Georgia, 2023

Damaging Winds in Georgia, August 12, 2023

August 12, 2023 · NWS GSP · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

A couple of broken lines of thunderstorms moved across northeast Georgia during the late afternoon and early evening. A few of the storms produced briefing damaging wind gusts.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.

A couple of broken lines of thunderstorms moved across northeast Georgia during the late afternoon and early evening. A few of the storms produced briefing damaging wind gusts.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 12, 2:01 PM EST, 2 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 2:01 PM EST, 2 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
301 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A round of thunderstorms, some strong to severe, will move in
from the west this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorm chances
return Sunday and Monday afternoons, along with hotter and more
humid weather. Monday's heat could be dangerous in the Piedmont
for some individuals. A cold front Monday night and Tuesday will
restore milder and drier weather for mid-week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 230 PM EDT Saturday: Convection developing across the
Cumberland Plateau appears to be taking over as the leading edge of
a loosely organized MCS. This activity is forming in an environment
with over 2500 J/kg of MLCAPE, and 25-30 kt of effective shear with
up to 1000 J/kg of DCAPE. So the expectation now is that tstms
will probably be strong to severe as they enter the NC mountains
later this aftn. A Severe Tstm Watch 635 has been issued for the
NC mountains, the adjacent foothills and most of the Upstate and
NE GA until 00z (8 pm EDT). How much this activity will survive
further east is still a big question mark. The 17z HRRR now has
the strongest storms push SE into NE GA and the Upstate, possibly
still strong. The NC Piedmont seems the least likely to see storms,
given the lowest CAPE and some capping from NWLY downslope 850 mb
flow, but slight chc PoPs will be retained there. The main threat
will be damaging wind gusts, but isolated hail up to 1"-diameter
will also be possible.

Convection should wane this evening, as an upper-level shortwave
exits to our east. Mountain valley fog is expected, with patchy
fog possible elsewhere. Lows will be slightly above normal, mainly
in the upper 60s in the mountain valleys to mid 70s in the lower
Piedmont.

A slight building of heights from the large subtropical ridge
should help suppress convection somewhat Sunday. Low-level flow
will be weak, and generally backing to WSWLY, resulting in less
downslope. Guidance is showing less mixing of the dewpts during
the aftn, and with highs getting into the mid 90s, we could see
plenty of 105-109 heat indices across the Upper Savannah Valley
and just south and east of Charlotte. Given that just a deg or
two difference in the temp or dewpt could keep us below advisory
criteria, we will hold off on an advisory with this forecast package
and let the midnight shift assess the latest guidance. Otherwise,
expect isolated to widely scattered convection across the Piedmont
and scattered storms across the mountains, with a couple of pulse
severe storms possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 245 PM Saturday: Monday is looking very similar to
Sunday. We're left with convective scraps that die off Sunday
evening while a lead short wave moves past to the north. The
upper pattern remains flat into Monday with somewhat uncertain
evolution of an MCS over the Cumberland Plateau and central
Appalachians. However, consensus is that we should be in a warm
sector of sorts with more than adequate instability to support
thunderstorms developing by afternoon. The fcst has precip probs
close to climo. The storm chances look good over the mtns, but
a cap east of the mtns on fcst soundings supports limiting to a
slight risk. The big problem for Monday will be the temps and heat
index. Altho high temps might only be on the order of five degrees
above normal...well short of records...the dewpoint climbs a bit
more into the middle 70s which suggests a good bet for at least a
Heat Advisory for a large part of the area east of the mtns. Some
places might reach Warning criteria along/S of I-85. Only concern
is how such a plan could go awry with convective debris or early
storm development keeping us from getting warm enough. That leads
us into Tuesday, when model guidance suggests a cold frontal
boundary will be dropping down across the forecast area during
peak heating. The guidance affords us an excellent opportunity to
develop an environment with sufficient buoyancy and shear to support
organized severe storms along/S of the front Tuesday afternoon/eve
east of the mtns. Temps drop off a few degrees which may take care
of the heat advisory concern at least.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 227 PM Saturday: The cold front is expected to push E/SE
of the fcst area by sunset on Tuesday, or shortly thereafter, as
a shortwave moves east and past to our north. High pressure will
build in from the northwest behind the front for the middle part
of the week, with drier and cooler air bringing some relief. The
model trend is toward temps being a few degrees below normal for the
rest of the work week as the high slides past. What is uncertain
is how quickly our usual diurnal convection returns, because
of big differences in how the guidance handles the evolution of
a mid/upper trof late in the week. The ECMWF and Canadian keep
a relatively deep trof axis off to our west through the end of
the period that keeps a west/northwest flow into the region thru
Friday that would be inhospitable to deep convection. The GFS
is more muddled and shows a weak upper low cutting off to our
west that would bring moisture back by Friday. The ECMWF/Canadian
look preferable at this point, but the forecast will end up with
an unmentionable slight risk for late week because of the model
blend. Expect changes as agreement improves.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Low confidence forecast with an approaching
cluster of thunderstorms crossing central TN at time of 18z TAF
issuance. The last few runs of the HRRR have consistently brought
some of that convection across the mountains and into the Piedmont
this evening. However, confidence of it reaching CLT, as anything
more than a few dying showers is still too low to mention in a
TEMPO. However, amendments will be made if trends change. KAVL
and the Upstate sites have slightly better chances of TS, so
will mention with VCTS for now. Debris cloudiness should slowly
thin overnight, leaving mostly clear skies with light winds. The
mountain valleys stand a good chance to fog up again overnight,
while patchy fog will be possible across the Piedmont. Not expecting
as much fog as this morning.

