A southward moving cold front from the Ohio Valley led to the development of a line of showers and thunderstorms that tracking from the northwest Piedmont in the late-morning hours into the Coastal Plain of central North Carolina by mid to late afternoon. Numerous reports of damaging winds and flash flooding were reported throughout central North Carolina.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
A southward moving cold front from the Ohio Valley led to the development of a line of showers and thunderstorms that tracking from the northwest Piedmont in the late-morning hours into the Coastal Plain of central North Carolina by mid to late afternoon. Numerous reports of damaging winds and flash flooding were reported throughout central North Carolina.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 9, 8:12 AM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 912 AM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023 .SYNOPSIS... A series of upper troughs will move across the Carolinas today and Monday. The first one will result in a line of strong thunderstorms crossing central North Carolina today. The second one will push a cold front through the area on Monday. High pressure will move into our area for Tuesday and Wednesday. && .NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 912 AM Sunday... Water vapor/radar imagery this morning depicted an area of showers/thunderstorms over the NC foothills/Blue Ridge mountains. This activity is associated with a shortwave perturbation poised to move across NC/VA over the next several hours. While considerable cloud cover was evident over our area this morning, we are starting to see some clearing out ahead of this feature. As such, as this upper wave moves eastward, still expecting enough destablization to aid in thunderstorm intensification with any cells that push through our area today. Latest high-res guidance has been pretty consistent in moving convection into the Triad region between ~16 to 18Z, the Triangle ~19 to 21Z, and the Coastal Plain ~20 to 23Z. Given how early this activity is expected to reach our western zones, think the severe threat there is less so there compared to locations east of US-1. Bulk layer shear of ~25 to 35 kts will accompany the progressing short wave which could help to promote a few strong to severe storms along and east of US-1. Soundings suggest uni-lateral profiles with height which would indicate a primarily damaging wind gust threat with any stronger cells today. Otherwise, cells should be moving relatively fast enough to preclude a widespread flash flooding threat. However, given the presence of high PWAT (~1.75 inches) and somewhat north-south storm motion vectors (conducive to some training), any stronger cells could produce heavy downpours which could lead to isolated instances of flash flooding especially in urban areas. The initial band of convection should push east of our area by late afternoon/early evening. A trailing cool front and an additional short wave (currently over OK) will then push through our area overnight. Lingering MUCAPE along the boundary could promote additional scattered rounds of showers/storms overnight, but the overall severe threat should be limited with this activity. However, depending on how much QPF is realized today, there could continue to be an isolated threat for flash flooding in urban areas through Monday morning. Temps today will range between the lower 80s northwest to around 90 across our far southeast zones. Overnight lows in the lower 70s. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 330 AM Sunday... The s/w trough and assoc sfc cold front moving across central NC late tonight and early Monday morning will cross our Coastal Plain counties during the late-morning Monday then exit to our east Monday afternoon. Will need to keep low-end PoPs in our grids through at least early afternoon or until the trough axis moves through. However, with most of the models showing good subsidence and drying behind the trough, we should see quick clearing tomorrow afternoon from west to east. This late-day clearing will result in a somewhat atypical geographical summertime high temperature profile, with the warmest readings (mid-upper 80s for highs) across our Triad zones with coolest readings east (low-mid 80s) due to prolonged cloudiness and later clearing. Dwpts will quickly fall behind the front Monday afternoon, reaching the mid-upper 50s (west) to lower 60s (east) by sunset. Lower dwpts coupled with mainly clear and calm night will set us up for a more comfortable night of relatively cooler readings. Lows early Tuesday morning will bottom out in the low-mid 60s...coolest across our Triad and northern zones. