Nevada, 2023

Heat in Nevada, July 9 to 13, 2023

July 9 to 13, 2023 · NWS VEF · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Four people died of heat-related causes in the Las Vegas Valley.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
4
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS VEF wrote it up.

Four people died of heat-related causes in the Las Vegas Valley.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Las Vegas, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 8, 5:29 PM PST, 6 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 8, 5:29 PM PST, 6 hours 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
629 PM PDT Sat Jul 8 2023

.SYNOPSIS...Breezy and seasonably warm conditions across the
region through Monday will elevate fire danger across portions of
southern Nevada and northwest Arizona. High pressure building
over the area next week will result in a return of above-normal
temperatures Tuesday and excessively hot conditions across our
southern deserts and the Colorado River Valley mid-week through at
least next weekend.
&&

.UPDATE...Clear skies and breezy south winds continue this afternoon
into the evening. Gusty southwest winds will pick up Sunday
afternoon. Coupled with dry conditions, fire danger will be high.
Fires that start will have the ability to spread rapidly. For this
reason, outdoor burning is discouraged. Please ensure that there are
no dragging chains on your vehicles, refrain from idling on dry
vegetation, properly dispose of cigarette butts, and always ensure
that campfires are fully extinguished before walking away from them.
The Fire Weather Watch for tomorrow (Sunday) was upgraded to a Red
Flag Warning with this afternoon's forecast package.

Additionally, temperatures will continue to slowly increase through
the remainder of the weekend and start of next week. The Excessive
Heat Watch was upgraded to an Excessive Heat Warning this afternoon
for the Colorado River Valley including Lake Mead Recreation Center,
as well as southern Mohave and most of San Bernardino counties. This
Excessive Heat Warning goes into effect on Tuesday and will continue
through Sunday. Additional areas further north will continue to be
considered through the week as forecast confidence increases
regarding the strength and position of the incoming ridge.

No changes were made to the forecast this evening, as it looks to be
in good shape.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...229 PM PDT Sat Jul 8 2023/

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Monday.

A compact low pressure system off the southern California coast
this afternoon will approach tonight and move across the area on
Sunday. This is expected to increase winds across the region by
mid-late Sunday morning and continue into the early evening
hours. Gusty southwest winds 25-35 mph are expected with wind
speeds dropping off after sunset then redeveloping on Monday.
Temperatures through Monday will be seasonal under mostly clear
skies. Increasing winds Sunday and Monday will result in high
fire danger across parts of the area as strong gusts combine with
very low humidity and dry fuel conditions. A Red Flag Warning is
in effect for both Sunday and Monday.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through next Sunday.

Temperatures are forecast to slowly increase to several degrees
above normal Tuesday through Thursday before a warming trend peaks
temperatures across the area next weekend into the early part of the
following week. There is good agreement among the various guidance
showing temperatures warming to around 5 degrees above-normal on
Friday then increasing to around 8-10 degrees above-normal next
weekend and into early the following week.

The deterministic GFS has trended a bit lower with high temperatures
next Sunday, but then ramps high temperatures to all-time records in
Las Vegas Monday and Tuesday of the following week, which is
currently outside of our forecast domain. The NBM and ensemble means
are showing these temperature trends, but are generally in the 112-
115 degree range. Being 8-10 days out, I have no confidence in
temperatures actually reaching - let alone exceeding - all-time
records, and very low confidence in daily records being threatened.
That said, we are entering the time of year when Las Vegas has tied
our all-time high temperature a number of times in the past...just
saying.

The Excessive Heat Watch has been upgraded to an Excessive Heat
Warning for the Colorado River Valley beginning Tuesday, then
expands to include much of San Bernardino and central and southern
Mohave counties Wednesday through Sunday. Looking at trends of all
the guidance, decided to hold off on expanding the warning northward
or even issuing a watch for other areas further north due to the
uncertainty of onset time for excessive heat. For the Las Vegas
Valley, given present forecast temperatures and run-to-run trends,
excessively hot conditions of 112 degrees or better should hold off
until the end of next week.
&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...The biggest concern will be periods of
southeast winds, with gusts up to 20 knots possible, this afternoon
from about 20 to 23Z and Sunday afternoon from about 19 to 22Z. In
the morning, expect light easterly winds, and in the later
afternoons, expect a shift to gusty south-southwest winds. Clear
skies expected.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...Expect south to southwest winds gusting 20 to 25 knots
in most areas in the afternoons, settling down around sunset, except
in the Barstow area where westerly gusts persist until around
midnight. Clear skies expected.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...The Fire Weather Watch for Sunday was upgraded to
a Red Flag Warning across portions of southern Nevada, the
Colorado River Valley, and portions of Mohave County where gusty
winds, very low humidity, and dry fuels combine - resulting in
high fire danger. Afternoon breezes are expected through the rest
of next week with no moisture in sight.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

UPDATE...Varian
DISCUSSION/FIRE WEATHER...Salmen
AVIATION...Morgan

For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:
https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 heat. Local standard time, as filed.

Heat, Las Vegas Valley

When
July 9, 12:00 AM PST to July 13, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Las Vegas Valley forecast zone
Deaths
3 direct, 1 indirect
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
36.215, -115.014 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Four people died of heat-related causes in the Las Vegas Valley.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Heat, Las Vegas Valley2023-07-0960MaleOutside/Open AreasIndirect
Heat, Las Vegas Valley2023-07-1291FemaleOutside/Open AreasDirect
Heat, Las Vegas Valley2023-07-1277MalePermanent HomeDirect
Heat, Las Vegas Valley2023-07-1375FemalePermanent HomeDirect

What these are

Heat
Heat below excessive heat criteria that still caused deaths, injuries or significant impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nevada in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Nevada, July 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1119090.