A strong arctic cold front brought some of the coldest air of the season to South Central Texas. Precipitation in the cold airmass fell as a mixture of sleet and freezing rain.
Every event with a place to put it; 23 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
A strong arctic cold front brought some of the coldest air of the season to South Central Texas. Precipitation in the cold airmass fell as a mixture of sleet and freezing rain. Some places received as much as of sleet and others of ice.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 1, 11:24 AM CST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1124 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022 .AVIATION (18Z TAFS)... /NEW/ The next 24-30 hours will be active, and expect a tricky week ahead in the aviation industry as wintry precip is possible, especially at AUS by Thursday. For the going forecast, expect winds to remain fairly light today, and variable at times, generally less than 5 kts. After some morning fog and low CIGs, ceilings should lift to VFR area wide by 19-20Z. Fog and low stratus return tonight after 09Z as moisture pools out ahead of the approaching arctic cold front scheduled to arrive Wednesday afternoon/evening. For now, have not indicated the significant wind shift yet at any site, but expect that wind shift and gusts to pick up just outside of this forecast range, by 00-01Z Thursday. Pre-frontal rain showers are expected before the front moves through, in addition to that chance for patchy dense fog. Have trended lower in visibilities for tomorrow morning, but both visibility and ceilings may need to be lowered even further with 00Z issuance, especially is more consensus agreement can be reached among models. && PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 312 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022/ SHORT TERM (Today through Wednesday)... After a rainy Monday over eastern portions of south-central Texas, Much quieter conditions are forecast for today and tonight. Low stratus and patchy fog in place over much of the area will continue to spread westward toward the Rio Grande before sunrise. Fog has already been dense at times in Rocksprings, and some expansion of dense fog primarily over the Hill Country may warrant an advisory later this morning. Fog will gradually clear out through the mid to late morning, and cloud cover should also come to an end from west to east in the midday hours. As the low-level reflection of yesterday's weakening upper low spins over the gulf, another weak sfc low over the panhandle will lead to warm SW flow at 850mb over our western areas. With decent mixing and afternoon sun, we expect highs in the mid and upper 70s west, and in the upper 60s to lower 70s east where cloud cover will hold on longest. Could see some patchy fog redevelopment tonight as dew points remain elevated and sfc winds decouple. Seasonally warm lows in the 49-55 degree range are expected. On Wednesday as the well advertised mid- week system begins to take shape, the day will stay cloudy and some warm-sector streamer showers may be possible in the afternoon south. North, the cold front will begin to move into the area through the afternoon hours, and some post-frontal showers are likely to develop, though QPF is mainly below 0.2" at this time prior to 00Z Thursday. Isolated thunder is possible east, and if this were to occur we could see rainfall amounts approach 0.5" in a spot or two. Expect temperatures to fall during the afternoon in the Hill Country, perhaps into the upper 40s far N by the end of the period. LONG TERM (Wednesday Night through Monday)... Highlights: 1) A very strong arctic cold front will move through South Central Texas Wednesday afternoon and evening bringing the coldest temperatures we have seen so far this winter. 2) By daybreak Thursday morning freezing conditions are expected across the Hill Country. Temperatures will continue to fall across South Central Texas through the day on Thursday, with locations near and north of a Del Rio to northern San Antonio, to La Grange line reaching the freezing mark. Hard freezes in the low teens to low 20s are forecast Thursday night and Friday night across all of South Central Texas. There is a potential some locations in the Hill Country could see a long duration freeze of up to 60 hours. 3) Brisk northerly winds will produce bitterly cold wind chill values Thursday through Saturday mornings, ranging from single digits to teens. A risk for hypothermia exists for those spending extended time outdoors and not dressed in layers and gloves. 4) Precipitation chances begin Wednesday ahead of the front and continue behind it Wednesday night into the day on Thursday. Confidence continues to increase that a wintry mix of freezing rain and sleet will occur by Thursday morning and produce icing amounts that could cause travel impacts through the Hill Country and into the Austin metro area. A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for this region. There is a lower confidence in freezing rain and sleet occurring farther south to a Del Rio to northern San Antonio to La Grange line. It should be noted that this forecast is still evolving. Details: Guidance is coming into better agreement on the timing of the arctic cold front into the region, strength of cold air advection behind it, and when precipitation chances end. The cold front looks to enter the Hill Country Wednesday afternoon, into the I-35 corridor by early evening, and into the Coastal Plains by midnight Thursday. As we have been discussing for the past few day, the airmass behind the front will be cold and dense, with a 1045-1050mb surface high centered over the Northern Plains by Thursday morning and 1040-1045mb pressures centering into the Texas Panhandle by Friday morning. Very strong cold air advection will take place overnight Wednesday through the day on Thursday, with temperatures continuing to fall through the day on Thursday. Brisk northerly winds will produce very cold wind chill values Thursday through Friday night. Forcing in the southwest flow ahead of the base of the trough will continue through Wednesday night, Thursday morning, and now is indicated to continue into a