Months of drought conditions and unusually hot temperatures made for ideal conditions for rapid fire growth across South Central Texas.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
Months of drought conditions and unusually hot temperatures made for ideal conditions for rapid fire growth across South Central Texas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 11:34 PM CST, 26 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1234 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 156 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2022 A weak tropical disturbance located just off the Texas coast remains disorganized and will be expected to slowly move towards the north over the next 36 to 48 hours. The NHC continues to give around a 40 percent chance of this feature developing into a tropical depression or weak tropical storm within the next 48 hours. Regardless of any tropical development, the majority of the weather associated with the weak low will concentrate on its eastern side. As a result, the greatest rainfall and impacts will be expected to remain to the east of South-Central Texas, closer to the Houston metro region and the TX/LA state border. The coastal plain counties within our CWA could still see isolated to widely scattered showers and/or storms pivot into that region from this disturbance itself and/or with some sort of combination with the seabreeze. Besides the noted rain chances concentrating across the coastal plains, enough column moisture and weakness within the upper levels of the atmosphere also exists for a few spotty showers and perhaps a stray storm or two during this afternoon and again Friday afternoon across portions of the Hill Country and the Southern Edwards Plateau. This is highlighted by several of the short term convective allowing model guidance members. A shower or storm cell could even approach the I-35 corridor, more likely Friday afternoon compared to this afternoon. Any of this activity should quickly diminish with the loss of daytime heating. Otherwise, expect for temperatures to top out in the mid to upper 90s for most each afternoon while a few touch 100 degrees along the Rio Grande. Heat indices will generally trend a few degrees above the temperatures in the afternoon. Overnight lows should bottom out in the low to mid 70s for most but a few are to hold in the upper 70s. Skies should trend mostly cloudy from the late overnight into each morning while the afternoons trend with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with a mix of mid-level cumulus and high clouds. The winds remain light. Winds will be variable at times but mainly will trend out of the east-southeast from the afternoon and into the evening hours. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 156 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2022 Saturday and Saturday night will provide what may be the last rain chances for the next 1-2 weeks. The remnants of the current weak tropical system near the Gulf Coast will likely still be located of E TX, and some weak mid to upper level vorticity is also expected to drift N from Mexico and allow for some shower and storm development over the Srn Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains Saturday into Saturday night. Coverage will only be isolated to scattered but a few lucky locations could pick up a quick 0.5-1" of rain at best. Can't rule out a stray shower or storm near Val Verde County on Sunday as well but that will be the end of the rain chances for the foreseeable future. Otherwise, expect highs in the 90s to near 100 on Saturday with a slight warming trend as we head into next week. Strengthening high pressure will bring dry conditions to start the week, but with high humidity and temperatures approaching the 97-104 degree range by Wednesday, we can't rule out the need for another Heat Advisory in some areas. Warm and mostly dry conditions are likely to dominate the forecast beyond the end of the period as well per the 6-10 day and 8-14 day CPC outlooks. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022 VFR flying conditions prevail overnight through Friday evening, except for a period of MVFR CIGs at the I-35 sites early Friday morning. MVFR CIGs return late Friday night to the I-35 sites. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA are possible Friday afternoon into evening. However, PROBs are low and will leave mention out. E-SE winds of around 10 KTS or less prevail. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 76 96 77 97 / 10 30 10 10 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 76 96 76 97 / 10 30 10 10 New Braunfels Muni Airport 75 97 76 99 / 10 20 10 10 Burnet Muni Airport 75 95 76 97 / 10 30 10 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 79 100 78 99 / 10 20 20 10 Georgetown Muni Airport 76 96 76 97 / 10 30 10 10 Hondo Muni Airport 75 99 76 99 / 10 20 20 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 76 96 76 98 / 10 20 10 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 77 94 78 99 / 20 30 10 10 San Antonio Intl Airport 77 97 77 98 / 10 20 10 10 Stinson Muni Airport 77 99 78 100 / 10 20 10 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && Short-Term...Brady Long-Term...KCW Aviation...04
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 335 AM CDT Thu Jun 30 2022 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-010845- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 335 AM CDT Thu Jun 30 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Heat index values will be on the increase by the weekend and could approach Heat Advisory levels in the Coastal Plains by Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The Buckshot wildfire was discovered at 07:36 CST on June 29th along Yellowstone Ln. in Kerr County. Fire weather conditions were elevated at the time with relative humidity near 25% and winds 5 to 10 mph. The fire burned until July 3 and consumed 257 acres.
The Dix wildfire was discovered at 16:36 CST on the 2nd east of Seguin near Dix Rd. and Nixon Rd. in Guadalupe County. The fire burned until the 4th and consumed 270 acres.
The DPS wildfire was discovered at 15:39 CST on the 3rd off Pecan Branch southeast of Florence in Williamson County. The fire burned until the 6th and consumed 600 acres.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1040095, 1040096, 1040097.