What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 9, 11:06 AM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 11:06 AM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1206 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
A weak front will be nearly stationary across our region today
into Sunday, then it is forecast to move offshore early next
week. A stronger cold front arrives later Wednesday into
Thursday, with weak high pressure approaching from the west on
Friday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
The overall weather pattern for today and tonight will vary
only slightly from that of Friday. A mid level trough is
forecast to extend from the Great Lakes to the southeastern
states, with a mid level ridge remaining over the western North
Atlantic.
Short wave energy traveling in the mid level southwesterly flow
is expected to aid in the development of afternoon and evening
showers and thunderstorms. The location and exact timing of the
initial convective development will be somewhat dependent on the
position of the nearly stationary frontal boundary extending
across our region, along with any remnant outflow boundaries
from the showers and thunderstorms that occurred during the past
24 hours or so.
The moist unstable atmosphere will allow for the development of
some strong to severe thunderstorms again today with the
potential for isolated damaging wind gusts. However, today's
primary threat from the thunderstorms may be locally heavy
rainfall. The vertical wind profile suggests the likelihood of
training convective cells.
As we head into this afternoon, thus far convection has been
limited to just a shower or two mainly in southern Delaware. Low
clouds were quite extensive this morning. Though RAP analysis
suggest 2500-3500 j/kg CAPE across areas southeast of I-95.
However, with all of the low clouds this morning along with some
cloud debris from earlier convection, instability overall across
our area, particularly north and west of I-95, looks more
limited than yesterday. We are starting to warm into the 80s
across the Delaware Valley on southeastward, and dewpoints
outside of the Poconos for the most part are in the low to mid
70s, with another very warm and muggy day. For most spots
though, this will be the first day we don't eclipse 90 degree
high temperatures. Additionally, wind shear is a bit less today.
While storms will likely still fire this afternoon, probably
similar to yesterday along the sea breeze in south/central New
Jersey and Delaware and then lift northwestward, expect the
storms will not be as strong as yesterday.
Most model guidance suggests that thunderstorm activity will
diminish 6-9 PM with the loss of daytime heating. Low clouds and
areas of fog may settle in once again overnight. However, a more
prominent shortwave lifting north toward Sunday morning may
result in showers and isolated thunderstorms expanding across
our area, particularly across eastern PA into northwest NJ late
tonight, then southeastward early tomorrow morning.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Temperatures much closer to average however it will remain
humid. Some convection around each day with it more numerous
during peak heating.
The axis of a weakening upper-level trough is forecast to
arrive during Sunday. This will keep a weak surface front draped
nearly north to south across our area. Given some cooling aloft
and some additional forcing for ascent with the trough aloft
arriving, some increase in convective development should occur
especially in the afternoon and evening hours. While there will
be cooler temperatures (highs in the low to mid 80s overall), it
will remain humid as precipitable water values likely remain in
the range of 1.5 to 2.0 inches. However, the instability will
be held down (closer to 1000- 1500 J/kg of MLCAPE) which should
mostly keep the thunderstorms intensity in check especially with
weaker mid level lapse rates and moist profiles. Locally very
heavy rain will be probable once again with the high
precipitable water values and potentially slower storm motions.
Given recent areas of heavy rain, a SLIGHT risk for excessive
rainfall leading to possible flash flooding has been added from
roughly I-95 north and west (a MARGINAL risk a bit outward from
there).
Convection should begin to decrease in intensity and coverage
as we go into the overnight hours Sunday night. Some showers and
storms will persist through the night though, particularly for
areas near and northwest of the I-95 urban corridor. Low
temperatures are forecast to be mainly in the 65-70 degree
range.
As we go through Monday, the axis of the weak upper-level
trough crosses our region. This will take a weak cold front
offshore. Some lingering forcing for ascent with the weakening
trough aloft will support some convective development especially
in the afternoon and early evening hours. While there will be
cooler temperatures it will remain humid, however the
instability will be held down some again which should lower the
chances for a severe thunderstorm. Locally very heavy rain will
be probable again due to high precipitable water values and
potentially slower storm motions.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Summary...Cooler temperatures, with humid conditions ending for
the second half of the week. Some showers and thunderstorms
should return mainly for Wednesday with a cold front.
Synoptic Overview...An initially positive-tilt upper-level
trough is forecast to slide across the Midwest into the upper
Great Lakes and adjacent Canada Tuesday, then as it shifts
eastward its axis becomes more neutral. The trough is forecast
to close off before moving into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
regions Wednesday and Thursday. At the surface, low pressure is
forecast track across the eastern Great Lakes and into New
England with an associated cold front crossing our region later
Wednesday into Thursday. The timing details will depend on the
strength of the trough as a closed low will tend to be a little
slower. While the main closed low starts to open up and lift
away from our area Thursday night and Friday, a general trough
aloft remains in place and this will deliver cooler
temperatures.
