Virginia, 2023

Flash Flooding in Virginia, September 23, 2023

September 23, 2023 · NWS AKQ · 6 events in 5 counties and zones

Tropical Storm Ophelia tracked northward across east central North Carolina and up through central Virginia from Saturday morning, September 23rd into early Sunday morning, September 24th. Bands of heavy rain associated with the storm caused flash flooding across portions of central and south central Virginia.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.

Tropical Storm Ophelia tracked northward across east central North Carolina and up through central Virginia from Saturday morning, September 23rd into early Sunday morning, September 24th. Bands of heavy rain associated with the storm caused flash flooding across portions of central and south central Virginia.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 23, 8:35 AM EST, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 23, 8:35 AM EST, 3 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
935 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Storm Ophelia continues to track north towards and into
the area through tonight, bringing widespread heavy rain and
strong gusty winds to the region. Unsettled weather continues
in the wake of Ophelia through much of the week ahead.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 935 AM EDT Saturday...

Tropical Storm Ophelia made landfall at 620 AM this morning
at Emerald Island, NC. Ophelia continues to move NNW before
turning to the N this afternoon. Winds have diminished this
morning due to a brief slackening of the sfc pressure gradient
winds, but expect winds to increase once again by around noon
into this afternoon as Ophelia lifts toward the area.

Rainfall totals thus far are in the 2-4" range south of US-58 in
southeast VA/east of US-13 in eastern NC. This is in addition to
ongoing coastal flood concerns in many of these same areas (see
the coastal flood section below). As additional rain bands
pivot inland, expect higher rain totals to push west into areas
around and just east of I-95 over south central VA. The main
change to the forecast this morning was shifting the higher PoPs
further SE due to the rain bands staying closer to the center of
the storm this morning. Tropical moisture will be funneled
north into the region later this morning and this afternoon, as
strong 800-1000 kg/m/s Integrated Water Transport (IVT) lifts
north into the area later this morning through this afternoon,
in the presence of PW values in the 1.8-2.2". This portends
several rounds of heavy rainfall over the I-95 corridor from
interior NE NC up into the RIC metro area, with the heaviest
rainfall occurring along the theta-e ridge on the northern
periphery of the decaying circulation of Ophelia. WPC has
the Richmond Metro area/Tri-Cities area into Northampton (NC)
in a Moderate Risk for Excessive Rainfall (ERO). Rainfall
totals have been nudged upwards slightly along the I-95 corridor
but are still in the 4-6" range for the RIC metro south to
Emporia and Roanoke Rapids, NC. Slightly lower totals on either
side of this axis of heavier rainfall, but additional rainfall
of 2-4" expected for most of our area through early Sunday
morning.

Besides the ongoing flooding and wind threats, still have a
marginal risk for a transient tornado or two through this
afternoon E of I-95 along the occluded front and in an area of
~70F dewpoints. SPC has maintained a marginal risk for this
reason.

Temps as of 930 AM ranged from the mid 50s NW to mid 70s SE with
CAD showing up nicely in both temps and dews (Emporia had a 61F
dewpoint while Suffolk had a 73 degree dewpoint). High temps in
the lower to mid 60s W and upper 70s E. Rain tapers off first
across the SE late this afternoon, and then from S to N late
tonight into Sun morning as drier air pushes in behind Ophelia.
Rain chances slowly drop off through the overnight hours, but
remaining partly to mostly cloudy with lows in the upper 50s W
to upper 60s E, and Sat night in the upper 50s W and mid 60s E.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 315 AM EDT Saturday...

The remnants of Tropical Storm Ophelia weaken quickly on Sun as
it lifts N out of the FA. However, remnant low looks to
linger near the Eastern Shore Sunday into early Mon as high
pressure slowly builds back S from Canada into New England. This
will keep the area locked in considerable cloud cover with some
spotty showers possible, especially across the northern half of
the FA. Highs Sunday in the mid to upper 60s far NW to lower
80s SE with some partial clearing. Lows Sun night in the mid
50s W to mid 60s E Sun night.

By early Monday, the remnant low of Ophelia lingers near the Eastern
Shore as high pressure slowly builds back S from Canada into New
England. As such, it will remain unsettled with plentiful clouds
across the N half of the FA and partial clearing across the S half.
Cannot rule out isolated light showers across far N portions of the
area continuing into Monday afternoon/evening (with the highest
chance over the Eastern Shore). Highs on Monday range from the upper
60s to lower 70s north to the upper 70s to around 80 across the
south (where we see more clearing). Remaining unsettled (especially
north) Monday night as the remnant low pivots back to the SE. As a
result, have chance PoPs spreading from N to S through the night,
but overall rain amounts should remain light. Lows Monday night will
generally range from the upper 50s to lower 60s (mid 60s further
SE/at the coast).

