California, 2023

Flooding in California, March 4 to 30, 2023

March 4 to 30, 2023 · NWS STO · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A series of atmospheric river systems impacted Interior Northern California through the month of March and produced substantial flooding and wind damage.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$43 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS STO wrote it up.

A series of atmospheric river systems impacted Interior Northern California through the month of March and produced substantial flooding and wind damage.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 3, 1:59 PM PST, 10 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 3, 1:59 PM PST, 10 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
159 PM PST Fri Mar 3 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather persists today. Another strong winter storm will bring
multiple feet of snow with major impacts expected once again over
the foothills and mountains Saturday into early next week.

&&

.Discussion...
The calm before the storm.

Visible satellite imagery reveals some passing high clouds
overhead interior northern California. These high clouds are
coming ahead of the incoming system that will begin impacting the
region later tonight and through the weekend. For this afternoon,
expect a tranquil day as most will match or exceed temperatures
from yesterday with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s in the
Sacramento Valley.

Things start to change overnight as an upper-level low drops south
along the Pacific coast toward northern California. Precipitation
will begin to develop in far northwest California before sunrise,
then spread south/east through the day. Initial main band of
precipitation tomorrow will drop heavy snow in the mountains as
well as rain the Valley. Southerly winds will increase tomorrow
and be gusty through the afternoon and overnight into early
Sunday. Could be a brief lull in the heaviest precipitation rates
in the mountains after the the first main band progresses through
the region, but this will be short-lived. Upper-level flow will
become more westerly through the day on Saturday, promoting
enhanced orographic lift in the Sierra Saturday night and through
much of Sunday. During the heaviest snow, rates may approach as
high as 2 to 3 inches per hour. Travel will become extraordinarily
difficult to impossible with extended delays and closures highly
probable. Conditions will deteriorate after around midnight
tonight. Always check with Caltrans for the latest road
conditions, restrictions, and closure information. And remember:
NEVER drive beyond any road closed signs/barriers.

Total new snow accumulations will be impressive. The cold-origins
of this system will bring low snow levels (though not quite as
low as the last storm) as well as inflated snow ratios. Snow
levels around Shasta County will be around 1000 to 2000 ft and in
the Sierra between 1500 to 2500 ft. For Sunday and Monday
mornings, can't rule out brief periods with snow levels dropping
to roughly 500 to 700 ft in the northern Sacramento Valley (i.e.,
Redding metro) and perhaps down to around 1000 ft in the Sierra
foothills. A yard stick will be required to measure snow for many
locations in the Sierra above roughly 5000 ft with areas along the
Interstate 80 corridor approaching 4+ ft totals by early Monday.
Combination of the wind, falling snow, and blowing snow will
result in white-out conditions.

While Valley communities can expect on/off periods of moderate
rain during this storm, total rainfall is only expected to bring
minor impacts such as slick roadways and ponding of water in low-
lying areas. There is around a 10 to 20 percent chance of
afternoon thunderstorms on both Saturday and Sunday afternoons,
which may produce briefly heavy rainfall, small hail, and
gusty/erratic winds. Total rainfall will generally range between
0.5 to 1.25 inches.

This system will gradually wrap up later on Sunday or Sunday
night. Continued snow showers are expected through much of Monday
as another disturbance moves onshore with the long wave trough
remaining over the West Coast. Additional moderate accumulations
are possible through Monday and Tuesday. // Rowe

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Tuesday THROUGH Friday)...
Trough axis will remain over the West Coast on Tuesday with snow
showers expected in the mountains. Beyond the middle of next week,
questions remain on *how* unsettled and what impacts come along
with that. For any extended forecast analysis, it's wise to
consider the range of possibilities through ensemble forecasting
and cluster analysis versus traditional deterministic models which
can advertise very different solutions from run-to-run. When the
clusters are all advertising the same solution, there is higher
confidence in the forecast. This is not the case at this point as
clusters in the day 7 and day 8-10 period have varying synoptic-
scale phasing/amplitude depictions. As time progresses, the
forecast will inevitably evolve with a confidence eventually
increasing. // Rowe

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions at TAF sites over the next 24 hours. Showers
spread inland from northwest to southeast after 15Z Saturday
bringing local MVFR conditions. Gusty winds develop after 15Z
Saturday, with southerly gusts up to 20-35 kts in the Valley and
south to southwest gusts in the mountains up to 40-50 kts.
Thunderstorms possible after 18Z Saturday.

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning from 4 AM Saturday to 10 AM PST Monday for
Mountains Southwestern Shasta County to Western Colusa County-
Shasta Lake Area / Northern Shasta County.

Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM Saturday to 10 AM PST Monday for
Burney Basin / Eastern Shasta County-Motherlode-Northeast
Foothills/Sacramento Valley-West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada-
Western Plumas County/Lassen Park.

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Glenn

When
March 4, 12:00 AM PST to March 30, 12:00 AM PST
Where
Glenn County, 15.2 mi W of Chrome to 2.91 mi SSW of Elk Creek
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$600,000
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
39.757, -122.834

Glenn County completed a preliminary estimate of damage from heavy rainfall and flooding. There was substantial flooding, resulting in approximately $600,000 in damage to public infrastructure, including roads, bridges and culverts.

Flood, Tuolumne

When
March 4, 12:00 AM PST to March 30, 12:00 AM PST
Where
Tuolumne County, 4.72 mi WNW of Hetch Hetchy Jct to 11.03 mi ESE of Groveland
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$42 million
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
37.824, -120.561

All public entities in Tuolumne County completed a preliminary estimate of storm damage for February through April, with costs well over $42 million.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in California, March 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1090555, 1090557.