California, 2023Flood and Heavy Snow in California, March 4 to 5, 2023
March 4 to 5, 2023 · NWS HNX · 8 events in 5 counties and zones
An upper trough moved eastward across central California on March 4 and March 5. This system produced snow at elevations down to 2000 feet with some higher elevation SNOTELS north of Kings Canyon picking up between a foot and 2 feet of new snowfall.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $8,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 8
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
An upper trough moved eastward across central California on March 4 and March 5. This system produced snow at elevations down to 2000 feet with some higher elevation SNOTELS north of Kings Canyon picking up between a foot and 2 feet of new snowfall. Thunderstorms broke out in the San Joaquin Valley during the afternoon and evening of March 5 producing widespread nuisance flooding and small hail. In addition, outflow gusts from some of the thunderstorms downed some trees.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hanford, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 4, 1:32 AM PST, 8 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 1:32 AM PST, 8 hours 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
132 AM PST Sat Mar 4 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
After a few days of dry but cold weather, a trough will move into
and begin impacting the area today through Sunday night. The
biggest impacts from this storm will be additional large amounts
of snow in areas that have already been inundated with snow. Storm
totals have increased and many northern mountain communities could
see up four feet of snow. Alongside high snow totals, the system
will bring rain to the San Joaquin Valley, with many areas seeing
a quarter to a half inch of rain through Sunday night. After this
storm moves out of the area on Monday morning, a break from
precipitation and warmer temperatures could occur, but confidence
in this is low due to model disagreement.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
After a much needed couple day break from precipitation, a trough
will bring even more precipitation, mostly snow, to northern
mountain communities that have already seen impressive snow
amounts within the last couple weeks. The system looks to begin
impacting these communities around 10am this morning and most
precipitation will fall Saturday afternoon through Sunday
afternoon. It will move out of the area completely by 4AM PST
Monday morning. Snow levels will start at 3500 feet on Saturday
afternoon before lowering to 2000 feet by Sunday morning and
lowering further to 1000 feet by Sunday night. Some low elevation
areas that could see a few inches of snow are Mariposa and
Oakhurst. High winds will accompany the snow, which has led to a
Winter Storm Warning valid from 10AM today to 4AM Monday,
including a southern expansion of the warning due to updated snow
totals.
Snow amount totals have risen, so here are the latest probabilities
that areas below will see 18 inches of snow or more:
Yosemite Valley and Shaver Lake: 80-90 percent
Tioga Pass and Mammoth Lakes: 40-50 percent
Grant Grove and Lodgepole: 50-60 percent
In addition to snow, the system will bring rain to
much of the San Joaquin Valley, of which most will fall again
between Saturday and Sunday afternoon. Much of the valley will see
between a quarter of an inch to a half inch of rain. Bakersfield
and the Grapevine are set to see less rain, up to a tenth of an
inch.
Once the system moves out of the area, it is possible we could see
a break from precipitation and warmer temperatures, with high
temperatures rising to the mid to high sixties by Saturday. Low
temperatures could also rise to the low forties by Saturday.
While this scenario would no doubt be appreciated, ensemble model
guidance cannot come to agreement on what will happen mid to late
next week, and therefore our forecasts at the moment are low
confidence.
&&
.AVIATION...
Mountain obscuration due to heavy snow in the Sierra could result
in MVFR to LFR conditions. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail
across Central California for the next 24 hours.
&&
.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ISSUED: 03/03/2023 14:40
EXPIRES: 03/04/2023 23:59
None.
&&
.CERTAINTY...
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is medium.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.
&&
.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM PST Monday
for CAZ318-320-322>331.
&&
public/aviation...Serrato
PIO/IDSS...BS
weather.gov/hanford
Event by event
5 heavy snow, 2 thunderstorm wind, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy Snow, Yosemite Np Outside of the Valley
- When
- March 4, 10:00 AM PST to March 5, 10:00 PM PST
- Where
- Yosemite Np Outside of the Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 37.609, -119.874 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Tenaya Lake SNOTEL (8150 feet) picked up an estimated 19 inches of new snowfall.
Heavy Snow, Yosemite Np Outside of the Valley
- When
- March 4, 10:00 AM PST to March 5, 10:00 PM PST
- Where
- Yosemite Np Outside of the Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 37.609, -119.874 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Ostrander Lake SNOTEL (8200 feet) picked up an estimated 20 inches of new snowfall.
Heavy Snow, Yosemite Np Outside of the Valley
- When
- March 4, 10:00 AM PST to March 5, 10:00 PM PST
- Where
- Yosemite Np Outside of the Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 37.609, -119.874 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Tuolumne Meadows SNOTEL (8600 feet) picked up an estimated 23 inches of new snowfall.
Heavy Snow, Upper San Joaquin River
- When
- March 4, 10:00 AM PST to March 5, 10:00 PM PST
- Where
- Upper San Joaquin River forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 36.988, -119.706 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Devil's Postpile SNOTEL (8004 feet) picked up an estimated 19 inches of new snowfall.
Heavy Snow, Kaiser to Rodgers Ridge
- When
- March 4, 10:00 AM PST to March 5, 10:00 PM PST
- Where
- Kaiser to Rodgers Ridge forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 36.758, -119.649 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The West Woodchuck Meadow SNOTEL (9209 feet) picked up an estimated 19 inches of new snowfall.
Thunderstorm Wind, Tulare
- When
- March 5, 3:34 PM PST
- Where
- Tulare County, 3.31 mi NW of Traver to 3.3 mi NW of Traver
- Measured
- 35 kt (40 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 36.489, -119.515
California Highway Patrol reported a tree in the roadway on northbound SR 99 south of the Road 284 off ramp.
Flood, Tulare
- When
- March 5, 4:02 PM PST to 7:02 PM PST
- Where
- Tulare County, 1.31 mi ESE of Dinuba to 1.44 mi ESE of Dinuba
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 36.520, -119.360
California Highway Patrol reported a tree on all lanes of Rd. 96.
Thunderstorm Wind, Kings
- When
- March 5, 11:10 PM PST
- Where
- Kings County, 0.47 mi ENE of Hanford to 0.48 mi ENE of Hanford
- Measured
- 35 kt (40 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $6,000
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 36.333, -119.642
An NWS employee noticed storm damage from a blown down tree next to his house where several tree branches were on the street and had destroyed a car.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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- Flooding in California, March 4 to 30, 2023$43 million · 2 events
- Heavy Snow and High Wind in California, March 4 to 8, 2023$1.0 million · 17 events
- High Wind in Pennsylvania, March 4, 2023$200,000 · 52 kt wind · 4 events
- Winter Weather in California, March 4, 202318 events
- Winter Storm in Maine, March 4, 202317 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in Utah, March 4 to 6, 202312 events
- Winter Storm and Hail in California, March 4 to 7, 2023$10,000 · 1 in hail · 9 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in California, March 4 to 6, 20237 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in Maine, March 4, 20236 events
- High Wind in West Virginia, March 4, 202363 kt wind · 6 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in Idaho, March 4 to 5, 20235 events