Utah, 2023

Avalanche and Heavy Snow in Utah, March 26 to 27, 2023

March 26 to 27, 2023 · NWS SLC · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Another winter storm brought accumulating snow, primarily to northern Utah, though limited warning criteria amounts were reported. Additionally, a second avalanche fatality for the month is noted.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SLC wrote it up.

Another winter storm brought accumulating snow, primarily to northern Utah, though limited warning criteria amounts were reported. Additionally, a second avalanche fatality for the month is noted.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Salt Lake City, UT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 25, 2:57 PM MST, 11 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 25, 2:57 PM MST, 11 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
357 PM MDT Sat Mar 25 2023

.SYNOPSIS...Snow showers are forecast through the weekend across
northern Utah and southwest Wyoming as low pressure to the north
continues to impact the region. A brief break in the weather is
expected late Monday into Tuesday before increasing southwest flow
brings another moist storm system into the area for the middle of
next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM (Through 12Z/6AM Monday)...Upper air analysis and
water vapor imagery show a broad mid-level low extending from
Colorado northwestward into south-central Wyoming. Farther
upstream, another low can be seen dropping southeastward to near
Boise as of 3PM MDT. Both features are helping to maintain modest
cyclonic flow across northern Utah and SW Wyoming. When combined
with ~100J/kg of SBCAPE and steep low to mid-level lapse rates, an
environment favorable for scattered, convectively-driven snow
showers and graupel is in place across northern Utah and SW
Wyoming. Indeed, recent radar, satellite and surface observation
trends confirm this. While the duration of this activity will be
limited over any one location, can't rule out briefly heavy
precipitation rates. Recently, the Evanston ASOS recorded 1/4 mile
visibility with heavy snow under one of the more robust showers.
Similarly poor conditions will be consistent with heavier
activity later this afternoon and early evening. Reduced
visibility and perhaps some brief, local slick spots (particularly
after sunset if any wet surfaces are able to freeze before drying)
will be the primary impacts with this activity. CAMs are in good
agreement showing a gradual decline in intensity and coverage of
shower activity through the evening. The break in the action is
rather short-lived, however.

Model consensus then brings the upstream wave over SW Idaho into
SE Idaho by Sunday morning. This low is then expected to linger in
this general area through Monday morning. The low will enhance
the cyclonic flow across the area as well as send several
shortwaves across northern Utah and SW Wyoming. First batch of
snow showers shown on the HREF mean associated with the lead
shortwave develop between 2AM and 4AM tonight across the Wasatch
north of I-80 and then expand across the Bear River Range, Cache
Valley, SW Wyoming, Wastach south of I-80 and the western Uintas
through Sunday morning. A relatively new feature of this forecast
is an band of enhanced frontogenesis associated with a southward
advancing cold front Sunday afternoon/evening. Widespread snow
showers associated with this boundary are expected to continue to
expand southward along the central and southern mountains and
adjacent valleys through the day. Instability profile and thermal
structure of the atmosphere look similar to what is in place
across northern Utah this afternoon, so would expect a similar
look and feel, with brief but locally heavy snow showers,
especially from late afternoon through early evening. Difference
will be activity will extend much farther south when compared to
today.

25.12Z deterministic models indicate another relatively new
forecast feature, and that is a trailing wave dropping south
across northern Utah and SW Wyoming Sunday night into Monday
morning. This feature now intersects the tail-end of the CAM
forecast time range, and majority of CAMs show snow showers
dropping southward across the Wasatch Front late Sunday night into
early Monday morning, with a 30-40% chance for 1"/hr snowfall
rates. There does appear to be some characteristics of a lake-
enhanced band present in the model reflectivity fields, and
soundings do indicate steep lapse rates, plentiful moisture and
sufficient lift in the DGZ combined with up to 900J/kg of lake-
induced CAPE -- all features consistent with a a healthy lake
enhanced event. Will need to monitor this feature closely,
because if the current forecast verifies it would result in Monday
morning commute impacts across the Wasatch Front. Upper end of
the forecast distribution is concerning, with NBM 24-hr snowfall
probabilities at from 5PM to 5PM indicating a 6% chance of >6"
and 4% chance of >8" at KSLC. Most likely scenario is 2" during
this time frame, but a worst case scenario represented by the
upper end of the distribution represents what a heavier, more
stationary lake enhanced band might be capable of producing. With
any lake effect/lake enhanced activity, confidence in the what,
where, when and how much details are low, and the forecast outcome
is sensitive to many small-scale features aligning just right,
and large differences in snowfall totals over short distances are
common with these features. This uncertainty is well-represented
on the flip side, with a 48% chance that no snow falls at all in
the same period. If it snows, heavy snow can't be ruled out. We'll
continue to refine these probabilities as we get closer.