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 330 AM Sunday... The extended forecast begins with the first mostly dry pattern compared to the past couple of weeks. The main synoptic cold front will be well through central NC by Tuesday morning arcing back into southern SC and central GA. Aloft, shortwave ridging in the the wake of the departing deepening upper trough will lead to steady H5 height rises through Wednesday night. A weak transient surface high pressure will progress over the area before pushing off the coast late Wednesday along with PWAT values falling to 1-1.5 inches will result in a mostly dry forecast. Some isolated showers can't be completely ruled out over the Coastal Plain forced along the sea- breeze and weak MLCAPE values (around 500 J/kg) during the afternoon hours. However, point sounding highlight a stout 700mb subsidence inversion and abundant dry air aloft, even along the coast, which will both work to inhibit any deep convection fairly substantially. Highs quickly rebound back into the low/mid 90s with lows temperatures coolest Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with low/mid 60s possible in the coolest spots and mid/upper 60s expected in urban areas. From Thursday onward, the upper level pattern remains persistent as the sub-tropical high over the Desert Southwest shifts east and elongates over the GOM states as the broad and deep closed-low over northern portions of Canada sinks south into western Ontario by Saturday. The main forecast concern will be the increasing temperatures and the heat related effects heading into the weekend. As the sub-tropical high begins to nose into our area due to down stream amplification over the eastern CONUS, 500mb heights rise to 590-593dam and 850mb temps rise to 20-22C by the weekend based on the grand-ensemble mean (combination of all GEFS, EPS, and CMCE ensemble members). Additionally, ensemble guidance is highlighting probabilities of greater than 95 degrees 30-40% on Friday and 40-50% on Saturday, with probabilities of 100 degrees or higher around 5- 15% for Saturday (greatest probabilities across the Sandhills and southern Piedmont). There are still quite a few forecast wrinkles that need to be ironed out between now and then, but confidence is increasing for temperatures to rise into the mid/upper 90s by next weekend given the signals in ensemble guidance. There will also be a threat for showers/storms each afternoon with the return of the hot and humid airmass and perturbed westerly flow directed into the southern Mid-Atlantic. && .AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 632 AM Sunday... Through 12Z Monday: Scattered patches of LIFR fog are occurring attm across parts of central NC attm. Look for this to continue for a while longer, but should begin to quickly burn off after sunrise given the very thin/shallow nature of the fog/stratus. Later this morning, scattered showers/tstms are expected to move from western NC into and across central NC, first in the Triad region (KINT/KGSO) between 16-18Z, then across the KRDU area between 18-21Z, and finally KRWI and KFAY between 20-23Z. IFR conditions and brief gusty sfc winds are expected in and near the tstm activity. Flt conditions will improve after 00Z Monday, however that may be short-lived as a secondary area of showers may begin crossing central NC around 06Z Monday. After 12Z Monday: A band of showers will move across central NC between 06-18Z Monday as the upper trough axis and sfc cold front move across the region. Then after the passage of the trough, drier air will move into the area with mostly VFR conditions from mid-day Monday through the mid-week period. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...np NEAR TERM...Luchetti SHORT TERM...np LONG TERM...Swiggett AVIATION...np
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 351 AM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-100800- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance- Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake- Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson- Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson- 351 AM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected today, the strongest of which may contain locally damaging wind gusts, torrential downpours capable of flooding, and small hail. The storms will first affect the western Piedmont and Triad area around mid-day, then will move east across the rest of central North Carolina through the late afternoon or early evening hours. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed.
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</html>Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
958 AM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
NCZ021-091430-
Forsyth NC-
958 AM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Forsyth
County through 1030 AM EDT...
At 957 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Nebo, or near East Bend, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail and heavy
rainfall.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Rural Hall, Donnaha, Stanleyville, Belews Creek and Belews Lake.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3626 8004 3622 8004 3615 8044 3619 8044
3621 8045 3622 8043 3624 8045 3626 8045
TIME...MOT...LOC 1357Z 256DEG 22KT 3622 8060
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
CAThe Roanoke radar (KFCX), 92 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:19 UTC.
39 thunderstorm wind, 4 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A tree was reported down near the 8900 block of Reynolda Rd.
Several hundred power outages were reported due to fallen trees on powerlines near the intersection of US Highway 311 and Gray Cedar Ln.
