New Mexico, 2023

Drought in New Mexico, February 1 to 28, 2023

February 1 to 28, 2023 · NWS ABQ · 12 events in 12 counties and zones

February saw more wetter than normal conditions across the western half of NM with drier than normal conditions persistent through much of the eastern plains of NM. There was very little change in the drought conditions however.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 12 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
12

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

February saw more wetter than normal conditions across the western half of NM with drier than normal conditions persistent through much of the eastern plains of NM. There was very little change in the drought conditions however. By month's end, 16 percent of the state was in severe to extreme drought, of which about 3 percent was extreme drought.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 10:58 PM MST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 10:58 PM MST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1058 PM MST Tue Jan 31 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 213 PM MST Tue Jan 31 2023

Areas of low clouds and patchy freezing fog are forecast to return
to or persist over much of the eastern plains again tonight, but
they should evaporate fairly quickly on Wednesday morning as
downslope flow develops. A storm system passing mainly to the
south of NM is forecast to produce a light mix of wintry
precipitation over southern areas Wednesday through Thursday
morning. A warming trend is forecast during the latter half of the
week with high temperatures climaxing Sunday a few to around 10
degrees above normal. West and northwest winds are forecast to
become breezy to windy on Monday, when an upper level trough
crossing the central Rockies could also produce some snow showers
north of I-40.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 213 PM MST Tue Jan 31 2023

While fog and wintry precipitation have decreased or ended this
afternoon, low clouds continue to be widespread over the eastern
plains. Models suggest low clouds will continue to improve but it's
difficult to believe given how extensive it is as of this writing
and the higher clouds starting to traverse southeast into east
central NM in advance of the upper low centered over the Gulf of
California. Light west winds are forecast to develop later tonight
over portions of the northeast and east central which might help
keep the low clouds or at least fog, less extensive as in previous
nights. Ultimately took a compromise between models and obs for
tonight.

Forecast models are still having some differences how far north into
eastern NM the upper low's influence will reach in terms of
precipitation. The GFS remains too far south for anything in our CWA
while the NAM12 and ECMWF suggest some light precipitation in the
southeast and south central and possibly into De Baca and Curry
counties Wednesday and Wednesday night. Leaned a bit more toward the
NAM12/ECMWF solution in the grids.

Over northwest/west central NM, scattered to broken cloud cover
looks to slowly thin out later tonight into Wednesday morning with
little snow anticipated. Temperatures tonight through Wednesday
night remain mostly below normal. Will pass on any advisory type
highlights at this time, but later shifts will need to monitor
conditions.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 213 PM MST Tue Jan 31 2023

As an upper level trough exits eastward across TX, a few rain and
snow showers may linger into Thursday across southeast parts of
the forecast area, but little or no additional accumulation is
expected. High temperatures on Thursday are forecast to warm a few
to 17 degrees above Wednesday's readings in most places, while
remaining near normal to as much as 11 degrees below normal.

Thursday's warming trend will continue Friday, and across the bulk
of the forecast area Saturday and Sunday, as a couple of low
amplitude ridges of high pressure cross from the west with a weak
intervening upper trough and associated Pacific front. This will
result in some gusty winds over the weekend, especially along and
east of the central mountain chain where a lee side surface trough
is also forecast to develop. By Sunday afternoon high
temperatures should vary from a few to around 10 degrees above
normal with the greatest departures over southern and eastern
areas.

An upper level trough is forecast to cross the central Rockies
from the northwest on Monday with potentially strong winds over
NM, a gusty Pacific cold front, and colder temperatures at least
over northern and western areas. There will also be a chance for
snow showers north of I-40 Monday afternoon and night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1039 PM MST Tue Jan 31 2023

A large area of mainly MVFR ceilings and visibilities will remain
entrenched over portions of eastern NM tonight into Wednesday
morning, with some cloud erosion expected around the periphery of
this cloud deck overnight. Rain and snow shower chances increase
over southern Chaves county Wednesday afternoon, possibly
impacting the KROW terminal as an upper low over northern Baja
lifts to the northeast across southeastern NM Wednesday. Outside
of southeast NM, VFR condtions underneath clear sky and light
winds will be the rule during the next 24 hours.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 213 PM MST Tue Jan 31 2023

A few showers will be possible over northwest and west central New
Mexico this evening with very little precipitation. Low clouds are
expected tonight with fog, freezing fog and spotty and light wintry
precipitation possible over portions of eastern New Mexico. Rain,
snow, and freezing drizzle will continue over far southern areas
Wednesday and Wednesday night with colder than normal temperatures
areawide.

Dry west to northwest flow aloft will dominate Friday and through
the weekend with locally breezy to windy conditions over the central
mountain chain and east, near to above normal temperatures over
all and occasional clouds.

