An upper level trough was centered over Canada with a portion of the upper trough extending south to the Gulf Coast. Temperatures during the day had warmed up into the 80s and 90s.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GID wrote it up.
An upper level trough was centered over Canada with a portion of the upper trough extending south to the Gulf Coast. Temperatures during the day had warmed up into the 80s and 90s. Relatively high CAPE values were across the area with 0 to 6 kilometer wind shear values generally between 40 and 50 knots. Mid-level lapse rates were generally between 7 to 8 degrees Celsius/kilometer. A weak cold front was pushing south through Nebraska into Kansas during the evening which provided an additional source of lift.
A line of storms was moving south from south central Nebraska and intersected with a line of storms moving eastward across northern Kansas. These two lines of storms merged and slowly moved eastward during the evening hours across north central Kansas. These storms produced severe wind gusts across Phillips and Smith Counties. The first and strongest wind report was 63 mph at 9:54 PM CDT near Phillipsburg, Kansas which produced some damage. The last report was 60 mph at 11 PM CDT which resulted in tree damage in Lebanon, Kansas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 10, 5:49 PM CST, 3 hours 5 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Hastings NE 649 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023 ...Aviation Update... .DISCUSSION...(This evening through Monday) Issued at 331 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023 Key Messages: * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for central Nebraska and much of south central Nebraska until 10 pm. * Severe thunderstorms possible from this afternoon into tonight across the forecast area. Severe thunderstorms will again be possible on Tuesday across much of Nebraska. * Heat indexes near or above 100 degrees across north central Kansas and portions of far southern Nebraska Tuesday and Wednesday. * Temperatures cooling slightly toward the end of the week with chances of showers and thunderstorms each day across at least a portion of the forecast area. Today and tonight... An upper level low/trough is centered over Canada with a portion of the upper trough extending south to the Gulf Coast. South to southwest surface winds are across south central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas. Temperatures across the area are expected to heat up into the upper 80s to mid 90s. Relatively high CAPE values will be across the area late this afternoon with 0 to 6 km wind shear values generally between 45 and 50 knots. Mid-level lapse rates will generally be 7 to 8 degrees C/km. A weak cold front will also be pushing southward into Nebraska this evening which will provide an additional source of lift. These conditions will result in a chance of severe weather across the area this afternoon and continuing into tonight. The greatest threat of severe weather will be from around 5 pm to midnight as storms develop across central Nebraska late this afternoon and early this evening and move southward. Large hail up to around golfball size and strong, damaging winds to around 70 mph are the greatest threats. The models differ on how much of the area is going to be impacted by the storms. Low temperatures tonight will range from the lower 60s to near 70 degrees. Tuesday and Tuesday night... The previously mentioned upper trough will move northeastward on Tuesday. Surface winds will mostly be out of the southeast with temperatures heating up into the upper 80s to mid 90s. Heat index values will range from the lower 90s to over 100 degrees on Tuesday afternoon. A surface high with an accompanying cold front will be present across northern Nebraska by Tuesday evening. This front will gradually move into the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. Very high surface CAPE values are expected tomorrow afternoon into the evening hours according to the NAM12 with 0 to 6 km wind shear values generally 45 to 50 knots. A limiting factor in severe storm development tomorrow will be the fairly low lapse rates. Any storms that develop tomorrow will likely become severe due to the above mentioned conditions. Storm development is most likely tomorrow along and just ahead of the cold front. Low temperatures tomorrow night will depend on the strength and timing of the front and will likely range from the lower 60s to lower 70s. Wednesday through next Monday... The cold front will continue to move across the area on Wednesday with high temperatures mostly in the 80s across central and south central Nebraska and mostly in the 90s across north central Kansas. Heat index values will be near and over 100 degrees across north central Kansas and portions of far southern Nebraska. The area will be on the underside of a trough on Wednesday with an upper disturbance possibly moving overhead. This may result in thunderstorms developing and moving across the area. Conditions on Thursday will be similar to those on Wednesday. Temperatures may cool a bit on Friday with highs mostly in the 80s across the forecast area. Additional disturbances may pass overhead providing more rain and storm chances through the end of the week. Fairly similar temperatures will continue through the weekend into early next week with highs in the 80s. Rain and storm chances will continue through the end of the forecast period. Low temperatures will range from the upper 50s to lower 70s. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Wednesday) Issued at 638 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023 Main concern for this TAF period comes right off the bat, as a line of scattered thunderstorms continues to push southeast toward the terminal sites. The primary impact of any storm that directly moves over the site looks to be variable gusty winds. Once this activity passes, currently have the rest of the TAF period dry, but will have to keep an eye on activity well to the NW to see if it holds together in a few hours. Light/variable winds are expected through the remainder of the overnight-early morning hours, then turning back to the SSE during the day on Tuesday. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. KS...NONE. && DISCUSSION...Schuldt AVIATION...ADP