Trees and powerlines/power poles were reported down near the intersection of Belews Creek Rd and Deer Hill Rd.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of Mt. Olive Church Rd and Union Grove Rd.
A tree was reported down at a residence along Leonard-Berrier Rd.
Several hundred power outages were reported due to fallen trees on powerlines near the intersection of Parkchester Pl and Linville Oaks Dr.
Multiple large trees were down and blocking the road near the intersection of Onslow Dr and Northhampton Dr.
Several hundred power outages were reported due to downed trees on powerlines near the intersection of Onslow Dr and Fairway Dr.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of East Holly Grove Rd and Embler Rd.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of Fairgrove Rd and Fairgrove Church Rd.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of Fuller Mill Rd and Tower Rd.
Trees were reported down on powerlines, resulting in power outages near US Highway 70 and Springwood Church Rd.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of Edgewood Ave and Eden St in Burlington.
A tree was reported down along Triple Creek Dr north of Efland.
Two trees were reported down along Efland Cedar Grove Rd.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of Mill Creek Rd and Lonesome Rd.
Multiple trees were reported down along Hyco Lake in Person County.
Multiple trees were reported down on the property located along Eno Cemetery Rd.
Trees were reported down, resulting in power outages, near the intersection of Hillsborough Rd and Old Springs Rd.
Trees fell on power lines and resulted in hundreds of power outages near the intersection of NC Highway 87 and W Salisbury St.
Hundreds of power outages were reported due to downed trees on powerlines near the intersection of Old Farrington Rd and Whippoorwill Ln.
Power outages were reported due to fallen trees on powerlines near the intersection of Poyner Rd and Burcliff Pl.
Trees and power lines were reported down, resulting in power outages, near the intersection of McDougald Rd and Adcock Rd.
Power outages were reported due to fallen trees on powerlines near the intersection of Jackson Rd and Christian Light Rd.
Power outages were reported due to fallen trees on powerlines near the intersection of New Bern Ave and Dickens Dr.
Power outages were reported due to fallen trees on powerlines near the intersection of Landingham Dr and Lautenberg Ln.
A large tree fell on power lines near the intersection of Mills St and Wake Forest Rd in Raleigh.
Hillsborough St at William Moore Dr was closed due to flooding.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of W Parrish Dr and S Augusta Ave near Benson.
Flooding near W Franklin St and Semart Dr led to road closures.
Flash flooding led to flooding along Hillsborough St near Chapel Hill Rd.
A tree was reported down across Tilghman Rd between Red Hill Church Rd and Applejack Ln.
Trees and power lines were reported down, resulting in power outages, near the intersection of Hannah Creek Rd and US Highway 301.
The intersection of Melbourne Rd and Aukland Dr was closed due to flash flooding.
Trees were reported down near the intersection of Hayes Mill Rd and Welcome School Rd.
Several trees were reported down around the town of Wilson.
Trees were reported down near the intersection of Stricklands Crossroads Rd and Rhodes Pond Rd.
Numerous trees were reported down around and near the intersection of Arrington Bridge Rd and Casey Mill Rd.
Trees were reported down near the intersection of S Linwood Ave and Evergreen Ave in Goldsboro.
Trees and power lines were reported down, resulting in power outages, near the intersection of S Pineview Ave and E Pine St in Goldsboro.
Trees and power lines were reported down, resulting in power outages, near the intersection of Wayne Memorial Dr and W New Hope Rd.
A tree was reported down on powerlines, resulting in power outages, around Ebenezer Forest Rd and E Elizabeth St.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of E New Hope Rd and May Rd.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1117426, 1117427, 1117428, 1117429, 1117430, 1117431, 1117432, 1117433, 1117434, 1117518, 1117516, 1117513, 1117435, 1117436, 1117437, 1117439, 1117483, 1117441, 1117509, 1117507, 1117445, 1117447, 1117503, 1117450, 1117453, 1117451, 1117443, 1117419, 1117454, 1117420, 1117422, 1117457, 1117495, 1117423, 1117466, 1117480, 1117475, 1117462, 1117486, 1117488, and more.