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 315 AM EDT Saturday...

The extended period is still trending unsettled, though there
remains a large degree of variability among the global models.
Aloft, troughing remains over the E w/ potentially a closed upper
low forming over the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas by the end of the
week. The 500 mb map looks very characteristic of an omega block
during this time. The surface pattern will be dominated by strong
(1035+ mb) and persistent high pressure to our N, which will ridge
southward into the area into midweek. This will favor a CAD
situation for our inland areas and potential low pressure formation
off the coast. In fact, the GFS indicates the remnant vorticity of
TS Ophelia may have some association w/ this midweek system. The
ECMWF remains less extreme and doesn't develop a closed low, but
still maintains unsettled/wet conditions. Either way, tightened
pressure gradient continues onshore flow and moist low-level flow
off of the water. PoPs have been raised through most of next week to
30-40% (not any higher at this time due to uncertainty) with temps
trending lower inland where the CAD will be most pronounced. 60s for
highs will be common across the W and NW, with 70s probable across
the SE. These temps could be lower along the coast if widespread
precip develops in the wake of onshore flow. Lows will be in the 50s
and 60s (lowest W away from the water).

&&

.AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 315 AM EDT Saturday...

Tropical Storm Ophelia continues to lift N and eventually across
the region through Sun, bringing a prolonged period of possible
heavy rain, reduced CIGs and VSBYs. Periods of rain, moderate
to heavy at times will continue over the terminals into Sat
night, with axis of heaviest rainfall shifting toward RIC-PHF
and points SSW today. CIGs will be lower MVFR or IFR through
this period. NE winds will increase this morning, as Ophelia
approaches the area. Winds increase to 20-25 kt with gusts ~35
kt inland and 40-45 kt near the coast. Winds become N at RIC
this morning, but remain NE for the rest of the terminals.
Expect a strong NE or E wind Sat morning, to become SE or S at
PHF/ORF/ECG this aftn into Sat night, while gradually
diminishing.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 330 AM EDT Saturday...

Tropical Storm Ophelia is track northwest towards the southern
NC coast, and will be making landfall early this morning. Winds
have come down slightly this morning across North Carolina and
southern Virginia waters, but remain strong north of Cape Henry.
Winds will diminish farther north as later this morning.
Southerly winds will increase today as TS Ophelia track north
towards, then across the area.

As TS Ophelia tracks NW across eastern NC this morning, there
will be an increased threat for waterspouts (especially across
the southern Chesapeake Bay and Atlantic Ocean coastal waters
south of Parramore Island, VA). The center of TS Ophelia is
forecasted to move north across the western portion of the
Albemarle Sound on Saturday afternoon. This will be the time
when the wind will become SSE and increase across northern NC
and southern VA waters to 30-35 kt with gusts 45-50 kt. The
tropical storm will quickly weaken as the center move into
southeast VA and track north inland of the western shore of the
Chesapeake Bay. A southerly wind increases farther north as the
center of the storm moves north with SSE winds at 30-35 kt with
gusts 40-45 kt. The wind then quickly decreases later Saturday
aftn into Saturday night as the storm weakens over the area. The
storm moves NE of the area by Sunday. The will likely remain
very elevated as they turn SW and W on the backside, before
gradually subsiding by Sunday evening and Monday.

Seas will be 15-20 ft. Waves in the Chesapeake Bay will be 6-9
ft, but even higher (9-11 ft) at the mouth of the bay.

Strong high pressure builds N of the region Tuesday through mid to
late next week, with the potential for at least an inverted trough
developing off the Carolina coast. Therefore, a NE wind is expected
to return with the current forecast depicting 15-25kt with seas of 5-
8ft.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 345 AM EDT Saturday...

Storm Surge Warnings remain in effect for the Virginia
Tidewaters and northeast North Carolina. In addition, Coastal
Flood Warnings remains in effect for the
Rappahannock/York/James rivers in areas west of the Storm Surge
Warning (to Tappahannock/West Point/Hopewell) for moderate to
perhaps locally major flooding, which corresponds to 1 to
locally 3 feet of inundation AGL in vulnerable areas. Lastly,
the CFAs have been upgraded to Coastal Flood Warnings for the MD
Eastern Shore (both the bay and ocean side) for moderate to
perhaps locally major flooding.

