Puerto Rico, 2022

Flash Flooding and Debris Flows in Puerto Rico, September 4 to 9, 2022

September 4 to 9, 2022 · NWS SJU · 17 events in 8 counties and zones

Tropical Storm Earl moved north of Puerto Rico early in the month. Although the storm never made landfall, it was responsible for shifting the local wind flow from the south.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
17

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

Tropical Storm Earl moved north of Puerto Rico early in the month. Although the storm never made landfall, it was responsible for shifting the local wind flow from the south. The islands were under this moist flow for around a week. Adding local effects to the mix, active afternoons were observed, with strong showers and thunderstorms. Several flood and mudslide reports were received.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 4, 11:09 AM AST, 3 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 4, 11:09 AM AST, 3 hours 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1109 AM AST Sun Sep 4 2022

.UPDATE...
The core of Tropical Storm Earl is now located just outside of
the northeast corner of the forecast region, about 75 to 100 miles
northeast of the Virgin Islands. The track remains mostly the
same with this system exiting our domain by late tonight, then
moving north into the Atlantic where it's impacts will decrease
significantly. Two main convective bands stretched from the core
this morning and produced the most impressive thunderstorms so far
as they closed in on the USVI, Culebra, and Vieques. Frequent
lightning has been observed in these bands, with the heaviest
thunderstorm activity currently surrounding the Virgin Islands.
Most observed rainfall has occured over the local waters, however
around half an inch has been recording across the northern coast
of PR and under a tenth across the USVI. Widespread rainfall is
still expected for Puerto Rico and signs of this are appearing now
as we transition into the afternoon. Heavy rainfall is still
anticipated today over the eastern half of the region once
moisture convergence due to westerly wind flow and diurnal heating
combine. What will determine the amount of rainfall the USVI
islands receive will be the position and residency of Tropical
Storm Earl's bands over land.

.AVIATION...SHRA/TSRA expected to increase across TJSJ and the
USVI terminals through the evening hours. Outer bands of Tropical
Storm Earl will continue to affect the local area through the
overnight hours. This could cause MVFR to brief IFR conditions at
times at TJSJ/TIST/TISX. Winds from the WSW at 12-20 knots with
higher gusts thru the evening hours.

.MARINE... Hazardous marine conditions continue across the local
waters as Tropical Storm Earl continues to produce heavy
thunderstorm activity across the eastern half of the region.
Strong winds near the core of this system have resulted in the
addition of a High Surf Advisory across the northern coastline of
Puerto Rico until 6 PM today due to powerful surf recorded at the
San Juan Buoy this morning. Also the the risk of rip currents was
elevated to high for St. Croix and Culebra. Besides these
additions, all other marine hazards remain in effect.

&&

.Previous Discussion - Issued at 340 AM AST Sun Sep 4 2022.

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Storm Earl is moving north of the local island today,
bringing shower and thunderstorm activity to the area. Unsettled
weather conditions will prevail for the next several days,
increasing the potential for urban and small stream flooding,
isolated flash flooding and mudslides.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday...

Tropical Storm Earl now located about 90 miles northeast of St.
Thomas, USVI, at 19.5N, 64.2W. Currently, this tropical storm is
moving west-northwest at 10 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 50
mph. This system is expected to remain northeast of the local area,
but the outer bands will continue to to result in heavy rainfall
and thunderstorms across the U.S. Virgin Islands and the eastern,
northeastern, and southeastern portions of Puerto Rico during the
morning hours. By mid-morning, winds are shifting from a more west
to southwesterly flow. This means the afternoon convection is likely
to be centered over the northern-northeastern portions of Puerto
Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Flooding in urban areas, small
streams, and low laying areas will be a concern for the areas
mentioned above. Mudslides are also possible in areas of steep
terrain across central interior, and the USVI. Unstable weather
conditions will continue on Monday through Tuesday. Showers
associated with the tail of Earl moving from the Caribbean, will
continue to affect the local islands. Afternoon activity is expected
to enhance the showers and thunderstorms, once again along the
central interior and northern Puerto Rico, including the San Juan
metro area.  The potential threats, includes but not limited to a
risk of urban and small stream flooding, as well as mudslides in
areas of steep terrain.