Otherwise, temperatures through the period will continue to be
more reminiscent of January rather than late March across Utah
and SW Wyoming with high temperatures continuing to run ~20
degrees below normal.

.LONG TERM (After 12Z/6AM Sunday)...The extended forecast period
remains mostly unchanged with a brief clearing and quiet day on
Monday before the effects of the next large scale trough begin to
effect the area on Tuesday. This storm is expected to have a
Wednesday arrival for precipitation and lasting into Friday morning
with some quiet weather to end the extended period.

As the current longwave trough pattern lifts to our east we see
winds shift to zonal/northwesterly flow overhead. This will bring
about a short lived ridging pattern allowing for some slight clearing
over parts of the CWA on Monday. The next trough that has its
origins from the far NW part of CONUS will already be amplifying off
the west coast and as it enters the Great Basin region will drive
some warmer air from the south into the area that will warm the CWA
slightly ahead of the precip. With warmer temperatures on Tuesday we
also expect stronger winds ahead of the troughs baroclinic zone with
the strongest winds peaking Tuesday evening into the overnight hours
as the system amplifies across the region. Model guidance has
decreased on the wind threat with peak values coming in the mid to
upper 30s (mph) as models have had more agreement on the overall
amplitude and depth of this trough.

The large scale trough is expected to drive in warmer temperatures
for valley floors which will likely limit snowfall amounts below
6000 ft. across Utah. The warm atmospheric river type event will
much like many others this winter setup the storm with sufficient
moisture with its synoptic forcing that will produce substantial
snowfall across many high elevation areas. The Wednesday morning
arrival could coincide with the work commute but overall impacts,
primarily for valleys will likely be locally driven as it'll be
depends on that areas ability to hold onto the warmer temperatures
and produce rain rather than snow.

The trough axis will be through the CWA by Friday, bringing
northwesterly flow and some continued orographics over the northern
and central Wasatch before drying up by midday. Friday afternoon and
into the weekend we look to move into a ridging pattern with
uncertainty growing beyond this but overall guidance favoring the
continuation of winter weather and adding to our record snowpack!

&&

.AVIATION...KSLC...Scattered snow showers will last through around
03Z, with snow chances decreasing overnight. Northwest winds will
transition to southeast around 04Z. Largely dry conditions are
likely through 12Z, with scattered snow showers from 12-15Z.
Scattered snow showers are likely from 20-03Z. Any snow shower could
drop conditions into MVFR range briefly, but VFR conditions will
prevail.

.REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...Scattered snow showers will
diminish into the evening in southwest Wyoming and northern Utah
with dry conditions throughout southern Utah. Mostly dry conditions
will last through the overnight, but scattered snow showers are
expected throughout southwest Wyoming and northern Utah much of the
day. Scattered snow showers are likely from 18-03Z in southern Utah.
VFR conditions will prevail, but could lower into MVFR range with
any snow shower.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...None.
WY...None.

&&

ADeSmet/Selbig/Wilson

For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 heavy snow, 1 avalanche. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, Northern Wasatch Front

When
March 26, 2:00 AM MST to March 27, 5:00 PM MST
Where
Northern Wasatch Front forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.131, -112.012 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A combination of COOP and CoCoRaHS observer reports included snowfall amounts of 6.0 inches in South Ogden, 10.0 inches at 1 NE Layton, and 15.0 inches in Layton.

Heavy Snow, Wasatch Mountains I-80 North

When
March 26, 2:00 AM PDT to March 27, 5:00 PM PDT
Where
Wasatch Mountains I-80 North forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
41.220, -111.818 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Several SNOTEL stations including Pineview Dam, Hardscrabble, and Parrish Creek recorded 1.7 to 3.1 inches of snow water equivalent, resulting in approximately 20 to 36 inches of snow.

Avalanche, Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains

When
March 27, 4:30 PM MST to 5:15 PM MST
Where
Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
40.689, -112.452 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

At some time between approximately 5:30 pm to 6:15 pm Monday 3/27, a large avalanche in the Pole Canyon area of the southern Oquirrh Mountains resulted in the full burial of a snowmobiler. A second snowmobiler who was not buried was able to call for emergency services, and search and rescue began soon thereafter for the buried snowmobiler. The buried snowmobiler was equipped with a beacon, and by 8:48 pm the body of the deceased 38-year-old man was recovered under approximately 13.2 feet of snow. The buried avalanche victim had deployed an avalanche airbag, but the airbag was deflated when the victim was found. This large avalanche was reported to have a fracture line 4250 feet wide, traveling a horizontal distance of 1.26 miles (2360 vertical feet downhill).

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Avalanche, Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains2023-03-2738MaleOutside/Open AreasDirect

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
Avalanche
A mass of snow sliding down a mountainside that caused a death, an injury or damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Utah in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Utah, March 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1088831, 1088834, 1088836.