For Tuesday...There may be a lull in the convective chances for
a time as a little bit of ridging is overhead well east of a
positive- tilt upper-level trough in the Midwest and upper Great
Lakes. There are hints at some subtle shortwaves within the
southwesterly flow aloft and this could be enough to produce a
few showers or thunderstorms during peak heating, therefore
generally kept a slight chance PoP (20 percent) in the forecast
during the daytime. The chances for showers and a few
thunderstorms look to increase at night as the aforementioned
upper-level trough amplifies across the Great Lakes and even
starts to close off. This will drive surface low pressure into
the eastern Great Lakes by early Wednesday, and increasing
forcing for ascent should start to overspread our area. Cooler
temperatures are forecast, however it will remain humid.
For Wednesday and Thursday...This time will be dominated by an
incoming strong upper-level trough/closed low. This will drive
surface low pressure to our north, however its cold front is
forecast to cross our area later Wednesday into Thursday.
Increasing forcing for ascent occurs and showers and some
thunderstorms may be ongoing Wednesday morning before
potentially becoming more widespread during the day Wednesday.
The extent of cloud cover and convective coverage will determine
how much instability can become realized, and therefore the
intensity of thunderstorms. Locally heavy rain will be quite
possible given a plume of higher moisture in place combined with
stronger forcing. Temperatures are forecast to be held down due
to more cloud cover and showers/thunder, however it will
continue to remain humid ahead of the cold front. While the
timing can change especially with the idea of a closed low
moving in, the cold front currently should be shifting to our
east to start Thursday. Cyclonic flow and cold air advection in
its wake will result in cooler temperatures and dew points
dropping. While the deep moisture plume is offshore, cannot rule
out some instability showers/thunder especially across the
northern and western areas. Even cooler and drier air should
then settle in for Thursday night.
For Friday...As the closed low opens up and shifts farther to
our north, a trailing trough axis is forecast to be over our
region. This will continue to result in cooler temperatures and
lower dew points. Despite the trough axis aloft and some
shortwave energy associated with it, plenty of drying should
preclude any showers from occuring.
We continue to monitor the track forecast for Hurricane Lee.
While the hurricane is forecast to make a northward turn with it
remaining well east of our area, there still is some
uncertainty. As of now, the main impacts look to be incoming
large swells and the development of dangerous rip currents into
our area during next week.
&&
.AVIATION /16Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Early this morning...Variable conditions, with some TAF sites
experiencing MVFR or IFR ceilings and visibilities. Variable
wind 5 knots or less. Medium confidence.
Today...Mainly VFR. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
developing this afternoon. The thunderstorms will bring locally
heavy rainfall along with MVFR/IFR conditions. Wind favoring the
southeast to south 8 knots or less. Medium to high confidence.
Tonight...Variable conditions with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Low clouds and patchy fog developing overnight.
Variable wind 5 knots or less. Medium confidence.
Outlook...
Sunday and Monday...VFR, although times of sub-VFR conditions
probable along some showers and thunderstorms. Southerly winds
5-10 knots diminishing some Sunday night, then becoming west to
northwest Monday and Monday night. Low confidence.
Tuesday...Mainly VFR. However there is a small chance for a few
showers during the day, followed by some increasing chances at
night when sub-VFR conditions may occur more. Northerly winds
5-10 knots becoming southerly in the afternoon. Low confidence.
Wednesday...Sub-VFR conditions possible with showers and
thunderstorms. Southerly winds around 10 knots, becoming west to
northwest at night. Low confidence.
&&
.MARINE...
A southerly wind 10 to 15 knots today is forecast to decrease
to 5 to 10 knots tonight. Waves on our ocean waters are expected
to be around 2 feet, with waves on Delaware Bay at 2 feet or
less.
Outlook...
Sunday and Monday...The conditions are anticipated to be below
Small Craft Advisory criteria. Some thunderstorms are possible,
although the greatest chances/coverage should stay inland from
the waters.
Tuesday...The conditions should remain below Small Craft
Advisory criteria, although seas within the ocean zones may
begin to approach 5 feet at night.
Wednesday...Small Craft Advisory conditions possible as seas
within the ocean zones may build to around 5 feet.
Rip Currents...
A southerly wind 10 to 15 MPH is expected for today along the
coasts of Delaware and New Jersey. Breaking waves are forecast
to be around 1 foot with an underlying long period east to
southeast swell (around 10 seconds). There is a LOW risk of rip
currents for today.