&&

.LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...

As Tropical Storm (or perhaps a hurricane by this time) Earl keeps
moving northward, the wind flow across the islands will remain from
the south. This will continue to pull moisture from the south,
increasing the chances of showers and thunderstorms over the area.
The showers are expected to stream from the Caribbean waters into
the southern municipalities of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin
Islands through the day. In the afternoon, local effects may also
aid in the formation of convection impacting the Cordillera Central
and northern Puerto Rico, including the San Juan metro area. So far,
the GFS has this flow prevailing through Friday. Due to this
continuous moisture flux, and the previous rainfall amounts, the
risk for urban and small stream flooding, isolated flash flooding,
mudslides and rapid river rises are expected to persist. Then, by
the end of the week and through the weekend, a more seasonal flow,
out of the east late Friday and from the east during the weekend, is
expected to return. Precipitable water values are expected to remain
enhanced, however, hence this wet wetter pattern is expected to
keep going into the upcoming weekend.

Aside from the rain, this southerly flow and high humidities will
favor heat indices around 102 to 110 degrees each day, especially
before the shower activity begins or places which will not receive
so much rain.

&&

.AVIATION...
An increase of SHRA and TSRA is expected over the PR and USVI
terminals through 04/22z. The outer bands of Tropical Storm Earl
continues to affect the local area may cause brief MVFR cigs
across the all terminals. SHRA/VCTS expected for the
TJSJ/TIST/TISX terminals after 04/09Z. Afternoon TSRA/SHRA
development will result in VCTS/VCSH for TJPS 04/16-22Z and
VCTS/VCSH for TJBQ between 04/17Z. Winds from the WSW at 10 kts or
less, increasing to 10-18 knots with higher gusts after 04/14Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Hazardous marine conditions will continue today as Tropical Storm
Earl moves north of the islands. Seas up to 10 feet are expected.
As the storm moves northward, seas will improve by late tonight
and tomorrow, although small craft operators will still need to
exercise caution. Lines of thunderstorms will continue to impact
the local waters as well. For the beaches, the risk of rip
currents is high for northern Puerto Rico.

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for PRZ001-002-005-
     008.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 PM AST this evening for PRZ001-002-
     005-008.

     Heat Advisory until 4 PM AST this afternoon for PRZ005.

     High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM AST this evening for PRZ012.

VI...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM AST this evening for VIZ002.

&&

DSR/RC/MMR/CVB
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 4, 4:29 AM AST, 10 hours 31 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan PR
339 AM AST domingo 4 de septiembre de 2022

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-050745-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-Norte Central-
Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y
Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-Las aguas costeras cercanas y
lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y del Caribe-
339 AM AST domingo 4 de septiembre de 2022

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para
Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.DIA UNO...Hoy y esta noche

.Rayos...Tronadas aisladas son posibles en la mayoria de Puerto Rico
e islas adyacentes. Este atento a las tronadas en su area y
preparese para refugiarse.

.Lluvia Excesiva...Inundaciones urbanas seran posibles al igual que
acumulaciones de agua en las carreteras y en areas de drenaje
deficiente. Deslizamientos de tierra permaneceran posibles en areas
de terreno empinado sobre partes del centro interior. Inundaciones
repentinas son posibles.

.Calor Excesivo...Indices de calor de 102-111 grados a traves de
sectores del norte, oeste, suroeste y areas costeras del este. El
agotamiento por calor es posible con una exposicion prolongada.
Golpes de calor son posibles.

.Condiciones Maritimas...Oleaje de 7 pies o mas a traves
de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico y Pasaje de Anegada.
Condiciones peligrosas para los operadores de embarcaciones
pequenas.

