Heavy rain in mid February brought flooding to the White River.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rain in mid February brought flooding to the White River.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 13, 5:42 AM CST, 18 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 542 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday Night ) Issued at 302 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2023 Sfc high pressure was situated just to the east of AR early this mrng, resulting in quiet wx conds. The location of the rdg axis allowed light south winds to return to most areas, except the normally sheltered valleys. This has resulted in quite the range in predawn temps, with 30s/40s common, and a few lower 50s in the higher terrain. Models are still is good agreement this mrng, showing a contd progressive wx pattern acrs the Mid-South this week. The first storm system to impact the FA, is progged to move out of the SWrn States and into the Plains on Tue. Clouds and rain chcs wl incrs as this system apchs AR. Widespread showers are expected on Tue, along with a few rumbles of thunder. Rainfall amounts wl not be excessive with this system since it will be moving thru the region quickly, with PoPs diminishing fm the west Tue aftn. Dry conds return by Tue ngt. Gusty south winds wl be noted with the aforementioned storm sys Tue and early Tue ngt, with sustained speeds of 20 to 30 mph are still fcst over a large part of the FA. Assocd wind gusts in excess of 40 mph could also occur. After coordinating with surrounding offices, have opted to issue a Wind Advisory for all but a few of our Srn counties Tue and Tue evening. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 302 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2023 The long term PD begins in the wake of departing deep sfc low pressure to the north, w/ a Pacific cdfrnt having cleared the state and quickly depleted low-lvl sfc moisture around the state. Aloft, broad H500 troughing is progged to expand over much of the CONUS, w/ a compact shortwave asctd w/ the aforementioned sfc low lifting into the N/Ern US. Out west, a potent cyclonically curved jet streak is fcst to be digging into the S/Wrn US, and pivoting into the trof basin. Thru the day Wed, this jet streak is expected to lift towards the E- N/E in tandem w/ a semi-cutoff lobe of H500 flow, positioning a fetch of strong S/Wrly upper-lvl flow over the Srn-Cntrl US. As this feature traverses across the Srn Plains, an asctd sfc mass response is progged w/ quickly deepening sfc low pressure moving across OK towards the AR/MO/OK border vcty. As this sfc low approaches the FA during the day Wed, incr Srly flow should drive strong moisture advection invof an advancing wrmfrnt over Srn and Cntrl AR. Modest low-lvl moisture overlaid by abundant vertical wind shear and prominent pre-frntl forcing for ascent continues to indicate a window for thunderstorm development Wed afternoon thru early Thurs morning. Buoyancy progs by global deterministic and mean ensemble guidance suggest the most lkly corridor of instability wl stay confined to portions of Srn AR thru the day Wed, and this is also supported by a glance at composite svr wx parameters...which are normalized by buoyancy and inhibition... Pt fcst soundings across the Srn half of AR Wed and Wed night remain indicative of buoyancy profiles and low-lvl wind profiles that would be conducive for supercell development. However, given the strong regime of poleward moisture transport and isentropic ascent, scattered to widespread showers and storms Wed morning and afternoon could provide more inhibition and keep more widespread severe weather limited. To summarize, a conditional severe weather threat exists across the Srn half of AR Wed afternoon and night, w/ damaging hail and severe thunderstorm winds the primary hazards, although a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out either. By Thurs morning, the trailing cdfrnt asctd w/ the departing sfc low is expected to be clearing the state to the east, giving way to cooler and drier condns under Wrly sfc winds. More seasonable temperature trends are expected across the FA to close out the fcst PD, w/ settled and dry wx prevailing thru at least early next week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 538 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2023 VFR conds wl continue, as mid and high lvl moisture gradually increases as the PD progresses. Mainly light S/SW winds this mrng wl gradually veer to the W/NW later this mrng. By tngt, SE winds wl incrs further ahead of an apchg storm system. Higher gusts are expected later tngt, mainly acrs N AR. Rain chcs shld hold off until just beyond this fcst PD. && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to midnight CST Tuesday night for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057- 062>065-069-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213- 221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341. && SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....72 AVIATION...44
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Little Rock AR 317 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2023 ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069- 103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230- 237-238-240-241-313-340-341-141100- Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence- Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry- Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark- Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln- Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest- Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations- Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County- Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County- Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County- Polk County Lower Elevations- Central and Eastern Montgomery County- Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations- Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations- Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations- Van Buren County Higher Elevations- Southern and Eastern Logan County- Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest- Northern Polk County Higher Elevations- Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations- Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations- Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations- Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations- 317 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Showers and thunderstorms are expected to return to Arkansas on Tuesday, however the threat for hazardous weather appears low. Strong and gusty southerly winds will also be seen across the state on Tuesday, with sustained values of 20 to 30 mph possible, and gusts in excess of 30 to 40 mph. Another round of showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday afternoon into the first half of Thursday. This round of thunderstorms could produce strong to severe thunderstorms, with all severe hazards possible. No other hazardous weather is expected through the long term period. .Spotter Information Statement... Spotter activation will not be needed. && Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain in mid February brought flooding to the White River at Georgetown.
Heavy rain in mid February brought flooding to the White River at Des Arc.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1083571, 1083573.