Above normal rainfall in June and July helped improve drought conditions in Hudspeth County.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Above normal rainfall in June and July helped improve drought conditions in Hudspeth County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 10:52 PM MST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1152 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 ...UPDATED FOR 06Z TAF CYCLE... .AVIATION...06Z TAF CYCLE VFR conditions continue for the most part while ceilings start out at FEW/SCT100-120 tonight. An outflow boundary is passing through KLRU and may produce gusty winds from the NE for a short time before shifting westerly and becoming light. The other TAF sites will also see 5-10kts from the west/northwest through the morning as cloud bases rise to 250. For the afternoon, the chance of thunderstorms at all TAF sites will be higher than Thursday, but confidence remains too low to add VCTS/SH to TAFs at this point. Gusty outflow winds are still being modeled for the evening from the potential convection. Otherwise, more southerly winds will develop during the afternoon below 10kts. Breezier winds and gusts could be added in future TAF cycles for later in the day and the evening. && .PREV DISCUSSION...604 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022... .SYNOPSIS... Chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast for the higher terrain and western areas this weekend. Area wide rain and storms will be seen Monday and Tuesday, with a slight down tick mid week next week. Temperatures remain around normal this weekend, cooling to a few degrees below normal next week. && .DISCUSSION... .SHORT TERM...This Afternoon through Friday... Current radar imagery as of 12PM local time shows isolated to scattered showers with weak embedded thunderstorms across the area, focused over the Black Range and Sacramento Mtns. Current moisture values (DP in upper 50s) and MUCAPE values suggest further convection over area mountains this afternoon. Latest visible satellite imagery confirms that, with an increase in cumulus development over southern NM and far west TX. Weak 700-500mb flow out of the east/northeast has been and will continue to form weak cells over mountain ridgelines (Black Range) before propagating to the west/southwest. Recent CAM solutions have been "out to lunch" with their outputs with discrepancies in convection coverage this afternoon and evening. That being said, scattered shower/thunderstorms over the mountains with isolated convection in the lowlands can be expected this evening. Ridging aloft over the Desert Southwest will continue to dictate the weather across the CWA through the short term period. The high pressure center currently over NE NM and into the TX panhandle will continue to infiltrate slightly drier continental air into the area, which could possibly further suppress convection over the lowlands this afternoon. However, with a convective temp of 88 (from this morning's sounding) and dew points well into the 50s, storms may still have a good chance of forming over the lowlands. All this may be the reason why CAMs are all over the place. For tomorrow, as the high pressure moves further to the east, moisture will be on the increase. This will ultimately increase rain chances across the forecast area as well. && .LONG TERM...Saturday through Thursday... As the upper level subtropical high pressure over much of the southern US states continues to remain weak, moisture will hang around the region this weekend. The axis of deepest moisture still remains over the AZ/NM border and light southeasterly winds will persist through the column. An Alaskan low starts to impact the CA and Pac NW coast this weekend. Locally, scattered afternoon thunderstorms will be seen over the area mountains this weekend (and everyday of the forecast period), with western areas seeing good chances as well. As those storms pop up and then die, outflows will race through the lowlands during the evening and nighttime hours. These outflows will have a better chance generating lowland convection Saturday, and even better on Sunday. Temperatures will warm to around normal in the afternoon hours. The upper level system that is moving inland to the northwest this weekend will start to advect westerly winds over AZ Sunday afternoon which will push the axis of heaviest moisture right into NM early Monday morning. At the same time, a central high pressure starts to organize and strengthen over east TX & OK; as well as another central high pressure off the coast of the CA Baja in the east Pacific. Winds over NM will turn more southerly as we are squeezed in between these various upper level patterns. The moisture tap to our south stays alive, with GFS & ECM ensemble members both show at least 1.3" to 1.5" PW advecting over KELP, with some ECM outliers showing upwards of 1.7" (closing in on record amounts of moisture). Over northwestern Mexico, upper level winds are starting to form a little inverted trough (two high pressure centers side by side). This low will spin over the CA Baja through early next week, which could help create some short waves in the flow around the upper level high centered over eastern TX. These little bursts of positive vorticity advection could aid in lift for the moisture flowing over the state early next week. It is hard at this time to determine what type of activity we will be seeing, we could see just enough lift and lots of moisture which would lead to more uniform light rain showers Monday and Tuesday. Or, we could see stronger forcing leading to convection and the chances for stronger storms. With either of these scenarios, the environment will be ripe for heavy rain with