Outlook: Daily shower and thunderstorm chances with associated
restrictions will continue the rest of the weekend and thru the
first half of next week. Mountain valley fog/low stratus will
be possible each morning. Drier conditions expected to return
Wednesday.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...ARK
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...ARK
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 12, 1:57 PM EST, 2 hours 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
257 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ101>103-
131900-
Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
257 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 635 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, western
North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to move in from the
west late this afternoon or early this evening. Some of the
thunderstorms will have the potential to produce severe weather in
the form of damaging wind gusts of up to 60 mph and hail. Any of the
storms may produce cloud-to-ground lightning, gusty winds, and
torrential downpours. The storms should weaken or move east of the
mountains by late evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ008-009-011>014-019-131900-
Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-Cherokee-York-Abbeville-Laurens-
Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
257 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms today may produce cloud-to-ground lightning
and gusty winds. A stray storm or two could produce minor wind
damage, mainly this evening.

Also, heat index may rise into the upper 90s or lower 100s this
afternoon, mainly over northeast Georgia, Upstate South Carolina,
and the Charlotte metro area. This could pose a risk of heat-related
illness in some people.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Heat index Sunday afternoon is likely to rise into the lower 100s in
many locations, possibly above 105 in some spots. Still hotter and
more humid weather is expected Monday afternoon, when heat index may
rise above 110. These conditions being more likely to cause heat
illnesses, a Heat Advisory or even an Excessive Heat Warning could
be
issued Sunday and/or Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ017-018-026-028-NCZ502-504-506-508-510-SCZ010-104>109-131900-
Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-
Eastern McDowell-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-Anderson-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Central Greenville-
Southern Greenville-Northern Spartanburg-Southern Spartanburg-
257 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 635 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, western
North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Scattered thunderstorms today may produce cloud-to-ground lightning
and gusty winds. A stray storm or two could produce minor wind
damage, mainly this evening.

Also, heat index may rise into the upper 90s or lower 100s this
afternoon, mainly over northeast Georgia, Upstate South Carolina,
and the Charlotte metro area. This could pose a risk of heat-related
illness in some people.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Heat index Sunday afternoon is likely to rise into the lower 100s in
many locations, possibly above 105 in some spots. Still hotter and
more humid weather is expected Monday afternoon, when heat index may
rise above 110. These conditions being more likely to cause heat
illnesses, a Heat Advisory or even an Excessive Heat Warning could
be
issued Sunday and/or Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 12, 3:03 PM EST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
403 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

NCZ059-062-063-122045-
Southern Jackson NC-Northern Jackson NC-Macon NC-
403 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Macon
and central Jackson Counties through 445 PM EDT...

