Idaho, 2023

Debris Flows in Idaho, June 4, 2023

June 4, 2023 · NWS MSO · 2 events in 1 county or zone

Heavy rain fell from thunderstorms and produced a couple of debris flows Sunday evening.

Where it happened

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  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MSO wrote it up.

Heavy rain fell from thunderstorms and produced a couple of debris flows Sunday evening.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 4, 1:20 PM MST, 6 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 4, 1:20 PM MST, 6 hours 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
220 PM MDT Sun Jun 4 2023

.DISCUSSION...

A marginally unstable atmosphere will remain over the Northern
Rockies through this evening, with terrain enhanced showers and
thunderstorms present (most notable south of Montana Highway 200
corridor). Adding to this scenario, high-resolution models suggest
that a closed low pressure circulation over the northern Great
Basin/Snake River Plain will meander north and reach Lemhi
County/southwest Montana by this evening. This low pressure will
enhance some of the convection, however the high-resolution models
are struggling to reach consensus on storm initiation. There is a
5 percent probability of excessive rainfall (flash flood threat)
across Lemhi County/southwest Montana through this evening. Once
sunset nears this evening, the loss of daytime heating will likely
inhibit further shower and thunderstorm development for western
Montana. However, most near-term models depict showers and
isolated nocturnal thunderstorms spreading north/west over north
central Idaho throughout tonight.

By Monday afternoon, shower and isolated thunderstorm activity
associated with a weak closed low pressure circulation is expected
to spread eastward from north central Idaho to most of western
Montana. Daytime heating will intensify convection, however the lack
of strong flow aloft will prevent much storm organization.
Nevertheless, 5 percent probability of excessive rainfall remains
for Lemhi County/southwest Montana throughout Monday daytime. By
Monday evening, models suggest that the closed low pressure will
become an open wave (low pressure trough) and move northeast into
Canada.

Weak high pressure is anticipated to be present over the Northern
Rockies Tuesday to Wednesday, however this will not necessarily
translate to dry conditions across the region. National Blend of
Models components point toward daytime temperatures to peak on
Wednesday, with low elevations in the 80s (western Montana) to low
90s (north central Idaho). The increase in surface temperatures will
allow rapid afternoon thunderstorm development (particularly near
the Continental Divide across Lemhi County/southwest Montana). Much
of this thunderstorm activity will be phased with daytime heating,
translating to convection dissipating shortly after sunset each
evening.

Thursday through next weekend, models suggest that another closed
low pressure circulation will develop and meander around the Great
Basin. The movement of atmospheric moisture counterclockwise around
the low pressure will provide daily showers and thunderstorms to
most of the Northern Rockies. There is generally a 60-80 percent
probability of 0.25" or greater rainfall for most locations Thursday-
Saturday. For Thursday specifically, there is 5-15 percent
probability of excessive rainfall for much of the Northern Rockies
(with emphasis for southwest Montana along the Continental Divide).
The increased moisture and cloud cover will suppress daytime
temperatures, while simultaneously maintaining relatively warm
overnight temperatures. In fact, National Blend of Models suggest
near-record overnight warmth Thursday-Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop across Northern
Rockies air space through 05/0000Z, with most activity occurring
near KMSO and south. Watch for isolated occurrences of brief, heavy
rain to reduce visibility. Also, erratic wind gusts to 30 knots will
be common near any developing thunderstorm. After 05/0000Z, a weak
closed low pressure circulation will approach north central Idaho
from the south, sparking nocturnal showers and isolated thunderstorm
activity (mainly west of KMSO and south of KHRF) through 05/1500Z.
Patchy fog will develop Monday morning for valley locations that
receive rainfall late Sunday and experience clearing overnight. Past
Monday morning, showers and thunderstorms are expected to
proliferate across the remainder of northern Rockies air space, as
the closed low pressure eventually continues east of the Continental
Divide after 06/0600Z. Terrain obscurations will be closely phased
with the evolution of showers and thunderstorms, as well as Monday
morning patchy valley fog.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...None.
&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.

Debris Flow, Lemhi

When
June 4, 8:00 PM MST to 9:00 PM MST
Where
Lemhi County, 14.22 mi NNE of Ellis to 14.44 mi NNE of Ellis
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
44.897, -113.968

The Idaho Transportation Department reported that a major landslide occurred which covered US-93 in both directions near Warm Springs Road at milepost 282 near Elk Bend.

Debris Flow, Lemhi

When
June 4, 8:45 PM MST to 9:30 PM MST
Where
Lemhi County, 2.76 mi SW of Shoup
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
45.357, -114.317

The Salmon-Challis National Forest reported that a landslide had fully blocked the Salmon River Road, one mile southwest of Pine Creek.

What these are

Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Idaho in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Idaho, June 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1094957, 1094961.