Many locations across Hampton Roads have reach moderate to major
flooding with Saturday morning's high tide. This will likely be
the highest waters levels for this event. The next high tide
cycle Saturday afternoon may be just as high, but most likely a
half of foot or one foot lower. The Albemarle Sound and
Currituck Sound will likely have a push of water as the low
moves northward on Saturday when winds turn to the S-SE,
bringing the potential for 2-4 ft of inundation AGL in
vulnerable areas from Edenton to Elizabeth City and points east.
Even the western part of the Albemarle sound may see a push of
water due to the N-NE winds. This will be a prolonged event for
all areas, with the low tide Saturday morning struggling to drop
below flood stage. Moderate to major tidal flooding will likely
continue through the high tide cycle Sat aftn/evening. Water
levels in the upper bay (and Atlantic coast of MD) will likely
peak during the aftn/evening high tide cycle on Sat. There
should be an appreciable drop in water levels by Sat night-Sun
AM in the lower bay and SE VA/NE NC coast as winds subside, but
levels will be very slow to drop in the upper bay (w/ moderate
flooding expected in spots through Sunday).

In general, have not made much in the way of changes to the forecast
even though the 12z/22 ETSS guidance is about 0.2-0.5 feet lower
than the overnight guidance. This is because we are still expecting
very strong NE winds shifting to the S-SE (and water levels have
overperformed with respect to ETSS forecasts when we have had very
strong NE winds in past events).

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...Tropical Storm Warning for MDZ021>025.
     Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for MDZ021>025.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 4 PM EDT Sunday for MDZ021>023.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 6 PM EDT Sunday for MDZ024-025.
NC...Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ012>017-030>032-102.
     Flood Watch through Sunday morning for NCZ012.
     Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ013>017-030>032-102.
VA...Tropical Storm Warning for VAZ075>078-084>086-089-090-092-093-
     095>100-523>525.
     Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for VAZ075>078-085-099.
     Flood Watch through Sunday morning for VAZ048-060>062-064>069-
     079>083-087-088-509>522.
     Flood Watch through late tonight for VAZ084-086-089-090-092-
     093-095>098-100-523>525.
     Coastal Flood Warning until midnight EDT tonight for VAZ076-
     081>083-518-521-522.
MARINE...Tropical Storm Warning for ANZ630>638-650-652-654-656-658.
&&

SYNOPSIS...MAM
NEAR TERM...MAM/RMM
SHORT TERM...MAM
LONG TERM...SW
AVIATION...RMM/TMG
MARINE...AJZ/CP
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 23, 6:10 AM EST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

NCZ013>017-030>032-VAZ084-086-089-090-092-093-095>097-523>525-241115-
Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-
Perquimans-Gloucester-Mathews-Surry-James City-Southampton-
Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-York-
Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ102-VAZ098-100-241115-
Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-Northampton-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ099-241115-
Accomack-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ012-241115-
Northampton-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ021>023-241115-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ024-241115-
Inland Worcester-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ025-241115-
Maryland Beaches-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   Flood Watch.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ079-080-087-088-512>517-241115-
Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Greensville-Sussex-Eastern Hanover-
Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, east
central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ077-078-085-241115-
Northumberland-Lancaster-Middlesex-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ081>083-518-241115-
Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Eastern King William-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia and
south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ076-241115-
Richmond-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ048-060>062-064>069-509>511-519-520-241115-
Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-
Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-
Western Hanover-Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, east
central Virginia, north central Virginia and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ521-522-241115-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ075-241115-
Westmoreland-
710 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 23, 7:15 AM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
815 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0759 AM     Tropical Cyclone 3 NNE Ocean City        38.40N 75.06W
09/23/2023                   Worcester          MD   Public

            Report from mPING: Trees uprooted or
            snapped; Roof blown off.

&&
Local storm report, Sep 23, 7:18 AM EST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
818 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 AM     Coastal Flood    Downtown Norfolk        36.86N 76.29W
09/23/2023                   City of Norfolk    VA   Public

            Report from mPING: Street/road flooding;
            Street/road closed; Vehicles stranded.

&&
Local storm report, Sep 23, 7:28 AM EST, 4 hours 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
828 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1003 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Cradock                 36.80N 76.33W
09/22/2023  M46 MPH          City of Portsmouth VA   Public

            Peak wind gust at a personal weather station
            from Tropical Storm Ophelia.

