What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 2, 1:54 PM EST, 3 hours 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 2, 1:54 PM EST, 3 hours 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
254 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
Sub-tropical high pressure over the western Atlantic will maintain
control of our weather pattern for the rest of the week. We can
expect predominately afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms
each day with the best coverage generally over the higher terrain.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Seeing some enhanced Cu across se/rn TN associated with a weak upper
s/w. Expect this feature to cross the wrn areas this afternoon and
help instigate isol shra/tstms. Any storms will be moving to the SW
arnd 20 kts and PWAT values remain arnd 1.4 inches, so not
anticipating hydro issues outside of any cell which may happen to
anchor across the higher terrain.
Good rad cooling conds expected overnight, however, ground moisture
will remain quite low over most locales for an appreciable dense fog
issue. Mountain valley dense fog is a possibility before daybreak,
which would dissipate thru 14z or so. The atmos remains suppressive
Wed with not much in the way of forcing or triggering thru the
afternoon. Upper heights rise, yet weak rounds of mlvl energy will
cross the srn mtns by the afternoon. These waves will have to offset
a capped llvl profile outside the mtns for convective initiation,
while the mtn ridges will remain abv the inversion. So, low-end
chance and slight PoPs have been aligned across the sw/rn mtns into
the wrn Upstate and NE GA. Not anticipating anything too strong with
this activity, yet weak column flow may enable a couple stationary
cells and a localized hydro issue. As thickness levels rise a
little, temperatures will remain a few degrees abv normal thru the
period.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1230 PM Tue: Dominant feature for Thursday and Friday will
remain the Bermuda High. Precipitation chances appear to mostly
follow the usual diurnal cycle. Upper pattern remains ill-defined
across the Southeast during this time, being caught between the
Bermuda anticyclone and another centered over the Plains. The
midlatitude wave train will continue across the northern tier of the
CONUS, and a trough passing within it should enhance convergence and
thus convective initiation Friday, particularly over the northern
CWA. Model QPF hints that the southeasterly flow and/or sea breeze
may offer some opportunity for evening convection, particularly
Friday evening with the aid of the trough. PWATs rebound as we
lose the effect of the inland ridge from earlier in the week. Shear
will be minimal and slow-moving storms producing heavy rain would
appear to be the main threat with any convection this period.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 100 PM Tue: The pattern remains generally the same through
the weekend, with dominant feature continuing to be the Bermuda
anticyclone. Some deterministic runs show mild height rises over
the Mid-Atlantic as trough again moves east out of the CONUS,
but a convergence zone persists along the Eastern Seaboard on
the periphery of the ridge. As such diurnally driven PoPs, a
little above climatology, continue. Guidance consensus shows a
slight retrogression and/or weakening of the Bermuda anticyclone,
while the one to our west strengthens. This may have a suppressive
effect on diurnal convection/PoP by Monday or Tuesday, but also
possibly opening us to the MCS track again. Temps will remain near
to slightly above normal thru the period.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR conds outside of any convection this
afternoon and evening. At this point, the chance for -shra/tstms
looks quite low at any terminal and have only a VCSH mention at
KAVL, KGSP, and KGMU. Expect good rad cooling conds overnight, yet
precip may be too sparse this evening for a sigfnt fog threat,
except maybe at KAVL where IFR VSBY is possible arnd daybreak. The
atmos becomes more suppressive Wed and the chance for convec remains
quite low. Basically a wind fcst in the latter period with w/ly to
nw/ly flow outside the mtns becoming s/ly to sw/ly Wed.
Outlook: A typical summertime pattern is expected to persist through
late week. Fog and low stratus may develop each morning in the
mountain valleys and wherever appreciable rain fell the previous day.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...SBK
SHORT TERM...Wimberley
LONG TERM...Wimberley
AVIATION...SBK
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 2, 4:38 AM EST, 12 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
538 AM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-068-
501>510-SCZ008-010>013-019-101>109-030945-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Madison-Yancey-
Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-
Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Cleveland-Caldwell Mountains-
Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-
Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-
Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Cherokee-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-
Union SC-Greenwood-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-
Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-
Central Greenville-Southern Greenville-Northern Spartanburg-
Southern Spartanburg-
538 AM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, the
foothills and mountains of North Carolina, and upstate South
Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and early this
evening. Any storms that develop will have the potential to produce
torrential downpours, gusty winds, and frequent cloud-to-ground
lightning. An isolated severe storm could develop, with damaging wind
gusts and localized flash flooding the primary threats. The storms
should end shortly after sunset.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
None.