At 403 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles east of Franklin, or 4 miles northwest of Lake Glenville,
moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Franklin, Cashiers, Lake Glenville, Cullowhee, Highlands, Ellijay,
Tuckasegee, Whiteside Mountain and Cullasaja.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
western North Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3517 8347 3531 8316 3524 8299 3505 8313
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 299DEG 13KT 3520 8322

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

TW
Special weather statement, Aug 12, 3:17 PM EST, 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
417 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

GAZ010-NCZ062-SCZ101-122045-
Rabun GA-Macon NC-Oconee Mountains SC-
417 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Rabun, south central
Macon and west central Oconee Counties through 445 PM EDT...

At 417 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles west of Clayton, or near Tiger, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Clayton, Mountain City, Tiger, Dillard, Sky Valley, Lakemont, Black
Rock Mountain State Park, Lake Burton, Lake Rabun and Scaly Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northeastern Georgia...western North Carolina...and Upstate South
Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3475 8353 3493 8359 3505 8328 3479 8319
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 253DEG 13KT 3487 8348

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

WJM
Special weather statement, Aug 12, 3:29 PM EST, 45 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
429 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

GAZ010-NCZ062-063-SCZ101-104-122100-
Rabun GA-Southern Jackson NC-Macon NC-Greater Oconee SC-
Oconee Mountains SC-
429 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Rabun,
southeastern Macon, southern Jackson and northwestern Oconee Counties
through 500 PM EDT...

At 429 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles east of Clayton, or 7 miles southeast of Sky Valley, moving
east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Oconee State Park, Pine Mountain, Mountain Rest, Bad Creek and Scaly
Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northeastern Georgia...western North Carolina...and Upstate South
Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3502 8331 3505 8305 3505 8304 3504 8303
      3503 8301 3503 8300 3479 8299 3483 8330
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 269DEG 10KT 3493 8322

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

WJM
Special weather statement, Aug 12, 3:44 PM EST, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
444 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

GAZ017-018-026-SCZ104-122115-
Franklin GA-Stephens GA-Habersham GA-Greater Oconee SC-
444 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Franklin, Stephens, southeastern Habersham and southwestern Oconee
Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 444 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Toccoa, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Toccoa, Westminster, Gumlog, Martin, Avalon, Tugaloo State Park,
Hollywood, Boydville, Eastanolee and Turnerville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northeastern Georgia...and Upstate South Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8306 3449 8305 3447 8307 3446 8307
      3449 8347 3467 8348
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 268DEG 21KT 3459 8339

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

WJM
Special weather statement, Aug 12, 3:52 PM EST, 22 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
452 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

NCZ064-SCZ101>106-122115-
Transylvania NC-Greater Oconee SC-Central Greenville SC-
Pickens Mountains SC-Greater Pickens SC-Oconee Mountains SC-
Greenville Mountains SC-
452 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Transylvania, northwestern Greenville, Pickens and northeastern
Oconee Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 451 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles northwest of Pickens, or near Lake Jocassee, moving southeast
at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pickens, Central, Liberty, Norris, Six Mile, Lake Keowee, Jocassee
Gorges, Lake Jocassee, Devils Fork State Park and Keowee Toxaway
State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
western North Carolina...and Upstate South Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 8302 3510 8292 3506 8248 3470 8272
      3469 8275
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 298DEG 24KT 3499 8289

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

WJM
Local storm report, Aug 12, 4:13 PM EST, 1 minute before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
513 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     Hail             2 ESE Mills River       35.38N 82.54W
08/12/2023  E1.75 inch       Henderson          NC   Public

&&

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 109 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:12 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Franklin

When
August 12, 4:14 PM EST
Where
Franklin County, 0.57 mi W of Carnesville
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
34.370, -83.240

County comms reported multiple trees blown down in the Carnesville area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Franklin

When
August 12, 4:30 PM EST
Where
Franklin County, 0.67 mi ESE of Canon
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
34.345, -83.110

County comms reported multiple trees down in Canon.

Thunderstorm Wind, Hart

When
August 12, 4:45 PM EST to 4:52 PM EST
Where
Hart County, 4.03 mi WSW of Hartwell to 3.55 mi W of Nuberg
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
34.318, -82.989

County comms reported a tree blown down on Royston Highway and another tree down on Highway 172.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Georgia in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, August 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1136914, 1136913, 1136912.