Nevada, 2023

Debris Flow and Heavy Snow in Nevada, January 9 to 11, 2023

January 9 to 11, 2023 · NWS REV · 7 events in 3 counties and zones

A stronger winter storm produced several waves of new snow and high winds that impacted the region during the third week of January. A relatively long-duration atmospheric river from 9-11 January supported forcing and moisture for the first in the series of winter systems that brought heavy Sierra snowfall with accumulations ranging from 3-6 feet across the Sierra Crest.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS REV wrote it up.

A stronger winter storm produced several waves of new snow and high winds that impacted the region during the third week of January. A relatively long-duration atmospheric river from 9-11 January supported forcing and moisture for the first in the series of winter systems that brought heavy Sierra snowfall with accumulations ranging from 3-6 feet across the Sierra Crest. The heaviest snowfall occurred in Mono County over the 3-day period with heavy, unrelenting snowfall that forced a prolonged closure of US-395 from Bridgeport to Bishop from late morning January 9th through the afternoon January 11th. On January 9th, heavy rain across the Lake Tahoe Basin changed to heavy snow below 7000 ft, leading to snowfall totals ranging from 8-20 inches through January 11th. Over 2 feet of snowfall was observed in parts of northeast California above 5000 feet. On January 9th mostly rain fell across western Nevada with storm total precipitation amounts ranging between 0.75-2 inches across much of Douglas, Carson City, southern Washoe, Mineral, and Lyon counties. The heavier rainfall across those contributed to a major rockfall and subsequently lead to an extended road closure on SR-208 in Wilson Canyon (Figure 4). Reports of areal flooding included I-80 near Lockwood, NN, Geiger Grade at Toll Rd in the Virginia City highlands, and along US-395 south of Reno with flooding from Steamboat Creek spilling over Towne Road. The changeover to snow in western Nevada arrived during the morning commute on January 10th which led to several related traffic incidents that included a 19-car pile-up on the Galena Bridge on I-580.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Reno, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 9, 5:10 AM PST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 5:10 AM PST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
510 AM PST Mon Jan 9 2023

.UPDATE...

Snow accumulations will be possible down to valley floors of
western Nevada Tuesday as a colder system moves into the region.
Therefore, the Winter Storm Watches for western Nevada were
upgraded to Winter Weather Advisories, which are in effect from 2
AM to 4 PM Tuesday.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /issued 340 AM PST Mon Jan 9 2023/

SYNOPSIS...

A strong atmospheric river making landfall this morning will bring
heavy Sierra snow, strong winds, and a mixture of heavy wet snow and
lower elevation flood concerns today through Tuesday. Snow levels
will vary widely Monday so the primary impacts will be winter
travel in the Sierra and minor urban and small creek flooding
risks in the lower elevations. A short storm break is possible
mid-late week but more storms appear likely next weekend and
beyond.

DISCUSSION...

STRONG ATMOSPHERIC RIVER (TODAY - TUESDAY PM):

TODAY:

* SUMMARY: The initial part of the storm is currently moving into
  the region as of this writing. We will likely see variable
  waves of precipitation and moisture throughout the day, with a
  short break in activity for a portion of this evening and early
  night, with a heavier precipitation round Tuesday morning.

* VARIABLE SNOW LEVELS: Current observations along the valley
  floors of far western Nevada show warm air currently in place
  with south-southeasterly winds. Light rain is ongoing, which is
  mixing moisture down to the surface, causing dewpoints to rise
  from out of the mid-upper 20s. High-resolution model soundings
  show valley floor temperatures and dewpoints bouncing between 34
  to 39 degrees this morning through 7:00 AM PST. This will limit
  the potential for snow down to valley floors this morning. We'll
  likely see rain or a rain-snow mix. However, above 5000 feet,
  we could see a dusting to an inch as temperatures and dewpoints
  hover around 32 to 34 degrees. Some spotty freezing rain will
  also be possible in warmer pockets of air. By 10:00 AM PST, snow
  levels rise to around 7000 feet, bringing rain to western
  Nevada. Snow levels then slowly drop to 4500 to 5000 feet late
  this afternoon into this evening in far western, bringing some
  light snowfall accumulations to areas above 5000 feet by 7:00 PM
  PST. Lower snow levels are possible over the Basin and Range
  into the evening, so we could see a brief moment of snow late
  this afternoon. A break will occur tonight, until the next wave
  of moisture enters western Nevada early Tuesday morning. More on
  this in the next section.