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Hastings NE 503 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 112215- Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance- Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York- Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin- Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer- 503 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and portions of north central Kansas. .DAY ONE...This evening and tonight. The entire outlook area is included in either a Slight or Enhanced Risk for severe thunderstorms, with this threat lasting through at least the 10 PM to Midnight time frame for parts of the area. Generally speaking, storms will develop into the outlook area from both the north and the west with time this evening, perhaps eventually merging into a larger storm complex. The main threats with the most intense storms will be hail up to around the size of golf balls, wind gusts up to around 70 MPH and locally heavy rainfall of perhaps at least 1 to 2 inches in a short time. An isolated tornado cannot be entirely ruled out, but is certainly not the primary hazard. Eventually tonight, all thunderstorm activity will depart off to the south and southeast, and odds favor the entire outlook area being thunderstorm-free by around 2 AM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. For Tuesday late afternoon and evening, the majority of the outlook area is included in either a Marginal or Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms, with this threat favoring Nebraska areas more so than north central Kansas. Large hail and strong, damaging winds will be the main threats with any possible severe storms, although the likelihood of storm development and coverage of storms is still somewhat in question. Also on Tuesday, heat index values during the afternoon are expected to reach at least 100 degrees in southern portions of the outlook area, particularly within north central Kansas along with Thayer and Nuckolls counties in Nebraska. Similar to slightly higher heat index readings are expected in these same areas Wednesday afternoon, including the possibility for more dangerous readings of at least 105 degrees, particularly within parts of Rooks, Osborne, Mitchell, Jewell, Nuckolls and Thayer counties. Wednesday through Sunday, periodic thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast Wednesday through Sunday, but too many uncertainties exist to confidently pin down details with timing, location, and any possible threat for severe thunderstorms. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any possible instances of hail, wind gusts in excess of 50 MPH, localized flooding or anything else noteworthy. && More information may be obtained at the following web page: https://www.weather.gov/hastings Pfannkuch
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Hastings NE
934 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 PM Tstm Wnd Gst Waco 40.90N 97.46W
07/10/2023 E65 MPH York NE Trained Spotter
Trained spotter reported 65 to 70 mph wind
gusts. Winds pushed a grill with locked
wheels 2 feet. Power is out at spotters
location. Also reported dime to nickel size
hail.
&&Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Hastings NE
939 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0920 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 W Waco 40.90N 97.48W
07/10/2023 York NE Storm Chaser
Irrigation pivot blown over and severely
damaged. Extensive hail and wind damage to
crops observed.
&&Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Hastings NE
945 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0932 PM Hail 5 S Waco 40.83N 97.47W
07/10/2023 E1.00 inch York NE Public
Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).
&&
QDPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Hastings NE
949 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0920 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 5 S Waco 40.82N 97.46W
07/10/2023 York NE 911 Call Center
Unknown number of semi trucks overturned on
Interstate 80 near mile marker 360. Time
estimated based on radar.
&&Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Hastings NE
953 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0945 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 4 NNE Webster State Par 39.45N 99.41W
07/10/2023 M51 MPH Rooks KS Mesonet
Corrects previous tstm wnd gst report from 4
NNE Webster State Park.
&&Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
954 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023
KSZ005-017-018-110345-
Rooks KS-Phillips KS-Osborne KS-
954 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Rooks, Osborne and
south central Phillips Counties through 1045 PM CDT...
At 953 PM CDT, Doppler Radar and an automated weather station
reported strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 6 miles
south of Kirwin to 6 miles northeast of Plainville to 6 miles south
of Zurich. Movement was southeast at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Automated Weather Station. At 945 PM CDT, an unofficial
automated station measured a 51 MPH gust four miles north-
northeast of Webster State Park.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Plainville, Stockton, Natoma, Woodston, Alton, Zurich, Codell and
Webster State Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
north central Kansas.
&&
LAT...LON 3913 9956 3914 9957 3939 9948 3964 9937
3938 9856 3913 9864
TIME...MOT...LOC 0253Z 302DEG 38KT 3958 9916 3932 9924 3914 9945
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
PfannkuchThe Grand Island radar (KUEX), 101 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:55 UTC.
5 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A wind gust of 63 MPH was measured by a mesonet station located two miles west-southwest of Phillipsburg. In the Agra area, power pole damage was reported, and a roof was peeled back from an old abandoned building.
A wind gust of 61 MPH was measured by a mesonet station located eight miles south-southwest of Glade.
A wind gust of 59 MPH was measured by a mesonet station located four miles west of Kirwin.
A wind gust of 61 MPH was measured by the Smith Center Airport AWOS.
Wind gusts estimated to be near 60 MPH resulted in tree damage in Lebanon, including a few downed limbs up to 6 to 10 inches in diameter.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, July 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1117637, 1117635, 1117636, 1117631, 1117633.