Arkansas, 2023Flooding in Arkansas, April 21 to 27, 2023
April 21 to 27, 2023 · NWS LZK · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
Heavy rain brought flooding to parts of Arkansas in late April.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Heavy rain brought flooding to parts of Arkansas in late April.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 20, 12:38 PM CST, 22 hours 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 20, 12:38 PM CST, 22 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
138 PM CDT Thu Apr 20 2023
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Thu Apr 20 2023
To begin the period, a large upper level low continues to track
across the northern Central Plains. This will drag a frontal
boundary across our area this afternoon with PoPs increasing as we
head into the afternoon and overnight hours. Strong to severe storms
are possible with this system with hail and damaging winds the
primary concern. Heavy rainfall is likely the greatest concern as
most deterministic and ensemble models bring in two to three inches
of rain across much of the state with some locations seeing locally
higher amounts. Calm and drier conditions are expected Friday night
into Saturday.
As mentioned above, severe weather will be possible across much of
the state this afternoon and evening as showers and storms begin to
move into the state. While the chance for tornadoes are not zero, it
is very low as the main concern is damaging winds and hail. Any
discrete cells out ahead of the main line will have the greatest
chance of producing hail, but as we approach the evening hours...
storms will likely develop into a QLCS. By then, damaging winds will
take over as the primary concern.
The special 18Z upper air sounding from our office (LZK), showed an
environment fully supportive of severe storms but by no means extreme
...CAPE values of 1800+ J/kg and dewpoints in the low to mid 60s.
With that said, wind shear seems to be on the low side as SRH values
are <150 m2/s2.
As mentioned above, heavy rainfall is likely the greatest concern as
a widespread two to three inches could fall across portions of the
state with locally higher amounts possible. Additionally, the 18Z
special sounding already shows PW around 1.30 in. with high-res
models indicating that value could get to be 1.50+ in. across
portions of the state. With already saturated soils and above
average rainfall so far this year, flash flooding will be an
elevated concern through Friday morning. Please remember, do not
drive through flooded roadways and make sure to give yourself
additional travel time to get to and from your destination.
High temperatures are expected to be in the upper 60s to mid 70s
across the state Friday and Saturday. Overnight low temperatures are
expected to be in the 40s to upper 50s.
Please continue to check back in for updates/changes to the forecast
and be sure to follow reliable weather sources to get your weather
information.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Thu Apr 20 2023
Broad longwave H500 troughing wl be deamplifying over much of the
CONUS to begin the PD, as the primary closed upper low shifts to the
N/E into the Great Lakes and Canadian provinces. At the sfc, a
cdfrnt wl be clear of the state w/ broad sfc high pressure settling
into the Cntrl and Srn Plains. A surge of continental air will be
prevalent through much of the Cntrl CONUS, w/ below-normal temps
knocking on the door of Nrn AR Sun morning. Most guidance continues
to suggest temps in the upper 30s wl be seen by portions of far Nrn
AR and the higher terrain of the Ozarks. Confidence is still low on
freeze potential attm.
By the return of the new work week and thru the remainder of the
fcst PD, a more unsettled pattern is set to unfold. Sfc high
pressure wl quickly depart to the Ern US, and weak/broad sfc
cyclonic flow wl quickly develop over much of the Srn Gulf Coast
region. A sfc baroclinic zone is progged amongst the fcst sfc mass
fields, w/ much of AR residing on the cooler side of this bndry,
positioned from the AR/TX panhandle region, E-S/E towards the
ARKLATEX vcty. The bndry wl serve as a focus point for enhanced PoPs
thru the early half of next week.
Additionally thru the early part of next week, an H500 shortwave is
set to come ashore over the PAC-N/W and quickly dig/pivot into the
Four Corners Region. Wed and thru the remainder of the PD, this
upper-lvl wave wl quickly interact w/ antecedent low-lvl cyclonic
flow, and a more organized sfc low wl begin to take shape, w/ the
primary low moving S/wrd towards the Gulf of Mexico. This wl further
cement most of AR on the cold side of this low, w/ Nrly winds
keeping temps near slightly below normal ranges. However, the
influence of the sfc low & initial baroclinic zone along w/ the
later approaching upper shortwave wl keep high Chc PoPs in place for
much of the FA thru most of next week. A lack of Srly flow and
prominent sfc heating potential should keep any severe threat
minimal, however some isolated bouts of thunder may be possible
later in the week as the upper wave traverses thru the FA.
