Nevada, 2023Heavy Snow and Heavy Rain in Nevada, May 2 to 3, 2023
May 2 to 3, 2023 · NWS REV · 3 events in 2 counties and zones
A low that settled into the west coast the first few days of May brought showers and an increased chance (20-30%) of thunderstorms that also lowered rain-snow lines to 5500-7000 feet by early morning 3 May. Stronger showers and storms produced a mix of rain, snow, and ice pellets which lead to runoff issues in the lower elevations.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A low that settled into the west coast the first few days of May brought showers and an increased chance (20-30%) of thunderstorms that also lowered rain-snow lines to 5500-7000 feet by early morning 3 May. Stronger showers and storms produced a mix of rain, snow, and ice pellets which lead to runoff issues in the lower elevations. High end chances (10-20%) of rainfall totals were expected to reach 0.50-1.00 inch. Although snow was projected to fall in the Sierra, the combination of warm road temperatures and the early May sun angle limited accumulations on paved surfaces. But bursts of convective heavy snow showers and/or snow occurring during the overnight hours were expected to bring overnight travel impacts to mountain passes. Tightening thermal and pressure gradients with the incoming low produced gusty south-southeast winds and travel impacts for portions of Churchill, Mineral, Lyon, and Mono Counties along US-395 and US-95.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Reno, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 2, 2:50 AM PST, 4 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 2, 2:50 AM PST, 4 hours 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
350 AM PDT Tue May 2 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
A much cooler late season weather system will stall over the
California central coast this week. This lingering system will bring
periods of rain, snow, and pellet showers; as well as a few
thunderstorms. The cooler temps will also slow the snowmelt leading
to a slight reduction in flows on creeks, stream, and rivers.
.DISCUSSION…
Today and Wednesday: Currently a wide band of rain and snow
showers pivots northwest and west around a closed low that has
settled over the California central coast. Little progress is
foreseen by both blended and Hi-Res CAM guidance as this low
pressure system brings anomalous lower temperatures and periods of
precipitation that is more synonymous with transitional late
winter (late Feb/early Mar) period. Well, I hope this brings up
those May flowers with more splendor than normally seen any other
year.
Bands of rain/snow showers will continue to rotate north and
northeast this afternoon and evening. Ensemble and blended
guidance show no real change in snow levels which will hover
between 5000-7000 across the Sierra and western NV, with brief
lower periods in heavier showers. Therefore, look out for more
Sierra snow showers to compliment lower elevation rain/pellet
showers along with increased chances (15-25%) for occasional
thunder. Thunderstorm activity will concentrate mostly over far
western NV, the Sierra Front north-northwest into northeast
California. This afternoon going into the evening, bands of
heavier convective snow showers will bring quick bursts of
localized heavy snowfall. Therefore, along the Sierra Crest above
7000' there's a good chance (50-70%) of 2-4" and a lower chance
(20- 30%) of anything more than 6-8” of accumulated snow. Western
NV valleys below 5500” will stay mostly rain today and Wednesday
with projected precip ranging form a few hundredths of an inch up
to of up to 0.30".
Another supplemental shortwave will pivot south to north across
western Nevada Wednesday morning and brings widespread light
precipitation across the region. The best chance (40-60%) for
precipitation remains mostly over the Sierra Crest to include the
Lake Tahoe Basin that extends into NE CA. Snow levels will hover
around 6000 to 7000 feet range with the potential for snow showers
developing across much of the Sierra. More convective bands of
snow showers could drop quick bursts of heavier snowfall over more
localized areas. Blended guidance is trending lower for snowfall
amounts with only a 50-70% chance for at least 4-6 inches of snow
just south of the Tahoe Basin extending into Alpine and northern
Mono counties from late Wednesday into early Saturday morning.
Travel impacts are still not out of the question, so be sure to
check with CalTrans and/or NDOT for the latest on road conditions.
To add to the collective “UGHHH" feeling, blended guidance still
projects that higher elevation areas across the Sierra crest could
see up to a foot of snow through Wednesday morning.
Breezy afternoon and evening south-southwest winds with gusts
15-30 mph for most areas across the Sierra into western NV will
return today. More enhanced breezes with gusts as high as 30-35
mph will follow-up across eastern areas of the Basin and Range
(Mineral-Churchill-Pershing counties) Wednesday afternoon and
evening with gusts in wind prone areas reaching 40 mph that could
make travel difficult over portions of US-395, US-50 east of
Fallon, and US-95 in and around Walker lake into Hawthorne, NV.
Latter half of the week into the weekend:
Thursday starts with another subsequent wave of mid-high level
convergent forcing and Pacific moisture swinging northeast and north
round the main upper level low centered over the central CA coast.
