT
Local storm report, Aug 23, 3:42 PM MST, 6 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
342 PM MST Fri Aug 23 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0338 PM     Hail             11 W Huachuca City      31.66N 110.53W
08/23/2024  M0.88 Inch       Santa Cruz         AZ   Trained Spotter

&&

LJT

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 62 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:47 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flash flood, 1 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pima

When
August 23, 3:48 PM MST to 4:30 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 1.81 mi NW of Jaynes
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
32.320, -111.050

Reports of fence damaged along with numerous large tree branches.

Hail, Pima

When
August 23, 4:19 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 3.12 mi SE of Old Tuscon
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
32.190, -111.090

A trained spotter reported 1 inch diameter hail.

Flash Flood, Pima

When
August 23, 4:30 PM MST to 5:15 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 2.75 mi E of Cortaro to 0.5 mi ENE of Cortaro
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
32.358, -111.034

Considerable water running along low water crossing on N. Thornydale Rd. just south of W. Hardy Rd.

Flash Flood, Pima

When
August 23, 4:30 PM MST to 5:15 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 2.75 mi E of Cortaro to 0.5 mi ENE of Cortaro
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
32.358, -111.034

Considerable water running along low water crossing on N. Thornydale Rd. just south of W. Hardy Rd.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1211557, 1211555, 1211558, 1211559.