Nevada, 2023Debris Flow and Flood in Nevada, August 20 to 22, 2023
August 20 to 22, 2023 · NWS LKN · 8 events in 3 counties and zones
The remnants of Tropical Storm Hilary caused gusty winds, record rainfall, and flooding across sections of central and northern Nevada.
Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $501,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 8
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The remnants of Tropical Storm Hilary caused gusty winds, record rainfall, and flooding across sections of central and northern Nevada.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Elko, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 20, 2:11 AM PST, 2 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 2:11 AM PST, 2 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
311 AM PDT Sun Aug 20 2023
.SYNOPSIS...Extensive tropical moisture from Tropical Cyclone
Hilary has begun impacting the CWA. Expect the moisture to advance
northward eventually bring showers and thunderstorms to the
entire region. Central Nevada is forecast to receive the brunt of
the precipitation (3-6+ inches QPF totals through Wednesday PM
with isolated amounts of 8-10 inches) and dangerous to
catastrophic flooding impacts cannot be ruled out. Northern
Nevada will see QPF totals from 1-3+ inches through Wednesday PM
with local maxima to 5 inches possible resulting in localized,
and some significant, flash flooding. Southerly surface winds
begin to build this morning reaching peak velocities on Monday.
Preparations and necessary precautions for this storm should have
already been made. Continue to monitor weather updates for current
conditions and alerts.
&&
.SHORT TERM...Today through Monday night.
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Hilary was located
near latitude 27.4 North, longitude 115.0 West. The hurricane is
moving toward the north-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h). Hilary is
expected to accelerate as it moves north-northwestward to northward
during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of
Hilary will move close to the west-central coast of the Baja
California Peninsula during the next few hours, and then move across
southern California this afternoon.
Current IR satellite imagery shows the entire CWA covered in upper
level moisture. Radar reflectivities of 20-30 dBZ show returns
for most of the CWA except portions of western Humboldt County
indicating precip is already occurring for most of the region.
Expect intensities to increase throughout the day.
For the forecast area, this is an anomalous wet tropical system.
Confidence is very high that this system will produce rainfall
amounts that may exceed all time daily records. The heaviest
rainfall is expected to occur over central Nevada throughout
Monday, but the northern sections of the state will not be immune
to seeing above average rainfall. As a result, all of northern and
central Nevada remains under a flood watch through Tuesday. For
the forecast area, this is an anonymously wet tropical system.
Confidence is very high that this system will produce rainfall
amounts that may exceed all time daily records. The heaviest
rainfall is expected to occur over central Nevada throughout
Monday, but the northern sections of the state will not be immune
to seeing above average rainfall. As a result, all of northern and
central Nevada remains under a flood watch through Tuesday
morning.
Winds could be particularly strong and gusty in and near areas of
elevated terrain. Higher gusts are expected Monday and will
persist even after the system becomes post-tropical. A high wind
warning goes into affect for all counties except Humboldt and
northwestern Nye at 6 am this morning and will extend to Humboldt
and northwestern Nye at 10pm on Sunday ending at 8pm on Monday.
Temperatures through the short term period will be well below
normal thanks to the abundance of clouds and moisture.
LONG TERM...Tuesday through Saturday...
Overall, the long term period looks to remain active, but nowhere
near as active as the beginning of the week. Temperatures slowly
trend warmer over the course of the period.
Tuesday sees troughing over the PNW help to pull the remnants of
Hilary through the forecast area, allowing for showers and
thunderstorms to continue. However, QPF totals are much closer to
normal as daily totals for Tuesday currently range from a trace
to about 0.10". There is currently a 5% to 10% chance of isolated
pockets of higher totals of 0.20" to almost 0.40" from isolated
pockets of heavier showers, but guidance is currently keeping
totals that high in the eastern portion of White Pine County.
Afternoon highs remain in the 70s.
South to southwesterly flow on Wednesday and Thursday keeps just
enough moisture aloft to support some clouds mixing in with our
sunny skies, but any showers stay closer to the southeastern
corner of the CWA --- namely northeastern Nye and southern White
Pine counties. Afternoon highs continue to trend just a bit
warmer into the upper 70s and 80s.
A shortwave clipping the forecast area brings light showers and
thunderstorms for the end of the week, and into the weekend. Right
now, highest probs for precipitation of 40% to 60% are in central
and northeastern Nevada, but ensembles show most likely highest
QPF totals to be around 0.10". By the time the weekend comes,
afternoon highs are still in the upper 70s to 80s, but more
locations are seeing temperatures in the upper 80s.