NCZ035>037-056-057-069>072-082-SCZ009-014-030945-
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-
Cabarrus-Union NC-York-Chester-
538 AM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the western Piedmont of North
Carolina and the eastern Piedmont of South Carolina, including the
Charlotte metro area.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
None.
PM
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 2, 3:55 PM EST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
455 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
NCZ036-056-022130-
Iredell NC-Catawba NC-
455 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Catawba and
west central Iredell Counties through 530 PM EDT...
At 455 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northeast of Newton, or near Claremont, moving southeast at 10
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Newton, Conover, Claremont, Catawba, Lookout Shoals Lake, Lake Norman
State Park, St. Stephens, Lake Norman, Sherrills Ford and Bandys.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8114 3578 8112 3578 8111 3579 8109
3570 8090 3555 8106 3556 8117 3570 8131
3582 8118 3583 8116
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 311DEG 10KT 3572 8118
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
RWHSpecial weather statement, Aug 2, 3:55 PM EST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
455 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
SCZ102-103-105-106-022130-
Central Greenville SC-Pickens Mountains SC-Greater Pickens SC-
Greenville Mountains SC-
455 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Greenville and northeastern Pickens Counties through 530 PM EDT...
At 455 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles northeast of Pickens, or 4 miles south of Caesars Head State
Park, moving southeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Travelers Rest, Slater-Marietta, Paris Mountain State Park, Table
Rock State Park, Furman University, Caesars Head State Park, Jones
Gap State Park, Pumpkintown, Dacusville and Cleveland.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3507 8274 3514 8254 3494 8236 3483 8266
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 335DEG 9KT 3504 8260
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
APSpecial weather statement, Aug 2, 4:08 PM EST, 1 hour before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
508 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
NCZ068-508-022145-
Greater Rutherford NC-Cleveland NC-
508 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Rutherford and western Cleveland Counties through 545 PM EDT...
At 508 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northeast of Forest City, or near Polkville, moving south at 10
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Shelby, Boiling Springs NC, Lawndale, Polkville, Ellenboro,
Lattimore, Mooresboro, Casar, Kingstown and Sunshine.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3546 8184 3553 8163 3530 8146 3522 8176
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 341DEG 10KT 3543 8169
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
APSpecial weather statement, Aug 2, 4:16 PM EST, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
516 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
NCZ508-022145-
Greater Rutherford NC-
516 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Rutherford
County through 545 PM EDT...
At 516 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Rutherfordton, moving south at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Forest City, Rutherfordton, Spindale, Bostic, Shingle Hollow, Green
Hill, Thermal City, Union Mills and Sunshine.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3552 8197 3554 8187 3536 8177 3529 8201
3533 8205 3534 8207 3551 8210 3554 8199
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 341DEG 8KT 3548 8197
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
APSpecial weather statement, Aug 2, 4:25 PM EST, 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
525 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
SCZ102-105-022200-
Pickens Mountains SC-Greater Pickens SC-
525 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Pickens
County through 600 PM EDT...
At 525 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles north of Pickens, or near Table Rock State Park, moving south
at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Pickens, Table Rock State Park, Jocassee Gorges, Sunset, Pumpkintown,
Sassafras Mountain, Nine Times, Rocky Bottom and Dacusville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3482 8286 3504 8287 3507 8276 3505 8275
3505 8274 3506 8273 3505 8272 3506 8271
3506 8264 3488 8254
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 346DEG 6KT 3500 8275
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
APSpecial weather statement, Aug 2, 5:05 PM EST, 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
605 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
NCZ068-070-SCZ008-009-022230-
Gaston NC-Cleveland NC-York SC-Cherokee SC-
605 PM EDT Tue Aug 2 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Cleveland, southwestern Gaston, western York and eastern Cherokee
Counties through 630 PM EDT...
At 605 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southeast of Shelby, or near Grover, moving southeast at 30
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
York, Kings Mountain, Clover, Newport, Blacksburg, Grover, Patterson
Springs, Sharon, Hickory Grove and Earl.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3498 8107 3484 8146 3486 8149 3487 8148
3488 8152 3521 8166 3529 8133
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 326DEG 25KT 3515 8142
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
AP