portion Thursday afternoon by both the 00Z operational runs of the GFS and ECMWF before dry slotting takes place. Initially through most of the night Wednesday it will be a cold rain, with even a slight chance of some isolated elevated thunder. However, freezing temperatures are forecast to develop through the Hill Country 3AM-6AM Thursday, into the I-35 corridor around the Austin metro area between 6AM-9AM Thursday, and as far south as a Del Rio to northern San Antonio to La Grange line 9AM- Noon. A top down look at forecast soundings indicate freezing rain and sleet will be the predominate winter precipitation types to contend with given a warm nose aloft. We have an increasing confidence that there will be freezing rain and sleet occurring and producing icing amounts that could cause travel impacts through the Hill Country and into the Austin metro beginning Thursday morning. Therefore we have issued a Winter Storm Watch for this region. Preliminary indications this forecast cycle point toward ice accumulations of 1/10 to 1/4 of an inch in the watch area and sleet accumulations across the northern Hill Country of up to 1/4 to 1/2 inch possible. However, it should be stressed that this is still and evolving forecast both within the watch areas and south toward the San Antonio metro area. Finally on the precipitation type forecast, it still appears there is a chance that there could be a brief changeover to light snow across Val Verde Edwards, and northwest Hill Country counties on the back edge of the precipitation where the warm nose aloft cools and just before precipitation ends. The coldest temperatures look to occur Friday and Saturday morning, where lows in the low teens to low 20s are forecast. Highs only in the 30s to low 40s are forecast Friday and upper 30s and 40s Saturday. At this time the forecast looks to remain dry Thursday night through Sunday. However, we will have to watch the forecast closely Saturday and Saturday night for precipitation as the base of the trough axis kicks out across the region. Currently not much QPF is depicted by the 00Z operational run of the GFS. However, a few GFS and Canadian ensemble members, roughly half of the ECMWF ensemble members, and now the 00Z operational run of the ECMWF are generating QPF. Should any precipitation occur there could be a threat for a wintry mix Saturday and Saturday night. Nothing is currently indicated in the forecast at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 69 53 66 30 31 / - - 70 90 70 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 69 53 66 31 32 / 0 0 70 90 70 New Braunfels Muni Airport 72 53 68 34 36 / 0 0 60 90 60 Burnet Muni Airport 69 52 60 24 26 / 0 0 70 90 60 Del Rio Intl Airport 77 51 65 34 36 / 0 - 20 80 40 Georgetown Muni Airport 68 53 63 26 27 / - 0 70 90 60 Hondo Muni Airport 74 51 68 35 37 / 0 - 40 80 60 San Marcos Muni Airport 71 53 67 33 34 / 0 0 60 90 60 La Grange - Fayette Regional 69 55 71 36 38 / - 0 50 90 70 San Antonio Intl Airport 72 53 67 34 35 / 0 - 60 90 60 Stinson Muni Airport 76 54 71 39 41 / 0 - 50 90 60 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday afternoon for Bandera-Blanco-Burnet-Edwards-Gillespie-Hays-Kendall- Kerr-Llano-Real-Travis-Williamson. && Short-Term/Aviation...Morris Long-Term...Oaks Decision Support...Treadway
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 329 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-021000- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 329 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. Patchy to areas of fog will continue this morning. Some areas will experience dense fog with visibility of 1/4 mile or less, mainly in the Hill Country and Rio Grande Plains. The fog will gradually clear by 9-10am. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. A very strong arctic cold front will move through South Central Texas Wednesday afternoon and evening bringing the coldest temperatures we have seen so far this winter. By daybreak Thursday morning freezing conditions are expected across the Hill Country. Temperatures will continue to fall across South Central Texas through the day on Thursday, with locations near and north of a Del Rio to northern San Antonio, to La Grange line reaching the freezing mark. Hard freezes in the low teens to low 20s are forecast Thursday night and Friday night across all of South Central Texas. There is a potential some locations in the Hill Country could see a long duration freeze of up to 60 hours. Brisk northerly winds will produce bitterly cold wind chill values Thursday through Saturday mornings, ranging from single digits to teens. A risk for hypothermia exists for those spending extended time outdoors and not dressed in layers and gloves. Confidence continues to increase that a wintry mix of freezing rain and sleet will occur by Thursday morning and produce icing amounts that could cause travel impacts through the Hill Country and into the Austin metro area. A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for this region. There is a lower confidence in freezing rain and sleet occurring farther south to a Del Rio to northern San Antonio to La Grange line. It should be noted that this forecast is still evolving. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 830 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022 TXZ173-191>193-207-208-223>225-011600- Williamson-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Gonzales- De Witt-Lavaca- Including the cities of Georgetown, San Marcos, Austin, Bastrop, Seguin, Lockhart, Gonzales, Cuero, and Hallettsville 830 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022 ...DENSE FOG THIS MORNING IN THE AUSTIN METRO AND PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAINS... Dense fog has been persistent in the Austin metro this morning with local visibilities of 1/4 mile or less. Additionally, patchy dense fog has formed over portions of the Coastal Plains south toward DeWitt and Lavaca Counties. Motorists are urged to slow down, use low beams, and allow extra time to reach their destinations. Fog should lift by 10AM.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
15 winter storm, 8 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.