Ventilation Wednesday will be poor with the exception of localized
fair to good rates over portions of central New Mexico. Widespread
poor ventilation rates forecast Thursday through Sunday with some
localized fair to good rates over east central New Mexico Friday and
along the Northeast Highlands Saturday. Mostly good to excellent
ventilation expected as a more substantial upper low pressure system
impacts the region early next week with potential for strong winds,
colder temperatures and snow showers.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  41  12  35  10 /  20   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  43   4  36   6 /  20   5   0   0
Cuba............................  41  12  38  10 /   5   5   0   0
Gallup..........................  40   9  39   7 /  10   0   0   0
El Morro........................  39  12  38  11 /  10   0   0   0
Grants..........................  44   9  40   6 /   5   5   0   0
Quemado.........................  45  16  41  15 /   5   5   5   5
Magdalena.......................  47  23  43  22 /   0   0   5   5
Datil...........................  46  19  41  18 /   0   0   5   5
Reserve.........................  52  20  48  18 /   5   5  10  10
Glenwood........................  55  28  50  25 /   0   0  10  10
Chama...........................  36   3  33   5 /  40  20   0   0
Los Alamos......................  41  20  40  19 /   5   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  41  19  43  18 /   5   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  39   5  36   3 /  10   5   0   0
Red River.......................  36   5  36   5 /  10  10   0   0
Angel Fire......................  32   0  35  -5 /  10  10   0   0
Taos............................  42   7  39   4 /  10   5   0   0
Mora............................  41  14  43  15 /   5   5   0   0
Espanola........................  49  14  46  12 /   5   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  42  19  43  17 /   5   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  45  17  45  15 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  46  27  45  24 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  50  25  47  23 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  53  17  49  14 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  50  23  47  22 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  54  21  50  18 /   0   0   0   5
Bernalillo......................  49  21  47  20 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  55  17  49  15 /   5   0   0   0
Corrales........................  51  22  48  20 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  54  19  49  16 /   5   0   0   0
Placitas........................  46  22  44  21 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  48  24  46  22 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  53  26  50  23 /   0   0   5   5
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  45  22  41  20 /   5   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  45  23  43  21 /   0   0   0   5
Edgewood........................  44  19  43  17 /   5   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  46  13  45  11 /   5   0   0   5
Clines Corners..................  42  17  41  17 /  10   0   5   5
Mountainair.....................  49  20  45  19 /   5   5   5   5
Gran Quivira....................  47  22  47  21 /   5   5   5   5
Carrizozo.......................  54  28  50  25 /   0   5  20  10
Ruidoso.........................  47  25  41  24 /   5  10  30  20
Capulin.........................  28  13  41  12 /   5   0   0   0
Raton...........................  27  10  45  10 /   5   0   0   0
Springer........................  30  11  45  13 /   5   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  40  13  44  15 /   5   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  19  14  46  19 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  19  12  44  17 /   5   0   0   5
Conchas.........................  26  15  46  19 /   5   0   5   5
Santa Rosa......................  26  18  45  20 /  10   0   5  10
Tucumcari.......................  24  18  46  20 /   5   0   5  10
Clovis..........................  26  20  41  23 /   5   5  20  20
Portales........................  28  21  42  24 /   5   5  20  20
Fort Sumner.....................  26  21  42  23 /   5   0  10  10
Roswell.........................  30  24  39  25 /   5  10  40  20
Picacho.........................  32  22  42  26 /   0  10  30  20
Elk.............................  41  23  41  25 /   5  20  40  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...33

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

12 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Northwest Plateau

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Plateau forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.045, -108.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions improved to moderate drought throughout the Northwest Plateau during February.

Drought, Northwest Highlands

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.072, -107.535 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions persisted through a portion of the zone during February.

Drought, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.032, -104.803 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Moderate to severe drought conditions from October 2022 persisted through February 2023.

Drought, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.002, -106.839 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions improved to moderate drought through the Middle Rio Grande Valley through the month of February.

Drought, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -104.059 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from October 2022 persisted through February 2023.

Drought, Northeast Highlands

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions persisted through February 2023.

Drought, Union County

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Union County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.482, -103.471 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from October 2022 continued through March 2023. A very small area of exceptional drought between Clayton and Sedan persisted through February.

Drought, Harding County

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Harding County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.858, -103.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions persisted through February 2023.

Drought, Quay County

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Quay County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.104, -103.550 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from October 2022 persisted in the northern section of the county through February 2023.

Drought, Roosevelt County

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Roosevelt County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.021, -103.480 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from October 2022 persisted through February 2023.

Drought, Curry County

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Curry County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.574, -103.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from October 2022 persisted through February 2023.

Drought, Chaves County Plains

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Chaves County Plains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from October 2022 persisted through February 2023.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, February 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1074413, 1074414, 1074415, 1074417, 1074420, 1074421, 1074423, 1074424, 1074425, 1074427, 1074428, 1074429.