Montana, 2023

Blizzard and Heavy Snow in Montana, February 20 to 21, 2023

February 20 to 21, 2023 · NWS GGW · 4 events in 3 counties and zones

A Pacific storm tracking southeast through Montana into Wyoming brought heavy snow and blizzard conditions to areas of northeastern Montana.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

A Pacific storm tracking southeast through Montana into Wyoming brought heavy snow and blizzard conditions to areas of northeastern Montana.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 20, 9:08 PM MST, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 9:08 PM MST, 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
908 PM MST Mon Feb 20 2023

.DISCUSSION...
Evening Update:

Simply made some minor adjustments to PoPs in southern Phillips
and Petroleum Counties to better match with the adjustments that
TFX made earlier this afternoon. Timing of the leading edge of
precipitation is matching pretty well with PoPs from the afternoon
forecast package. Aside from that, all else explained below
remains valid.

-Enriquez

AFTERNOON UPDATE:

The decision was made to upgrade all of Phillips and Valley
Counties, as well as the western half of Roosevelt County to a
Blizzard Warning as latest models showed higher wind speeds.
Prairie and Wibaux Counties were upgraded to Winter Storm Warnings
to collaborate with neighboring offices and to highlight travel
difficulty on the Interstate 94 corridor due to reduced visibility
from blowing snow. The next shifts will have to monitor other
parts of the CWA as this storm moves in to see if the Blizzard
Warning needs to be expanded.

As this system starts to move out tomorrow evening cold arctic air
will replace it with temperatures going below zero for most of the
CWA and staying there until Saturday morning. Friday morning will
be the coldest with low temperatures reaching 20-25 below zero.
Another band of light snow will also impact the area Wednesday
into Thursday but this system doesn't look as intense as the one
about to move in.

-Bernhart

PREVIOUS MORNING DISCUSSION:
Synoptic Setup: Forecast begins with the coldest air sitting over
the north Hudson Bay and northwest flow ahead of a synoptic ridge
running from central British Columbia through southern Alberta to
northeast Montana. The crest of the ridge attached to the
northwest flow is moving on shore over central British Columbia
with a strong disturbance on its back side about to slam into the
crest and push it into the Pacific Northwest. This will transmute
the bulk of the ridge into a trough plunging it south.

Today: Expect a relatively quiet 12 hour period as most snow
showers retreat to the far southwest early this morning. Ceilings
however will begin to drop into MVFR on average with the
approaching storm. Meanwhile, The newly formed trough from the
previous ridge crest will plunge through the Pacific Northwest
pulling Arctic air down the Front Range ahead of it.

Tonight into Wednesday: What remains of the ridge will rapidly
exit Montana to the south. The new Arctic cold front will slam
into the area this evening with gusty winds behind it. As the
trough to the west pulls in Pacific moisture, the moisture will
begin to overrun the Arctic air forming a strong band of snow
showers that will extend east over the Great Plains from great
Falls to Bismark after midnight. Chief impact time looks to be
early Tuesday morning with greater than 6 inches possible across
the west. For this reason we have upgraded to a Winter Storm
Warning in the west with an advisory for some counties in the far
northeast and southeast. The wind looks to stay up post cold front
through Tuesday which will bring blowing and drifting snow
hazards along with visibility reductions. Reductions may get as
low as a quarter mile. By Tuesday evening most of the first wave
of snow will die off and shift south. However, Wednesday will
bring a lesser second wave of snow from the south as the trough
briefly drags more moisture into the region and the Arctic air
pool continues to deepen. Finally, wind chills Tuesday evening
into Wednesday will begin to dip into the hazardous territory of
-20*F or below.

Wednesday night through Friday night: Dangerous wind chills will
continue to be a threat on and off throughout these periods as
Arctic air holds on across the region. Shallowing out of the cold
pool will begin Friday and last through the overnight hours.

Saturday into Sunday: The Arctic air looks to have shifted off to
the east as a ridge moves into the region in the bulk of the
ensembles. This will generate more seasonal temperatures for this
time of year and most likely dry conditions. There is an outside
chance for snow melt by Sunday which could bring fog early into
the next week with the newly moistened surface layer.

Sunday night onward: There is a lot of ensemble disagreement during
these periods. But flow looks to turn southwest with a more mild
pacific trough moving through. There is a chance for a skiff
during its passage. Confidence here on is only average to
slightly below.   GAH

&&

.AVIATION...

LAST UPDATED: 0400Z

FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR dropping quickly after midnight to IFR or
Airport Shutdown

DISCUSSION: Heavy snow develops overnight over most of the area.
By Tuesday morning, strong winds develop and will produce blowing
snow with blizzard or near blizzard conditions, especially at KGGW
and KOLF. Snow will taper off in the afternoon but blowing snow
will remain in the area overnight Tuesday. Another round of light
snow moves into the area Wednesday into Thursday.

WINDS: SE-E 15-20kts, gusts to 30kts after midnight, E-NE
25-30kts, gusts to 40kts by morning.

-Enriquez

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning until 11 PM MST this evening for Central
and Southeast Phillips...Northern Phillips...Southwest Phillips.

Winter Storm Warning from 5 PM to 11 PM MST Tuesday for Central
and Southeast Phillips...Central and Southern Valley...Northern
Phillips...Northern Valley...Southwest Phillips...Western
Roosevelt.

Blizzard Warning until 5 PM MST Tuesday for Central and
Southeast Phillips...Central and Southern Valley...Northern
Phillips...Northern Valley...Southwest Phillips...Western
Roosevelt.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST Tuesday for Daniels...
Eastern Roosevelt...Sheridan.

Winter Storm Warning until 11 PM MST Tuesday for Garfield...
Petroleum.

Winter Storm Warning until 11 PM MST Tuesday for Dawson...
McCone...Prairie...Richland...Wibaux.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 blizzard, 1 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, Little Rocky Mountains

When
February 20, 9:15 PM MST to February 21, 1:35 PM MST
Where
Little Rocky Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Across the Little Rocky Mountains, measured snowfall amounts ranged from 8.0 to 12.0 inches. The greatest amount of 12.0 inches was reported by the public, via Facebook at 2 E Zortman.

Blizzard, Central and Southern Valley

When
February 21, 7:00 AM MST to 8:00 AM MST
Where
Central and Southern Valley forecast zone
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A NWS Employee reported severe driving conditions on US Highway 2 between Saco and Hinsdale. Snowdrifts estimated at 1 foot deep were reported on multiple bridges between the locations.

Blizzard, Central and Se Phillips

When
February 21, 7:00 AM MST to 8:00 AM MST
Where
Central and Se Phillips forecast zone
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A NWS Employee reported severe driving conditions on US Highway 2 between Saco and Hinsdale. Snowdrifts estimated at 1 foot deep were reported on multiple bridges between the locations.

Blizzard, Little Rocky Mountains

When
February 21, 7:00 AM MST to 1:35 PM MST
Where
Little Rocky Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe driving conditions were reported on the Montana Department of Highways travel map on US Highway 191 between the Malta South DOT webcam near the Zortman turnoff to just south of the Fred Robinson bridge. Severe driving conditions were also reported on the map for MT Highway 66 between the Hays DOT webcam and the junction with US Highway 191.

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1079929, 1079930, 1079931, 1079932.