&&
Local storm report, Sep 23, 9:41 AM EST, 2 hours 4 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1041 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     Rain             2 SW Saint Johns        36.01N 76.55W
09/23/2023  M5.15 inch       Chowan             NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-CW-20 Edenton 4.3 SE.

0700 AM     Rain             1 SE Nixonton           36.19N 76.25W
09/23/2023  M4.82 inch       Pasquotank         NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-PS-34 Elizabeth City 7.7
            SSW.

0900 AM     Rain             3 WSW Spences Corner    36.34N 76.25W
09/23/2023  M4.38 inch       Pasquotank         NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-PS-22 Elizabeth City 3.5
            NNW.

0700 AM     Rain             Edenton                 36.06N 76.60W
09/23/2023  M4.35 inch       Chowan             NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-CW-57 Edenton 0.5 NE.

0700 AM     Rain             South Mills             36.44N 76.33W
09/23/2023  M4.06 inch       Camden             NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-CA-4 South Mills 0.1 SW.

0700 AM     Rain             2 SW Burgess            36.12N 76.43W
09/23/2023  M3.87 inch       Perquimans         NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-PR-5 Hertford 5.2 SSE.

0700 AM     Rain             2 NNE Snug Harbor       36.11N 76.42W
09/23/2023  M3.80 inch       Perquimans         NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-PR-15 Hertford 6.0 SSE.

0700 AM     Rain             3 W Elizabeth City      36.30N 76.27W
09/23/2023  M3.77 inch       Pasquotank         NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-PS-1 Elizabeth City 2.6
            W.

0700 AM     Rain             2 WNW Weeksville        36.22N 76.20W
09/23/2023  M3.75 inch       Pasquotank         NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-PS-27 Elizabeth City 5.1
            SSE.

0700 AM     Rain             3 SSW Somerset          36.02N 76.48W
09/23/2023  M3.74 inch       Chowan             NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-CW-59 Edenton 7.4 ESE.

0700 AM     Rain             1 NNE London Bridge     36.86N 76.05W
09/23/2023  M3.67 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-67 Virginia Beach
            8.1 N.

0800 AM     Rain             1 NNW Arrowhead Beach   36.23N 76.70W
09/23/2023  M3.58 inch       Chowan             NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-CW-28 Edenton 13.3 NNW.

0700 AM     Rain             2 NNE Princess Anne     36.77N 76.04W
09/23/2023  M3.57 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-13 Virginia Beach
            2.4 N.

0800 AM     Rain             2 S Greenbrier          36.75N 76.21W
09/23/2023  M3.54 inch       City of Chesapeake VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-CSC-17 Chesapeake 7.3
            NE.

0700 AM     Rain             2 NNW Hickory           36.68N 76.24W
09/23/2023  M3.40 inch       City of Chesapeake VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-CSC-32 1 NNW Hickory.

0700 AM     Rain             1 NNE Princess Anne Pla 36.85N 76.08W
09/23/2023  M3.32 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-68 Virginia Beach
            8.2 NNW.

0415 AM     Rain             2 S Nixonton            36.18N 76.27W
09/23/2023  M3.30 inch       Perquimans         NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-PR-14 Hertford 11.4 E.

0800 AM     Rain             2 SE Elizabeth City     36.28N 76.19W
09/23/2023  M3.16 inch       Pasquotank         NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-PS-29 Elizabeth City 1.8
            SE.

0730 AM     Rain             3 NW Zuni               36.89N 76.85W
09/23/2023  M3.11 inch       Southampton        VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-ST-19 Ivor 2.7 ESE.

0830 AM     Rain             2 NE Ark                37.46N 76.54W
09/23/2023  M3.11 inch       Gloucester         VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-GC-4 Gloucester
            Courthouse 3.5 NNW.

0700 AM     Rain             2 SSE Deep Creek        36.72N 76.33W
09/23/2023  M3.02 inch       City of Chesapeake VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-CSC-26 Chesapeake 3.1
            NNW.

0820 AM     Rain             2 SSE Norfolk Internati 36.86N 76.18W
09/23/2023  M3.01 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-65 Virginia Beach
            11.5 NW.

0700 AM     Rain             2 N Sigma               36.75N 75.99W
09/23/2023  M2.99 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-21 Virginia Beach
            3.1 ENE.

0930 AM     Rain             1 S Norview             36.88N 76.25W
09/23/2023  M2.94 inch       City of Norfolk    VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-NRC-5 Norfolk 3.0 S.

