Even with persistent monsoon moisture across the region during July, which resulted in above normal precipitation for many areas, the state of the drought remained unchanged through the end of the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GJT wrote it up.
Even with persistent monsoon moisture across the region during July, which resulted in above normal precipitation for many areas, the state of the drought remained unchanged through the end of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 10:32 PM MST, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 1132 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 653 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 Decided to cancel the Flash Flood Watches for the Grizzly Creek Burn Area as well as east-central and southeast Utah. Showers and storms are beginning to weaken and showing disorganization as they are moving into a more stable environment. Not anticipating any further development this evening that would result in a flash flooding threat. Hi res models also show the line across northwest Colorado becoming disorganized as it is doing and falling apart with convective activity diminishing after sunset. && .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 248 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 We are currently under a substantial Southwest Monsoon fetch of moisture, with precipitable water values 0.80 to 1.00 inch, or around 200 percent of normal, and lower elevation surface dewpoints in the mid 40s to mid 50s. The clouds and showers that moved across the I-70 corridor through early afternoon have stabilized that region, but to the north, south and west, MUCAPES of 500-1000 J/kg and ample deep layer shear have resulted in conditions favorable for deep and organized convection. We've already had a strong to potentially severe thunderstorm near Flaming Gorge in northeast UT. Weak shortwaves in the southwesterly flow aloft and effects of being under the right entrance of a strong jet aloft over northern high plains will help to sustain afternoon convection well into the overnight hours. However, as these features loose their influence on the region overnight, shower activity is expected to diminish quite a bit. The upper level pattern changes little Friday with a flat Southern Plains ridge and an upper level trough off the West Coast continuing to feed subtropical moisture over our region. Precipitable water values do decrease a notch, but fairly good coverage of showers and thunderstorms is expected again, especially over the mountains. Steering flow is high enough to decrease the likelihood of flash flooding, but we will still remain vigilant for training storms or any direct impact on burn scars from high rainfall rates. The usual decrease in coverage is expected Friday night. Temperatures Friday will be near to slightly below normal. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 248 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 A strong upper level trough will move over the West Coast this weekend and temporarily shift the southern U.S. upper level ridge eastward. Long range ensemble models agree on that trough weakening early next week and retrograding as heights rise across the the Four Corners. There is also agreement in the precipitable water remaining well above normal over the entire region through the weekend, then drying out to near normal across northeast UT and northwest CO from early to the middle of next week. Southern areas look to remain under above normal moisture through the coming week. The result is a continuation of daily shower and thunderstorm activity, favoring the higher terrain and especially the central and southern mountains. Daily details will have to be resolved closer in time as we decipher the mesoscale features embedded in the synoptic flow. Temperatures near normal this weekend will slowly climb above normal next week. Ensemble model agreement of a large 597 to 600 DAM upper level ridge building directly over CO next weekend increases confidence in a period of a drier regime and well-above normal temperatures (triple digits for lower elevations). && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night) Issued at 1132 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 Conditions will improve overnight with storms ending in the early morning hours. Another round of isolated to scattered storms are expected to redevelop after 18Z/Friday mainly over higher terrain before drifing into lower valleys by late Friday afternoon into the evening. && .GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CO...None. UT...None. && UPDATE...MDA SHORT TERM...BM LONG TERM...BM AVIATION...TGJT
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 409 AM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-011015- Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin- Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains- Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor- Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas- Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys- Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin- West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops- Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide- Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains- Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River- Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin- San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains- Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat- La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges- 409 AM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western Colorado. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon with the mountains and northern tier counties favored. Gusty outflow winds and brief heavy rainfall are possible. Localized flash flooding is a heightened concern for burn scars and the narrow, slot canyons of southeast Utah. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Monsoon moisture will continue to fuel daily showers and thunderstorms during the remainder of the week. Thunderstorm chances remain high through Saturday. Consequently, the threat of heavy rain will also continue through the end of the week. That potential decreases from Sunday through Wednesday as moisture slowly decreases across the region. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected today or tonight, however spotters are encouraged to relay rainfall amounts or any observed flooding to the National Weather Service in Grand Junction.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
711 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022
COZ001>003-013-010145-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus CO-Flat Tops CO-
Lower Yampa River Basin CO-Central Yampa River Basin CO-
711 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Moffat
and central Rio Blanco Counties through 745 PM MDT...
At 710 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 24 miles southwest of Craig to near Meeker to
33 miles north of Rifle to 24 miles southeast of Rangely. Movement
was east at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Meeker, Axial and Loyd.
This includes the following highways...
Colorado 13 between mile markers 25 and 72.
Colorado 64 between mile markers 64 and 73.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4034 10757 4003 10757 3992 10771 3965 10840
3978 10874 4002 10813 4011 10796 4033 10795
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 284DEG 12KT 4026 10788 4010 10788 3999 10801
3978 10854
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MDASpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
947 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022
COZ009-010-012-010415-
Grand and Battlement Mesas CO-West Elk and Sawatch Mountains CO-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys CO-
947 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Mesa
County through 1015 PM MDT...
At 947 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles east of Collbran, or 30 miles southwest of Glenwood Springs,
moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Mesa
County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3910 10781 3928 10789 3940 10752 3918 10739
TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 251DEG 23KT 3923 10774
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MDAPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1126 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1121 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW FRUITVALE 39.12N 108.52W
06/30/2022 M50 MPH MESA CO ASOS
ASOS STATION KGJT GRAND JUNCTION RGNL AP.
&&The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The status of the drought remained unchanged through the month of July as extreme (D3) drought conditions persisted across the entirety of the zone.
The status of the drought remained unchanged across the zone through the month of July. The extreme (D3) drought continued over all but the far eastern portion of the zone where severe (D2) conditions remained.
The status of the drought remained unchanged through the month of July as extreme (D3) drought conditions persisted across the entirety of the zone.
The status of the drought remained unchanged through the month of July. The extreme (D3) drought persisted across the western half of the zone while severe (D2) conditions continued elsewhere through the end of the month.
The status of the drought remained unchanged across the area through the month of July. Extreme (D3) drought persisted over the far western corner of the zone with severe (D2) conditions elsewhere through the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Utah in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Utah, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1035775, 1035776, 1035777, 1035778, 1035779.