Texas, 2023Tornado and Flash Flooding in Texas, May 28 to 29, 2023
May 28 to 29, 2023 · NWS LUB · 11 events in 5 counties and zones
Scattered supercell thunderstorms developed on the afternoon of the 28th and persisted through the evening producing several severe storms despite weak background forcing. Strong instability developed while the atmosphere became uncapped which allowed these supercell thunderstorms to develop.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 11
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Scattered supercell thunderstorms developed on the afternoon of the 28th and persisted through the evening producing several severe storms despite weak background forcing. Strong instability developed while the atmosphere became uncapped which allowed these supercell thunderstorms to develop. A slow moving storm near Vigo Park produced a brief tornado over an open field. More widespread thunderstorms evolved late in the evening while tracking from west to east over much of the South Plains and Rolling Plains. In Lubbock, a tree hit by lightning fell on a vehicle. These widespread slow moving storms produced extensive flash flooding especially over Lubbock County. Several roads were closed due to flooding with numerous stranded vehicles. After the cluster of thunderstorms moved east of Lubbock, a heat burst was observed at Reese Center (Lubbock County) within a stratiform region. A peak wind gust of 67 mph was observed with this heat burst as well as a 15 degree temperature increase.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 28, 1:22 PM CST, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 28, 1:22 PM CST, 2 hours 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
222 PM CDT Sun May 28 2023
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Sun May 28 2023
Sunshine was back in full force today on top of continued moist SE
winds. Visible satellite captured a well-defined outflow boundary
draped from Palo Duro Canyon southeast to Paducah in the wake of an
MCS chugging across southwest Oklahoma. This boundary and its
breezy upslope flow is serving to maximize moisture convergence
just north of Amarillo as shown by the steady uptick in agitated Cu
as of 130 PM. This area of building Cu becomes increasingly capped
farther southwest ahead of a surface trough that curls south into
eastern New Mexico. However, with continued insolation and CIN
becoming more negligible we should see at least isolated storms
develop later this afternoon across NM before spreading slowly east
within only 10-20 knots of westerly flow from H7 to H5,
respectively. MLCAPE is sufficient for some severe events with a
likely uptick in storm coverage this evening as a shortwave trough
(currently over central New Mexico) passes through. CAMs generally
favor the southern South Plains for a multicell line, with
some potential for an MCS to drop southeast from the eastern TX
Panhandle tonight and graze our far NE zones. NBM's PoPs were
tailored to this signal as it seems the most plausible for now.
Precip should quickly end from NW-SE late tonight in the wake of the
shortwave progged to dig southeast ahead of an amplifying upper
ridge for Memorial Day. This ridge will make for perfect grilling
weather thanks to much warmer highs in the mid-to-upper 80s with
little cloud cover. Feel the NBM is a touch too warm given all the
recent and widespread rainfall, so its highs were nudged down a
bit.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Sun May 28 2023
Upper ridging will continue moving overhead tomorrow night into
Tuesday. This upper ridge will keep the weather on the quiet side
through at least Wednesday afternoon. The ridge will also allow
highs to reach into the mid 80s to low 90s by Tuesday and Wednesday.
The upper ridge will be kicked eastward by Wednesday
afternoon/evening as an upper low makes its way from northern
California to the Four Corners. The upper low will gain a negative
tilt as it approaches the Four Corners which will chance upper
diffluence as well as provide decent shear for an increased severe
potential. Models are in decent agreement with developing dryline
convection each afternoon/evening Wednesday through at least Friday.
The upper low is progged to become removed from the main upper flow
by Saturday resulting in fairly weak upper flow. Models then hint a
the possibility of a weak backdoor cold front by late Saturday that
should provide enough lift for general thunderstorm development.
Plenty of moisture will still be available and would reintroduce the
chance for heavy rainfall.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Sun May 28 2023
Lingering MVFR and IFR CIGs at CDS are on track to clear out to
VFR in the next hour or so ahead of diminishing easterly winds.
Would expect at least ISO TS development later this afternoon west
of LBB and PVW, with better potential for LBB to see some TS by
this evening. A second area of TS in the eastern Panhandle may
sweep south tonight and could impact CDS, although this
probability appears low for now. Lastly, patchy fog could develop
just about anywhere toward daybreak on Memorial Day before
clearing out after a few hours.
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...93
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 10:40 AM CST, 5 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1140 AM CDT Sun May 28 2023
TXZ021>044-291645-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1140 AM CDT Sun May 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Thunderstorms are expected to develop once again this afternoon
across eastern New Mexico and move into portions of the South Plains
this evening. Additional storms may spread south from the eastern
Texas Panhandle tonight. Any of these storms could produce heavy
rain and localized flooding, with a few storms becoming severe. Hail
to quarter size and damaging winds to 70 mph will be possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Thunderstorms are expected to develop each afternoon and persist
into the evening and overnight hours from Wednesday through Friday.
Some storms may be severe with large hail and damaging winds. Heavy
rainfall may also result in localized flash flooding.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is possible later today.
