Nevada, 2023

Heavy Rain in Nevada, November 16 to 17, 2023

November 16 to 17, 2023 · NWS REV · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A low pressure system offshore the western US spun troughs over the region bringing periods of increased mountain snow and valley rain chances, as well as increased travel impacts through Sierra passes. Much of the precipitation was forecast to be confined to areas mostly south of I-80 with greatest snowfall staying along the Sierra crest in Alpine and Mono County.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS REV wrote it up.

A low pressure system offshore the western US spun troughs over the region bringing periods of increased mountain snow and valley rain chances, as well as increased travel impacts through Sierra passes. Much of the precipitation was forecast to be confined to areas mostly south of I-80 with greatest snowfall staying along the Sierra crest in Alpine and Mono County. Rainfall totals were marginal for most lower elevation areas across western Nevada outside of Mono and Mineral County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Reno, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 16, 1:24 AM PST, 7 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 1:24 AM PST, 7 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
124 AM PST Thu Nov 16 2023

.SYNOPSIS...

Scattered showers are expected through today. A more potent storm
will bring periods of rain with mountain rain and snow Friday
afternoon through Saturday and into early Sunday morning. Travel
impacts in the Sierra from snow are possible at times. High
pressure will yield quiet and warming weather for the first half
of next week during the peak Thanksgiving travel period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

* On/off light showers can be expected through today & tonight,
  mainly in the mountains, as a slow moving low pressure lingers
  off the California coastline. Precip amounts look minimal on
  average per HREF PMMs, generally under 0.1", however some
  instability this afternoon-evening could generate heavier
  showers in the mountains around Tahoe up into Plumas Co, with
  0.25" possible there. Rain-snow lines look to stay above most
  passes, except higher ones such as Mt Rose.

* Friday afternoon through Saturday continues to be the main
  period to watch for more widespread precipitation, as low
  pressure finally moves onshore. Pretty good bet for steady
  wetting rains in the mountains, with snow above 7500-8000',
  where snow amounts could be significant. NBM guidance hinting at
  6-12" for these areas. For W Nevada, most models show more
  intermittent showers with rainfall mainly under 0.1", but there
  is some upside potential in the guidance with 10-25% chance of
  0.25".

* Saturday night into Sunday morning is where things could get
  more interesting travel impact wise with snow lines dropping
  coupled with incoming secondary upper wave/front. Can't rule
  out snow accumulations down to 6500' or so which would affect
  I-80 and other Sierra highways. Lots of variability in snow
  scenarios ranging from little/none to several inches. NBM 10th
  percentile snow lines would bring some flakes even down into W
  Nevada foothills. With this wave, W/NW winds would increase for
  a brief period to 20-30 mph, but nothing overly impactful.

* Ridge builds in with warming temperatures and valley inversions
  Monday through Wednesday next week - good news for travelers.
  Some signs of a slider type system on Thanksgiving but still
  only a 10% POP in the NBM guidance this far out. It's getting to
  be that time of year...

-Chris

&&

.AVIATION...

* Scattered showers will continue today across the Sierra into
  northeast CA with low clouds lingering this morning throughout
  the eastern Sierra. Webcams show some fog in the KMMH area as
  well, reducing conditions below airport minimums. Terrain
  obscurement and periods of MVFR will gradually improve later
  this morning and afternoon outside of shower activity.
  Conditions may become unstable enough this afternoon for an
  isolated thunderstorm vicinity KTVL/KTRK northward into
  Plumas/western Lassen Co (10-15% chance).

* Otherwise, light winds and extensive cloud cover will hang
  around through Friday as an upper low remains offshore. If
  enough breaks occur tonight/early Friday morning, patchy
  fog/freezing fog could develop in locations such as the Martis
  Valley/KTRK (30% chance).

* The upper low is forecast to move inland Friday night through
  early Sunday for a renewed period of widespread showers and
  terrain obscurement in MVFR conditions. Snow levels should
  remain high enough to mitigate accumulation impacts although the
  rain may briefly change over to snow at Sierra airports before
  precipitation tapers late Saturday night due to colder air
  filtering into the region. Moderate south to southwest winds
  mainly across the ridges, but there could be a brief period of
  gusty winds down to valley floors with the cold front late
  Saturday night/early Sunday.

Hohmann

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Washoe

When
November 16, 9:00 AM PST to November 17, 9:00 AM PST
Where
Washoe County, 2.2 mi SW of Crystal Bay to 1.7 mi ENE of Incline Vlg
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
39.224, -120.004

A CoCoRahs station (NV-WH-161-Incline Village) located 1.3 mi S of Crystal Bay, CA, and a CO-OP observer station (INVN2) located in 1.2 mi E of Incline Village, NV, reported 24 hour rainfall storm totals of 0.60 inches and 0.55 inches respectively.

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nevada in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Nevada, November 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1151439.