storms that do form. With soils already saturated and creeks in the higher terrain running, flash flooding becomes a real possibility for Monday and Tuesday. Mid week next week the high pressure centers start to break down again, and the focus of deep moisture of the area becomes more spread out over the desert southwest. Scattered storms will still be seen, but not as wide spread on Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures will remain around normal to below normal for the forecast period. && 38 .FIRE WEATHER... Fire weather concerns will remain low as monsoonal moisture continues to surge into the Desert Southwest. The area will see daily chances of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms with the main concerns being gusty/erratic winds, lightning, and heavy rain. Min RH values will be 20-35% each afternoon across the lowlands and >35% over the mountains with excellent overnight recoveries. This weekend and into next week, the monsoonal moisture plume will park over the region leading to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Heavy rain will be possible with localized areas of flash flooding. In general, afternoon/evening winds will be at or below 15 mph. Winds in and around thunderstorms will be gusty and erratic. && 38-Rogers && && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 75 97 74 96 / 10 10 30 10 Sierra Blanca 70 90 70 90 / 10 20 20 20 Las Cruces 70 95 70 95 / 10 20 20 20 Alamogordo 70 93 70 93 / 10 20 20 20 Cloudcroft 52 70 52 70 / 10 40 20 40 Truth or Consequences 70 92 69 92 / 10 30 20 40 Silver City 63 84 62 83 / 20 50 20 60 Deming 67 94 67 93 / 10 20 20 30 Lordsburg 67 91 67 91 / 20 30 20 30 West El Paso Metro 74 95 74 94 / 10 10 30 20 Dell City 69 95 70 95 / 10 10 20 20 Fort Hancock 72 97 72 96 / 10 10 30 20 Loma Linda 67 89 68 88 / 10 20 20 20 Fabens 73 97 73 96 / 10 0 20 10 Santa Teresa 72 94 71 93 / 10 10 30 10 White Sands HQ 75 93 74 93 / 10 20 30 20 Jornada Range 69 93 69 93 / 10 20 20 20 Hatch 69 95 69 94 / 10 20 20 30 Columbus 73 93 70 93 / 20 30 30 20 Orogrande 70 94 71 93 / 10 10 20 20 Mayhill 57 80 57 80 / 10 50 20 40 Mescalero 57 80 57 79 / 10 40 20 40 Timberon 57 80 57 80 / 10 30 20 40 Winston 62 83 61 83 / 20 50 20 60 Hillsboro 66 89 65 88 / 10 40 20 40 Spaceport 67 93 67 92 / 10 20 20 30 Lake Roberts 58 83 58 82 / 30 60 20 60 Hurley 65 90 63 89 / 20 40 20 40 Cliff 60 92 59 91 / 20 50 20 50 Mule Creek 63 87 62 85 / 20 50 10 50 Faywood 65 88 65 88 / 10 40 20 40 Animas 67 90 66 91 / 20 30 30 30 Hachita 67 91 67 91 / 30 30 30 30 Antelope Wells 66 89 65 89 / 30 50 40 40 Cloverdale 62 85 62 84 / 40 50 40 50 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 99/99/39
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1100 AM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 NMZ402-403-408-414>416-011700- Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Eastern Black Range Foothills- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- 1100 AM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico and southwest New Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible during the afternoon and early evening hours. Some storms could produce localized heavy rain and flash flooding. Gusty winds will also be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Friday will be very similar to today with a slight increase in shower and thunderstorm coverage. Moisture will increase through the weekend and into next week with scattered to numerous shower and thunderstorm coverage. Heavy rain and flash flooding will be a threat on Saturday through at least Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NMZ401-404>407-409>413-417-TXZ418>424-011700- Upper Gila River Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley- Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel- Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 1100 AM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. An isolated thunderstorm or two will be possible this evening across the lowlands. Otherwise, most areas will remain dry. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Friday will be very similar to today with a slight increase in shower and thunderstorm coverage. Moisture will increase through the weekend and into next week with scattered to numerous shower and thunderstorm coverage. Heavy rain and flash flooding will be a threat on Saturday through at least Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Rogers
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
729 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022
NMZ404-407-010200-
Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin NM-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley NM-
729 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central Grant,
western Luna and central Hidalgo Counties through 800 PM MDT...
At 729 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles north of Separ. This storm was nearly stationary.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Separ.
This includes Interstate 10 in New Mexico between mile markers 33 and
57.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3213 10841 3228 10856 3247 10843 3220 10817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0129Z 222DEG 3KT 3228 10843
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BROWNThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The eastern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought with Moderate(D1) drought over the west.
July started with Exceptional(D4) drought over the east and Severe(D2) drought over the west. By the end of the month, the east was in Extreme(D3) drought with Severe(D2) drought over the west.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1046816, 1046817.