Sleet was reported in Cuero, but it did not cause any impacts.
Freezing rain and sleet accumulated across the county. TxDoT reported ice on roads around Willow City and Fredericksburg. There were sleet accumulations of 0.8 inches in Harper and Doss, 0.5 inches in Fredericksburg, and 0.3 inches in Willow City.
Sleet accumulated across the county. There was 0.5 in Kerrville, 0.1 Ingram, and 0.8 in Mountain Home. Icy conditions on I-10 near Kerrville caused two crashes involving semi-tractor trailer trucks that closed the west bound lanes for 17 hours Thursday night/Friday.
Sleet and freezing rain accumulated across the county. Half an inch of sleet was measured in Granite Shoals and Longhorn Cavern State Park. The ASOS at Burnet Municipal Airport recorded 0.04 inches of ice.
TxDot reported icy bridges in Llano and Kingsland. Sleet accumulated to 0.8 in Llano.
Sleet and freezing rain accumulated in the county. Sleet accumulations included 0.8 in Georgetown and 0.1 in Anderson Mill. Ice accumulations were 3/16th of an inch in Cedar Park, 0.2 in Round Rock, 0.16 in Leander, and 1/8th of an inch in Georgetown.
Freezing rain and up to a tenth of an inch of sleet caused icy roads across the county.
Sleet and freezing rain fell across the county, and the freezing rain caused all of the impacts. There were reports of downed tree branches in Circle C Ranch and Manchaca. Reports of ice accumulation included 0.12 in San Leana, 0.2 in Pflugerville, 0.15 in Austin Great Hills, 0.3 in Austin, and 0.2 in Creedmoor. The Official NWS Observer for Camp Mabry reports 0.15. There were some minor sleet accumulations in Manor and Wells Branch.
Freezing rain and sleet were reported across the county. One quarter of an inch of ice was measured at Hollywood Park, Cross Mountain, and the San Antonio International Airport. Two tenths of an inch were measured at Leon Valley, Terrell Hills, and Universal City. There were a few reports of trees down due to ice.
Sleet and freezing rain fell across the county. TxDot reported icy patches on several sections Hwy 83 across the county. There were sleet accumulations of 0.2 in Leakey and 0.3 in Camp Wood.
Freezing rain accumulated across the county. Two tenths of an inch were measured in New Braunfels and Cibolo, one eighth of an inch at the NWS Forecast Office in New Braunfels, and the ASOS at the New Braunfels National Airport measured 0.16 inches.
The CO-OP Observer in Sabinal reported a trace of sleet.
Freezing rain accumulated across the county. Two tenths of an inch were measured in Wimberley and Dripping Springs and 0.1 inches in Kyle.
Freezing rain accumulated in Comfort and Boerne. In Comfort icy conditions were reported on I-10 and Hwy 87. In Boerne 0.2 inches of ice were measured.
Sleet was reported in Lincoln and Dime Box. There were no impacts.
Freezing rain accumulated from Canyon Lake to New Braunfels. Two tenths of an inch were reported in Canyon Lake and one eighth or an inch in New Braunfels.
Light freezing rain and sleet fell across the county, but there were no impacts. A CO-OP observer in Hallettsville reports 0.01 of ice accumulated.
Sleet and freezing rain fell across the county. A trace of sleet was reported at Laughlin AFB. The CO-OP observer in Langtry reported 0.05 of ice and the ASOS at Del Rio International Airport reported 0.02.
Freezing rain was reported in LaGrange and Fayetteville, but it did not cause any impacts.
Sleet was reported in Circle D-KC Estates and Bastrop and freezing rain in McDade. The frozen precipitation did not cause any impacts.
Freezing rain accumulation ranged from a trace in Bandera to 0.1 inches in Medina.
Sleet was reported in Blanco, but did not cause any impacts.
Freezing rain accumulated to 0.1 in Mico and 0.04 at the South Texas Regional Airport at Hondo.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1007531, 1007536, 1009227, 1007527, 1009230, 1009237, 1007533, 1009233, 1007523, 1009232, 1007537, 1009235, 1007538, 1007539, 1009229, 1007530, 1009228, 1009236, 1007534, 1007519, 1007518, 1007524, 1009231.