Florida, 2023

Rip Current in Florida, July 24, 2023

July 24, 2023 · NWS TAE · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A 48 year old female from GA drowned after getting caught in a rip current behind Rick Seltzer Park in Bay County.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

A 48 year old female from GA drowned after getting caught in a rip current behind Rick Seltzer Park in Bay County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 24, 8:46 AM EST, 3 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 24, 8:46 AM EST, 3 hours 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
946 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2023

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 945 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2023

Previous forecast appears to be on track. Showers and storms
should mostly be confined to the FL Big Bend and perhaps far south
central GA today as a weak front sags further southward into the
area.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2023

The leading edge of a drier airmass is spreading into the Alabama
Wiregrass region. The drier air will continue to creep southeastward
today, causing the area of highest thunderstorm coverage to retreat
south to the Florida Big Bend region. Areas north of a Panama City
to Valdosta line will see a substantial decrease in thunderstorm
coverage this afternoon, and areas northwest of a Dothan to Albany
line are expected to remain completely dry today.

Forecast soundings across the Florida big bend do show quite a bit
of mid-level dry air, which will enhance downdraft CAPE this
afternoon, so any convection that does develop there this afternoon
will be capable of gusty winds. Convection will diminish quickly
after sunset with seasonably warm temperatures expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2023

A dry midlevel airmass will gradually spread over the
area on Tuesday mainly over our GA and AL counties, sinking south
over our western FL Panhandle counties as well. As a result,
convection will likely remain suppressed across the
aforementioned regions with PoP's mainly confined to the eastern
FL Big Bend and over our waters where moisture remains in tact.
Although, our coastal FL Panhandle counties may still see
conventional seabreeze storms in the afternoon hours given the
flow regime.

On Wednesday the subtropical ridge will begin to build on its
western axis, though remaining just off the GA coastline. Some
better midlevel moisture will spread over the area, though it will
remain mostly confined to our FL counties. In addition, lack of
forcing will result in the primary mode remaining seabreeze
convection along the coast, perhaps sparking some more storms
slightly farther inland in our FL counties. Thus, PoP's range from
30-45% in our FL counties, decreasing with northern extent in our
AL/GA counties.

Maximum temperatures will reach the mid 90s on both Tuesday and
Wednesday, dropping to the low 70s overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2023

The subtropical ridge will continue spreading west
over our region Thursday-Friday. Stronger subsidence aloft will
limit convection, though deeper moisture making a return will allow
isolated storms to form in our traditional seabreeze convection
zones. Through the weekend, the aforementioned ridge will have
spread inland residing over our SW GA and FL counties. A similar
scenario to Thursday and Friday will play out Friday as deep
moisture will continue returning to the area in the afternoon hours
with seabreeze convection pulsing over our typical regions.

High temperatures will reach the mid 90s each day with overnight
lows dropping to the low to mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 559 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2023

Patchy low clouds and fog are present early this morning in the
vicinity of ABY, VLD, and TLH. This should lift quickly after
sunrise with VFR conditions prevailing afterward. Later today, drier
air will overspread DHN and ABY from the northwest with VFR
conditions expected and no mention of thunder. There appears to be
enough moisture lingering at TLH, ECP, and VLD for a mention of
afternoon VCTS.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2023

Moderate to occasionally fresh breezes across our waters are
expected Monday as an upper trough exits the region with chances for
showers and thunderstorms ranging from around 70-90%. Wave heights
will top around 3 feet, decreasing to 2 feet by the late evening.
Come Tuesday, generally zonal flow aloft will prevail as the
subtropical ridge continues to push west over the area with
generally light to gentle breezes expected each day. With decreasing
winds, wave heights will decrease to 1 foot by Tuesday evening and
last throughout the week. Additionally, chances for precipitation
range from around 30-50% each day across our waters with lower
values along the coastline, increasing with southern extent.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2023

A somewhat drier air mass will spread into areas along and west of
the Flint Valley today and Tuesday, bringing Min RH values below 50
percent. Meanwhile, higher rain chances will retreat back into the
Florida Big Bend today, with rain chances continuing to drop on
Tuesday. Of course, erratic and gusty winds will be a concern near
thunderstorms. Otherwise, general winds from the southwest will
diminish on Tuesday, becoming light easterly on Wednesday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2023

Heaviest thunderstorms on Monday will be confined along and
south of a Panama City to Valdosta line. South of that line, one
more day of thunderstorms with intense rainfall rates will likely
lead to localized and short-duration flooding and runoff issues.

Tuesday through next weekend will feature sparser thunderstorms
coverage and little, if any, flooding concerns.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   89  73  93  73 /  60  20  30   0
Panama City   89  76  92  77 /  40  10  20  10
Dothan        90  71  93  72 /  10   0  10   0
Albany        91  71  94  73 /  10   0  10   0
Valdosta      90  71  93  73 /  50  20  20   0
Cross City    87  74  92  73 /  80  30  50  10
Apalachicola  86  77  89  77 /  80  20  30  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ108-112-114-
     115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...Worster
LONG TERM....Worster
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...Worster
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...Worster

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, Coastal Bay

When
July 24, 12:00 PM EST
Where
Coastal Bay forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
30.238, -85.633 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 48 year old female from GA drowned after getting caught in a rip current behind Rick Seltzer Park.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, Coastal Bay2023-07-2448FemaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1104617.