&&
.AVIATION...Weather conditions deteriorate rapidly this morning as
SHRA/+SHRA spread from south to north across the area. Lowered CIG
and VIS at all sites today leading to fluctuations between MVFR
and IFR conditions at times, with intermittent LIFR conditions at
KTPH and KELY. Dominant winds out of the south to southeast today
range from 10 to 20 kts with gusts up to 35 kts, but winds jump
significantly around 05Z with sustained winds of 25 to 35 kts or
more and gusts approaching 40 to 50 kts. Localized stronger gusts
from the erratic nature of tropical systems may cause very
localized gusts stronger than these values.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...All zones will see showers and thunderstorms
today and Monday with Chance of Wetting Rain (CWR) forecast at
70-95%.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...Deep Tropical moisture associated with Hurricane
Hilary has begun to move in from the south, following a northward
track. Northern Nye and White Pine counties are already beginning
to have impacts. Heavy showers and thunderstorms spread northward
by Sunday afternoon, bringing impacts to the rest of our
counties. The moisture, atmospheric instability, and weak lift
associated with the decaying remnants of Hilary has the potential
to produce moderate to heavy rainfall and the potential for strong
thunderstorms to produce moderate to high rainfall rates from 1
to 2 inches per hour. Rainfall rates of this magnitude can
produce localized flooding and flash flooding with major flooding
possible. Portions of Central Nevada are forecast to receive 3-6+
inches QPF totals through Wednesday PM with isolated amounts of
8-10 inches and dangerous to catastrophic flooding impacts cannot
be ruled out.
&&
.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flood Watch through late Monday night Humboldt County...
Northeastern Nye County...Northern Elko County...Northern Lander
County and Northern Eureka County...Northwestern Nye County...
Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range...South Central Elko
County...Southeastern Elko County...Southern Lander County and
Southern Eureka County...Southwest Elko County...White Pine
County.
High Wind Warning from 10 PM this evening to 8 PM PDT Monday
in Humboldt County...Northwestern Nye County.
High Wind Warning from 6 AM this morning to 8 PM PDT Monday
in Northeastern Nye County...Northern Elko County...Northern
Lander County and Northern Eureka County... Ruby Mountains and
East Humboldt Range...South Central Elko County...Southeastern
Elko County...Southern Lander County and Southern Eureka
County...Southwest Elko County...White Pine County.
&&
95/85/85/95/95
Event by event
6 high wind, 1 debris flow, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
High Wind, White Pine
- When
- August 20, 4:11 AM PST to 5:11 AM PST
- Where
- White Pine forecast zone
- Measured
- 55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- RAWS
- Coordinates
- 39.442, -114.902 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Station (MTHN2) Mather Raws, Elevation 9268 feet. Also of note: 1.79 inches of rain fell at the site from 4:11 PM LT on August 19th to 11:11 PM LT on August 20th, from Tropical Storm Hilary.
Debris Flow, White Pine
- When
- August 20, 10:15 AM PST to August 21, 12:00 PM PST
- Where
- White Pine County, 10.92 mi WSW of Preston to 10.67 mi WSW of Preston
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Tropical System
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 38.848, -115.251
NVDOT reported a rockslide blocking the westbound lane on US-6, near NF-607. Heavy precipitation from Tropical Storm Hilary preceded the rockslide. Many sites reported 1-3 inches of rainfall with this event. Cattle Camp Raws, located 23 miles east of the rockslide, measured 2.17 inches of rain.
High Wind, Northeastern Nye
- When
- August 20, 10:32 PM PST to 11:32 PM PST
- Where
- Northeastern Nye forecast zone
- Measured
- 79 kt (91 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- RAWS
- Coordinates
- 38.042, -116.472 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Station (TMBN2) Timber Mountain Raws, Elevation 9000 feet.
High Wind, White Pine
- When
- August 20, 11:20 PM PST to August 21, 12:20 AM PST
- Where
- White Pine forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 39.442, -114.902 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Station (DNEP2) Pinyon-Juniper Dri, Elevation 7225 feet. Also of note: 1.57 inches of rain fell at the site from 1:00 AM to 9:20 PM LT on August 20th, from Tropical Storm Hilary.
High Wind, White Pine
- When
- August 21, 12:30 AM PST to 1:30 AM PST
- Where
- White Pine forecast zone
- Measured
- 60 kt (69 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 39.442, -114.902 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Station (DNEP3) LongNow Montaine Dri, Elevation 9250 feet. Also of note: 2.44 inches of rain fell at the site from 4:30 PM LT on August 19th to 4:40 PM LT on August 20th, from Tropical Storm Hilary.
High Wind, Northeastern Nye
- When
- August 21, 12:32 AM PST to 1:32 AM PST
- Where
- Northeastern Nye forecast zone
- Measured
- 84 kt (97 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- RAWS
- Coordinates
- 38.042, -116.472 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Station (TMBN2) Timber Mountain Raws, Elevation 9000 feet. Also of note: 2.63 inches of rain fell at the site from 8:32 PM LT on August 19th to 10:32 PM LT on August 20th, from Tropical Storm Hilary.
Flood, Nye
- When
- August 21, 4:40 AM PST to August 22, 12:00 AM PST
- Where
- Nye County, 1 mi E of Carvers to 0.8 mi E of Carvers
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Tropical System
- Property damage
- $500,000
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 38.780, -117.181
SR-376 was washed out at mile marker 62 north of the city of Cavers, NV. Anywhere from 1-4 inches of rain from Tropical Storm Hilary fell across Nye County. Quima Peak Raws, located just 35 miles south of the washout, measured 3.96 inches of rain from the event. SR-376 from Cavers to US-50 has been closed as a result and remains closed indefinitely.
High Wind, White Pine
- When
- August 21, 6:11 AM PST to 7:11 AM PST
- Where
- White Pine forecast zone
- Measured
- 60 kt (69 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- RAWS
- Coordinates
- 39.442, -114.902 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Station (MTHN2) Mather Raws, Elevation 9268 feet.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
- Debris Flow
- A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
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