Drought conditions worsened across portions of North and Central Texas in early October. Severe to extreme drought conditions affected these areas through the end of the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 13 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Drought conditions worsened across portions of North and Central Texas in early October. Severe to extreme drought conditions affected these areas through the end of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 3, 10:56 PM CST, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1156 PM CDT Mon Oct 3 2022 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ Update: The beautiful fall weather will continue through the short term portion of the forecast with lows mainly in the 50s and highs in the 80s. The current forecast is in good shape (see detailed discussion below) so no changes are necessary at this time. 79 Previous Discussion: /Through Wednesday Morning/ A tranquil first half of the week is in store for North and Central Texas as the upper level ridge stays planted over the Central Plains. Rain-free, dry, and pleasant conditions will continue through the short term period, further antagonizing an elevated fire threat over the region. On the bright side of this, low wind speeds will generally mitigate any rapid fire growth or spread. Nonetheless, continue to practice fire safety and avoid outdoor activities that could produce fire starts. Mostly clear night skies, low wind speeds, and lower moisture will once again allow for efficient radiational cooling to take place. Expect Tuesday morning lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. A surge of increased mid-level moisture will stream in from the west/southwest in the morning and mid-afternoon hours, with the only visual result being an increase of higher-based cloud cover during the day over our southern Central Texas counties. Tuesday afternoon will be seasonally warm, with high temperatures peaking generally in the 80s. Tuesday night into Wednesday morning will be uneventful. Another fall-like morning will be observed on Wednesday, with morning lows dipping down into the 50s throughout the region. Temperatures will be a couple of degrees higher than the previous days, especially out west, as a slight increase in mid-level (500mb) moisture continues to stream in during the early AM hours. Prater && .LONG TERM... /Issued 216 PM CDT Mon Oct 3 2022/ Update: No major changes were made to the long term forecast. Dry and warm weather will continue through the work week with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. As the upper level ridge shifts to the east toward the end of the week, a cold front will approach late Friday or early Saturday. Cooler temperatures are expected this weekend across the region, ranging from the mid 70s to mid 80s. There is a low chance for precipitation with this system, but confidence remains too low to warrant any PoPs at this time. The combination of dry fuels and low afternoon humidity values will result in an elevated fire weather threat through most of the week, but wind speeds below 10 mph should mitigate the spread of any fire starts. Garcia Previous Discussion: /Tuesday night through Sunday/ The weather pattern will remain fairly stagnant the first half of the week with ridging aloft and dry air through a deep layer of the atmosphere. The result will be mostly sunny days, clear nights and a large diurnal temperature spread. Lows Tuesday night will range from the mid 50s to around 60 and highs Wednesday will be in the 80s except for a few lower 90s in Central Texas. The upper ridge will deamplify while shifting towards the East Coast the second half of the week with a deepening trough across the center of the CONUS and an amplifying ridge across the West Coast. The main energy with the upper trough will remain displaced well to the north across the Great Lakes and Upper Mid West but as the trough axis moves east it will send a cold front southward across the Plains late in the week. A thin layer of moisture near the surface will gradually make it into North and Central Texas ahead of the front Wednesday night/Thursday resulting in slightly warmer lows (low to mid 60s) and a few more daytime clouds Thursday. Light southerly flow ahead of the front will likely turn to the north near the Red River Thursday afternoon with the passage of a pre frontal trough. The actual cold front is progged to move across North and Central Texas Friday/Friday night. The absence of large scale forcing for ascent and very limited moisture will hinder precipitation development along the front. Drier and cooler air will filter in behind the front, keeping highs Saturday and Sunday generally in the lower and middle 80s, except for near the Red River where temperatures will struggle to get out of the 70s. The reinforcement of drier air and slightly breezier conditions will keep the threat for wildfire starts elevated through the weekend. There are still indications in both the GFS and ECMWF that some rain may return to portions of the forecast area about a week from now associated with an upper trough approaching from the Desert Southwest. More details on this potential for rain will be provided in later forecast discussions. 79 && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /06Z TAFs/ No aviation weather concerns are expected through Tuesday night with only some passing mid and upper level clouds, mainly across Central Texas. An east to southeast wind will prevail at speeds generally less than 10 knots. 79 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 56 85 58 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 53 90 55 92 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 51 84 52 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 51 86 54 88 58 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 52 85 54 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 54 85 57 87 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 52 85 54 87 58 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 55 87 56 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 53 88 55 90 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 49 88 52 89 58 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1204 AM CDT Tue Oct 4 2022 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-042330- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 1204 AM CDT Tue Oct 4 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
13 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected most of the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected most of the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected most of the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected southern portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected southern portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected southern portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected western portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected western portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected northern portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected portions of the county through the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1061979, 1061992, 1061993, 1061994, 1061995, 1061996, 1061997, 1061998, 1061999, 1062000, 1062001, 1062002, 1062003.