Tennessee, 2023

Drought in Tennessee, November 2 to 30, 2023

November 2 to 30, 2023 · NWS HUN · 1 event in 1 county or zone

S. Drought Monitor designated Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions for southeastern Franklin County, TN as of November 9th.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HUN wrote it up.

The U.S. Drought Monitor designated Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions for southeastern Franklin County, TN as of November 9th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Huntsville, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 1, 10:46 PM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 1, 10:46 PM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1146 PM CDT Wed Nov 1 2023

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of tonight)
Issued at 930 PM CDT Wed Nov 1 2023

Another cold night in store across the TN Valley. Winds have
slacked with sunset and nearly calm at this hour with clear skies
overhead, setting up for good radiational cooling. Current temps
are in the 30s and expected to drop down to 23-27 degrees for most
of us, and 28-32 degrees atop the Cumberland Plateau and closer
to bodies of water. With this, there is a Freeze Warning in place
from 11pm until 9am tomorrow morning. Take time tonight to bring
in pets, find the ice scraper to remove some frost in the morning,
and be prepared to dress in layers for the bus stop or morning
commute. No major changes to tonight's forecast beyond updating
the hourly T's to accommodate current observational trends.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Saturday night)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Wed Nov 1 2023

Little change in the overall synoptic environment is anticipated
during the short term period, as model consensus suggests that an
unamplified/zonal flow aloft will persist across the region
through the first half of the weekend. As the surface ridge
(initially across the central Appalachians) begins to build
northeastward, a light SSE return flow will begin across the
region tomorrow and should work in conjunction with a modest
increase in SSW flow at the top of the boundary layer to yield
highs in the u50s-l60s beneath sunny skies. Another, lighter
freeze (featuring lows in the u20s-l30s) is expected for much of
the region on Thursday night, but with the potential for an
increase in high-level clouds (related to an amplifying shortwave
trough across the southern Plains) and gradual modification of
dewpoints anticipated tomorrow, lows should be several degrees
warmer compared to tonight.

The southwesterly low-level jet will continue to strengthen into
the 15-25 knot range on Friday and Saturday, to the south of a
weak reinforcing cold front dropping into the OH Valley, and the
resultant increase in low-level warm advection will boost highs
into the mid 60s on Friday and l-m 70s on Saturday. The rate of
low-level moisture advection will also begin to increase (albeit
very slowly) during this period, leading to warmer overnight lows,
as well. A more significant increase in cloud cover is likely to
occur Saturday evening, as an amplifying northern stream wave
begins to dig southeastward into the TN Valley, and although this
disturbance will be accompanied by a decent omega field, profiles
appear too dry to support any risk for precipitation (at least at
this point). Lows will be warmer Sunday morning as a result of the
system's related cloud field, with temps generally in the mid
40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Tuesday)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Wed Nov 1 2023

High and dry conditions continue through the weekend with high
pressure remaining dominate. Sunday and Monday look to embody
ideal fall conditions will highs comfortably in the 70s and lows
in the 40s and 50s. Focus then switches on Monday to our next cold
front early next week. Current guidance has the cold front moving
though overnight on Tuesday and has rain chances of of near 40%
for the entire CWA. Unfortunately, QPF looks to remain well below
a tenth of an inch which will do little to aid our worsening
drought.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Wed Nov 1 2023

VFR conditions will prevail at each terminal through the period
underneath a clear sky. Winds will veer from the NNE/NE this
morning to the SE by the afternoon.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Thursday for ALZ001>010-016.

TN...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Thursday for TNZ076-096-097.

&&

NEAR TERM...JMS
SHORT TERM....70
LONG TERM....RAD
AVIATION...AMP.24

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Franklin

When
November 2, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 7:00 AM CST
Where
Franklin forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.155, -86.092 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The U.S. Drought Monitor designated Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions for southeastern Franklin County, TN as of November 9th.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Tennessee in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, November 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1146637.