Event by event
3 thunderstorm wind, 3 flash flood, 1 tornado, 1 hail, 1 flood, 1 lightning, 1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Tornado, Swisher
- When
- May 28, 4:09 PM CST to 4:10 PM CST
- Where
- Swisher County, 7.15 mi SW of Vigo Park to 7.01 mi SW of Vigo Park
- Rating
- EFU
- Path length
- 0.37 mi
- Path width
- 30 yd
- Reported by
- Social Media
- Coordinates
- 34.585, -101.578
A video shared on social media showed a brief tornado southwest of Vigo Park in an open field. No damage was known to have occurred.
Hail, Swisher
- When
- May 28, 5:04 PM CST
- Where
- Swisher County, 5.21 mi SW of Vigo Park
- Measured
- 1.75 in hail
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
- Coordinates
- 34.593, -101.540
The Silverton Volunteer Fire Department reported hail ranging in size from quarters to golf balls southwest of Vigo Park.
Thunderstorm Wind, Yoakum
- When
- May 28, 5:48 PM CST to 6:14 PM CST
- Where
- Yoakum County, 7 mi WNW of Denver City
- Measured
- 69 kt (79 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 33.009, -102.962
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Denver City measured severe wind gusts from 1748 CST through 1814 CST. A peak wind gust of 79 mph was measured at 1758 CST.
Thunderstorm Wind, Terry
- When
- May 28, 7:12 PM CST
- Where
- Terry County, 2 mi S of Brownfield
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 33.151, -102.280
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet near Brownfield measured a severe wind gust of 58 mph.
Flood, Terry
- When
- May 28, 7:30 PM CST to 9:30 PM CST
- Where
- Terry County, 4.55 mi N of Needmore to 4.88 mi NW of Needmore
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 33.386, -102.339
Law enforcement in Terry County reported water over the roadway on US Highway 385 between county roads 210 and 230.
Flash Flood, Yoakum
- When
- May 28, 7:30 PM CST to 9:30 PM CST
- Where
- Yoakum County, 0.71 mi SSW of Denver City to 0.44 mi WSW of Denver City
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 32.961, -102.856
A slow moving thunderstorm over southern Yoakum County created flash flooding along Texas State Highway 83 west of Denver City.
Thunderstorm Wind, Lubbock
- When
- May 28, 7:38 PM CST to 7:44 PM CST
- Where
- Lubbock County, 6 mi SSW of Wolfforth
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 33.420, -102.060
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Wolfforth measured severe wind gusts from 1938 CST through 1944 CST. A peak wind gust of 64 mph was measured at 1944 CST.
Lightning, Lubbock
- When
- May 28, 7:50 PM CST
- Where
- Lubbock County, 5 mi W of Lubbock
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 33.580, -101.937
Local broadcast media relayed photographs of a tree that fell on a car from a lightning strike.
Flash Flood, Lubbock
- When
- May 28, 8:00 PM CST to 11:00 PM CST
- Where
- Lubbock County, 2.22 mi S of Broadview to 3.53 mi NE of Lubbock
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 33.618, -101.953
Numerous reports were received of flooded roads in the city of Lubbock and Lubbock County. Several roads were impassable and as a result were closed due to water over the roadway. Some vehicles became stranded in high waters.
High Wind, Lubbock
- When
- May 28, 9:00 PM CST to 9:01 PM CST
- Where
- Lubbock forecast zone
- Measured
- 58 kt (67 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 33.610, -101.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Reese Center measured severe wind gusts from 2100 CST through 2101 CST due to a heat burst. A peak wind gust of 67 mph was measured at 2100 CST.
Flash Flood, Motley
- When
- May 28, 10:00 PM CST to May 29, 12:00 AM CST
- Where
- Motley County, 3.01 mi NW of Roaring Spgs Buzz Ar to 5.07 mi SW of Whiteflat
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 33.958, -100.870
A slow moving thunderstorm moved over Motley County creating flash flooding in and around Matador. The Motley County sheriff's office reported water over the roadway on US Highway 70/62 in Matador.
- Tornado
- A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
- Lightning
- A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Rip Current in New Jersey, May 28, 20231 death · 1 event
- Rip Current in Florida, May 28, 20231 death · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Virginia, May 28 to 30, 2023$275,000 · 19 events
- Tornado and Hail in Texas, May 28, 20233.3 in hail · 16 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Oklahoma, May 28, 20232.5 in hail · 10 events
- Hail in Kansas, May 28, 20231.75 in hail · 7 events
- Hail in Nebraska, May 28, 20231 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Kansas, May 28, 2023$5,000 · 1.75 in hail · 4 events
- Waterspout in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, May 28, 20231 event
- Waterspout in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, May 28, 20231 event
- Hail in Texas, May 28, 20231 in hail · 1 event
- Hail in South Dakota, May 28, 20230.88 in hail · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1097473, 1097484, 1097485, 1097486, 1097491, 1097492, 1097487, 1097489, 1097490, 1097488, 1097493.