0700 AM     Rain             3 SSE Herberts Corner   36.69N 76.28W
09/23/2023  M2.91 inch       City of Chesapeake VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-CSC-15 Chesapeake 1.8
            NE.

0700 AM     Rain             Cradock                 36.80N 76.33W
09/23/2023  M2.82 inch       City of Portsmouth VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-PRC-2 Portsmouth 4.1
            SSE.

0756 AM     Rain             1 W Hunterdale          36.70N 76.98W
09/23/2023  M2.80 inch       Southampton        VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-ST-16 Franklin 2.6 WNW.

0700 AM     Rain             2 SW Dam Neck           36.76N 76.00W
09/23/2023  M2.79 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-40 Virginia Beach
            3.1 ENE.

0600 AM     Rain             Hunterdale              36.70N 76.96W
09/23/2023  M2.75 inch       City of Franklin   VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-FRC-3 Hunterdale.

0724 AM     Rain             2 WNW Kilby             36.74N 76.67W
09/23/2023  M2.75 inch       City of Suffolk    VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-SFC-11 Suffolk 3.1 NNW.

0800 AM     Rain             3 NNE London Bridge     36.88N 76.03W
09/23/2023  M2.75 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-34 Virginia Beach
            9.5 N.

0800 AM     Rain             1 SE Onley              37.68N 75.71W
09/23/2023  M2.73 inch       Accomack           VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-AC-7 Onley 0.6 SE.

0700 AM     Rain             1 E Grandy              36.24N 75.87W
09/23/2023  M2.68 inch       Currituck          NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-CC-15 Grandy 0.6 E.

0700 AM     Rain             3 N London Bridge       36.89N 76.04W
09/23/2023  M2.64 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-62 Virginia Beach
            10.1 N.

0830 AM     Rain             Oceana                  36.84N 76.01W
09/23/2023  M2.61 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-63 Virginia Beach
            7.2 NNE.

0700 AM     Rain             1 NNE Point Harbor      36.09N 75.80W
09/23/2023  M2.60 inch       Currituck          NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-CC-17 Point Harbor 0.6
            NNW.

0700 AM     Rain             1 SSW Gallups Corner    36.78N 76.14W
09/23/2023  M2.54 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-30 Virginia Beach
            6.0 WNW.

0700 AM     Rain             1 SSW Beulah            37.38N 76.45W
09/23/2023  M2.49 inch       Gloucester         VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-GC-24 Ware Neck 1.6 SSE.

0700 AM     Rain             4 SSW Modest Town       37.76N 75.59W
09/23/2023  M2.43 inch       Accomack           VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-AC-16 Metompkin 0.9 SE.

0700 AM     Rain             2 NW Deanes             36.86N 76.49W
09/23/2023  M2.37 inch       City of Suffolk    VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-SFC-25 Suffolk 13.4 NE.

0600 AM     Rain             1 NW Northampton        37.06N 76.44W
09/23/2023  M2.36 inch       City of Hampton    VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-HMC-7 Hampton 8.1 W.

0713 AM     Rain             1 W Kilby               36.72N 76.65W
09/23/2023  M2.35 inch       City of Suffolk    VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-SFC-23 Suffolk 1.4 NNW.

0715 AM     Rain             1 SW Ivor               36.89N 76.91W
09/23/2023  M2.33 inch       Southampton        VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-ST-5 Ivor 1.0 SW.

0800 AM     Rain             1 N Ware Neck           37.42N 76.46W
09/23/2023  M2.32 inch       Gloucester         VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-GC-27 Gloucester
            Courthouse 3.8 ENE.

0700 AM     Rain             1 S Dutton              37.47N 76.47W
09/23/2023  M2.24 inch       Gloucester         VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-GC-29 James Store 1.5
            WNW.

0630 AM     Rain             Northampton             37.05N 76.42W
09/23/2023  M2.19 inch       City of Hampton    VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-HMC-4 Hampton 7.2 W.

0500 AM     Rain             3 E Bishopville         38.45N 75.13W
09/23/2023  M2.18 inch       Worcester          MD   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station MD-WR-4 Bishopville 3.1 E.

0700 AM     Rain             1 S Newport News        37.06N 76.51W
09/23/2023  M2.17 inch       City of Newport NewVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-NNC-23 Newport News 0.9
            S.

