Thunderstorms developed along a cold front as it moved southward through South Central Texas. Some of these storms produced damaging wind gusts.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
Thunderstorms developed along a cold front as it moved southward through South Central Texas. Some of these storms produced damaging wind gusts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 5, 12:07 AM CST, 4 hours 40 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 107 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 101 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023 A weak frontal/outflow boundary is pushing across the northern part of the Hill Country as of 1 AM. This boundary is forecast to push across the area overnight into Thursday morning. A secondary frontal boundary is forecast to push across the local area around day break and exiting shortly after mid day. Scattered to numerous showers and isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected through the period. Severe weather is not anticipated with this activity, however, can't rule out a few strong storms as the secondary boundary pushes across the I-35 corridor and coastal plains close to day break and mid morning hours. Estimated highest rainfall amounts associated with this event could range from one quarter to half inch with isolated pockets of one inch. Can't rule out a few places getting higher amounts. In the wake of the frontal boundary expect dry weather conditions for the most part with isolated showers and storms lingering around the Rio Grande for this afternoon. Also, cooler temperatures are expected with highs in the 80s over most areas and low 90s across portions of the Rio Grande. Dry weather conditions continue tonight into Friday morning with lows in 60s across the Hill Country, mid to upper 60s and low 70s across the I-35 corridor and the coastal plains. Can't rule a shower or two or a storm across the Rio Grande plains this evening or late tonight. Friday looks to be dry and cooler with mostly cloudy skies. High temperatures range from the mid to upper 80s across the Hill Country to the mid 80s across the rest of the local area. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 101 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023 We begin the long term forecast period with a cool, crisp, refreshing Saturday morning with temperatures in the 50s and 60s. After over 4 months of Hell's front porch, we'll be treated to several mornings in a row with temperatures in the 50s, and perhaps even some upper 40s in the Hill Country on Sunday morning. A secondary push of drier and cooler air will actually arrive late Friday night into early Saturday, with some rather breezy conditions to start the weekend out. Highs on Saturday will only climb into the 70s, with partly to mostly cloudy skies through the day. We should start to see more sunshine break through by Sunday but temperatures will remain a touch below normal, in the mid to upper 70s. Early next week, the overall upper level pattern remains rather transient, with the Subtropical jet remaining overhead through the early to middle part of the week. One element that is most in question is what happens over the eastern Pacific with regards to any sort of tropical development. The GFS and GEM continue to advertise a tropical system developing near the Baja of California and moving inland over central Mexico by mid to late week (Wed-Thu timeframe). Mid-level moisture may be able to team up with an approaching cold front Thursday-Friday and perhaps bring us our next shot at some decent rainfall. However, a lot of things need to fall into place for another widespread rainfall event. Nevertheless, the upper level pattern looks pretty set on sending another stronger cold front through the CWA on Friday. We'll have to use a bit of a wait and see approach with this next front and the timing of any potential tropical connection through the weekend. One more thing to note: even the ensembles are latching onto another front late next week, so even if we do warm back into the upper 80s and lower 90s, the warm up shouldn't last very long. Hopefully the timing of the next front will clear things out just in time for the Total Annular Eclipse on the 14th. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023 After an acceleration of the weak frontal boundary or strong outflow boundary in the evening, the forward speed has decelerated again. Thus we have the wind shift reaching AUS by 07Z and not getting into SAT/SSF until 10Z/11Z and DRT at 12Z. Storm intensity still looks to be capable of lowering VSBY to 1 mile for a short period, but mainly for the I-35 terminals. There rain chances will linger around longest at DRT where the front will be more shallow. Improvement to VFR for most areas should come in the midday hours, but not confident the timing in this package. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 82 67 85 60 / 70 10 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 82 67 85 58 / 70 10 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 86 69 87 63 / 90 10 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 82 65 83 57 / 70 10 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 89 70 88 66 / 80 10 10 10 Georgetown Muni Airport 82 66 84 58 / 60 10 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 87 68 85 63 / 90 10 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 84 67 85 60 / 90 10 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 82 68 84 62 / 100 10 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 85 70 86 64 / 100 10 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 87 71 87 67 / 90 10 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && Short-Term...17 Long-Term...MMM Aviation...17
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 439 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-060945- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 439 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. A few strong thunderstorms associated with the passage of a cold front could produce wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph and up to 50 mph. Otherwise, no hazard weather is expected for today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
200 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
TXZ172-173-190>194-050800-
Blanco TX-Williamson TX-Bastrop TX-Hays TX-Burnet TX-Lee TX-
Travis TX-
200 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Williamson,
northwestern Hays, Travis, northeastern Blanco, north central
Bastrop, northwestern Lee and south central Burnet Counties through
300 AM CDT...
At 200 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Granger Dam to near Round Rock to near
Smithwick. Movement was southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Austin, Round Rock, Cedar Park, Georgetown, Pflugerville, Taylor,
Elgin, Marble Falls, Dripping Springs, Granger, Lexington, Anderson
Mill, Windemere, Serenada, Leander, Hutto, Lakeway, Manor, Lago
Vista, and Bee Cave.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3074 9727 3046 9715 3056 9696 3054 9692
3049 9690 3046 9690 3046 9688 3043 9687
3043 9685 3028 9738 3021 9817 3063 9827
3068 9772 3077 9735
TIME...MOT...LOC 0700Z 317DEG 22KT 3069 9725 3060 9767 3053 9812
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
257 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
TXZ184-186-050845-
Kerr TX-Edwards TX-
257 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Kerr
and northeastern Edwards Counties through 345 AM CDT...
