Oregon, 2022Heavy Snow in Oregon, December 4 to 5, 2022
December 4 to 5, 2022 · NWS PDT · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
A series of deformation bands aided by a closed upper low off the southwest Oregon coastline resulted in light to moderate snowfall through much of the day Dec. 4th and through the morning on Dec.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A series of deformation bands aided by a closed upper low off the southwest Oregon coastline resulted in light to moderate snowfall through much of the day Dec. 4th and through the morning on Dec. 5th. The prolonged snowfall resulted in heavy snow accumulations across the Lower Columbia Basin, portions of the eastern Columbia River Gorge, the Blue Mountain Foothills, and in the Yakima valley.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pendleton, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 4, 2:33 PM PST, 4 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 2:33 PM PST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pendleton OR
233 PM PST Sun Dec 4 2022
Updated to remove zone 511 advisory
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday...The closed upper level low
off the SW coast of Oregon continues to lift moisture north into the
forecast area this afternoon resulting in widespread light snowfall.
Snowfall amounts have ranged from a trace to around 3 inches as
reported by spotters and the public. The deformation band will
continue to sit over Washington and northern Oregon into the night
and gradually weaken as it separates from the closed low. This will
result in a continued light snowfall event with some additional
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across portions of the forecast area.
Therefore, the multiple weather weather advisories will continue
into tonight.
The remnants of the closed low will move into northern California
Monday allowing a northwest flow to become the more dominating
influence to the weather. Whats left of the deformation band will be
picked up in this northwest flow and advected into the eastern
mountains generating some snow showers through the day, otherwise
most of the forecast area will return to dry conditions. The low
moves into the Great Basin on Tuesday and the once pronounced ridging
in the Gulf of Alaska weakens. This will allow the flow to
transition to a more westerly flow Tuesday with some showers along
the Cascade crest and over the mountains of NE Oregon and SE
Washington. This transition to a westerly flow will also cut off
the inflow of cold Canadian air into the region and begin to
moderate towards warming temperatures.
.LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...A progressive pattern is in
store for the forecast area as models bring in several systems
through the PacNW between Thursday extending into beyond the next
weekend. Despite the fact that these systems look to be SW to W in
terms of their origin, cold temperatures persisting through the
first half of the work week may inhibit the ability for warmer air
to mix down into the lower elevations as the cold pool maintains its
strength.
Ensemble guidance suggesting Wednesday will be dry with weak N/NW
flow overhead, before bringing a low through during the day
Thursday. Wednesday will be a continuation of relatively cold
temperatures as a result, before another round of precip begins
early Thursday morning in the Cascades, spreading eastward. Little
doubt that our mountain zones will be inundated with precip as these
systems come through, question will be how much the lower elevations
receive and how much warmer air will penetrate into the Basin. QPF
ensembles pretty meager on low-elevation this far out, with values
ranging from a few hundredths to up to a tenth around central OR,
but given the synoptic setup, feeling pretty good on precip chances
for most of the forecast area. Did nudge temps down a little bit
from what the NBM had to compensate for the effect of cold pooling.
Will leave the lower Basin in a mix for now, as suggested by the
NBM, but wouldn't be surprised if future model runs trend colder as
we approach Thursday.
Ensembles then diverge greatly heading into next weekend, as
expected given the overall progressive synoptic pattern.
Deterministic GFS and ECMWF are greatly out of sync by Sunday, with
the GFS depicting westerly flow shifting more SW, while the ECMWF is
more NW. Ensemble clustering hints toward more of a westerly
pattern, possibly as a compromise solution, which would suggest
warming conditions and better chances for rain rather than snow in
the lower elevations, albeit light amounts as shadowing would be
more prominent under westerly flow, while the mountains continue to
receive consistent precip. NBM has a slight chance to chance for
much of the forecast area as a result of this progressive pattern,
so
will leave that in place until models better resolve themselves into
a more consistent solution, but expecting another round of precip
sometime next weekend. NBM has slightly warmer temps by the end of
the period, but given how unseasonably cold November into early
December has been, wouldn't be surprised if cold pooling effects
offset the temperature forecast a bit through the entire period.
Evans/74
&&
.AVIATION...00z TAFs...Conditions will improve across all sites
through the evening hours as snow showers taper off. The last of the
snow should linger around nightfall for DLS/YKM, before all sites
are clear by 06z at the latest. Main impact after the snow will be
the potential for low stratus impacts overnight heading into early
Monday morning. Bkn-ovc conditions through the period should keep
the surface insulated enough from fog development. Light winds less
than 8 kts across all sites, with cigs less than 5 kft expected.
Evans/74
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
PDT 24 30 25 38 / 90 20 0 0
ALW 24 30 26 38 / 100 20 10 0
PSC 25 30 26 37 / 90 10 0 0
YKM 21 30 20 36 / 90 10 0 0
HRI 26 31 25 38 / 90 10 0 0
ELN 20 29 20 36 / 80 10 0 10
RDM 22 37 22 39 / 20 0 0 0
LGD 27 36 24 37 / 80 20 10 10
GCD 26 38 23 37 / 30 10 10 0
DLS 27 37 28 43 / 90 10 10 10
&&
.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for ORZ041-
044-507-508-510.
WA...Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for WAZ024-
026>029-521.
&&
SHORT TERM...91
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74Heavy Snow, Lower Columbia Basin
- When
- December 4, 7:00 PM PST to December 5, 8:00 AM PST
- Where
- Lower Columbia Basin forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 45.506, -119.160 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A trained spotter 5 miles west southwest of Plymouth, Or measured 4 inches of new snow at 1946 PST on Dec. 4th. A Co-Op observer 1 mile north northwest of Hermiston, Or measured 5 inches of new snow in a 24 hour period ending at 0755 PST on Dec. 5th.
Heavy Snow, Eastern Columbia River Gorge
- When
- December 4, 7:00 PM PST to December 5, 4:00 AM PST
- Where
- Eastern Columbia River Gorge forecast zone
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 45.314, -120.689 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A HAM radio operator in Arlington, Or reported 4 inches of new snow accumulation at 1949 PST on Dec. 4th.
Heavy Snow, Foothills of the Northern Blue Mountains of Oregon
- When
- December 4, 9:37 PM PST to December 5, 8:00 AM PST
- Where
- Foothills of the Northern Blue Mountains of Oregon forecast zone
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 45.592, -118.737 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A Helix School official in Helix, Or reported an estimated 4.5 inches of new snow at 0700 PST on Dec. 5th. A report from social media indicated 5 inches of new snow accumulated in Milton-Freewater, Or over a 24 hour period ending at 0800 PST on Dec. 5th.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Dense Fog in Arizona, December 4 to 12, 202212 events
- Winter Storm in Montana, December 4 to 7, 20226 events
- Winter Weather in Montana, December 4 to 5, 20225 events
- Winter Weather in Colorado, December 4 to 6, 20224 events
- Heavy Snow in Montana, December 4 to 6, 20223 events
- Heavy Snow in Washington, December 4 to 5, 20223 events
- Heavy Snow in Utah, December 4 to 5, 20222 events
- Heavy Snow in Oregon, December 4, 20221 event
- Heavy Snow in Washington, December 4, 20221 event
- Flood in Arizona, December 4 to 5, 2022$10,000 · 1 event
- High Wind in Wyoming, December 4, 202254 kt wind · 1 event
- Winter Storm in Alaska, December 4 to 5, 20221 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1072028, 1072032, 1072031.