This wave will bring another round of showers and an increased
chance (15-20%) for isolated thunderstorms to the Sierra and western
NV. GEFS and European ensemble guidance project that the best chance
for stronger storm cell development looks to cover mostly
northeast CA, that extends east across northern NV both Thursday
and Friday afternoon. These areas also better align will ECMWF
extreme forecast index for normalized CAPE, shear, and QPF
projections. Winds will remain mostly breezy from the west-
southwest in the afternoon, except in and around storms where
outflow gusts could exceed 40 mph. Temperatures will remain mostly
below normal with daytime highs 5-10 degrees below seasonal
averages.
The key point at this time is model simulations show the area of
low pressure spinning down and becoming less organized. Therefore,
precipitation timing and trajectory projections remain an open
question through the second half of this week into the weekend.
Nonetheless, unsettled weather conditions and cooler temperatures
will persist across the region into the weekend with as pockets of
energy continue to rotate around the base of broader area of
upper toughing that stays more or less fixed over the western US.
-Amanda
&&
.AVIATION...
* Hi-Res CAMS simulations show the current band of rain/snow
showers will continuing to rotate northwest into NE-CA through
18Z. Another band of showers and isolated thunderstorms are
projected to develop over western NV and the Sierra this
afternoon that rotates northwest into NE CA through this
evening. Terminals nearest thunderstorms will see brief MVFR
conditions, lightning, brief heavy rainfall, mountain
obscurations, strong outflow winds greater than 40 mph, and
small hail/snow pellets.
* With snow levels hovering around 5500-6500 today into this
evening, there remains a moderate chance (30-40%) for snow showers
bringing brief periods of IFR-MVFR conditions for Sierra
terminals. These convective bands of snow showers will continue
this afternoon into the evening, and bring more slushy light snow,
IFR conditions, lowered CIGs/VIS, and mountain obscurations to
Sierra and NE CA terminals. High sun angles and warm tarmac
temperatures should limit the potential for any accumulations
greater than an inch.
* Southerly upper flow will increase winds to 30-40 kts at FL100
along with periods of mountain wave turbulence and LLWS across the
Sierra and east into western Nevada today through Wednesday.
Breezy afternoon and evening winds will gust to 15-25 kts today
across Sierra and western NV terminals. There is an increased
potential today and Wednesday for gusts 25-40 kts for terminals in
the Basin and Range/west-central Nevada. -Amanda
&&
.AVALANCHE...
* Another round of snow showers will push into the Sierra through
the evening. Some heavier snow snowfall is possible will more
convection bands snow showers that moves through the area. Winds
will stay breezy out of the south-southwest this afternoon,
with ridges above 8000' gusting 40+ mph.
* Around the Lake Tahoe Basin, snow amounts are ranging from 2-5"
below 7000', 6-11" above 7000', and 2-5" above 6000' in NE CA.
Liquid totals of 0.3-0.7" above 7000' in the Sierra to 0.4-0.6"
in NE CA. Snow ratios will mainly hover between 13:1-17:1
throughout the duration. Snowfall rates will be generally around
0.5"/hr but could reach as high as 1"/hr during the heaviest
convective snowfall this afternoon between 1PM-6PM PDT.
* Intermittent snow showers look to continue through the second
half of this week with periods of heavier convective bands of
showers in the afternoon into the evening. -Amanda
&&
.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ002.
CA...Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening CAZ072.
&&
Heavy Snow, Greater Lake Tahoe Area
- When
- May 2, 7:00 AM PST to May 3, 7:00 AM PST
- Where
- Greater Lake Tahoe Area forecast zone
- Reported by
- CoCoRaHS
- Coordinates
- 39.789, -119.640 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A COCORAHS station (CA-NV-79 Reno), located 9.0 NNE of Cold Springs, NV, and the public located at Dagget Pass, NV, reported 24 hour snowfall totals of 12.0 inches and 3.0 inches respectively.
Heavy Rain, Washoe
- When
- May 2, 7:00 AM PST to May 3, 7:00 AM PST
- Where
- Washoe County, Reno Cannon Intl Arp to 1.4 mi NNE of Reno Cannon Intl Arp
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 39.500, -119.770
An ASOS located at the Reno-Tahoe International Airport, a COCORAHS (NV-WH-2 Reno) located 1.4 mi NNE of Reno, NV, and a COCORAHS (NV-WH-133 Reno) located 1.7 mi WSW of Reno, NV, reported 24 hour rainfall totals of 0.84 inches, 0.91 inches, and 0.93 inches respectively.
Heavy Rain, Washoe
- When
- May 2, 8:00 AM PST to May 3, 8:00 AM PST
- Where
- Washoe County, 4 mi SSW of (Rno)cannon Arpt Ren
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 39.447, -119.799
A trained spotter located 4.0 mi SSW of Reno, NV, reported a 24 hour rainfall total of 1.04 inches, as well as one inch storm total snowfall.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
- Heavy Rain
- Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1102021, 1102022, 1102023.