At 257 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles southeast of Telegraph, or 15 miles south of Junction, moving
east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Hunt, Mountain Home, Kerr Wildlife Management Area, Waltonia, Us-
83 Near The Kerr-Kimble County Line, I-10 Near The Kimble-
Kerr County Line, and The Intersection Of I-10 And Us 290.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3029 9930 3000 9929 3014 9986 3029 9983
TIME...MOT...LOC 0757Z 281DEG 31KT 3027 9975
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
332 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
TXZ171-186-188-050915-
Gillespie TX-Kerr TX-Llano TX-
332 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northeastern Kerr,
Gillespie and southwestern Llano Counties through 415 AM CDT...
At 332 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Hilda to Harper to near Kerr Wildlife
Management Area. Movement was east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Kerrville, Fredericksburg, Llano, Ingram, Hunt, Cherry Spring,
Enchanted Rock State Natural Area, Tivydale, Kerrville-Schreiner
Park, Doss, Kerr Wildlife Management Area, Waltonia, Harper, Prairie
Mountain, Mountain Home, Crabapple, Oxford, I-10 Near The Kimble-Kerr
County Line, and The Intersection Of I-10 And Us 290.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3026 9881 2996 9907 3006 9955 3029 9954
3029 9930 3050 9930 3050 9897 3069 9896
3075 9861
TIME...MOT...LOC 0832Z 275DEG 39KT 3057 9913 3029 9924 3002 9945
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
MMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
422 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
TXZ171-172-186>190-204>206-051000-
Comal TX-Bexar TX-Blanco TX-Gillespie TX-Kerr TX-Medina TX-Llano TX-
Bandera TX-Kendall TX-Burnet TX-
422 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northeastern Medina,
central Bandera, southeastern Kerr, Blanco, eastern Gillespie,
southern Llano, Kendall, southwestern Burnet, northwestern Bexar and
northwestern Comal Counties through 500 AM CDT...
At 422 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Enchanted Rock State Natural Area to
Blumenthal to near Old Tunnel State Park to near Comfort to near
Medina. Movement was east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Medina, Boerne, Fredericksburg, Kingsland, Comfort, Blanco, Bandera,
Round Mountain, Canyon Lake, Fair Oaks Ranch, Granite Shoals,
Bulverde, Horseshoe Bay, Johnson City, Stonewall, Highland Haven,
Guadalupe River State Park, Kendalia, Bandera Falls, and Rocky Hill.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3068 9831 3007 9829 2994 9835 2981 9849
2954 9895 2980 9943 2996 9908 3008 9893
3059 9884
TIME...MOT...LOC 0922Z 289DEG 31KT 3050 9878 3023 9876 3008 9879 2990
9894 2974 9919
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
MMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
507 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
TXZ189>191-205>207-051100-
Guadalupe TX-Comal TX-Bexar TX-Blanco TX-Hays TX-Kendall TX-
507 AM CDT Thu Oct 5 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Hays, northwestern
Guadalupe, southeastern Blanco, southeastern Kendall, northwestern
Bexar and Comal Counties through 600 AM CDT...
At 507 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Johnson City to Guadalupe River State Park
to Fair Oaks Ranch. Movement was east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
San Antonio, New Braunfels, San Marcos, Schertz, Kyle, Cibolo,
Universal City, Live Oak, Buda, Selma, Dripping Springs, Wimberley,
Blanco, Canyon Lake Dam, Randolph AFB, Canyon Lake, Fair Oaks Ranch,
Bulverde, Garden Ridge, and Hollywood Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3025 9802 3013 9785 2976 9798 2954 9829
2968 9876 2989 9852 3029 9837
TIME...MOT...LOC 1007Z 286DEG 28KT 3022 9835 2988 9847 2972 9865
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MMThe Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 17 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 10:44 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm produced wind gusts estimated at 70 mph that knocked down some trees along River Rd. south of Sattler.
A thunderstorm produced wind gusts estimated at 60 mph that knocked down some six inch diameter tree limbs along the Guadalupe River south of New Braunfels.
A thunderstorm produced wind gusts estimated at 70 mph that knocked some trees on FM 725 near FM 78 in McQueeney.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1143777, 1143778, 1143779.