Otherwise, a wet and cooler than normal week is on deck for
much of Arkansas.
Something something...April Showers, right?
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Thu Apr 20 2023
Low clouds continue to move into the state as conditions will
continue to deteriorate through the afternoon and evening hours.
Current VFR/MVFR conditions are expected to become IFR conditions
as a line of showers and storms move through the state. With it,
it will bring the chance for heavy rainfall and possible VIS
restrictions. Showers will continue through early Friday morning.
Winds could be gusty at times.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 53 69 44 67 / 100 30 10 0
Camden AR 59 69 46 73 / 100 60 0 0
Harrison AR 47 67 41 61 / 60 20 0 0
Hot Springs AR 55 71 46 71 / 100 40 0 0
Little Rock AR 57 71 49 73 / 100 40 0 0
Monticello AR 62 70 48 74 / 90 70 10 0
Mount Ida AR 53 71 44 71 / 90 30 0 0
Mountain Home AR 49 69 42 63 / 90 20 0 0
Newport AR 54 66 45 66 / 100 40 10 0
Pine Bluff AR 58 69 48 72 / 100 60 10 0
Russellville AR 54 71 44 69 / 90 30 0 0
Searcy AR 54 68 44 70 / 100 40 10 0
Stuttgart AR 58 67 48 70 / 100 60 10 0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
SHORT TERM...233
LONG TERM....72
AVIATION...233
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 20, 12:45 PM CST, 22 hours 10 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
145 PM CDT Thu Apr 20 2023
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-211845-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
145 PM CDT Thu Apr 20 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Breezy southerly winds are expected today ahead of an approaching
cold front. Thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon
along the front and some of these storms could become strong to
severe, persisting into Friday morning. The primary concerns will
be damaging winds and large hail. The tornado threat while low,
is not zero.
The storms may also produce locally heavy rainfall Thursday
evening into mid day Friday. Several inches of rain may fall in a
short amount of time which could lead to flash flooding.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Colder than normal air temperatures are expected across portions of
northern Arkansas on Sunday morning. Temperatures in the upper 30s
will be possible, and some higher-elevations may see freezing or
very-near freezing temperatures.
Otherwise, no other hazardous weather is expected through the
forecast period.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
233/72
Flood, Lawrence
- When
- April 21, 10:55 AM CST to April 27, 2:05 AM CST
- Where
- Lawrence County, 1.76 mi N of Black Rock to 2.12 mi SSW of Powhatan
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 36.125, -91.106
Heavy rain brought flooding to the Black River at Black Rock.
Flood, Saline
- When
- April 21, 1:25 PM CST to 1:32 PM CST
- Where
- Saline County, 1.71 mi WNW of Benton Saline Co Arp to 0.76 mi N of Haskell
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 34.576, -92.629
Heavy rain brought flooding to the Saline River at Benton.
Flood, Woodruff
- When
- April 25, 6:45 AM CST to April 27, 1:15 PM CST
- Where
- Woodruff County, 1.01 mi W of Riverside to 0.54 mi W of Cavell
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 35.282, -91.248
Heavy rain brought flooding to the Cache River at Patterson.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, April 21, 2023$340,000 · 2.75 in hail · 26 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Mississippi, April 21, 2023$67,000 · 1 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flooding and Debris Flows in Puerto Rico, April 21 to 23, 2023$4,000 · 14 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, April 21, 202369 kt wind · 8 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, April 21, 20238 events
- Heavy Snow in Colorado, April 21 to 23, 20235 events
- Winter Weather in Colorado, April 21 to 22, 20234 events
- Hail in Ohio, April 21, 20231 in hail · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Alabama, April 21, 2023$3,000 · 1 in hail · 4 events
- Waterspouts in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, April 21, 2023$1,000 · 3 events
- Tornadoes in Florida, April 21, 2023EF0 · 2 events
- Frost and Freeze in Washington, April 21, 20231 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1097017, 1097015, 1097016.