Hawaii, 2023Flood in Hawaii, February 20, 2023
February 20, 2023 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
An extended period of enhanced rainfall with embedded locally heavy rainfall rates overwhelmed a few local roads on Pearl City Peninsula.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
An extended period of enhanced rainfall with embedded locally heavy rainfall rates overwhelmed a few local roads on Pearl City Peninsula.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 20, 3:51 PM HST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 3:51 PM HST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
351 PM HST Mon Feb 20 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Wet conditions will persist for much of the state during the next
couple of days under a continued moist east to southeast wind
flow, and chances for flooding rainfall will increase across the
western end of the island chain through tonight as a deep low
settles several hundred miles west of Kauai. The low will weaken
and drift away from the state late Wednesday and Thursday,
decreasing the flood threat and allowing a breezy trade wind flow
to develop from east to west. Somewhat wet and breezy trade winds
will prevail late in the work week and into the weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Wet conditions prevail across portions of most islands as deep
moisture lingers within a moderately unstable atmosphere. The
upper low that was aiding the recent heavy rainfall is weakening
well south of the state, but another, deeper low centered about
750 miles northwest of Kauai is digging southward and helping to
maintain some instability over Hawaii. Breezy trade winds
generated by strong high pressure far to the northeast of the
state gradually veer southeasterly across the island chain, as
they are drawn into the low northwest of Kauai. Under this moist,
convergent, east to southeast flow, persistent moderate showers
have been falling across the Kau, Puna, and North and South Hilo
Districts of the Big Island and the Kipahulu area on east Maui,
where 0.5 to nearly 2 inches of rain has fallen during the past
six hours. Sporadic rainfall moderate to locally heavy showers
have been flaring across Oahu and Kauai this afternoon, dropping
around an inch of rain in places. Latest radar trends point
toward increased showers around Kauai and Oahu, and satellite data
show cooling cloud tops across the western half of the state as
instability increases.
Chances for heavy rainfall and thunderstorms will increase through
tonight across the western end of the state. As the low northwest
of Kauai drops southward, slightly closer to the islands, upper
level forcing will increase, mainly over and west of Kauai, but
across Oahu as well. This will likely combine with the convergent
southeasterly low level flow to produce an increase in heavy
showers and thunderstorms. Given recent trends, the Flood Watch
that is in place for Kauai County was expanded to Oahu through
Tuesday afternoon. We cannot rule out a few heavy showers and
thunderstorms elsewhere, mainly windward, but the chance for
flooding diminishes east of Oahu and will be left out of the
Flood Watch, for now. Thus, Maui COunty and the Big Island,
expect continued windward shower activity with brief leeward flare
ups of heavier rain along with thickening high clouds. A Winter
Weather Advisory remains in effect for the high summits of the
Big Island as deeper moisture reaches higher elevations and
produces periods of freezing rain showers.
Only subtle changes in the overall pattern are due on Tuesday.
The Flood Watch is set to continue for Kauai County and Oahu, as a
convergent band of heavy showers sets up near or just south and
west of those islands. The Flood Watch may need to be extended
into early Wednesday, depending on how the heavy rainfall
develops. In addition, the latest GFS and ECMWF runs show some
increase in difluence aloft near or just southwest of the eastern
end of the island chain Tuesday night, which suggests that an
expansion of the Flood Watch to additional islands is possible,
though unlikely.
The frequency of rainfall will gradually diminish late Wednesday
and Thursday as the upper low and surface trough west of the state
slowly weaken and begin to drift westward. This will allow low to
mid level ridging to bring in drier air from the east, along with
an increase in breezy easterly trade winds. A narrow upper level
trough moving in from the northeast will maintain instability, and
fast-moving, moderate to briefly heavy showers will move through.
However, since available moisture will decrease and showers will
moving quickly, flooding is not expected. The breezy and
potentially windy and wet trade wind weather should persist
through next weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
Abundant low level moisture along with an unstable atmosphere
will maintain heavy rain chances with isolated thunderstorms
possible for all islands through tonight. Several thunderstorms
have been observed near a few TAF sites today. Moderate to heavy
showers with MVFR and embedded IFR conditions are expected to
continue impacting the islands. An AIRMET Sierra for mountain
obscuration on all islands will likely remain in place through
tonight. In addition, some of the mid and upper- level clouds may
produce periods of light icing in the layer from 15 to 25 kft
through tonight.
A building high pressure system north of the state will cause
trade winds to continue to increase today and tomorrow to locally
breezy levels. An AIRMET Tango for low-level tempo moderate
turbulence is in effect over and downwind of the higher terrain
for Maui, Molokai, and Oahu.
&&
.MARINE...
High pressure northeast of the state and troughing to the northwest
will support a continuation of strong to near-gale force east-
southeast winds across the waters through the middle of the week.
The troughing will shift westward Thursday through next weekend,
which will back the winds to a more typical east and eventually
east-northeast trade wind direction. A Small Craft Advisory remains
in effect for most waters due to a combination of winds and seas
through at least Friday.
Surf along east facing shores will remain rough through the week
due to persistent and strong east to southeast winds. Surf will
likely return to the 10-foot advisory level sometime Tuesday due
to increasing easterly trade winds over and upstream of the islands.
East shore surf will likely hold at or near advisory levels through
the weekend.
A small, long-period northwest (310-320 degrees) swell will linger
through the first half of the week before easing Thursday. Expect
surf to remain well below the seasonal average through the week.
A new, small northwest swell could give north shore surf a small
boost next weekend. South shore surf will remain minimal into the
weekend. A small, long-period south swell (170 degrees) could
provide a small bump up in south shore surf for Sunday into early
next week.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for Oahu, Kauai, and Niihau.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM HST Tuesday for Big Island
Summits.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Friday for all Hawaiian
waters except Maalaea Bay.
&&
DISCUSSION...Wroe
AVIATION...Tsamous
MARINE...TS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 20, 4:46 PM HST, 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
446 PM HST MON FEB 20 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE PAHALA 19.20N 155.48W
02/20/2023 HAWAII HI EMERGENCY MNGR
ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO FLOODING AT APPROX.
1PM, MAMALAHOA HWY (RTE 11) IN THE AREA OF
KAWA FLATS IN KAU (MILE MARKERS 56-62), WOOD
VALLEY RD NORTH OF PAHALA, AND KAALAIKIK RD.
&&Flood, Honolulu
- When
- February 20, 5:30 PM HST to 6:30 PM HST
- Where
- Honolulu County, 1.21 mi SSE of Pearl City to 1.27 mi SSE of Pearl City
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 21.384, -157.973
Officials reported that the Pearl City Peninsula Compound main gate and Victor Wharf Access Road were closed due to flooding.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding in American Samoa, February 20, 2023$140,000 · 4 events
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in Wyoming, February 20 to 23, 20232 injured · 26 events
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in Alaska, February 20 to 24, 2023$50,000 · 8 events
- Winter Storm and Avalanche in Idaho, February 20 to 23, 202317 events
- Lightning Strike in American Samoa, February 20, 2023$20,000 · 1 event
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Montana, February 20 to 21, 2023$4,000 · 8 events
- Heavy Snow and High Wind in Washington, February 20 to 22, 202353 kt wind · 6 events
- Heavy Snow in Minnesota, February 20 to 21, 20235 events
- Heavy Snow and High Wind in Nevada, February 20 to 23, 202360 kt wind · 5 events
- Winter Weather in South Dakota, February 20, 20235 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Michigan, February 20 to 21, 20235 events
- Blizzard and Heavy Snow in Montana, February 20 to 21, 20234 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1075415.