* SIERRA SNOW: Variable snow levels this morning continue to bring
  headaches to the forecast. Snow began moving into the higher
  Sierra around 10:00 PM PST yesterday evening. Drier air within
  Sierra valleys is currently having an effect on snow levels.
  Snow levels as of this writing are hovering around 6000 feet,
  with cameras along I-80 over Donner Summit showing moderate
  snowfall. Deterministic models and the NBM show snow levels
  bouncing between 5500 to 7000 feet before 10:00 AM PST. There
  remains a high boom/bust potential due to these widely variable
  snow levels through the day. We'll likely see moderate-to-heavy
  snowfall rates above 6500-7000 feet, with accumulations of 6 to
  18" possible through this evening, with locally higher amounts
  to 2 feet above 7000 feet. Below 6500 feet, we'll likely see 2
  to 6" of snow. Dangerous travel conditions are expected all day
  across the Sierra. So delay your travel if you can.

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING/MAINSTEM RIVER RISES: With
  model snow levels looking to be lower than were previously
  forecast, flooding potential could be mitigated partially.
  Urban, small stream, and mainstem river rises are still likely,
  especially with rain falling below about 6500 to 5000 feet.

* WINDS: Sierra ridge gusts are increasing this morning. We'll see
  a peak gust potential of 130 to 150 mph until mid-morning. For
  lower elevations, the heavier precipitation will hinder some of
  the wind potential. However, gusts 50+ mph are possible in
  Surprise Valley- far northeast California-northwest Nevada and
  Mineral/southern Lyon-Churchill counties where more lulls in
  precipitation are likely due to dry air entrainment. After
  seeing wind prone areas along US-95 peak out around 80 mph
  Saturday night, it is possible that areas near Walker Lake could
  see short burst of 70+ mph gusts today.

TONIGHT - TUESDAY PM:

* SUMMARY: We'll see a short break between shortwaves tonight
  from around 8:00 PM to 12:00 AM PST Tuesday. Another wave of
  moisture will then enter the region early Tuesday morning
  bringing a myriad of impacts to the region through Tuesday
  evening/night.

* SNOW DOWN TO VALLEY FLOORS: Snow will affect the lower valley
  floors of western Nevada through the early afternoon Tuesday,
  with 1 to 3" possible on valley floors, and 3 to 6" possible
  above 5000 feet. In the Sierra, we'll see continuous snowfall
  through the day and part of the evening, bringing 6 to 12" to
  areas west of US-395 in northeast California, 12 to 24" above
  7000 feet and 6 to 12" less than 7000 feet in the Sierra.

* MAINSTEM RIVER RISES: The most recent CNRFC forecast (9:00 AM
  PST Saturday) shows mainstem rivers such as the Susan, Feather,
  Truckee, and Carson coming up late Tuesday night. We'll see
  appreciable rises, but likely most rivers will not hit monitor
  or flood stage. The next CNRFC forecast is slated for 9:00 AM
  PST this morning, so we'll get a better idea of flooding
  potential then.

* WINDS: Ridge winds are expected to increase Tuesday morning and
  gust up to 80+ mph, while lower elevations could see increased
  breezes to 30 mph, especially during lulls in precipitation. -

ANOTHER WEAK WAVE WEDNESDAY:

* Another shortwave trough will bring chances for light snow to
  the Sierra (0.5 to 3"), with slightly heavier accumulations
  possible along the higher terrain near the Sierra Buttes and
  Lassen National Park (1 to 4") Wednesday. After that, we'll see
  a weak ridge build in over the Great Basin bringing mainly dry
  and quiet conditions to the region. Ensemble models do hint at
  a moderate storm affecting the Sierra and western Nevada
  Saturday through Sunday, but it is low confidence. Looking
  ahead, there are still signals for storms to affect the West
  Coast through the end of January.

-Johnston

AVIATION...

* A strong storm will move through the Sierra and western NV tonight
  through Tuesday with strong upper level winds likely to bring
  turbulence, LLWS and periods of heavy precipitation. Our airports
  continue to be in that zone of uncertainty when it comes to snow
  levels, especially between 4500-6500 feet MSL, as snow levels will
  be highly variable at times. Right now, we are looking at some
  snow early on Monday before the warmest and heaviest precipitation
  arrives late in the morning into the afternoon. Snow levels then
  will generally favor valley floors as we head into Monday night
  and Tuesday.

* WINDS: Ridge level winds will remain strong through the event, but
  a couple of periods stand out, 08Z-20Z Monday and 09Z-20Z Tuesday.
  FL100 winds increase to 60-70 kts during these times with ridge
  level gusts approaching or possibly exceeding 115 kts. The
  probability for widespread moderate turbulence with occasional
  bouts of severe turbulence increase dramatically for these periods
  in addition to LLWS/rotors and strong surface south to southwest
  wind gusts in excess of 40 kts along the eastern Sierra. For
  tonight and Monday morning, these more extreme conditions will be
  possible along the entire east side from KSVE-KMMH with the focus
  shifting to KCXP-KMMH late Monday night into Tuesday morning.

