Scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours in a typical summertime environment. A few stronger storms brought gusty winds and isolated impacts.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours in a typical summertime environment. A few stronger storms brought gusty winds and isolated impacts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 5:51 PM CST, 5 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
751 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
...New AVIATION...
.NEAR TERM...
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Upper high continues to be located over the ArkLaTex region with
ridging into the northern Gulf. A series of shortwave troughs over
and downrange of the high will help carve a digging trough down
into the Florida peninsula and helping kick the upper high west
towards the high Plains. The combination of dry mid level air and
the best moisture shifting southeastward, reduced rain chances
somewhat Thursday through the northern half of the CWA and mainly
seabreeze convection into the Florida counties. Can't rule out
getting clipped by convection east of I75 in the late afternoon
hours if it develops in northern Georgia moving towards the low
country. With the decrease in storm coverage and subsequent cloud
cover, another hot day is in store for our area with afternoon
heat indices in the 108-112F range and have issued a heat advisory
area wide from mid morning through late afternoon Thursday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday night through Friday night)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are in the
forecast Friday afternoon. The storms are forecast to get going
along the seabreeze later in the morning into the early afternoon
before pushing inland throughout the day. Temperatures will settle
in the middle to upper 70s Thursday and Friday nights with highs
reaching into the middle 90s before the showers and storms develop
Friday. Heat indices are forecast to run between 110 and 115 degrees
Friday afternoon, which means there is the possibility of needing an
Excessive Heat Warning Friday afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
An H5 ridge will be building across the southeast through much of
the period. While a lot of the forecast is highly dependent on
the tropics, as detailed in the next paragraph, there is the
potential for daily afternoon showers and thunderstorms along the
seabreeze. Temperatures will climb into the lower to middle 90s
with lows in the middle to upper 70s. However, that's highly
uncertain for Sunday and beyond as a lot of that will depend on
the tropics.
As mentioned above, most of this forecast period will greatly depend
on what the tropical wave near Puerto Rico decides to do as it nears
the Florida Peninsula later this weekend and early next week. The
National Hurricane Center has maintained a 60 percent chance of the
tropical wave developing into either a tropical depression or storm
over the next 7 days near Florida. Recent trends in the model
guidance today has the tropical wave remaining weaker for longer as
it treks near/over the Greater Antilles the next 72 to 84 hours, or
another 3 to 4 days, before lifting north. As a result, it is able
to track closer to Florida, maybe even into the Gulf of Mexico, this
weekend. One of the more concerning things to note is that if the
system does make it into the Gulf of Mexico, there is the potential
for it to stall as a strong H5 ridge builds north of the system as
the trough moving through the Great Lakes misses it. This could lead
to the potential for copious amounts of rain for someone; the
question is where. There remains a large amount of uncertainty with
this system and trends will be closely monitored over the coming
days. Now is a good time to check your hurricane preparedness kit.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 745 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
VFR/MVFR conditions with thunderstorms will linger for the next
few hours before VFR conditions likely prevail through a good part
of the overnight hours. There is the possibility for IFR/LIFR
conditions tonight as fog/low-stratus move in from the northeast.
The highest probabilities for this is at DHN/ABY/VLD overnight and
with low probabilities, enough to keep them out of a TAF mention,
at TLH/ECP. Thunderstorms possible again at area TAF sites, with
the higher probabilities at TLH/ECP/VLD.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 312 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Mostly favorable marine conditions are anticipated through the work
week and into the week. Light and variable winds are expected each
day with seas running around 1 to 2 feet. A tropical wave will near
the Florida Peninsula this weekend into early next week. There
remains a large degree of uncertainty as to where it will track, so
details of the marine forecast this weekend into early next week
will depend on whether or not development occurs, and where it
moves.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 312 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
No real appreciable change in the weather pattern for the next few
days. Expect hot conditions with afternoon heat indices approaching
or exceeding 110F with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms
in the afternoon and early evening hours each day. Expect frequent
lightning and gusty winds to accompany the storms.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 312 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Recent rains in and around Valdosta and Tallahassee have led to
rises on the Withlacoochee and Ochlockonee. Barring any
substantial rain for those basins in the next day or two, they
should remain in Action Stage before dropping below Action Stage
this weekend.
Otherwise, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are in
the forecast each afternoon the next several days. The slow-moving
nature of these showers and storms coupled with ample moisture means
there is the potential for nuisance to localized flash flooding.
