A cold front swept eastward across Middle Tennessee on February 9, 2023. As it did so, a strengthening surface pressure gradient led to strong surface winds beginning in the early morning hours and continuing through the afternoon.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.
A cold front swept eastward across Middle Tennessee on February 9, 2023. As it did so, a strengthening surface pressure gradient led to strong surface winds beginning in the early morning hours and continuing through the afternoon. Observations across Middle Tennessee revealed wind gusts ranging from 40 to 55 mph. This did result in some reports of downed trees, particularly in Cheatham and Overton counties.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 9, 3:35 AM CST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 335 AM CST Thu Feb 9 2023 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 234 AM CST Thu Feb 9 2023 Current showers in Middle Tennessee are quickly falling apart as they move east. We'll see a short break in precip before a thin line of convection pushes east ahead of a cold front. There could be a few rumbles of thunder in that line over our southern counties after daybreak, but there is no severe threat with this final round of precip. Surface winds are on the increase this morning. Several sites across the area have already gusted to or just above 40 mph. Expect gusts up to 45 mph to continue through at least the mid morning hours. They should decrease by noon as the pressure gradient relaxes over the area. The Wind Advisory is still set to expire at noon today. As the front moves through the area later this morning and afternoon winds will gradually turn out of the west and then the northwest. Temperatures will be a bit cooler Thursday night into Friday morning, but still above freezing. Mild temperatures continue on Friday with highs reaching into the 50s. && .LONG TERM... (Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 234 AM CST Thu Feb 9 2023 A cutoff low is expected to loop from our west to south to east from Friday night to Sunday. The proximity of this low will determine how much precip we see this weekend. It could also bring in some colder temperatures that could threaten a bit of winter weather for our Plateau counties. Models haven't been consistent with any winter weather threat, so uncertainty is pretty high in whether or not we'll see any snow on our eastern fringes. Right now it looks mostly dry from Friday through Saturday morning. By Saturday afternoon the upper low may dive as far south as southern Mississippi and Louisiana and interact with a stalled boundary, which could allow for more moisture to feed into the southern portions of our area and allow for scattered showers and increased cloud cover. The interaction of the upper low and boundary will influence the deepening of a surface low over Southern GA. This system should move northeast Saturday night and Sunday into the Carolinas. As it moves northeast, we'll keep rain chances in our forecast, especially over our eastern half. As overnight lows dip to around freezing or below there could be a changeover from rain to snow in our Plateau counties late Saturday night. There's a small chance of some trace snow accumulations Sunday morning, but nothing notable right now. As that system races off the east coast, we'll see temperatures warm and conditions dry out for the first couple days of the work week. The next system arrives Tuesday night or Wednesday. It looks to have a negative tilt as it approaches the Tennessee Valley and could bring with it some storm chances for early Wednesday morning. By Wednesday afternoon and evening precip has pushed east, but the next wave in this active pattern enters the picture early Thursday morning with yet another chance of rain. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1025 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 VFR conditions at the start of this TAF period will become MVFR in a few hours as -SHRA move across airports this morning. Conditions look to improve back to VFR at BNA/MQY after 13Z, but will take until later in the day for CKV/CSV. Southerly winds continue to increase and are expected to peak in the 09-15Z timeframe with gusts up to 35 knots, then veer to southwesterly and westerly while decreasing into the afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 65 39 57 32 / 50 0 10 10 Clarksville 60 36 52 29 / 30 0 10 10 Crossville 62 36 53 30 / 40 0 10 10 Columbia 62 37 56 32 / 50 0 10 10 Cookeville 64 38 54 32 / 50 0 10 10 Jamestown 64 36 53 29 / 30 0 10 10 Lawrenceburg 63 38 57 33 / 60 0 10 10 Murfreesboro 65 37 57 32 / 50 0 10 10 Waverly 58 36 53 29 / 20 0 10 10 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until noon CST today for Bedford-Cannon-Cheatham- Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-Fentress-Giles- Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-Lewis-Macon- Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-Putnam-Robertson- Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van Buren-Warren-Wayne- White-Williamson-Wilson. && SHORT TERM...Whitehead LONG TERM....Whitehead AVIATION.....Shamburger
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Nashville TN 350 AM CST Thu Feb 9 2023 TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-101000- Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston- Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson- Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury- Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-Coffee- Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles- 350 AM CST Thu Feb 9 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middle Tennessee. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph will be possible until noon today. Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects and blow down tree limbs. Winds should relax by this afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 11
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Kingston Springs Fire Department reported numerous trees downed in the area with some falling on power lines. Damages are a rough estimate. Time is estimated based on when cold front came through the area.
Several trees were downed around Livingston from strong non-thunderstorm winds. Damages are a rough estimate. Time is estimated based on when cold front came through the area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, February 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1068833, 1068834.