Below normal rainfall occurred during the month over the northern Coastal Bend into the Victoria Crossroads. Severe to extreme drought persisted over these areas during the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 11 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.
Below normal rainfall occurred during the month over the northern Coastal Bend into the Victoria Crossroads. Severe to extreme drought persisted over these areas during the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 11:48 PM CST, 12 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1248 AM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 235 PM CDT Sat Sep 30 2023 Key Messages: - Minor coastal flooding remains possible during times of high tide - 30 to 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms through the weekend Radar is looking a bit active this afternoon as scattered showers and thunderstorms spread across the region. GOES TPW imagery reveals a plume of deep moisture spreading through the Coastal Plains which is helping to aid this convective development. This trend will continue through early this evening with activity waning as we lose daytime heating. Similar to this morning, we will see showers begin to develop and stream inland along the coast through the morning hours with thunderstorms developing as we destabilize through the day. It's possible we see a slight uptick in coverage an upper level jet nudges into the region and a weak H7 vort max embedded in the onshore flow rotates by. We are starting to see tides rise as we near our next high tide cycle (5:27 PM for Port A). Tides are running about ~.75' above normal. These higher than normal tides, swells around 7s and yesterday's full moon will likely result in water levels exceeding 2ft MSL. Therefore, the Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect through this evening. Another round of minor coastal flooding appears possible on Sunday. PETSS is hinting at slightly higher water levels tomorrow as well. In addition, will maintain the moderate risk of rip currents today and tonight and the high risk for Sunday as winds pick up. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through next Friday) Issued at 235 PM CDT Sat Sep 30 2023 Key Messages: - Minor coastal flooding possible into Mid week. - Decent rain from mid to end of the work week. Now that we are heading into fall, the heat is losing the focus for key messaging. The first will be the minor coastal flooding. Currently, have a coastal flood advisory with the hydrographs showing the high tide creeping up to the 2 foot mark (MSL). Web cams at the area beaches show the water level creeping up to the dunes. This will continue into mid week as the P-ETTS showing up to 3 feet MSL by Wednesday, before subsiding. The more interesting message is the rain as we get into the early part of this next week. Each day the deep easterly flow looks to increase the moisture over South Texas. PWAT values increase from the 1.5" that we had the other day to the around 2.00" and maintains through the end of next week. Models show increasing chances for rain showers and thunderstorms that would begin to cover most of the forecast area from the Coastal Bend to the Rio Grande Plains. Storm total QPF adds up to 2-4" from Tuesday Morning through Friday night. Initially, it looks like the easterly flow and some mid-level disturbances kick the rain off, similar to today. However, Thursday the models (GFS/ECMWF/CMC) are all showing a cold front that will move through the region Thursday-Friday. Max temperatures fall from the 90s, to the mid 80s by Friday/Saturday. The CMC has mid 70s for high going into and past next weekend. That may be a little too aggressive, so will go toward the blend of mid 80s for now. As the front moves into the moisture rich environment, showers and thunderstorms would be expected, and the models have the largest QPF amounts for Thursday-Saturday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1248 AM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023 GOES imagery of total precipitable water shows an axis of high moisture with PW values at 1.9 inches over the coastal waters into the Coastal Bend. There will be a coastal convergence zone that will increase during the night. Expect scattered showers will form over the waters into the Coastal Bend during the night with MVFR vsbys expected with the showers. Low level easterly flow will push the higher moisture inland during the day. Expect thunderstorms will form by 14Z with heating. Scattered showers and storms will reach the Brush Country by the afternoon. Activity is expected to diminish by early evening. But high moisture will remain in place over the Coastal Bend and expect earlier development in the mid to late evening of additional showers. MVFR vsbys will be prevalent within the convection but brief IFR vsbys and gusty winds will be possible with the stronger showers and thunderstorms during the day. && .MARINE... Issued at 235 PM CDT Sat Sep 30 2023 Scattered showers and thunderstorms have been tracking across the Gulf waters through the day. This trend will continue through this evening. Similar conditions are in store tomorrow as streamer showers develop in the morning. Thunderstorms will be possible again during the late morning and afternoon hours. Otherwise, a weak to moderate easterly flow will continue through the weekend with periods of moderate flow over the southern bays during the afternoon and evening hours. Weak to moderate east to southeast flow is expected through mid-week with a 40-60% chance of showers and storms. By late next week, a cold front is expected to sweep across South Texas which will shift winds to the north and increase rain chances. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 77 91 78 92 / 50 60 40 60 Victoria 73 93 75 91 / 20 50 30 60 Laredo 77 94 77 97 / 30 50 20 30 Alice 74 92 74 95 / 50 60 30 50 Rockport 79 91 78 91 / 50 60 50 60 Cotulla 76 93 77 97 / 20 50 20 40 Kingsville 76 92 76 94 / 50 60 30 50 Navy Corpus 80 89 80 90 / 50 70 50 60 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && SHORT TERM...TC LONG TERM....JSL AVIATION...TMT/89
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
11 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Extreme drought persisted over the county during the month.
Extreme drought persisted over the county during the month.
Extreme drought persisted over the northern part of the county and severe drought over the southern part of the county during the month.
Extreme drought persisted over the area during the month.
Extreme drought persisted over the area during the month.
Extreme drought persisted over the area during the month.
Extreme drought persisted over the northeast part of the area and severe drought over the southwest part of the area during the month.
Extreme drought persisted over the northeast part of the area and severe drought over the southwest part of the area during the month.
Severe drought persisted over the area during the month.
Severe drought persisted over the area during the month.
Severe drought persisted over the county during the month with extreme drought over the extreme northeast part of the county.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1145156, 1145157, 1145159, 1145160, 1145161, 1145162, 1145163, 1145164, 1145165, 1145167, 1145168.