* PRECIPITATION: At some point, all airports will likely see
  accumulating snow. Given the uncertainty in snow levels,
  especially Monday, snow amounts could vary considerably, even at
  Tahoe level sites where periods of rain are possible during the
  warm part of the storm Monday. Latest indications show things
  starting as snow early Monday morning (06-12Z) then a change over
  to rain or a rain-snow mix below 5500-6500 feet MSL late morning
  to mid afternoon Monday, then falling to valley floors by Monday
  evening and continuing into Tuesday. Latest projections indicate
  total accumulations of 1-2 feet at Sierra terminals with 2-6
  inches for KRNO-KCXP-KMEV (most falling Monday night into Tuesday
  morning for the lower elevation sites). Bottom line: be prepared
  for snow accumulations during the entire storm and be ready for
  adjustments to amounts as conditions unfold. Between the wind and
  the heavy precipitation, flying is going to be a rough venture
  late tonight through Tuesday!

* A few light snow showers are possible Wednesday-Wednesday night as
  a weak system moves through northern CA. Otherwise, there will be
  an overall break from the intense atmospheric river systems.
  Another storm is possible the weekend of the 14-15th with the
  track favoring a trajectory more toward southern CA-NV-AZ, but
  quickly followed by a colder storm early next week. More on this
  later.

Johnston/Hohmann

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...Winter Weather Advisory from 2 AM to 4 PM PST Tuesday NVZ005.

     Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM PST Wednesday NVZ002.

     Winter Weather Advisory from 2 AM to 4 PM PST Tuesday NVZ001.

     Winter Weather Advisory from 2 AM to 4 PM PST Tuesday NVZ003.

CA...Winter Weather Advisory from 2 AM to 4 PM PST Tuesday CAZ070.

     Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM PST Wednesday CAZ071.

     Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM PST Wednesday CAZ072.

     Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM PST Wednesday CAZ073.

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 heavy rain, 2 heavy snow, 1 high wind, 1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Washoe

When
January 9, 8:00 AM PST to January 10, 8:00 AM PST
Where
Washoe County, 1.7 mi WSW of Reno to 1.7 mi E of Sparks
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
39.511, -119.850

COCORAHS stations located 1.7 mi E of Sparks, NV (NV-WH-31), and 1.7 mi WSW of Reno, NV (NV-WH-133), reported a 24 hour rainfall amounts of 0.97 and 0.99 inches respectively.

Heavy Rain, Washoe

When
January 9, 9:00 AM PST to January 10, 9:00 AM PST
Where
Washoe County, 1.6 mi NE of Incline Vlg to 1.87 mi NE of Incline Vlg
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
39.247, -119.930

COCORAHS station located 0.9 mi ESE of the Diamond Peak Ski Base (NV-WH-121) reported a 24 hour rainfall amount of 1.66 inches.

Heavy Rain, Washoe

When
January 9, 10:00 AM PST to January 10, 10:00 AM PST
Where
Washoe County, (Rno)cannon Arpt Ren to 1.25 mi E of Lemmon Vly
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
39.500, -119.770

An ASOS located at the Reno-Tahoe International airport and an official NWS observation located 2.0 SSW of Sun Valley, NV, reported a 24 hour rainfall amounts of 1.00 and 1.07 inches respectively.

Heavy Snow, Greater Lake Tahoe Area

When
January 10, 8:00 AM PST to January 11, 8:00 AM PST
Where
Greater Lake Tahoe Area forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
39.789, -119.640 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter located 1.0 mi NNW of Incline Village reported a 24 hour snowfall total of 15.5 inches (SWE: 1.59 inches), as well as 3 day storm total snowfall amount of 27.5 inches.

Heavy Snow, Greater Lake Tahoe Area

When
January 10, 9:00 AM PST to January 11, 9:00 AM PST
Where
Greater Lake Tahoe Area forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
39.789, -119.640 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The public at the Mount Rose Ski Base and Diamond Peak Ski Base reported 24 hour snowfall totals of 12 and 22 inches respectively, as well as 3 day storm total snowfall amounts of 56 and 31 inches respectively.

High Wind, Greater Lake Tahoe Area

When
January 10, 11:57 AM PST
Where
Greater Lake Tahoe Area forecast zone
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
39.789, -119.640 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Mesonet Station (NV DOT-REV) located along US-95 near Walker Lake, NV reported a peak wind gust from the south at 75 mph at 11:57 AM.

Debris Flow, Lyon

When
January 10, 6:00 PM PST
Where
Lyon County, 3.62 mi ESE of Wilson Canyon to 3.56 mi E of Wilson Canyon
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
38.819, -119.204

A massive landslide on State Route 208 through Wilson Canyon forced the closure of the highway for an indeterminate amount of time. The Nevada Department of Transportation (NDOT) says the rockslide was likely caused by the recent heavy precipitation. The debris fell across roughly 400 feet of roadway around 6:00 PM Tuesday night, NDOT estimates.

There were no immediate indications of any injuries due to the landslide.

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nevada in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Nevada, January 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1080875, 1080878, 1080879, 1080871, 1080872, 1086429, 1086435.