A south to southeast wind around 10 MPH is anticipated for
Sunday with breaking waves around 1 foot. An underlying very
long period southeasterly swell (around 16 seconds) is forecast
to arrive. However, we will keep the mention of a LOW risk of
rip currents since the breaking waves should be relatively tame.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Gorse
NEAR TERM...Dodd/Iovino
SHORT TERM...Gorse
LONG TERM...Gorse
AVIATION...Dodd/Gorse/Iovino
MARINE...Gorse/Iovino
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 9, 11:20 AM EST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
DEZ001-101620-
New Castle-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ002-101620-
Kent-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ003-101620-
Inland Sussex-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ004-101620-
Delaware Beaches-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ054-101620-
Carbon-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ055-101620-
Monroe-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ060-101620-
Berks-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ061-101620-
Lehigh-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ062-101620-
Northampton-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ070-101620-
Delaware-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ071-101620-
Philadelphia-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ101-101620-
Western Chester-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ102-101620-
Eastern Chester-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ103-101620-
Western Montgomery-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ104-101620-
Eastern Montgomery-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ105-101620-
Upper Bucks-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ106-101620-
Lower Bucks-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ001-101620-
Sussex-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ007-101620-
Warren-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ008-101620-
Morris-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ009-101620-
Hunterdon-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ010-101620-
Somerset-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ012-101620-
Middlesex-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ013-101620-
Western Monmouth-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ014-101620-
Eastern Monmouth-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ015-101620-
Mercer-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ016-101620-
Salem-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ017-101620-
Gloucester-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ018-101620-
Camden-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ019-101620-
Northwestern Burlington-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ020-101620-
Ocean-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ021-101620-
Cumberland-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ022-101620-
Atlantic-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ023-101620-
Cape May-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ024-101620-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ025-101620-
Coastal Atlantic-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ026-101620-
Coastal Ocean-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ027-101620-
Southeastern Burlington-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ012-101620-
Kent MD-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ015-101620-
Queen Annes-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ019-101620-
Talbot-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ020-101620-
Caroline-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ430-101620-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ431-101620-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ450-101620-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ451-101620-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ452-101620-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ453-101620-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ454-101620-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ455-101620-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1220 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Sep 9, 11:45 AM EST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1245 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0520 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 NW New Britain 40.31N 75.19W
09/08/2023 Bucks PA Public
Several reports of trees down on wires in
central Bucks County. Impacted roads include
PARK AV, FERRY RD, NEW GALENA RD, RAILROAD
AV, BARRY RD, SUNSET AV, POINT PLEASANT PK,
and BYRUM RD. Time estimated from radar.
&&
StaarmannLocal storm report, Sep 9, 11:49 AM EST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1249 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0952 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 3 S West Marlborough Tw 39.87N 75.81W
09/08/2023 Chester PA Dept of Highways
Downed tree in wires on PA Route 926. Time
estimated from radar.
&&
StaarmannSpecial weather statement, Sep 9, 12:17 PM EST, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
117 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
NJZ013-020-091745-
Ocean NJ-Western Monmouth NJ-
117 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central Ocean
and south central Monmouth Counties through 145 PM EDT...
At 117 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Cedar Glen West, or 7 miles northwest of Toms River, moving north at
15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Toms River, Lakewood, Jackson, Lakehurst, Cassville, Vista Center,
Leisure Village, Ramtown, Pleasant Plains, Cedar Glen West, Jacksons
Mills, Leisure Village East, Leisure Village West-Pine Lake Park,
Freewood Acres, Holiday City-Berkeley, Holiday City South, Allenwood,
Silver Ridge and Leisure Knoll.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 19 and 27.
Garden State Parkway between mile markers 82 and 95.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3995 7420 4000 7442 4019 7439 4015 7411
TIME...MOT...LOC 1717Z 189DEG 12KT 4005 7430
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
StaarmannLocal storm report, Sep 9, 12:43 PM EST, 26 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
143 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0445 PM Hail Califon 40.72N 74.84W
09/08/2023 E1.00 inch Hunterdon NJ Public
Social media video of hail falling up to
quarter size in Califon. Time estimated from
radar.
&&
StaarmannSpecial weather statement, Sep 9, 12:46 PM EST, 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
146 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
NJZ013-020-091815-
Ocean NJ-Western Monmouth NJ-
146 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Ocean
and southeastern Monmouth Counties through 215 PM EDT...
At 146 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Jackson, or 8 miles northwest of Toms River. This storm was nearly
stationary.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Toms River, Lakewood, Jackson, Howell, Lakehurst, Farmingdale,
Cassville, Adelphia, Vista Center, Leisure Village, Ramtown, Whiting,
Pleasant Plains, Cedar Glen West, Pine Ridge At Crestwood, Freewood
Acres, Jacksons Mills, Leisure Village West-Pine Lake Park, West
Freehold and Holiday City-Berkeley.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 19 and 33.
Garden State Parkway between mile markers 85 and 90.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3993 7435 4001 7446 4024 7436 4021 7411
4001 7418
TIME...MOT...LOC 1746Z 176DEG 1KT 4009 7429
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
StaarmannSpecial weather statement, Sep 9, 1:07 PM EST, 2 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
207 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
NJZ022-027-091845-
Atlantic NJ-Southeastern Burlington NJ-
207 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Atlantic and
southeastern Burlington Counties through 245 PM EDT...
At 207 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Egg Harbor City, or 13 miles northwest of Atlantic City. This storm
was nearly stationary.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Egg Harbor City, Port Republic, New Gretna, Wading River and Pomona.
This includes the following highways...
Garden State Parkway between mile markers 42 and 52.
Atlantic City Expressway between mile markers 14 and 18.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3951 7470 3966 7459 3959 7442 3943 7457
TIME...MOT...LOC 1807Z 308DEG 2KT 3954 7458
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
Staarmann