0800 AM     Rain             2 E Clay Bank           37.37N 76.55W
09/23/2023  M2.17 inch       Gloucester         VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-GC-8 Gloucester
            Courthouse 3.3 SSW.

0707 AM     Rain             1 SSE Langley View      37.05N 76.36W
09/23/2023  M2.16 inch       City of Hampton    VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-HMC-18 Hampton 3.4 W.

0600 AM     Rain             1 ENE Cardinal          37.43N 76.36W
09/23/2023  M2.11 inch       Mathews            VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-MT-2 Mathews 2.2 WSW.

0700 AM     Rain             1 WSW Beaconsdale       37.05N 76.50W
09/23/2023  M2.10 inch       City of Newport NewVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-NNC-22 1 WSW
            Beaconsdale.

0700 AM     Rain             3 SW Ocean City Municip 38.29N 75.16W
09/23/2023  M2.08 inch       Worcester          MD   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station MD-WR-31 Berlin 3.9 SE.

0700 AM     Rain             Point Harbor            36.08N 75.80W
09/23/2023  M2.07 inch       Currituck          NC   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NC-CC-10 Point Harbor 0.2
            WSW.

0800 AM     Rain             2 NW Princess Anne Plaz 36.86N 76.12W
09/23/2023  M2.05 inch       City of Virginia BeVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-VBC-58 Virginia Beach
            9.1 NNW.

0800 AM     Rain             2 W Ordinary            37.31N 76.56W
09/23/2023  M2.05 inch       Gloucester         VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-GC-16 Gloucester Point
            4.7 NW.

0700 AM     Rain             Snow Hill               38.17N 75.39W
09/23/2023  M2.04 inch       Worcester          MD   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station MD-WR-14 Snow Hill 0.4 S.

0700 AM     Rain             Beaconsdale             37.06N 76.47W
09/23/2023  M2.03 inch       City of Newport NewVA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-NNC-12 Newport News 2.5
            ESE.

0700 AM     Rain             2 N Harcum              37.54N 76.51W
09/23/2023  M2.03 inch       Gloucester         VA   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station VA-GC-26 Gloucester
            Courthouse 9.1 N.

&&
Local storm report, Sep 23, 10:09 AM EST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1109 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 AM     Tropical Cyclone 3 S Booth Fork          36.94N 76.95W
09/23/2023                   Southampton        VA   NWS Employee

            Powerline down on US-460W. Right lane
            closed.

&&

AM
Local storm report, Sep 23, 11:37 AM EST, 8 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1237 PM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 AM     Storm Surge      Elizabeth City          36.30N 76.22W
09/23/2023                   Pasquotank         NC   Public

            Picture on social media of a flooded park in
            downtown Elizabeth City.

&&

AM

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 30 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:45 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Southampton

When
September 23, 11:45 AM EST to 6:00 PM EST
Where
Southampton County, 0.89 mi NE of Story to 0.7 mi NE of Story
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
36.710, -77.010

Storys Station Road (Route 611) was closed due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Greensville

When
September 23, 3:36 PM EST to 6:00 PM EST
Where
Greensville County, 1.66 mi W of Kingsberry to 2.3 mi WSW of Kingsberry
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
36.720, -77.580

High water was reported on several roads in various parts of the county.

Flash Flood, Chesterfield

When
September 23, 3:43 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Chesterfield County, 2.14 mi NNW of Walthal to 1.97 mi E of Chester
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.350, -77.410

High water was reported at the intersection of Route 10 and Route 1 in Chester. This was confirmed by VDOT camera and social media.

Flash Flood, Dinwiddie

When
September 23, 4:19 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Dinwiddie County, 1.38 mi S of Jack to 1.45 mi S of Jack
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
37.180, -77.500

High water was reported on Boydton Plank Road in Dinwiddie county.

Flash Flood, Richmond (C)

When
September 23, 4:42 PM EST to 9:15 PM EST
Where
Richmond (C) County, 43.97 mi WSW of Wellford to 43.79 mi WSW of Wellford
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.540, -77.450

High water was reported at the intersection of Belvidere Street and Canal Street per VDOT cameras.

Flash Flood, Richmond (C)

When
September 23, 5:10 PM EST to 9:15 PM EST
Where
Richmond (C) County, 48.06 mi SW of Wellford to 48.26 mi SW of Wellford
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.470, -77.480

High water was reported at the intersection of Walmsley Boulevard and Broad Rock Boulevard via VDOT cameras.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, September 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1141167, 1141168, 1141169, 1141170, 1141173, 1142121.