.Corrientes Marinas...Corrientes marinas amenazantes a la vida son
posibles particularmente en zonas de olas rompientes  a lo largo de
las playas al norte y este de las islas.

.DIAS DOS HASTA EL SIETE...lunes a sabado

Se esperan indices de calor maximos entre 102 a 111 grados para
algunas areas urbanas y costeras del norte, este, oeste, y suroeste
de Puerto Rico. Bandas en espiral de la Tormenta Tropical Earl
continuaran afectando la region en el dia de hoy trayendo periodos
de lluvia fuerte y tronadas. A medida que humedad remanente y buena
convergencia en los niveles bajos promovera conveccion de la tarde a
traves de las islas. Por lo tanto, acumulaciones de agua en las
carreteras e inundaciones urbanas y de quebradas seran posibles.
Deslizamientos de tierra seran posibles en las areas de terreno
empinado debido a los suelos saturados. Aumento en el riesgo de
corrientes marinas, con riesgo de moderado a alto para la mayoria de
las playas del norte y este hasta temprano la proxima semana.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No sera necesaria la activacion de los observadores.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-050745-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-Santa Cruz-
Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes del Caribe-
339 AM AST domingo 4 de septiembre de 2022

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para
Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.DIA UNO...Hoy y esta noche

.Rayos...Tronadas aisladas son posibles a traves de en y cerca de
las Islas Virgenes Americanas. Este atento a las tronadas en su area
y preparese para refugiarse.

.Lluvia Excesiva...Inundaciones urbanas, de quebradas y cunetas
seran posibles al igual que acumulaciones de agua en las carreteras
y en areas de drenaje deficiente.

.Viento...vientos hasta 20 mph podran afectar las aguas costeras del
Atlantico y algunos lugares costeros de las islas.

.Corrientes Marinas...Corrientes marinas amenazantes a la vida son
posibles particularmente en zonas de olas rompientes para todas las
playas.

.DIAS DOS HASTA EL SIETE...domingo a viernes

Bandas en espiral de la Tormenta Tropical Earl continuaran afectando
la region en el dia de hoy trayendo periodos de lluvia fuerte y
tronadas. A medida que humedad remanente y buena convergencia en los
niveles bajos promovera conveccion de la tarde a traves de las
islas. Por lo tanto, acumulaciones de agua en las carreteras e
inundaciones urbanas y de quebradas seran posibles. Aumento en el
riesgo de corrientes marinas, con riesgo de moderado a alto para la
mayoria de las playas del norte y este hasta temprano la proxima
semana.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No sera necesaria la activacion de los observadores.

The radar

The San Juan radar (TJUA), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:57 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 flash flood, 5 flood, 5 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Ceiba

When
September 4, 3:00 PM AST to 4:24 PM AST
Where
Ceiba County, 4.09 mi WSW of Ceiba to 4.05 mi WSW of Ceiba
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.227, -65.687

Emergency Managers reported that Highway PR-3 near Hacienda La Cavana has to be closed to the flooding.

Flood, Humacao

When
September 4, 3:24 PM AST to 4:45 PM AST
Where
Humacao County, 1.96 mi SW of Humacao to 1.89 mi SW of Humacao
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.109, -65.820

Emergency Managers reported flooding along Road PR-3, km 9.9, in front of the Power Plant.

Debris Flow, Humacao

When
September 4, 4:24 PM AST to 4:45 PM AST
Where
Humacao County, 4.34 mi NW of Humacao to 4.36 mi NW of Humacao
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.165, -65.855

Emergency managers reported a landslide at Road PR-198 towards Las Piedras, in Barrio Cotomagu.

Flash Flood, Ceiba

When
September 4, 5:00 PM AST to 6:24 PM AST
Where
Ceiba County, 1.42 mi SSE of Ceiba to 1.58 mi SSE of Ceiba
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.231, -65.621

Emergency Manager reported that the Ferry Terminal in Ceiba was completely flooded due to heavy rains.

