Hawaii, 2023High Surf in Hawaii, March 8 to 10, 2023
March 8 to 10, 2023 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Elevated water levels from a period of high surf forced the closure of Mahukona Beach Park.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
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- None recorded
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- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Elevated water levels from a period of high surf forced the closure of Mahukona Beach Park.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 8, 9:57 AM HST, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 9:57 AM HST, 1 hour 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
957 AM HST Wed Mar 8 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
A front across the central islands will continue to move eastward
through tonight, bringing showers and windy conditions to the
state. Winds will ease with drier and cooler conditions filtering
into the islands Thursday through the weekend. Warmer weather will
return early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
This morning, a surface cold front near Maui is progressing
across the state from west to east. Latest satellite and radar
imagery this shows bands of broken to overcast low clouds and
brief heavy showers moving east from roughly Oahu to the
Alenuihaha Channel. Rain rates in excess of 1 inch per hour have
been observed with these showers, especially over the Haleakala
slopes where showers were more persistent and a few streams saw
modest rises. More recent observations show that the bands of
showers have become more progressive, however, which should keep
any flooding concerns in check for the rest of the morning into
early afternoon. Showery weather will likely continue over the Big
Island through tonight and mainly focus across west-facing slopes
and coasts. They will diminish behind the front, where satellite-
derived precipitable water shows much drier air moving in from
the northwest. Some adjustments were made to the forecast for
today and tonight with this morning's update to better account for
the latest trends.
The main concern throughout the next 15 hours or so will be
strong west to southwest winds across the island chain. A few
sites have already reported sustained winds of 30 mph and/or gusts
exceeding 50 mph this morning. Winds will continue to gradually
strengthen today and remain quite strong through this evening. As
a result, a Wind Advisory remains in effect for lower elevations
across the entire state through midnight tonight. The strongest
winds are likely to be over typically windward locations northeast
of the mountains. Given recent rainfall and the fact that the
winds will be blowing from the opposite direction from our normal
trade winds, there will likely be a higher risk of downed branches
and trees. At the summits of the Big Island, a High Wind Warning
remains in effect until Sunday evening. Dangerously strong winds
in excess of 100 mph have been observed and this will continue to
be possible throughout the next several days. Strong winds are
also expected at the summit of Haleakala, where a High Wind
Warning is in effect through 6 AM Thursday.
Winds will ease to moderate levels Thursday and become light
Friday through early next week as a weak ridge slides eastward
over the island chain. Drier conditions will encompass the entire
state Thursday through early next week, allowing for noticeably
cooler conditions. Dewpoints are expected drop into the 50s.
Maximum high temperatures will struggle to reach 80 degrees, and
lows will bottom out in the upper 50s to lower 60s Thursday
through Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION...
A cold front currently near Maui county will continue its
eastward progression today and will produce widespread showers and
periods of MVFR conditions to the eastern half of the state.
Gusty westerly winds are expected to steadily increase throughout
the morning then gradually decrease this evening.
AIRMET Tango is in effect for tempo low level moderate turbulence
along northeast sides of all islands due to the strong southwest
winds.
AIRMET Sierra is posted for tempo mountain obscurations on Kauai,
Oahu, Molokai, Lanai, and Maui due to clouds and showers. Gradual
improvement is expected starting from Kauai later today as drier
air moves in from the west.
&&
.MARINE...
A cold front presently over Maui and adjacent waters will advance
eastward, shifting east of the Big Island by late this afternoon
and exiting the local waters this evening. Breezy to locally
strong SW winds in advance of the front will transition to strong
and gusty WSW to W winds in its wake, especially over the western
half of the island chain. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) remains in
effect for all waters through tonight. Westerlies will gradually
ease Thursday and Friday, though seas will likely remain above the
10 foot SCA threshold into Friday for most areas due to a very
large northwest swell. Gentle to locally moderate westerly winds
are forecast for this weekend.
A large long period NW (310-320) swell will build through today,
peak tonight, then slowly decline Thursday and Friday. The source
storm will advance southeastward at a very low latitude, with its
captured fetch likely generating a swell in excess of 20 ft
during the peak. Surf will exceed High Surf Warning levels along
most north and west facing shores, including Leeward Big Island,
by this evening. In addition, the combination of large wind waves
from the west and a mix of medium and longer period swell energy
could lead to overwash of some coastal infrastructure and beach
erosion, mainly this evening through Thursday morning along
exposed north and west facing shores. The swell will decline and
shift out of the north- northwest Friday through the weekend.
Minimal trade wind swell is expected this week, though there is some
potential for localized wave wrap along east facing shores exposed
to the large northwest swell late today into Friday. Rough surf
will briefly increasing along south-facing shores over the eastern
end of the state due to strong SW winds in advance of the front.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until midnight HST tonight for Niihau, Kauai, Oahu,
Molokai, Lanai, Kahoolawe and lower elevations of Maui and the
Big Island.
High Surf Warning until 6 PM HST Thursday for north and west
facing shores of Niihau, Kauai, Oahu, and Molokai and for north
facing shores of Maui.
High Wind Warning until 6 AM HST Thursday for Haleakala Summit.
High Surf Warning from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM HST Thursday
for west facing shores of the Big Island.
High Wind Warning until 6 PM HST Sunday for Big Island Summits.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Thursday for all Hawaiian
waters.
&&
DISCUSSION...Vaughan
AVIATION...Kino
MARINE...JVC
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 8, 9:05 AM HST, 2 hours 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
905 AM HST WED MAR 8 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0857 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WNW KANEOHE MARINE BA 21.45N 157.77W
03/08/2023 M56 MPH HONOLULU HI AWOS
AWOS STATION PHNG KANEOHE MCAS.
&&
TAVHigh Surf, Kohala
- When
- March 8, 11:45 AM HST to March 10, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Kohala forecast zone
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An extended period of dangerously large breaking waves of 12 to 16 ft affected the Big Island's west facing shores.
- High Surf
- Large waves breaking on the shore that caused damage, erosion or casualties.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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- Winter Weather in Iowa, March 8 to 10, 202311 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Texas, March 8 to 9, 20231.75 in hail · 9 events
- Winter Weather in Minnesota, March 8 to 10, 20238 events
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- Winter Weather in Kansas, March 8 to 9, 20231 event
- Blizzard in Alaska, March 8 to 9, 20231 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1084541.