One caveat to that is the potential for a tropical wave to move
towards Florida this weekend into early next week. There remains
larger than usual uncertainty with where the tropical wave will
progress and if it's able to develop or not. As of now, we know that
a track along the East Coast of Florida would lead to a drier
solution for the vast majority of our region later this weekend into
the first half of next week. On the flip side, if the tropical wave
is able to move into the Gulf of Mexico, we'd trend much wetter and
introduce the potential for flooding, both flash flood and riverine
flooding. If the system does track into the Gulf of Mexico, that
will introduce the possibility of a stalling tropical system in the
eastern Gulf of Mexico. As of now, it's way too early to be certain
on any one solution. In the meantime, keep an eye on the forecast in
the coming days.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 76 95 77 96 / 30 50 10 60
Panama City 79 93 80 93 / 10 40 20 50
Dothan 76 96 77 97 / 40 30 10 40
Albany 75 96 77 97 / 40 30 10 30
Valdosta 76 96 77 96 / 50 40 10 50
Cross City 75 94 77 93 / 20 60 20 70
Apalachicola 80 91 80 92 / 20 50 20 60
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for
FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ to 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
Thursday for FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-
128-134.
GA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ120>131-142>148-
155>161.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Thursday for GAZ120>131-
142>148-155>161.
AL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ065>069.
Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for ALZ065>069.
GM...None.
&&
NEAR TERM...Scholl
SHORT TERM...Reese
LONG TERM....Reese
AVIATION...Dobbs
MARINE...Reese
FIRE WEATHER...Scholl
HYDROLOGY...ReeseSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
616 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
GAZ142>148-155>160-312315-
Brooks GA-Miller GA-Decatur GA-Baker GA-Early GA-Thomas GA-
Berrien GA-Lowndes GA-Colquitt GA-Mitchell GA-Cook GA-Seminole GA-
Grady GA-
616 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN BERRIEN...
MITCHELL...NORTHWESTERN LOWNDES...NORTHEASTERN SEMINOLE...CENTRAL
EARLY...COLQUITT...COOK...NORTHEASTERN DECATUR...NORTHERN GRADY...
MILLER...BAKER...THOMAS AND BROOKS COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...
At 615 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles southwest of Pavo to near Ochlocknee to
near Donalsonville. Movement was north at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Colquitt, Newton, Moultrie, Adel, Thomasville, Pelham, Donalsonville,
Cairo, Camilla, Quitman, Valdosta, Blakely, Bainbridge, Hahira,
Sparks, Boston, Norman Park, Baconton, Lenox, and Doerun.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3080 8332 3079 8371 3098 8491 3121 8510
3123 8510 3135 8498 3142 8449 3142 8404
3141 8400 3133 8399 3132 8351 3126 8331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 180DEG 10KT 3089 8380 3102 8412 3101 8494
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
21-WDPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
627 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0553 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 NNE Lenox 31.31N 83.45W
07/31/2024 Cook GA Emergency Mngr
Cook County EM reported a tree down on
Dougherty Rutland Rd.
&&
IG3Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
634 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
ALZ067-069-GAZ120>122-142-312330-
Henry AL-Houston AL-Quitman GA-Randolph GA-Clay GA-Early GA-
634 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT HENRY...NORTHEASTERN HOUSTON...
CLAY...SOUTHWESTERN RANDOLPH...NORTHWESTERN EARLY AND SOUTHERN
QUITMAN COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT/630 PM CDT/...
At 633 PM EDT/533 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm over Abbeville, moving east at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Abbeville, Fort Gaines, Headland, Columbia, Newville, Haleburg,
Shorterville, Wire Bridge, Hayes, Watson Crossroads, Scottsboro
Crossroads, Ricks Place, Pecan, Thomas Mill Creek, Hatcher, Morris,
Bethel, Fort Gaines-Clay Airport, Balkum, and Hardwickburg.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3181 8491 3143 8494 3126 8511 3135 8542
3171 8542 3170 8522 3174 8520 3177 8516
3176 8513 3177 8512 3178 8514 3179 8513
3183 8513 3184 8514 3187 8513
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 270DEG 10KT 3157 8526
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
21-WDPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
644 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0531 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 SSE Armena 31.64N 84.27W
07/31/2024 Lee GA 911 Call Center
Lee County reports a tree down in the 100
block of Pebble Ridge Dr.
&&Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
646 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0526 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 5 SW Armena 31.62N 84.35W
07/31/2024 Dougherty GA 911 Call Center
Terrell County reports a tree down on
Tallahassee Rd.
&&Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
659 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
GAZ160-312345-
Lowndes GA-
659 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LOWNDES COUNTY THROUGH
745 PM EDT...
At 659 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Valdosta, moving east at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Valdosta, I-75 At Exit 16, Moody Air Force Base, Remerton, and
Naylor.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3085 8307 3085 8309 3083 8309 3083 8310
3081 8311 3080 8332 3092 8332 3095 8318
3095 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 261DEG 7KT 3086 8322
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
80-GONZALEZThe Ft Rucker radar (KEOX), 29 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:56 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A resident living by the Harley Davidson reported on social media that a large tree knocked over a power line.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alabama in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1191835.