Debris Flow, Naranjito

When
September 6, 3:34 PM AST to 6:40 PM AST
Where
Naranjito County, 1.51 mi ESE of Naranjito to 1.69 mi ESE of Naranjito
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.271, -66.209

Emergency Managers reported a mudslide near a residence in Naranjito in Road PR-167.

Flash Flood, Naranjito

When
September 6, 4:38 PM AST to 6:40 PM AST
Where
Naranjito County, 0.62 mi W of Naranjito to 0.5 mi W of Naranjito
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.279, -66.239

Emergency Managers reported a river overflowing over Road PR-813.

Debris Flow, Comerio

When
September 6, 4:51 PM AST to 6:40 PM AST
Where
Comerio County, 3.95 mi N of Comerio to 4 mi NNE of Comerio
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.276, -66.209

Emergency managers reported a mudslide in Road PR-167, indicating multiple individuals trapped in a house.

Debris Flow, Bayamon

When
September 6, 4:51 PM AST to 6:15 PM AST
Where
Bayamon County, 4.59 mi SSW of Bayamon to 4.87 mi SSW of Bayamon
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.293, -66.206

Emergency Managers reported two mudslides near road PR-816.

Flood, Luquillo

When
September 7, 2:20 PM AST to 4:15 PM AST
Where
Luquillo County, 2.08 mi N of Luquillo to 2.17 mi N of Luquillo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.380, -65.721

Emergency managers reported flooded roads, near Calle 14 de julio, behind a Catholic Church.

Flash Flood, Bayamon

When
September 7, 2:35 PM AST to 4:18 PM AST
Where
Bayamon County, 14.78 mi WNW of Bayamon to 15.5 mi WNW of Bayamon
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.442, -66.374

Emergency managers reported a house flooding in Calle 8.

Debris Flow, Bayamon

When
September 7, 2:38 PM AST to 4:18 PM AST
Where
Bayamon County, 2.6 mi SSW of Bayamon to 2.57 mi SSW of Bayamon
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.314, -66.181

Emergency managers reported a mudslide a ta a house located in Road PR-8829 (near las Tres Tiendas).

Flood, Luquillo

When
September 7, 3:00 PM AST to 4:15 PM AST
Where
Luquillo County, 0.47 mi WSW of Luquillo to 0.32 mi WSW of Luquillo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.348, -65.727

Emergency managers reported that the river overflowed near Escuela Alejandrina Segunda Unidad in Barrio Sabanas.

Flood, Luquillo

When
September 7, 3:30 PM AST to 4:15 PM AST
Where
Luquillo County, 2.05 mi NW of Luquillo to 2 mi NNW of Luquillo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.374, -65.739

Emergency managers reported an overflowed creek that was flooding a house, trapping a family inside.

Flash Flood, Vega Baja

When
September 7, 6:55 PM AST to September 8, 12:30 AM AST
Where
Vega Baja County, 0.72 mi SE of Vega Baja to 0.39 mi ESE of Vega Baja
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.443, -66.372

Emergency managers reported that Road PR-676 was completely impassable due to Rio Cibuco being out of its banks.

Flood, San Juan

When
September 9, 1:00 PM AST to 3:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 3.65 mi WNW of San Juan to 3.76 mi WNW of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.401, -66.101

Emergency managers reported flooding along Calle Adams.

Flash Flood, San Juan

When
September 9, 1:00 PM AST to 3:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 4.97 mi N of San Juan to 4.51 mi N of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.451, -66.061

Emergency managers called to inform flooding along Urb. Atlantic View, Marginal Baldorioty.

Flash Flood, San Juan

When
September 9, 1:00 PM AST to 3:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 4.97 mi N of San Juan to 4.51 mi N of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.451, -66.061

Emergency managers called to inform flooding along Urb. Atlantic View, Marginal Baldorioty.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, September 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1055759, 1055758, 1055764, 1055748, 1055767, 1055770, 1055773, 1055776, 1055796, 1055794, 1055788, 1055790, 1055797, 1055793, 1055798, 1055799, 1055800.