Washington, 2023

Debris Flow and Flood in Washington, January 10 to 15, 2023

January 10 to 15, 2023 · NWS OTX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Mild temperatures and rain of three quarter an inch to one inch created some localized flooding and rock slides in the Cascades.

Where it happened

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  • Floods
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  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OTX wrote it up.

Mild temperatures and rain of three quarter an inch to one inch created some localized flooding and rock slides in the Cascades.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Spokane, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 9, 9:23 PM PST, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 9:23 PM PST, 2 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
923 PM PST Mon Jan 9 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Rain and wet snow will exit eastern Washington and north Idaho
this evening. Slick conditions will be common this evening and
overnight as temperatures fall below freezing and fog develops
over much of central and eastern Washington. Tuesday and
Wednesday will be mainly dry with mild temperatures. Rain and
mountain snow will return Wednesday evening and persist into
Thursday. The weather Friday into next weekend will feature
temperatures nearly 10 degrees above average, with chances for
light rain.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Evening update: The band of rain and snow is an hour or two slower
to clear out than expected. Forecast has been updated to show this
slower progression. We are also getting moderate precipitation
intensities within a few clusters and slushy snow accumulations at
locations like Spirit Lake, Coeur D, Alene, and along the I-90
corridor leading up to Lookout Pass. Areas of fog and low clouds
will become the issue as the precipitaiton clears out.  /sb

Tonight: Our band of rain and snow will exit eastern Washington by
about 6 PM and clear the majority of the Idaho Panhandle by 9 PM.
Many communities in northeast Washington and north Idaho above
2000 feet will experience snow or a rain/snow mix, but the snow
will struggle to accumulate effectively with temperatures in the
low to mid 30s. As the frontal system responsible for this
precipitation exits, an upper level shortwave ridge will build
over the Pacific Northwest. An abundance of low level moisture
combined with subsidence aloft will lead to widespread post-
frontal low stratus. This type of set up often leads to the cloud
deck lowering through the night. And visibility guidance from the
High Resolution Ensemble Forecast (HREF) is predicting a 70 to 90
percent chance of visibility reductions to a half mile or less
over the West Plains, Upper Columbia Basin, and Waterville Plateau
overnight into Tuesday morning. With overnight temperatures
dropping to around 30 and fog, this looks like a typical rime ice
episode that causes white ice crystals to collect on trees and
powerlines. Wet roads and sidewalks will also become slick
overnight as air and pavement temperatures fall below freezing.

Tuesday: Easterly surface winds will erode fog and low clouds
over the Palouse and the southern Idaho Panhandle in the morning,
but fog is usually slow to disperse in central Washington, the
Spokane area, and the sheltered valleys of northeast Washington.
Through the afternoon, the HREF and National Blend disperse most
of the low clouds from our region. MOS guidance from the NAM and
GFS which are tuned more toward climatology are slower to clear
our skies and keep places like Wenatchee and the Waterville
Plateau in low overcast into Tuesday evening which seems more
reasonable. Lowlands that experience several hours of sunshine
will climb well into the 40s like Lewiston, Pullman, and
Washtucna. Communities that remain in the fog until late day won't
get out of the mid 30s.

Wednesday: The majority of the day Wednesday looks dry before our
next moist frontal system moves inland. Fog and low clouds won't
be as widespread on Wednesday morning, but spots like the West
Plains and Waterville Plateau that are frequently susceptable to
fog will have another good shot of it. /GKoch

Wednesday night and Thursday: Another incoming Low will bring
a round of precip to the region. While it is expected to bring
mountain snow, the lower elevations can expect to start as snow then
change to rain for the event. This is because warmer air is being
brought in with the moisture. Snow amounts for the system will
highest in the Cascades with around one foot expected for Stevens
Pass. The eastern slopes of the Cascades and northern mountains will
also get around three to six inches with valleys around one to
three. These areas have lower confidence as it is dependent on
timing and efficiency of the warmer air as it encroaches into the
the area. Lows will be in the mid 20s to low 30s. Highs will be in
the 30s and low 40s.

Friday and Weekend: Behind the wave, the region will be under a
split flow pattern. It will continue to press moisture into the
western slopes of the Cascades with spill over affecting the upper
portions of the eastern slopes. It will be a generally dry period
for the most of the region. Any shower activity will be in the
mountains and higher terrains across Northeast WA and the ID
Panhandle. Highs will be in the upper 30s to 40s. Lows will be in
the upper 20s to 30s. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: The last band of precipitation will exit North Idaho and
far NE WA 06-08Z. Low clouds and fog will expand and lower over
much of the Inland Northwest overnight. Ample boundary layer
moisture from today's precipitation will increase the potential
for fog development in an environment of weak boundary layer
winds. HREF probabilities of visibility less than 1/2 mile are
between 70 and 90 percent late tonight for KGEG, KMWH, and KEAT.
Downslope easterly surface winds will erode fog and low clouds in
the morning across southeast Washington first with clouds
dissipating across the rest of eastern and central Washington
during the afternoon. Easterly winds persisting at Pullman and
around Lewiston suggest these areas have the lowest probabilities
for restrictions but if winds calm enough around Lewiston, patchy
morning fog will be a concern. /sb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        30  38  24  37  30  41 /  70   0   0   0  20  80
Coeur d'Alene  30  40  23  37  29  41 /  80   0   0   0  20  60
Pullman        30  42  26  41  33  43 /  60   0   0   0  20  70
Lewiston       33  45  31  46  37  49 /  40   0  10  10  20  60
Colville       30  38  18  35  26  38 /  70   0   0   0  20  80
Sandpoint      32  37  23  34  28  37 /  80   0   0   0  20  80
Kellogg        30  40  25  38  31  41 /  90   0   0   0  10  70
Moses Lake     30  39  26  39  32  42 /  10   0   0   0  60  90
Wenatchee      28  35  26  33  31  36 /  10   0   0  10  80  90
Omak           30  36  24  33  30  37 /  50   0   0   0  50  90

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 debris flow, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Debris Flow, Chelan

When
January 10, 12:00 AM PST to January 15, 7:00 PM PST
Where
Chelan County, 1 mi SSW of Entiat to 0.96 mi SSW of Entiat
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Property damage
$500
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
47.657, -120.228

Rockslide closed US 97A at milepost 214.

Flood, Okanogan

When
January 12, 7:00 AM PST to January 13, 11:00 AM PST
Where
Okanogan County, 0.17 mi ENE of Riverside to 0.69 mi N of Riverside
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Property damage
$500
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
48.501, -119.497

Water was over roadway along the Riverside Eastriverside Road.

What these are

Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Washington in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, January 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1078356, 1078355.