Utah, 2023

Damaging Winds in Utah, July 1, 2023

July 1, 2023 · NWS SLC · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A cluster of thunderstorms and associated outflow winds moved across the Great Salt Lake on the evening of July 1. Some of these winds were strong to severe.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SLC wrote it up.

A cluster of thunderstorms and associated outflow winds moved across the Great Salt Lake on the evening of July 1. Some of these winds were strong to severe.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Salt Lake City, UT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 1, 9:07 PM MST, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 9:07 PM MST, 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
1007 PM MDT Sat Jul 1 2023

.UPDATE...Persistent line of thunderstorms that began over far
northwest Utah is currently over the Great Salt Lake and
approaching portions of the Wasatch Front this evening. Though it
seems to be weakening, have added scattered POPs for this area
until midnight. Going forecast otherwise looks good and no
additional updates are planned. Previous discussion follows,
aviation section updated.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure will strengthen across the region
bringing a warming and drying trend heading into the Fourth of
July.

&&

.SHORT TERM (Through 12Z Monday)...A more typical summer pattern
is finally setting up across the region. Afternoon upper air and
satellite analysis indicate a ~594 dam upper level ridge centered
south of Lake Tahoe. The northern jet remains fairly active with a
series of shortwave troughs largely remaining well to the north of
the Great Basin.

A shortwave trough is currently crossing eastern Idaho into
Montana and Wyoming. An area of convergence is noted with the
shortwave trough across southern Idaho. Radar trends over the last
few hours show relatively weak convection has developed along this
convergence, with a few thunderstorms approaching far northern
Utah.

Current mesoanalysis indicates SBCAPE values near 1000 J/kg along
the immediate Utah/Idaho border region with deep layer shear near
30 kts. This may allow at least a transitory threat of deeper
convection with gusty winds and small hail along the immediate
border region. CAMS indicate showers and perhaps an embedded
thunderstorm may cross northeastern Utah this evening into
tonight.

Sunday will be even warmer than today, with temperatures
approaching mid to perhaps upper 90s along the Wasatch front and
nearing 107 to 109 across lower Washington County. As it hasn't
been this warm yet this year, remember to be heat safe!

.LONG TERM (After 12Z Monday)...A hot start to the long term
forecast period expected as a stout mid level ridge remains more
or less anchored through the SW CONUS. On Monday, mid to upper 90s
are forecast throughout the Wasatch Front, with NBM probabilities
suggesting around a 25% chance to see the first 100 degree day at
KSLC. Many locations in far southern Utah will see temperatures
exceeding 100 degrees, with the greater St. George area pushing
near the 110 mark. For the northern portion of the forecast
region, one caveat is the influence of a weak grazing trough.
Energy associated with this feature along with a bit of moisture
will yield the chance for some very widely isolated precipitation.
That said, PoPs are still unlikely enough to preclude mention in
all but a handful of spots, such as the UT/ID border region,
portions of the Wasatch Back into the Bear River Valley, southwest
Wyoming, and high elevations of the Uintas.

On Tuesday (The Fourth of July), the aforementioned trough will
continue to slide eastward, grazing the northern portions of the
forecast region, and resulting in a weak surface boundary pushing
in. At the very least, these features will help knock afternoon
temperatures down several degrees in northern Utah and southwest
Wyoming, with highs along the Wasatch front generally in the upper
80s to low 90s. Precipitation looks even less likely, with
mentionable PoPs only noted from southwest Wyoming into the high
terrain of the Uintas. Further south the effects will be more
muted, but will still yield a cooldown of a few degrees.
Additionally, tightened surface pressure gradient in combination
with a belt of enhanced 700mb winds will help bring about some
gustier conditions to southern and eastern Utah Tuesday afternoon
and evening, with gusts around 30 to 40 mph expected.

From midweek onward, influence of the ridge is generally expected
to dominate, with dry conditions persisting and temperatures
largely running above climatological normal. Otherwise, only
feature of note is another trough digging into the PacNW Friday
into the weekend, which looks to result in a bit more enhanced
southwesterly flow atop the region, and the potential for some
lower end gusty conditions in southern Utah.

&&

.AVIATION...KSLC...A line of showers and thunderstorms is
weakening as it approaches the Wasatch Front. Still, the line is
expected to bring a temporary wind shift to the northwest at some
point between 05Z and 07Z, with a return to southerly winds
thereafter. There is a 30 percent chance of wind gusts in excess
of 30 mph associated with these storms. VFR conditions will
prevail with no additional shower activity anticipated overnight
into tomorrow.

.REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...VFR conditions with mostly
clear skies and diurnally driven winds will persist as high
pressure builds into the region. The only exception is for areas
near the Great Salt Lake and the Wasatch Front where a weakening
area of thunderstorms could bring areas of gusty winds through the
remainder of the evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A more typical for early July weather pattern
will evolve over the next few days, with high pressure building
across the Great Basin. This will bring a hot, dry trend into
early next week to the region. As southwesterly flow builds into
the state early next week ahead of a weak cold front, gusty winds
can be expected Monday and Tuesday across central and southern
Utah. Very dry minimum humidities are expected each day,
especially across central and southern Utah, with poor overnight
recoveries.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

Traphagan/Kruse/Warthen/Mahan

For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

The radar

The Salt Lake City radar (KMTX), 25 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 04:17 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Box Elder

When
July 1, 9:20 PM MST to 9:35 PM MST
Where
Box Elder County, 11.84 mi SSW of Saline
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
41.070, -112.590

The Hat Island mesonet station recorded a peak wind gust of 59 mph at 9:20 pm MST as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area. A second strong wind gust of 58 mph was recorded at 9:30 pm before winds began to subside.

Thunderstorm Wind, Davis

When
July 1, 10:36 PM MST to 10:41 PM MST
Where
Davis County, West Pt
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
41.120, -112.080

A tree was downed in West Point. Time estimated by radar.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Utah in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Utah, July 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1100622, 1100623.